NEW WORLD CUP FUTURE
Spain to qualify +105, 3 units
A complete overreaction to the 5-1 loss to The Netherlands. All Spain has to do is beat Chile, and they should go in as a heavy favorite. I expected Spain to possibly lose (or at least draw) against the Dutch. The score puts them at a goal deficit, but it shouldn't matter.
Spain to qualify +105, 3 units
A complete overreaction to the 5-1 loss to The Netherlands. All Spain has to do is beat Chile, and they should go in as a heavy favorite. I expected Spain to possibly lose (or at least draw) against the Dutch. The score puts them at a goal deficit, but it shouldn't matter.
SATURDAY
WORLD CUP
Argentina O3 -113, 2 units
Ghana +1.5 -110/Germany, 1 unit
Record 172-187.5, +18.06
Maybe I'm wrong, but I think Ghana is better than people think and Germany might bounce a little off the big win over Portugal. If this is the "Group of Death," why is there a 1.5-goal line? Oddsmakers are thinking the public will bet Germany because--and I say this quoting a square--"Ghana can't be any good because they lost to the US, and the US isn't any good at soccer." This same square, however, got upset when Klinsmann said the US couldn't win the World Cup. Go figure... I think Ghana could qualify in about half these groups.
WORLD CUP
Argentina O3 -113, 2 units
Ghana +1.5 -110/Germany, 1 unit
Record 172-187.5, +18.06
Maybe I'm wrong, but I think Ghana is better than people think and Germany might bounce a little off the big win over Portugal. If this is the "Group of Death," why is there a 1.5-goal line? Oddsmakers are thinking the public will bet Germany because--and I say this quoting a square--"Ghana can't be any good because they lost to the US, and the US isn't any good at soccer." This same square, however, got upset when Klinsmann said the US couldn't win the World Cup. Go figure... I think Ghana could qualify in about half these groups.
SUNDAY
WORLD CUP
Belgium -.5 -104/Russia, 3 units
Algeria/South Korea O2 -131, 3 units
United States +.5 +125/Portugal, 1 unit
United States -.5 +427/Portugal, 1 unit
Record 173-188.5, +16.80
Really like Belgium, who I think is by far the top team in this group. Algeria and South Korea now play at their own level, and their games will become more attacking. After watching Ghana draw Germany, that just makes me believe even more that America is better than people think. Ronaldo is not at 100 percent, and defenders Pepe is suspended and Coentrao is not 100 percent.
WORLD CUP
Belgium -.5 -104/Russia, 3 units
Algeria/South Korea O2 -131, 3 units
United States +.5 +125/Portugal, 1 unit
United States -.5 +427/Portugal, 1 unit
Record 173-188.5, +16.80
Really like Belgium, who I think is by far the top team in this group. Algeria and South Korea now play at their own level, and their games will become more attacking. After watching Ghana draw Germany, that just makes me believe even more that America is better than people think. Ronaldo is not at 100 percent, and defenders Pepe is suspended and Coentrao is not 100 percent.
0-3 day, but Netherlands won the group so I got +320 on that future bet. I'll calculate the futures into my record once the group stage is finished. At best I'll be even, it looks like.
TUESDAY
WORLD CUP
Uruguay Rock Bottom Group D +405, 1 unit (essentially a parlay of England and Italy wins)
England/Costa Rica O2.5 -116, 3 units
Japan/Colombia O2.5 -109, 3 units
Record 176-192.5, +18.45
TUESDAY
WORLD CUP
Uruguay Rock Bottom Group D +405, 1 unit (essentially a parlay of England and Italy wins)
England/Costa Rica O2.5 -116, 3 units
Japan/Colombia O2.5 -109, 3 units
Record 176-192.5, +18.45
WEDNESDAY
WORLD CUP
Group Forecast: 1st Argentina/2nd Iran +555, 1 unit (essentially an Argentina win and an Iran win)
Iran +230/Bosnia & Herzegovina, 1 unit
Ecuador +485/France, 1 unit
Switzerland/Honduras O3 +110, 2 units
Record 177-194.5, +16.97
It takes a huge loss or huge Swiss win to take France out of the World Cup, although the prospect of not facing Argentina in the first round might be enough to make them play for the win. Ecuador needs the win more. Swiss also need the win and need goals. Iran has a chance to advance, and play a possibly unmotivated B&H squad.
WORLD CUP
Group Forecast: 1st Argentina/2nd Iran +555, 1 unit (essentially an Argentina win and an Iran win)
Iran +230/Bosnia & Herzegovina, 1 unit
Ecuador +485/France, 1 unit
Switzerland/Honduras O3 +110, 2 units
Record 177-194.5, +16.97
It takes a huge loss or huge Swiss win to take France out of the World Cup, although the prospect of not facing Argentina in the first round might be enough to make them play for the win. Ecuador needs the win more. Swiss also need the win and need goals. Iran has a chance to advance, and play a possibly unmotivated B&H squad.
Updated record including a 2-6 (-1.80) mark on futures so far...180-204.5, +13.17. I'll have Irish League plays up Friday for those who just started following during the World Cup. And if I may interrupt this thread for a little self-advertising...
When I'm not betting soccer, I co-host a college football and basketball podcast called Sixth Year Seniors. We have a "Best of" show up right now for those who haven't listen and want to know what we're like, or for past listeners wanting to relive the college season. You can catch us at sixthyearseniors.com and @6thyearseniors on Twitter. The show comes out on Tuesdays, and during the football season we end the show with plays for the coming weekend. We also have a listener pick game called Beat the Seniors, with a year-end prize for a lucky listener or two. Check us out, won't you?
When I'm not betting soccer, I co-host a college football and basketball podcast called Sixth Year Seniors. We have a "Best of" show up right now for those who haven't listen and want to know what we're like, or for past listeners wanting to relive the college season. You can catch us at sixthyearseniors.com and @6thyearseniors on Twitter. The show comes out on Tuesdays, and during the football season we end the show with plays for the coming weekend. We also have a listener pick game called Beat the Seniors, with a year-end prize for a lucky listener or two. Check us out, won't you?
FRIDAY
IRELAND
Dundalk -.5 -135/Derry City, 2 units
Drogheda/Sligo O3 -104, 3 units
St. Patricks -1.5 1-48/Bray, 2 units
I usually don't take such high minus-sides, but both favorites look good here. It doesn't look like Dundalk will hold much back for their Tuesday Europa League match, and Bray has a number of injuries to contend with.
Also, here's my remaining World Cup futures:
To win: Argentina +430
To reach final: Uruguay +1200
To reach semifinals: Uruguay +430
To reach quarterfinals: Colombia +165, Switzerland +340
Golden Boot (most goals): Lukaku (Belgium) +2750
IRELAND
Dundalk -.5 -135/Derry City, 2 units
Drogheda/Sligo O3 -104, 3 units
St. Patricks -1.5 1-48/Bray, 2 units
I usually don't take such high minus-sides, but both favorites look good here. It doesn't look like Dundalk will hold much back for their Tuesday Europa League match, and Bray has a number of injuries to contend with.
Also, here's my remaining World Cup futures:
To win: Argentina +430
To reach final: Uruguay +1200
To reach semifinals: Uruguay +430
To reach quarterfinals: Colombia +165, Switzerland +340
Golden Boot (most goals): Lukaku (Belgium) +2750
