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Stanford Steve and The Bear: College football bowl picks, bets, nuggets​

Last one stopped at Mizzo/Army game
Thanks
 

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
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Stanford Steve and The Bear: College football bowl picks, bets, nuggets


What's in store for this holiday season in college football?

"Stanford Steve" Coughlin and Chris "The Bear" Fallica break down the bowl season as only they can, offering their top bets, teasers to look at and betting nuggets for the games.

The guys are ready to continue their prognostications and will do so throughout the bowl season.

Records

  • Stanford Steve (1-2 in bowls; 40-31 overall)
  • The Bear (1-2 in bowls; 37-46-1 overall)
Note: Lines from Caesars Sportsbook.

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Military Bowl presented by Peraton (Dec. 27)​

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2:30 p.m. ET on ESPN at Navy-Marine Crops Memorial Stadium

Boston College Eagles (-3, 51.5) vs. East Carolina Pirates



Stanford Steve:
If you listen to the Stanford Steve & The Bear podcast you would notice that these two teams are talked about a lot... for various reasons. Whether it was having BC over the season win total, our love for Pirates QB Holton Ahlers or our love for BC coach Jeff Hafley, both these teams have been shown plenty of love. Therefore, I am really interested in this game. I think it's a great matchup and both teams come into the game in very different ways. ECU won four of its past five and BC lost three of its past five. BC got QB Phil Jurkovec back toward the end of the season and he did not play well when he returned. I expect the Eagles' offense to be a lot more buttoned up and I think their approach will be focused, thus being too much for the Pirates. I'll take BC and give the points.

Pick: Boston College -3 (Boston College 23, East Carolina 17)


SERVPRO First Responder Bowl (Dec. 28)​

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Air Force Falcons vs. Louisville Cardinals (-1.5, 55.5)​

3:15 p.m. ET on ESPN at Gerald J. Ford Stadium

Stanford Steve:
I don't think there will be much defense in this game. I'll take the over.

Pick: Over 55.5 points (Air Force 34, Louisville 31)

San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl (Dec. 28)

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UCLA Bruins vs. No. 18 NC State Wolfpack (-1, 59.5)



8 p.m. ET at Petco Park

Stanford Steve:
Easily a top-5 bowl matchup I am interested in. Love both teams and the capability of both offenses, led by the QBs. Bruins QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson will be playing in his last game in the UCLA uniform and he has done a great job throwing the ball off play action. UCLA has run the ball for over 244 yards in its past three games, but NC State is better than all three of those teams. However, The Wolfpack gave up over 5 yards per carry to UNC (297 yards), Syracuse (170 yards) and Louisville (215 yards) this year. The magic number is 200 yards rushing. UCLA is undefeated when rushing for over 200 yards this year. I think it will get there. I'll take the Bruins plus the point.

Pick: UCLA +1 (UCLA 28 NC State 24)

Pick: UCLA +1 (UCLA 28 NC State 24)

Guaranteed Rate Bowl (Dec. 28)

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West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (-4, 45)

10:15 p.m. ET on ESPN at Chase Field

Fallica:
I like the way Minnesota is entering this game and you know P.J. Fleck will have complete buy-in from his team. The Gophers have overcome a lot this season, beat Wisconsin in its big rivalry game and its defense has played quite well, although I'm not sure how great some of those offenses were. But this is a West Virginia offense that's been hit-or-miss this season and will not have RB Leddy Brown.

Pick: Minnesota -4


Cheez-It Bowl (Dec. 29)

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No. 19 Clemson Tigers (-1, 44) vs. Iowa State Cyclones

5:45 p.m. ET on ESPN at Camping World Stadium

Fallica:
Clemson is used to playing in College Football Playoff games and now has to face Iowa State in Orlando, Florida, without its coordinators and with a QB who has struggled all season. No thank you, especially against a really good Iowa State defense and one that should be motivated to end a disappointing season on a positive note, even without RB Breece Hall.

Pick: Iowa State +1

Stanford Steve: I'll take the team with the coaching staff intact. Even though Cyclones QB Brock Purdy had a subpar year, I give the 'Clones the advantage in this matchup at that position. I'll take Iowa State plus the point.

Pick: Iowa State +1 (Iowa State 23 Clemson 17)


Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl (Dec. 31)

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Washington State Cougars vs. Miami Hurricanes (-1, 59)

Noon ET at Sun Bowl

Fallica:
I just don't know how you can back Miami here. It hasn't been the easiest of months given the coaching change and COVID concerns. Those concerns likely won't knock the Canes out from playing in the game, but I can see a feeling in Coral Gables that's one of "let's just get this thing over with and move on to spring ball." Wazzu has played well for its new head coach who didn't quit on the team and as a result he's the new head coach. If we're handicapping motivation and preparation, the edge has to go to the Cougars.

Pick: Washington State +1
 

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
25,077
Tokens

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
25,077
Tokens
Newsletter Tracking (through 12/21/2021) from Mendoza Line

***Updates for NFL records only for the rest of the season***

Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.

Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.

CKO (we've gotten this one only twice this season)
11* (0-3-0)
10* (4-6-0)
o/u (1-1-0)

Gridiron Gold Sheet (we've gotten this one only twice this season)
NCAA Best Bets (3-9-0)
NFL Best Bets (2-3-1)

Marc Lawrence's Playbook NCAA
5* (6-5-2)
4* (8-5-0)
3* (10-3-0)
Upset pick (9-6-0)
Betcha Didn't Know (9-5-0)
Awesome Angle (8-8-1)
Incredible Stat (5-9-0)

Marc Lawrence's Playbook NFL
5* (5-10-0)
4* (11-4-0)
3* (10-5-0)

Pointwise NCAA
1* (14-12-1)
2* (6-8-0)
3* (7-7-0)
4* (13-12-1)
5* (14-13-0)

Pointwise NFL
3* (10-5-0)
4* (17-13-0)
5* (19-10-1)

Power Sweep NCAA
4* (6-7-0)
3* (16-11-0)
2* (20-8-1)
Underdog Play of the Week (6-7-0)
Tech Play of the Week (3-5-0)
Revenge Play of the Week (5-5-1)
Situational Play of the Week (6-4-0)
Series Play of the Week (8-4-0)

Power Sweep NFL
4* (7-8-0)
3* (8-7-0)
2* (7-8-0)
4* Pro Angle (3-6-0)
3* o/u play (5-10-0)

Powers' Picks NCAA
3* (17-6-1)
2* (14-27-1)
1* (0-0-0)

Powers' Picks NFL
4* (0-0-0)
3* (9-6-1)
2* (19-18-0)
1* (0-0-0)

Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NCAA Best Bets (24-28-1)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NFL Best Bets (20-12-0)

Red Sheet (nothing this week)
90* (0-0-0)
89* (20-8-0)
88* (28-26-2)

Winning Points (0-2 in the NFL this week)
NCAA 4* (6-7-0)
NCAA 3* (5-8-0)
NFL 4* (6-8-0)
NFL 3* (8-5-1)

Killer Sports, not including teasers (not publishing this season)
SBB 4.5* (0-0-0)
SBB 4* (0-0-0)
Cajun NCAA (0-0-0)
Pick 60 Play of the Week (0-0-0)

Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
5* (0-1-0)
3* (7-16-0)
2* (14-8-0)
Team Total of the Week (8-7-0)

Power Plays
NCAA 4.5* (25-11-0)
NCAA 4* (32-32-1)
NFL 4* (7-8-0)

Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (29-42-1)
NFL Key Releases (27-17-1)

ITPB (nothing this week)
NCAA (28-30-0)
NFL (9-9-0)

Kenny White
NCAA (34-21-0)
NFL (13-13-0)
 
Joined
Oct 26, 2013
Messages
4
Tokens
Aloha Buzz and all,
I've been a little busy with work and holiday stuff, this is the first time I'm checking in for a while.
Is the Newsletter forum done for the season?
I don't say it enough, but I do appreciate everyone's work and contributions that keep this forum going.
Aloha
Beav
 

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
25,077
Tokens
Aloha Buzz and all,
I've been a little busy with work and holiday stuff, this is the first time I'm checking in for a while.
Is the Newsletter forum done for the season?
I don't say it enough, but I do appreciate everyone's work and contributions that keep this forum going.
Aloha
Beav

Merry Christmas Beav and all the thread visitors!

The newsletter forum goes on all year but most of the newsletters show up during the football season.

Have a great day.
 

Member
Joined
Feb 22, 2008
Messages
305
Tokens
Newsletter Tracking (through 12/21/2021) from Mendoza Line

***Updates for NFL records only for the rest of the season***

Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.

Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.

CKO (we've gotten this one only twice this season)
11* (0-3-0)
10* (4-6-0)
o/u (1-1-0)

Gridiron Gold Sheet (we've gotten this one only twice this season)
NCAA Best Bets (3-9-0)
NFL Best Bets (2-3-1)

Marc Lawrence's Playbook NCAA
5* (6-5-2)
4* (8-5-0)
3* (10-3-0)
Upset pick (9-6-0)
Betcha Didn't Know (9-5-0)
Awesome Angle (8-8-1)
Incredible Stat (5-9-0)

Marc Lawrence's Playbook NFL
5* (5-10-0)
4* (11-4-0)
3* (10-5-0)

Pointwise NCAA
1* (14-12-1)
2* (6-8-0)
3* (7-7-0)
4* (13-12-1)
5* (14-13-0)

Pointwise NFL
3* (10-5-0)
4* (17-13-0)
5* (19-10-1)

Power Sweep NCAA
4* (6-7-0)
3* (16-11-0)
2* (20-8-1)
Underdog Play of the Week (6-7-0)
Tech Play of the Week (3-5-0)
Revenge Play of the Week (5-5-1)
Situational Play of the Week (6-4-0)
Series Play of the Week (8-4-0)

Power Sweep NFL
4* (7-8-0)
3* (8-7-0)
2* (7-8-0)
4* Pro Angle (3-6-0)
3* o/u play (5-10-0)

Powers' Picks NCAA
3* (17-6-1)
2* (14-27-1)
1* (0-0-0)

Powers' Picks NFL
4* (0-0-0)
3* (9-6-1)
2* (19-18-0)
1* (0-0-0)

Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NCAA Best Bets (24-28-1)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NFL Best Bets (20-12-0)

Red Sheet (nothing this week)
90* (0-0-0)
89* (20-8-0)
88* (28-26-2)

Winning Points (0-2 in the NFL this week)
NCAA 4* (6-7-0)
NCAA 3* (5-8-0)
NFL 4* (6-8-0)
NFL 3* (8-5-1)

Killer Sports, not including teasers (not publishing this season)
SBB 4.5* (0-0-0)
SBB 4* (0-0-0)
Cajun NCAA (0-0-0)
Pick 60 Play of the Week (0-0-0)

Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
5* (0-1-0)
3* (7-16-0)
2* (14-8-0)
Team Total of the Week (8-7-0)

Power Plays
NCAA 4.5* (25-11-0)
NCAA 4* (32-32-1)
NFL 4* (7-8-0)

Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (29-42-1)
NFL Key Releases (27-17-1)

ITPB (nothing this week)
NCAA (28-30-0)
NFL (9-9-0)

Kenny White
NCAA (34-21-0)
NFL (13-13-0)
 

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
Nov 6, 2012
Messages
25,077
Tokens
Newsletter Tracking (through 12/27/2021) from Mendoza Line

***Updates for NFL records only for the rest of the season***

Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.

Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.

CKO (we've gotten this one only twice this season)
11* (0-3-0)
10* (4-6-0)
o/u (1-1-0)

Gridiron Gold Sheet (we've gotten this one only twice this season)
NCAA Best Bets (3-9-0)
NFL Best Bets (2-3-1)

Marc Lawrence's Playbook NCAA
5* (6-5-2)
4* (8-5-0)
3* (10-3-0)
Upset pick (9-6-0)
Betcha Didn't Know (9-5-0)
Awesome Angle (8-8-1)
Incredible Stat (5-9-0)

Marc Lawrence's Playbook NFL
5* (6-10-0)
4* (12-4-0)
3* (10-6-0)

Pointwise NCAA
1* (14-12-1)
2* (6-8-0)
3* (7-7-0)
4* (13-12-1)
5* (14-13-0)

Pointwise NFL
3* (10-6-0)
4* (19-13-0)
5* (20-11-1)

Power Sweep NCAA
4* (6-7-0)
3* (16-11-0)
2* (20-8-1)
Underdog Play of the Week (6-7-0)
Tech Play of the Week (3-5-0)
Revenge Play of the Week (5-5-1)
Situational Play of the Week (6-4-0)
Series Play of the Week (8-4-0)

Power Sweep NFL (1-4 overall this week)
4* (7-9-0)
3* (8-8-0)
2* (8-8-0)
4* Pro Angle (3-7-0)
3* o/u play (5-11-0)

Powers' Picks NCAA
3* (17-6-1)
2* (14-27-1)
1* (0-0-0)

Powers' Picks NFL
4* (0-0-0)
3* (9-7-1)
2* (21-19-0)
1* (0-0-0)

Sports Reporter (didn't see this one this week)
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NCAA Best Bets (24-28-1)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NFL Best Bets (20-12-0)

Red Sheet (nothing this week)
90* (0-0-0)
89* (20-8-0)
88* (28-26-2)

Winning Points (nothing this week)
NCAA 4* (6-7-0)
NCAA 3* (5-8-0)
NFL 4* (6-8-0)
NFL 3* (8-5-1)

Killer Sports, not including teasers (not publishing this season)
SBB 4.5* (0-0-0)
SBB 4* (0-0-0)
Cajun NCAA (0-0-0)
Pick 60 Play of the Week (0-0-0)

Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
5* (0-1-0)
3* (9-16-0)
2* (15-8-0)
Team Total of the Week (8-8-0)

Power Plays
NCAA 4.5* (25-11-0)
NCAA 4* (32-32-1)
NFL 4* (7-9-0)

Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (29-42-1)
NFL Key Releases (29-18-1)

ITPB
NCAA (28-30-0)
NFL (11-9-0)

Kenny White
NCAA (34-21-0)
NFL (14-14-0)
 

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