AC soccer for 2013

[achandicap]

No plays for England and Italy Sunday. I'm hedging my African Cup Final bet to insure I make a profit with Nigeria +925 from the start of the tournament.

SUNDAY
Burkina Faso to win +190, 2 units

That gives me either a +.8 profit if Burkina Faso wins (subtracting losses on Mali, Ghana and Nigeria) or a +5.25 profit if Nigeria wins (subtracting the bets on Faso, Mali and Ghana).

 

[achandicap]

MONDAY
ENGLAND
West Brom +1.5 -118/Liverpool, 2 units

Record: 21-23, +6.12

 

[achandicap]

TUESDAY
CHAMPS LEAGUE
Celtic +.5 +109/Juventus, 1 unit
PSG PK +132/Valencia, 2 units

Record: 22-23, +8.12

 

[achandicap]

WEDNESDAY
CHAMPS
Manchester United +1 -112/Real Madrid, 1 unit
Manchester United to win tie +145, 1 unit
Dortmund PK -106/Shakhtar, 1 unit

Manchester is not the better team, but a full goal is worth the risk and +145 will look good if they can walk away with a draw or even a scoring one-goal loss in Madrid. Shakhatr sold off two of its better players, so this might be a gift we don't see again.

LIBERTADORES
Iquique/Penarol U2.5 -119, 3 units
Iquique has not scored well this season, getting its first multi-goal game this weekend. In two Copa Sudamericana (2011, 2012) and one Libertadores tie (first round, 2013), they've yet score more than one goal. Penarol always plays tough defense, and they have yet to play a competitive match this year (season starts next weekend). My highest play in international competitions.

Record: 23-24, +9.76

 

[achandicap]

Had to love Gus Johnson calling the Real Madrid/Manchester United match. He did soccer proud. Big card tomorrow.

THURSDAY
EUROPA
Ajax -1 -116/Steaua, 2 units
Levante -.5 +130/Olympiakos, 2 units
Leverkusen -.5 +113/Benfica, 1 unit
Metalist Kharkiv +.5 -122/Newcastle, 1 unit

EUROPA TO ADVANCE
Zenit +110, 1 unit
BATE +169, 1 unit
Plzen +235, 1 unit
Dnipro -165, 3 units

LIBERTADORES
Deportivo Tolima/Cerro Porteno O2.5 +131, 1 unit

Record: 24-25, +7.38

 

[charlesburg]

[h=5]For the Orange Africa Cup of Nations South Africa 2013, and indeed the African Nations Championship in 2014, to truly be a success, the backing of the people of South Africa
[/h]

 

[achandicap]

A good day Thursday, but a little concerned about Basel's 2-0 win over Dnipro. I'll probably play Basel a bit next week to save some of the Dnipro -165 to advance bet.

FRIDAY
ITALY
Parma +1 +104/Milan, 1 unit

Record: 28-26, +13.29

 

[achandicap]

Got a lucky later goal from Parma to get the push. I'll take it. Also, my math was wrong on units.

SATURDAY
ITALY
Chievo -.5 +121/Palermo, 1 unit

Record: 28-26, +13.10

 

[achandicap]

No Champs League today, but one from Libertadores.

TUESDAY
Emelec +.5 +120/Penarol, 1 unit

Record: 28-27, +12.10

 

[achandicap]

WEDNESDAY
CHAMPS
Milan +1 +104/Barcelona, 1 unit

LIBERTADORES
Fluminese -.5 +105/Gremio, 1 unit

Record: 28-28, +11.10

 

[achandicap]

THURSDAY
EUROPA
Olympiakos -.5 -134/Levante, 2 units

Only one play, but I have four "to advance" bets out. I feel all four have a shot at collecting. They are:

Zenit +110, 1 unit (1-1 first leg)
BATE +169, 1 unit (0-0 first leg)
Plzen +235, 1 unit (3-0 first leg)
Dnipro -165, 3 units (0-2 first leg)

Record: 29-29, +11.14

 

[ERockMoney]

AC,

You have some real potential there.

GL with your action.

 

[achandicap]

LIBERTADORES
Tigre -.5 +113/Libertad, 1 unit
Cerro Porteno/Real Garcilaso O2.5 -110, 1 unit
Santa Fe -.5 +112/Deportivo Tolima, 1 unit

 

[achandicap]

Really bad day Thursday. They happen...we move on.

SATURDAY
ENGLAND
Arsenal -1.5 -124/Aston Villa, 2 units
Norwich +.5 -130/Everton, 1 unit

Reminder: I have Bradford +840 to win the Capitol One Cup. Surprisingly, that's a short number as they are +908 to win the match right now. Still, in a one-game shootout, I'll take an 8-1 dog that's playing good defense.

Record: 31-35, +2.86

 

[achandicap]

SUNDAY
ITALY
Torino +.5 -140/Cagliari, 2 units

Record: 32-36, +0.62

 

[achandicap]

MONDAY
ITALY
Udinese PK +125/Napoli, 2 units
Pescara +1.5 +115/Lazio, 1 unit

Record: 32-37, -2.18

 

[achandicap]

On a bit of a slide, and totally blew off yesterday. Hate to make this my only play of the day because of the high juice, but the numbers still say it's a play. Guess I'll be thankful to not be paying a full goal.

WEDNESDAY
COLOMBIA
Santa Fe -.5 -153/La Equidad, 2 units

Record: 32-38, -3.18

 

[achandicap]

FRIDAY
Juventus PK -137/Napoli, 2 units

Record: 33-39, -1.42 (Updated to also reflect bad math and Brentford loss)

 

[achandicap]

Here's weekend. I might add a game or two from Colombia later.

SATURDAY
ENGLAND
West Brom +1.5 -135/Chelsea, 2 units
QPR +.5 +107/Southampton, 1 unit
Stoke -.5 +111/West Ham, 1 unit

ITALY
Lazio +.5 +136/Milan, 1 unit

SUNDAY
ITALY
Siena -.5 +126/Atalanta, 1 unit
Genoa +1 +115/Roma, 1 unit

 

[achandicap]

SATURDAY
COLOMBIA
Itagui -1 -112/Alianza Petrolera, 2 units
Once Caldes +.25 -119/La Equidad, 1 unit