Lets spark up a discussion on Ari/Hou. Right now its a no play for me unless the market open more value for the DBacks. Even though Max Scherzer has had some rough outing my valuation on him is pretty high and respective. On the other hand for Brian Moehler I'm pretty bearish on him, still with the line up differences i give Scherzer the upper hand in this match up.
GG, BG, alldogs please chip in on this.
I'm looking at it right now. Moehler is 2-6 with a 6.44 ERA in 11 home starts this year. He's faced Az already and didn't have a quality start and took the loss.
Sherzer on the other hand has faced Houston in a relief (debut) appearance for 4.33 innings pitching perfect and striking out 7. In August and September he's increased his So/BB ratio in limited two season action.
Houston is a team that has struck out a lot over the year and facing a power SO pitcher may be a good spot to play them. They are 15th in the league in SO.
Arizona hasn't had many ab's vs Moehler, however at the small percentage they do hit or expected lineup average will be 330 or above. On the opposite side the Astros have had 12 ab's and no hits vs Sherzer.
Home Plate Umpire: 16 -9 in favor of Home team with an over/under value 13-11. Over/Under opened at 8.5 and staying right there.