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so is this a Buy points deal ?? since the line got hit this morning and it's been hanging at +1 at most shops ..

It must be but it makes no sense. If the line was 2.5 surely he would buy to 3-3.5 Buying from 1-2.5 rarely has impact. But, knowing the things Mogley has said for sure if he was buying points he would go to 3 unless you couldn't. In which case why bother at such a meaningless number?
 

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Yes buy to +2.5 No road team has yet won on Thursday this year, Eagles just might squeak out the win, but not by a full score
 

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Just sort of a random thought to throw out there, but I don't really see the point playing a dog ATS when the line is below +3

If the Giants are +2.5, I'd just go for Giants ML. Sure, they could lose by 1-2 points (like last week), but you're likely going to be missing out on value if you win this bet; they will have likely won the game if they cover.

Conversely, I don't see the point of buying a favorite on the ML if the spread is below -3.

If the Eagles are -2.5, go ahead and pick them ATS. Why would anyone pick Eagles ML in this situation? Are they going to win by exactly 1-2 points? Maybe they do, but it again seems like if you win with Eagles ML, you are probably missing value.


Just my $.02
 

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If philly wins by 2 mog gonna be god of therx
 

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Hey Mog.. how you doing Pal...So we going with NY tonight...Im in.. Want to see Ely win one anyway! JR
 

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I did a little shopping and got the Giants at +2 with out having to pay for it. So I got +2 -110 at Peppermill Reno. Which is still available via app which any can get on if you are in Nevada. Good luck every one.
 

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William Hill app also has it hat +2 right now, which I know a lot of you guys have in Vegas. Don't think this +2 will last, and they let you buy points.
 

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Just put a little more on +2.5 -120 at William Hill Nevada
 

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My main out is now 2.5 @ -105 both sides.
 

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Just saw this thread. Great stuff mogley. Good luck with your mancave. A guy in my hometown opened an axe throwing bar. It's so crowded ,you have to make a reservation now.
 

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Just saw this thread. Great stuff mogley. Good luck with your mancave. A guy in my hometown opened an axe throwing bar. It's so crowded ,you have to make a reservation now.

Thanks for the vote of confidence on mancave. Hope nobody starts one before Superbowl wknd and it will be Vegas' first axe throwing bar / cigar lounge.
 

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Strongest play today is the Broncos, who will likely win outright. Rams are not efficient at stopping the rush. Hawks ran all over them and the Broncos fare well on the run. This is the first time Goff is playing in Mile High. NFLTrends brought to my attention that there is a 70% chance of snow with a high of 27. Goff is not a cold weather qb, coming from California college team. Goff and the Rams offense will under-perform. Keenum is due for better game, Von Miller and Broncos D will deliver. They virtually beat the best team KC and will redeem themselves with a win here. Rams pushed against Vikings, barely beat the Hawks not covering and are inching towards an outright loss. Take the points for a comfortable cover.

Jaguars ML, Panthers ML, Browns ML, Texans -9.5 & Broncos +7.5 (buy points as need be)

Round Robin parlay the above 5 teams in 4s, so that if any 4 bets win, you make a decent profit

Tease all 5 teams @ 7 points from whatever initial line you get
 

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Strongest play today is the Broncos, who will likely win outright. Rams are not efficient at stopping the rush. Hawks ran all over them and the Broncos fare well on the run. This is the first time Goff is playing in Mile High. NFLTrends brought to my attention that there is a 70% chance of snow with a high of 27. Goff is not a cold weather qb, coming from California college team. Goff and the Rams offense will under-perform. Keenum is due for better game, Von Miller and Broncos D will deliver. They virtually beat the best team KC and will redeem themselves with a win here. Rams pushed against Vikings, barely beat the Hawks not covering and are inching towards an outright loss. Take the points for a comfortable cover.

Jaguars ML, Panthers ML, Browns ML, Texans -9.5 & Broncos +7.5 (buy points as need be)

Round Robin parlay the above 5 teams in 4s, so that if any 4 bets win, you make a decent profit

Tease all 5 teams @ 7 points from whatever initial line you get

Thanks man, interesting to hear your thoughts. GL today.
 

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Strongest play today is the Broncos, who will likely win outright. Rams are not efficient at stopping the rush. Hawks ran all over them and the Broncos fare well on the run. This is the first time Goff is playing in Mile High. NFLTrends brought to my attention that there is a 70% chance of snow with a high of 27. Goff is not a cold weather qb, coming from California college team. Goff and the Rams offense will under-perform. Keenum is due for better game, Von Miller and Broncos D will deliver. They virtually beat the best team KC and will redeem themselves with a win here. Rams pushed against Vikings, barely beat the Hawks not covering and are inching towards an outright loss. Take the points for a comfortable cover.

Nice hit with the broncos!

Anything for tonight?
 

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2 team Teaser Texans +10.5 Bills +14

3 unders: Bengals u 58 Saints u 50 Panthers u 45.5
 
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Not being a dick or muush just curious why Mowgli is now name instead of Mogley, is same awesome capper or forum error or ghost or im getting old and missed something.
 

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Not being a dick or muush just curious why Mowgli is now name instead of Mogley, is same awesome capper or forum error or ghost or im getting old and missed something.

It was brought to my attention by posters that I mis-spelt the reference to Jungle Book character mowgli, so BAS fixed for me
 

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