i have a parlay that im pretty sure will hit tonight..for me its a real banker-play.
fc basel vs. zurich over 1.5 + luzern vs. st.gallen over 1.5 = 1.44
putting 500 down, to win 235. i never play this kind of low odds in parlays and such, but know i've been checking all the stats and no way it stays within 1 goal in these games.
the super league is very high scoring, and these teams has been scoring like crazy! been checking the home/away from, and i think it'll be something like 2-1, or 2-2 in both games. Im very-very confident that it should be a minimum of 2 goals in both games, so we can cash this parlay!
i have a breakdown of the stats for you right here:
basel - zurich
basel avg. goals at home = 3.58
fc zurich avg. goals at home = 3
this is scoring and conceding as a total.
basel scored 17 and conceded 7 in the last 6 matches for a total of 24 and an avg. of 4 goals at home.
zurich scored 8 and conceded 7 in the last 6 matches for a total of 15 and an avg. of 2.5 away.
they average in home/away both more than 3 goals.
luzern - st.gallen
luzern avg. goals at home = 3.67
st. gallen avg. goals at home = 3.25
luzern scored 17 and conceded 9 in the last 6 matches for a total of 26 goals and an avg. of 4.33 at home.
st. gallen scored 14 and conceded 4 in the last 6 matches for a total of 18 goals and an avg. of 3 goals away.
they average in home/away more that 3.5 per game.
dont think the 1.5 goals will stand very long today.
gl boys!