A SECRET WAY FOR THE AVERAGE GAMBLER TO BEAT BOOKMAKERS! (by Sick Gambler)

[LEYKIS101]

Different strokes for different folks. Since I basically do College Football ONLY, and the # of games overall is low, Capping and getting the best #s are close to being equal. I would, for me only, give capping the nod. I am also NOT a proponent of equal % on each play. I have an indicator that points me to the BIGGER plays and some might ridicule it. IT is what I call "The Hard Nipples and Goosebumps Predictor" When I first see a line and I get the HN&GB Predictor, I have had extraordinary success. Laugh if you want, but it works for me! Sort of like Alchemy of College Football. :money8: LT

And I see Winbet has a similar indicator, called the IT(itchy testicle) or P.I.G(Pain in Groin) indicator.

 

[CoachLT]

And I see Winbet has a similar indicator, called the IT(itchy testicle) or P.I.G(Pain in Groin) indicator.



Winbet and me will have to compare notes at the Bash! :lolBIG: arty: LT

 

[Iceman]

Different strokes for different folks. Since I basically do College Football ONLY, and the # of games overall is low, Capping and getting the best #s are close to being equal. I would, for me only, give capping the nod. I am also NOT a proponent of equal % on each play. I have an indicator that points me to the BIGGER plays and some might ridicule it. IT is what I call "The Hard Nipples and Goosebumps Predictor" When I first see a line and I get the HN&GB Predictor, I have had extraordinary success. Laugh if you want, but it works for me! Sort of like Alchemy of College Football. :money8: LT

Hey if there is one thing I have learned from these forums is there is more than one way to skin a cat. I LOVE to cap and bet is as much as the next guy. Having opinion and seeing it come true makes us feel like einstein, no better gambling rush.

My point was this is the easiest way to become a winning player and it surprising how simple SG's approach is.

 

[Sugarbear]

When I find it again I will post what is the answer to the bonus whore delima as told by Sick G just a few months after he was aquitted. It started as one thing and turned into a debate with Java. Sick G won but both were right.

All should have listened to him. Bonus shoppers would long be a thing of the past. They say the guy who takes advantage of the system the best is the one to ask how to fix it. Only no one asked he just told.

 

[wilheim]

...

 

[Dawoofdaddy]

How much of this is still relevant today?

What has changed?
​

d1g1t

 

[nadalbg]

There is no way to beat bookies so easily
Learning that will help you a lot

_____________________________________
http://www.betting-forum.com/

 

[scat131]

for bases and hockey, is he talking about the money line or the runline when he says .5/.10 cent differencial

 

[scat131]

anyone?

 

[goblue12]

For all SIMPLISTIC purposese what he is saying he very accurrate and true today.

SHOPPING for the BEST LINES and spotting weak numbers is much, much more the reality in becoming a longterm winner than "handicapping".

Sure one can win consistantly just by handicapping and doing little shopping, but the cases are in the minority.

Whatever the case, one can certainly improve their bottom line GREATLY by simply shopping.

I honestly don't know why more people haven't caught onto this. I've been doing this for 3 days and have made 12+ units betting nothing but bad lines. Once you figure out who the sharpest books are, all it takes is a few hours a day devoting your spare time to screen watching (which is a lot easier these days thanks to all of the line sites) to make some serious cash.

 

[Sawyer]

Ok folks, forget what the Shrink says about how to do it. If you do it his way, you will eventually go broke, mark my words. All that crap doesn't exist, because no matter how big a loser you are in gambling, you will ALWAYS end up very very close to 50% in picking winners. So if you end up even hitting 52% lifetime over 100,000 games, you will be broke. This is a myth about taking opposite sides of bettors. The only reason all these bettors lose and go broke is NOT because they cannot pick winners. It's because the juice just adds up on them and they eventually go bankrupt. A good buddy of mine has easily hit over 51% lifetime, but is broke today because the vig caught up to him.

But if you really want my advice and NOT a silly tip like the Shrink just gave you, here is how you will really end up a winner.

ONLY ONLY ONLY BET OFF #'S. IF YOU ALWAYS END UP WITH A BETTER # THAN THE CLOSING LINE, YOU WILL BE A WINNER IN THE LONG HAUL.

IN NBA- YOU MUST END UP AT LEAST 1 PT BETTER THAN THE CLOSING LINE.

IN NBA TOTALS- YOU MUST END UP AT LEAST 1.5 PTS BETTER THAN THE CLOSING LINE.

IN NHL- YOU MUST END UP AT LEAST 10+ CENTS BETTER THAN THE CLOSING LINE.

IN MLB- YOU MUST END UP AT LEAST 5+ CENTS (10 CENT LINE) BETTER THAN THE CLOSING LINE

IN NFL- YOU MUST END UP AT LEAST 1 TO 1.5 PTS BETTER THAN THE CLOSING LINE, DEPENDING ON THE #.

_____________

This is the best and most accurate advice I can give you. If you ever see a book with a # that is different than everyone else, JUMP on it, no matter who it is. Even if you don't like the game. If the book bumps its favorite, take the dog. If the book bumps the over, jump on the under. Trust me folks, this works like magic. Let the book make your pick, not you. Once you start handicapping a game like saying, Barry Bonds won't win in the playoffs because he's a loser, or NO way this game will go over because the under is due, or the yankees have lost 3 straight, what are the odds they get swept and lose 4 straight at home, you WILL eventually end up in the poorhouse, mark my words.

Have numerous outs to bet into, not just one.

Don't bet over your head.

Stay within your means.

Do NOT chase when you have a bad night, and you want to double up on the late game. There will be 48 more bets to choose from in 12 hours.

Do NOT bet over 0.5-1.5% of your bankroll or you will be broke with 1 or 2 bad weeks. You have to stay in the game, because the trick in this business is to not go broke. Once you're broke, you are out. You will be able to raise your bets once you build yourself a little cushion.

If you don't find any good #'s that night, DON'T bet. DON'T just bet for the sake of betting. This will hurt you in the long run. If you wanna bet a tv game because you're bored, put in a very small bet on it, very small.

____________________

There you have it folks, I can sit here and give you a bunch more tips, but these are the main ones.

Forget what that Shrink is saying, he has NO idea what he is talking about. You will just go broke if you listen to that guy. Sometimes I wonder if this Shrink guy is really a square or not. If he wasn't so successful in this business, I'd swear he is. Thank God he gets the plays from someone. Can you imagine if he had to come up with his own plays? He'd be the #1 customer in the offshore industry. Books will love this guy. They would offer him free trips, free escorts, the works...

People who can't hit above %55 think everybody will go %50. It's not right. You can make %58-59 on the long run. It's possible.

Not to mention, in labouchere methode you can make lots of money even with %40 winning percentage. Thanks to Matchbook and betfair, vig is really reduced today..

 

[Mr.Maxx]

Ok folks, forget what the Shrink says about how to do it. If you do it his way, you will eventually go broke, mark my words. All that crap doesn't exist, because no matter how big a loser you are in gambling, you will ALWAYS end up very very close to 50% in picking winners. So if you end up even hitting 52% lifetime over 100,000 games, you will be broke. This is a myth about taking opposite sides of bettors. The only reason all these bettors lose and go broke is NOT because they cannot pick winners. It's because the juice just adds up on them and they eventually go bankrupt. A good buddy of mine has easily hit over 51% lifetime, but is broke today because the vig caught up to him.

But if you really want my advice and NOT a silly tip like the Shrink just gave you, here is how you will really end up a winner.

ONLY ONLY ONLY BET OFF #'S. IF YOU ALWAYS END UP WITH A BETTER # THAN THE CLOSING LINE, YOU WILL BE A WINNER IN THE LONG HAUL.

IN NBA- YOU MUST END UP AT LEAST 1 PT BETTER THAN THE CLOSING LINE.

IN NBA TOTALS- YOU MUST END UP AT LEAST 1.5 PTS BETTER THAN THE CLOSING LINE.

IN NHL- YOU MUST END UP AT LEAST 10+ CENTS BETTER THAN THE CLOSING LINE.

IN MLB- YOU MUST END UP AT LEAST 5+ CENTS (10 CENT LINE) BETTER THAN THE CLOSING LINE

IN NFL- YOU MUST END UP AT LEAST 1 TO 1.5 PTS BETTER THAN THE CLOSING LINE, DEPENDING ON THE #.

_____________

This is the best and most accurate advice I can give you. If you ever see a book with a # that is different than everyone else, JUMP on it, no matter who it is. Even if you don't like the game. If the book bumps its favorite, take the dog. If the book bumps the over, jump on the under. Trust me folks, this works like magic. Let the book make your pick, not you. Once you start handicapping a game like saying, Barry Bonds won't win in the playoffs because he's a loser, or NO way this game will go over because the under is due, or the yankees have lost 3 straight, what are the odds they get swept and lose 4 straight at home, you WILL eventually end up in the poorhouse, mark my words.

Have numerous outs to bet into, not just one.

Don't bet over your head.

Stay within your means.

Do NOT chase when you have a bad night, and you want to double up on the late game. There will be 48 more bets to choose from in 12 hours.

Do NOT bet over 0.5-1.5% of your bankroll or you will be broke with 1 or 2 bad weeks. You have to stay in the game, because the trick in this business is to not go broke. Once you're broke, you are out. You will be able to raise your bets once you build yourself a little cushion.

If you don't find any good #'s that night, DON'T bet. DON'T just bet for the sake of betting. This will hurt you in the long run. If you wanna bet a tv game because you're bored, put in a very small bet on it, very small.

____________________

There you have it folks, I can sit here and give you a bunch more tips, but these are the main ones.

Forget what that Shrink is saying, he has NO idea what he is talking about. You will just go broke if you listen to that guy. Sometimes I wonder if this Shrink guy is really a square or not. If he wasn't so successful in this business, I'd swear he is. Thank God he gets the plays from someone. Can you imagine if he had to come up with his own plays? He'd be the #1 customer in the offshore industry. Books will love this guy. They would offer him free trips, free escorts, the works...

This does not apply to Ncaa football or basketball?

 

[Muddy]

thx

 

[2ndhalf]

Haha, you cannot hard code such rule.

It all depends on how sharp the opening lines are (& commission). A good opening line can definitely beat 1 or 1.5 point off from closing.

Bookmakers are human beings, who make mistakes, like we do. The key is to identify and exploit their mistakes.

The guy who made fewer mistakes will win in the long run. This is similar to any form of gambling that involves human judgement. (e.g. stocks, arts, poker etc.)

 

[KrishnaGujar]

Great Information was very useful for me..

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