2015 NCAA Football Systems

[1osubucks]

tide you gong to the pitt game? i was on the fence then a friend who lives in town posted a picture of the ribs she was eating today from the rib fest and she pushed me over the fence. went on line tonight @ pitt site and i think it was section 107 or 117 some decent seats were available for only $25.. figured may even get better seats saturday morning at the stadium.. I think I am about 75% leaning to go now.. i dont like going to games anymore, rather watch on TV but would like to see these two coaches on the side line. I think YSU will be decent w/in their division but I think Pitt will surprise quite a few. They have a few really good ball players and they will be coached very well..

 

[alkimyst]

Great thread.

 

[HawkerJimbo73]

Thanks for all this effort rt. Great stuff

 

[rolltide]

tide you gong to the pitt game? i was on the fence then a friend who lives in town posted a picture of the ribs she was eating today from the rib fest and she pushed me over the fence. went on line tonight @ pitt site and i think it was section 107 or 117 some decent seats were available for only $25.. figured may even get better seats saturday morning at the stadium.. I think I am about 75% leaning to go now.. i dont like going to games anymore, rather watch on TV but would like to see these two coaches on the side line. I think YSU will be decent w/in their division but I think Pitt will surprise quite a few. They have a few really good ball players and they will be coached very well..

I have tickets but not sure i can swing it. I am heading to SoCar and GA for a month of R&R next week and I have a contractor coming in to redo my bathrooms and kitchens while away but I have to do the prep work and buy some lighting fixtures, faucets, etc....so probably will have to get that done Saturday afternoon as he comes back Monday to get moving on things. I will email you if I end up going....

too bad i didn't know earlier as I could have gotten you free tix. My Bama friends are on a plane to Dallas and not using their seats for Saturday

sucks that Boyd is out as they really need Voytik/Boyd to click this year. Looking forward to watching Conner. local ROOT did a story on him...damn, that kid looks fantastic...really shed the weight he needed

 

[mudman]

Lots of great info. Thanx and GL this season.

 

[rolltide]

8) ML first two weeks of season play on road team that won 3+ games last year to end the season, had a winning record, and playing a team that was <.500 last year.
week 1- Western Kentucky ML -125 at Vandy, Ohio St ML -500 at Va Tech
week 2- Memphis ML at Kansas

sorry, just noticed i made a mistake here as Va Tech was 7-6, not 6-7, in 2014 so Ohio State ML would not be in consideration (not that anyone is dropping -500 ML's...). my error. so only week 1 fit was Western Kentucky ML. Memphis ML will be applicable next week

 

[Biz]

Tide,

Great stuff, and thanks for posting the SDQL language. Have a great year.

 

[Biz]

You will be very busy. What you will find out is that team "A" fits one system and their opponent, team "B" fits another. The result is a wash. Recency is very important, but so is history. UDub is 0-10-1 ATS vs Oregon and 0-8 ATS vs Arizona State. That is two solid wins every season. If you wager on 100 games, that is a 2% increase in your winnings, which often decided the difference between a winning and losing season. Those records are much stronger than any system you can come up with. If you think that players and coaches arfe not aware of records like that, I strongly suggest that you re-think your position.

You can say that about any game. If you find a reason to play 1 side, I'll find a reason to play the other.

As for your U-Dub example, you can't assume they will not cover until the end of time. Players change, coaches change. If I have a situation, regardless of team, that shows a consistent profit year after year, that is stronger for me than an isolated small sample situation for a specific team.

 

[rolltide]

one to add ... threw this one in with the other 4-stars but the recent success is incredible:

4-star PLAY ON away fav in 2nd of b2b road games vs opponent off a loss as a favorite

AF and rest < 13 and op:FL and p:A and season > 1985
SU: 100-23-0 (12.37, 81.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 81-40-2 (3.87, 66.9%) avg line: -8.5 +6: 95-27-1 (77.9%) -6: 57-62-4 (47.9%) +10: 103-19-1 (84.4%) -10: 43-75-5 (36.4%)

past 24 games:

AF and rest < 13 and op:FL and p:A and date > 20081030
SU: 23-1-0 (20.46, 95.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 22-2-0 (12.27, 91.7%) avg line: -8.2 +6: 23-1-0 (95.8%) -6: 17-7-0 (70.8%) +10: 23-1-0 (95.8%) -10: 17-7-0 (70.8%)

 

[1osubucks]

I have tickets but not sure i can swing it. I am heading to SoCar and GA for a month of R&R next week and I have a contractor coming in to redo my bathrooms and kitchens while away but I have to do the prep work and buy some lighting fixtures, faucets, etc....so probably will have to get that done Saturday afternoon as he comes back Monday to get moving on things. I will email you if I end up going....

too bad i didn't know earlier as I could have gotten you free tix. My Bama friends are on a plane to Dallas and not using their seats for Saturday

sucks that Boyd is out as they really need Voytik/Boyd to click this year. Looking forward to watching Conner. local ROOT did a story on him...damn, that kid looks fantastic...really shed the weight he needed

i did not make the game, father is having some health issues and I could not get away. i did listen to the game on the radio. I was impressed with a little from both teams. I am sure you enjoyed the Bama dominance last night, just physically took it to wisky.. not a bad weekend, played NW and purdue today.. thinking VT plus the points tomorrow night possibly.. enjoy your R&R

 

[amarp21]

tide are posting on this thread ??

 

[rolltide]

1-star PLAY ON small dog, home or away, with decent defense not in big blowout game last week (on PITT, on C MICH)

-34 < p:margin < 34 and D and 3 < line < 10 and tA(o:rushing yards) < 117.25 and tA(oassing yards) < 349 and game type = RS and site != neutral
SU: 176-229-0 (-3.07, 43.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 254-140-11 (3.09, 64.5%) avg line: 6.2 +6: 302-100-3 (75.1%) -6: 174-227-4 (43.4%) +10: 323-80-2 (80.1%) -10: 128-273-4 (31.9%) O/U: 184-213-8 (-0.88, 46.3%) avg total: 50.2 +6: 122-280-3 (30.3%) -6: 248-154-3 (61.7%) +10: 96-308-1 (23.8%) -10: 293-108-4 (73.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.2 136.6 30.5 17.6 208.2 1.8 5.0 6.6 5.1 6.2 23.1 Opp 37.1 153.7 32.2 19.0 227.2 1.9 5.7 7.6 5.5 7.0 26.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 PIT IOWA away 5.5 50.5 Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 CMCH SYR away 7.0 46.0

2-star PLAY ON >=19 home fav with normal rest off a loss by >=19 (on MTSU)

p:margin <= -19 and HF and line <= -19 and 13 > rest > 5
SU: 247-8-1 (30.36, 96.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 158-94-4 (3.78, 62.7%) avg line: -26.6 +6: 185-66-5 (73.7%) -6: 110-144-2 (43.3%) +10: 209-47-0 (81.6%) -10: 82-171-3 (32.4%) O/U: 41-48-0 (-0.43, 46.1%) avg total: 56.2 +6: 31-58-0 (34.8%) -6: 50-37-2 (57.5%) +10: 23-66-0 (25.8%) -10: 68-20-1 (77.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.6 248.1 28.1 18.5 242.6 1.4 11.6 14.5 9.6 7.8 43.5 Opp 35.2 106.6 29.2 15.7 165.1 2.0 2.1 3.8 2.5 3.9 13.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 MTEN CHAR home -19.0 60.0 2-star PLAY ON high scoring away teams within 3.5 of pk vs non-elite defensive home team (if they stay +/-3.5 would be PLAY ON Florida, GT, MEM, Buffalo, and So Miss) tA(points) >= 30.75 and -4 < line < 4 and A and season > 2011 and otA(ooints) > 14 SU: 125-63-0 (4.71, 66.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 131-54-3 (4.79, 70.8%) avg line: 0.1 +6: 148-40-0 (78.7%) -6: 86-96-6 (47.3%) +10: 154-32-2 (82.8%) -10: 66-119-3 (35.7%) O/U: 94-89-5 (0.83, 51.4%) avg total: 59.5 +6: 76-109-3 (41.1%) -6: 114-72-2 (61.3%) +10: 59-128-1 (31.6%) -10: 133-53-2 (71.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.7 187.3 32.3 19.8 238.7 1.5 6.6 8.9 7.4 8.4 32.5 Opp 39.7 164.2 36.6 21.5 252.8 2.0 5.9 8.0 5.5 7.6 27.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 MEM BOWL away -3.0 77.5 Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 BUF FATL away 1.0 63.5 Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 FLA KTKY away -3.0 54.0 Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 GTCH NOTD away -2.5 55.0 Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 SMIS TXST away 3.0 64.5

2-star UNDER opponent off dominant yards differential game and team off great defensive game (NW under, OSU under, STAN under)

(po:rushing yards + poassing yards) < 186 and (op:rushing yards + opassing yards) - (opo:rushing yards + opoassing yards) > 221
SU: 49-55-0 (-0.74, 47.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 47-54-3 (0.03, 46.5%) avg line: 0.8 +6: 69-32-3 (68.3%) -6: 36-68-0 (34.6%) +10: 78-25-1 (75.7%) -10: 26-78-0 (25.0%) O/U: 32-68-4 (-3.93, 32.0%) avg total: 52.3 +6: 25-79-0 (24.0%) -6: 57-43-4 (57.0%) +10: 14-88-2 (13.7%) -10: 65-38-1 (63.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.9 133.2 31.5 18.1 219.3 1.7 5.3 7.6 5.6 5.0 23.8 Opp 37.1 144.0 32.7 19.0 226.9 1.9 5.5 6.6 5.8 6.3 24.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 NORW DUKE away 3.5 49.0 Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 OHST NIL home -34.5 66.5 Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 STAN USC away 10.0 51.5

3-star OPPOSE 20+ dogs that were just 20+ favorites (on OSU, on MINN)

p:line < -19.5 and line > 19.5 and p:W and division = 1A
SU: 5-67-0 (-25.58, 6.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 26-44-2 (-0.55, 37.1%) avg line: 25.0 +6: 44-27-1 (62.0%) -6: 22-50-0 (30.6%) +10: 54-17-1 (76.1%) -10: 15-55-2 (21.4%) O/U: 16-16-2 (0.63, 50.0%) avg total: 59.2 +6: 10-24-0 (29.4%) -6: 20-13-1 (60.6%) +10: 7-26-1 (21.2%) -10: 28-6-0 (82.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.2 118.5 34.9 19.7 207.3 2.0 4.1 4.4 3.7 5.6 16.6 Opp 42.0 222.1 30.8 20.8 268.7 1.6 10.8 12.2 9.1 10.5 42.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 KEST MIN away 23.0 47.5 Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 NIL OHST away 34.5 66.5

3-star UNDER high total with home team off b2b good defense vs opponent off good offense. (BYU under, MIAFL under)

pooints + ppooints < 22 and H and opoints > 26 and total >= 52
SU: 66-22-0 (13.19, 75.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 45-40-3 (0.48, 52.9%) avg line: -12.7 +6: 58-30-0 (65.9%) -6: 29-56-3 (34.1%) +10: 66-20-2 (76.7%) -10: 24-63-1 (27.6%) O/U: 27-58-3 (-3.85, 31.8%) avg total: 59.0 +6: 18-70-0 (20.5%) -6: 42-45-1 (48.3%) +10: 15-73-0 (17.0%) -10: 51-37-0 (58.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.5 194.7 31.7 20.1 256.5 1.9 7.4 10.4 8.1 7.8 34.2 Opp 36.9 134.7 32.3 18.1 214.9 1.9 4.0 6.4 4.3 5.9 21.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 MIAF NEB home -3.5 57.5 Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 UCLA BYU home -16.0 60.0

3-star UNDER after terrible defense vs opponent off dominant yards differential game (La Tech UNDER)

538 < (po:rushing yards + poassing yards) and (op:rushing yards + opassing yards) - (opo:rushing yards + opoassing yards) > 201 and total <= 62
SU: 21-49-0 (-11.30, 30.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 42-26-2 (4.66, 61.8%) avg line: 16.0 +6: 55-15-0 (78.6%) -6: 30-39-1 (43.5%) +10: 62-8-0 (88.6%) -10: 23-47-0 (32.9%) O/U: 15-54-1 (-8.29, 21.7%) avg total: 54.4 +6: 9-59-2 (13.2%) -6: 25-41-4 (37.9%) +10: 4-65-1 (5.8%) -10: 36-34-0 (51.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.0 109.3 31.2 17.3 189.9 1.8 2.9 5.5 3.6 5.2 17.4 Opp 38.9 172.2 30.6 18.9 233.5 1.9 7.1 8.1 7.8 5.6 28.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 LTCH KAST away 9.5 51.0

3-star OVER dog that is >6 point bigger dog than last week where they had a rushing TD (Tulsa OVER, BYU over, Oregon OVER)

D and p and line > p:line + 6 and rest < 8 and season > 2012 and p:rushing touchdowns > 0
SU: 7-89-0 (-24.32, 7.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 41-54-1 (-1.18, 43.2%) avg line: 23.1 +6: 57-38-1 (60.0%) -6: 33-63-0 (34.4%) +10: 65-29-2 (69.1%) -10: 23-73-0 (24.0%) O/U: 73-22-1 (8.03, 76.8%) avg total: 59.4 +6: 51-42-3 (54.8%) -6: 80-15-1 (84.2%) +10: 40-55-1 (42.1%) -10: 85-10-1 (89.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.6 136.0 34.2 18.4 212.0 1.7 4.0 6.4 4.8 6.3 21.6 Opp 41.4 242.4 30.5 20.3 283.8 1.4 12.3 13.2 11.2 9.2 45.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 TLS OKLA away 30.5 71.5 Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 GAST ORE away 45.5 71.5 Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 BYU UCLA away 16.0 60.0

4-star UNDER non power 5 conference off away dog win as DD dog (EMU UNDER)

SU: 50-42-0 (2.12, 54.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 47-43-2 (1.62, 52.2%) avg line: -0.5 +6: 66-26-0 (71.7%) -6: 30-61-1 (33.0%) +10: 70-20-2 (77.8%) -10: 24-67-1 (26.4%) O/U: 25-65-2 (-3.51, 27.8%) avg total: 53.5 +6: 20-72-0 (21.7%) -6: 46-46-0 (50.0%) +10: 15-76-1 (16.5%) -10: 63-26-3 (70.8%)

Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.9 144.2 32.1 19.0 226.0 1.5 5.3 7.4 7.1 6.3 26.1 Opp 36.9 158.9 32.8 18.8 224.6 2.0 6.1 6.0 5.2 6.5 23.9

Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 EMCH BALL home 6.0 64.0

4-star PLAY ON home fav after 4TD+ home fav win scoring 52+ vs opponent beaten by 15+ (on aTm)

points >= 52 and HF and p:HF and line > -35 and p:margin >= 28 and op:margin <= -15
SU: 67-2-0 (26.26, 97.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 52-17-0 (7.22, 75.4%) avg line: -19.0 +6: 58-11-0 (84.1%) -6: 32-33-4 (49.2%) +10: 63-6-0 (91.3%) -10: 26-41-2 (38.8%) O/U: 18-12-0 (4.35, 60.0%) avg total: 60.6 +6: 12-18-0 (40.0%) -6: 22-7-1 (75.9%) +10: 9-18-3 (33.3%) -10: 26-3-1 (89.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.6 200.1 31.1 21.6 308.3 1.8 11.4 14.4 11.3 9.2 43.3 Opp 36.5 129.6 34.0 18.2 202.2 1.6 4.1 5.2 4.2 5.2 17.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 TXAM NEV home -34.0 67.0

4-star OPPOSE team that allowed <3 yards per carry in heavy opponent rush game but still gave up 20+ points as long as they aren't coming off blowout loss (on UCONN, on AIR FORCE)

po:rushes > 41 and po:rushing yards < 124 and pooints > 19 and game type = RS and p:margin > -25 SU: 45-60-0 (-3.30, 42.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 34-68-1 (-4.86, 33.3%) avg line: -1.0 +6: 47-54-2 (46.5%) -6: 25-77-1 (24.5%) +10: 63-39-1 (61.8%) -10: 20-81-2 (19.8%) O/U: 55-45-1 (0.59, 55.0%) avg total: 53.4 +6: 39-62-0 (38.6%) -6: 66-33-2 (66.7%) +10: 30-70-1 (30.0%) -10: 74-26-1 (74.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.9 144.5 33.0 19.6 227.1 1.8 6.3 7.1 5.5 6.2 25.2 Opp 38.9 158.3 30.7 18.3 220.6 1.6 6.4 8.8 6.0 7.1 28.5 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 MCST AIR home -26.5 Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 MIZ CON home -21.5

5-star OPPOSE conference teams that can't run vs opponent with good run defense that did not allow a rushing TD last week. (on USCw)

3.51 > tS(rushing yards) / tS(rushes) > 2.87 and C and 2.91 < otS(o:rushing yards) / oS(o:rushes) < 3.55 and season > 2009 and opo:rushing touchdowns = 0
SU: 3-32-0 (-16.80, 8.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 3-31-1 (-8.03, 8.8%) avg line: 8.8 +6: 15-18-2 (45.5%) -6: 2-33-0 (5.7%) +10: 19-16-0 (54.3%) -10: 2-33-0 (5.7%) O/U: 16-18-1 (-0.19, 47.1%) avg total: 52.0 +6: 12-23-0 (34.3%) -6: 24-11-0 (68.6%) +10: 7-28-0 (20.0%) -10: 27-8-0 (77.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 32.1 94.6 37.7 21.5 224.1 2.5 2.7 4.5 4.3 5.9 17.5 Opp 40.3 168.1 29.5 18.8 246.9 1.5 8.2 9.3 7.8 8.8 34.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 STAN USC away 10.0 51.5

5-star PLAY ON away fav in 2nd of b2b away games on regular rest vs opponent off fav loss (on UTEP)

AF and rest < 13 and op:FL and p:A and date > 20081030
SU: 23-1-0 (20.46, 95.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 22-2-0 (12.27, 91.7%) avg line: -8.2 +6: 23-1-0 (95.8%) -6: 17-7-0 (70.8%) +10: 23-1-0 (95.8%) -10: 17-7-0 (70.8%) O/U: 9-15-0 (-0.75, 37.5%) avg total: 55.4 +6: 7-16-1 (30.4%) -6: 15-9-0 (62.5%) +10: 6-18-0 (25.0%) -10: 17-7-0 (70.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 47.0 244.9 26.5 16.6 227.7 1.4 8.2 11.8 9.1 8.5 37.5 Opp 32.9 126.5 34.2 17.5 190.0 2.0 4.1 5.6 3.8 3.5 17.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 UTEP NMST away -2.5 63.5

others:

weeks 2 and 3 play on small dogs in non conference game off a home win if opponent is off a home fav win by >3 (on C MICH, on TEXAS, on PURDUE)

D and 4.5 < line < 10 and week < 4 and p:HW and op:HFW and not C and op:margin > 3
SU: 21-34-0 (-3.80, 38.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 40-14-1 (3.51, 74.1%) avg line: 7.3 +6: 43-12-0 (78.2%) -6: 24-31-0 (43.6%) +10: 45-10-0 (81.8%) -10: 14-40-1 (25.9%) O/U: 20-16-1 (2.42, 55.6%) avg total: 53.2 +6: 16-20-1 (44.4%) -6: 28-9-0 (75.7%) +10: 14-23-0 (37.8%) -10: 30-7-0 (81.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.1 148.5 36.1 21.2 231.6 1.8 6.6 6.7 5.2 6.5 24.1 Opp 37.4 145.1 35.1 20.9 262.4 1.9 6.5 8.3 6.4 7.1 27.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 PUR VTCH home 6.0 48.0 Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 CMCH SYR away 7.0 46.0 Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 TEX CAL home 6.5 60.5

under Kelly play ND games UNDER if dog or small fav (ND/GT under)

team = NOTD and season > 2009 and line > -14.5 and site != neutral SU: 23-16-0 (2.67, 59.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 17-20-2 (0.32, 45.9%) avg line: -2.3 +6: 23-15-1 (60.5%) -6: 11-27-1 (28.9%) +10: 31-8-0 (79.5%) -10: 8-31-0 (20.5%) O/U: 7-29-3 (-7.31, 19.4%) avg total: 51.7 +6: 6-33-0 (15.4%) -6: 16-23-0 (41.0%) +10: 4-35-0 (10.3%) -10: 22-16-1 (57.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 32.3 137.8 35.2 19.8 240.3 1.9 6.5 5.1 6.2 5.5 23.5 Opp 35.6 130.3 34.1 20.7 217.6 1.4 5.5 5.8 3.5 5.8 20.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 19, 2015 Saturday 3 2015 NOTD GTCH home 2.5 55.0

 

[rolltide]

7) play on 1H line with elite team from last year (80%+) that won at least final 5 games of the season in first 4 weeks of new season when playing a home game. This year's fits would be:
week 1- WON Boise St 1H -7 vs Wash
week 2- LOST Ohio St 1H vs Hawaii, WON TCU 1H vs SFan
week 3- Boise St 1H vs Idaho St, TCU 1H vs SMU, Ohio St 1H vs NoIll
week 4- Ohio St 1H vs W Mich

Boise, TCU, OSU this week ... 1h plays

 

[rolltide]

week 3 by category
1star: 2-0
2star: 1-0
3star: 7-6-1
4star: 3-1
5star: 1-1
other: 3-1
1half: 1-2

running week 4 now

 

[rolltide]

1-star UNDER dog or small fav with elite defense YTD and allowing <18 last 2 weeks (OkSt/Texas under)

A and pooints <= 17 and ppooints <= 17 and tA(ooints) <= 17 and otA(ooints) > 6.8 and line > -3.5
SU: 270-501-11 (-5.87, 35.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 408-361-13 (0.56, 53.1%) avg line: 6.4 +6: 535-231-16 (69.8%) -6: 260-508-14 (33.9%) +10: 594-181-7 (76.6%) -10: 188-581-13 (24.4%) O/U: 76-111-2 (-2.31, 40.6%) avg total: 48.2 +6: 49-139-1 (26.1%) -6: 104-82-3 (55.9%) +10: 38-150-1 (20.2%) -10: 128-60-1 (68.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.5 130.1 29.9 16.8 198.8 1.8 4.3 6.3 4.9 5.6 19.2 Opp 36.6 143.6 31.5 18.9 223.3 1.9 5.6 7.1 5.5 6.1 25.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 OKST TEX away -3.0 61.0

1-star PLAY ON good rushing teams off great rushing defense game vs bad rush defense opponent that allowed rushing TD last game (on Missouri, on Washington)

opo:rushing touchdowns > 0 and season > 2007 and C and p:margin > -4 and tS(rushing yards) / tS(rushes) < 4.46 and oS(o:rushing yards) / oS(o:rushes) >= 4.10 and po:rushing yards < 89
SU: 163-79-0 (8.30, 67.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 145-94-2 (3.55, 60.7%) avg line: -4.6 +6: 181-56-4 (76.4%) -6: 105-130-6 (44.7%) +10: 199-37-5 (84.3%) -10: 77-161-3 (32.4%) O/U: 117-120-4 (-0.34, 49.4%) avg total: 54.4 +6: 78-161-2 (32.6%) -6: 156-83-2 (65.3%) +10: 58-180-3 (24.4%) -10: 175-60-6 (74.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.6 167.4 31.2 19.2 237.2 1.5 7.4 9.0 7.1 7.3 31.2 Opp 35.1 133.5 34.3 19.6 223.2 2.0 4.5 6.5 5.3 6.4 22.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 MIZ KTKY away 3.0 43.5 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 WAS CAL home 4.5 61.0

1-star PLAY ON small dog, home or away, with decent defense not in big blowout game last week (on Duke, on Washington)

-34 < p:margin < 34 and D and 3 < line < 10 and tA(o:rushing yards) < 117.25 and tA(oassing yards) < 349 and game type = RS and site != neutral
SU: 176-232-0 (-3.13, 43.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 256-141-11 (3.04, 64.5%) avg line: 6.2 +6: 304-101-3 (75.1%) -6: 174-230-4 (43.1%) +10: 325-81-2 (80.0%) -10: 128-276-4 (31.7%) O/U: 186-214-8 (-0.87, 46.5%) avg total: 50.2 +6: 123-282-3 (30.4%) -6: 250-155-3 (61.7%) +10: 96-310-2 (23.6%) -10: 295-109-4 (73.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.1 136.0 30.6 17.7 208.9 1.8 4.9 6.6 5.1 6.1 23.1 Opp 37.0 154.1 32.2 19.0 226.9 1.8 5.7 7.7 5.5 7.0 26.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 DUKE GTCH home 8.5 59.0 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 WAS CAL home 4.5 61.0

1-star OPPOSE 20+ dogs that were just 20+ favorites (on Wisc, Ohio St, Ole Miss, Bama)

p:line < -19.5 and line > 19.5 and p:W and division = 1A
SU: 5-69-0 (-25.03, 6.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 28-44-2 (0.10, 38.9%) avg line: 25.1 +6: 46-27-1 (63.0%) -6: 24-50-0 (32.4%) +10: 56-17-1 (76.7%) -10: 17-55-2 (23.6%) O/U: 16-18-2 (-1.18, 47.1%) avg total: 59.1 +6: 10-26-0 (27.8%) -6: 20-15-1 (57.1%) +10: 7-28-1 (20.0%) -10: 28-8-0 (77.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 33.4 117.2 34.6 19.3 199.9 2.0 4.1 4.2 3.7 5.4 16.5 Opp 41.9 217.3 30.7 20.6 262.8 1.7 10.4 11.9 8.9 9.9 41.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 LMON ALA away 38.0 55.0 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 VAN MIS away 24.5 55.5 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 WMCH OHST away 31.5 58.5 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 HAW WIS away 24.5 51.0

2-star PLAY ON high scoring away teams within 3.5 of pk vs non-elite defensive home team (on UCLA, Miss St, Tenn, BGSU, OkSt, Indiana, New Mex)

tA(points) >= 30.75 and -4 < line < 4 and A and season > 2011 and otA(ooints) > 14
SU: 129-64-0 (4.72, 66.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 134-55-4 (4.77, 70.9%) avg line: 0.1 +6: 152-41-0 (78.8%) -6: 88-99-6 (47.1%) +10: 159-32-2 (83.2%) -10: 67-123-3 (35.3%) O/U: 96-92-5 (0.82, 51.1%) avg total: 59.6 +6: 78-112-3 (41.1%) -6: 117-74-2 (61.3%) +10: 60-132-1 (31.2%) -10: 136-55-2 (71.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.8 187.6 32.2 19.7 238.1 1.5 6.6 8.9 7.5 8.4 32.5 Opp 39.6 164.4 36.7 21.6 254.1 2.0 5.9 8.0 5.4 7.6 27.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 UCLA ARZ away -3.5 64.0 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 MSST AUB away 2.0 58.5 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 TEN FLA away 1.5 48.0 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 BOWL PUR away -2.0 75.0 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 OKST TEX away -3.0 61.0 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 IND WAKE away -3.5 56.0 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 NMX WYO away -3.0 56.0

3-star PLAY ON huge fav with extra rest (on Baylor)

HF and line < -21 and rest > 6 and o:division != 1A A and season > 2003 and o:rest != None
SU: 171-2-0 (33.15, 98.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 118-49-6 (4.90, 70.7%) avg line: -28.2 +6: 134-39-0 (77.5%) -6: 88-83-2 (51.5%) +10: 143-29-1 (83.1%) -10: 68-103-2 (39.8%) O/U: 75-59-2 (2.35, 56.0%) avg total: 58.5 +6: 53-82-1 (39.3%) -6: 91-41-4 (68.9%) +10: 38-94-4 (28.8%) -10: 109-26-1 (80.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.9 232.5 29.9 20.1 277.2 1.3 12.4 14.5 12.2 7.9 46.4 Opp 33.6 99.8 31.4 16.8 180.6 2.2 2.1 3.8 4.0 4.0 13.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 BAY RICE home -34.5 76.0

3-star PLAY ON and UNDER big dog after b2b non-covers (on San Diegot State, on Central Florida, SDS/PSU under, UCF/USCe under)

D and line >= 6 and p:ats margin < 0 and pp:ats margin < 0 and total < 46 and rest < 7 SU: 25-100-0 (-10.02, 20.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 82-40-3 (3.71, 67.2%) avg line: 13.7 +6: 98-25-2 (79.7%) -6: 53-71-1 (42.7%) +10: 107-17-1 (86.3%) -10: 36-88-1 (29.0%) O/U: 41-81-3 (-3.66, 33.6%) avg total: 43.2 +6: 27-95-3 (22.1%) -6: 64-60-1 (51.6%) +10: 18-106-1 (14.5%) -10: 85-39-1 (68.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.0 107.7 30.4 16.0 169.8 1.9 2.7 4.7 3.4 3.8 14.7 Opp 39.2 167.4 27.1 15.6 190.1 1.8 6.1 7.1 5.2 6.3 24.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 SDST PNST away 15.0 39.5 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 CFL SCAR away 15.0 45.0

3-star OVER with a dog that is a 6+ bigger dog than last week where they had at least 1 rushing TD (NoTexas over, CMU over, SoMiss over)

D and p and line > p:line + 6 and rest < 8 and season > 2012 and p:rushing touchdowns > 0
SU: 7-92-0 (-24.07, 7.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 44-54-1 (-0.71, 44.9%) avg line: 23.4 +6: 60-38-1 (61.2%) -6: 36-63-0 (36.4%) +10: 68-29-2 (70.1%) -10: 26-73-0 (26.3%) O/U: 75-23-1 (8.04, 76.5%) avg total: 59.7 +6: 53-43-3 (55.2%) -6: 82-16-1 (83.7%) +10: 42-56-1 (42.9%) -10: 87-11-1 (88.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.7 136.4 34.6 18.8 215.6 1.7 4.1 6.5 5.0 6.2 21.8 Opp 41.5 244.1 30.5 20.4 283.5 1.4 12.2 13.2 11.2 9.3 45.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 NTX IOWA away 24.5 51.0 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 CMCH MCST away 26.5 54.0 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 SMIS NEB away 21.5 68.0

 

[rolltide]

4-star PLAY ON low-lined home teams off b2b home wins (on Washington...again, and on Ariz State)

H and pp:HW and p:HW and -2.5 < line < 6.5 and op:margin < 49 and season > 1983
SU: 62-40-1 (2.91, 60.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 70-31-2 (4.45, 69.3%) avg line: 1.5 +6: 83-18-2 (82.2%) -6: 49-52-2 (48.5%) +10: 88-15-0 (85.4%) -10: 31-68-4 (31.3%) O/U: 9-20-0 (-5.74, 31.0%) avg total: 54.8 +6: 8-21-0 (27.6%) -6: 13-16-0 (44.8%) +10: 6-23-0 (20.7%) -10: 16-13-0 (55.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.0 152.7 29.4 18.3 224.8 1.6 6.2 8.6 6.8 5.6 25.6 Opp 35.7 144.2 32.0 18.7 233.8 2.0 5.0 5.8 5.2 5.5 22.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 AZST USC home 5.0 62.0 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 WAS CAL home 4.5 61.0

4-star OPPOSE non-conf big dog after an OT loss (on Michigan St)

pvertime > 0 and p:L and line >= 16 and not C
SU: 2-27-0 (-34.45, 6.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 8-21-0 (-7.50, 27.6%) avg line: 26.9 +6: 10-17-2 (37.0%) -6: 5-24-0 (17.2%) +10: 17-12-0 (58.6%) -10: 3-26-0 (10.3%) O/U: 12-6-0 (1.69, 66.7%) avg total: 55.7 +6: 6-12-0 (33.3%) -6: 15-3-0 (83.3%) +10: 3-15-0 (16.7%) -10: 15-3-0 (83.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.4 102.4 29.9 16.4 179.1 2.2 1.7 5.2 2.9 2.7 11.2 Opp 40.1 218.3 29.0 18.5 243.7 1.4 10.3 14.2 11.7 8.7 45.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 CMCH MCST away 26.5 54.0

4-star OPPOSE home fav after close home loss where they scored few points (on Missouri)

HF and p:HL and p:line > -3 and p:margin > -11 and 18 > points > 7
SU: 75-26-1 (7.55, 74.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 32-69-1 (-4.35, 31.7%) avg line: -11.9 +6: 58-44-0 (56.9%) -6: 24-78-0 (23.5%) +10: 69-33-0 (67.6%) -10: 11-89-2 (11.0%) O/U: 10-16-0 (1.38, 38.5%) avg total: 47.9 +6: 9-17-0 (34.6%) -6: 16-10-0 (61.5%) +10: 7-18-1 (28.0%) -10: 19-7-0 (73.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.7 186.7 27.4 16.7 207.5 2.2 5.9 9.0 8.3 6.7 25.8 Opp 35.1 132.1 31.4 16.8 202.0 2.0 3.9 5.6 5.5 5.2 18.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 KTKY MIZ home -3.0 43.5

4-star PLAY ON beaten home team off b2b great defense and at least double revenge. (on Kent St)

pooints + ppooints < 26 and H and opoints > 20 and P:L and PP:L and P:margin + PP:margin < -9 and WP < 100
SU: 88-69-3 (1.54, 56.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 109-49-2 (4.42, 69.0%) avg line: 2.9 +6: 126-32-2 (79.7%) -6: 73-83-4 (46.8%) +10: 137-21-2 (86.7%) -10: 48-111-1 (30.2%) O/U: 16-20-1 (-2.49, 44.4%) avg total: 49.3 +6: 11-26-0 (29.7%) -6: 21-16-0 (56.8%) +10: 7-30-0 (18.9%) -10: 25-12-0 (67.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.1 159.7 28.7 16.2 203.8 1.5 5.4 8.2 5.7 5.3 23.5 Opp 32.5 118.8 38.5 21.6 252.1 2.6 5.2 6.3 4.2 5.7 22.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 KEST MRSH home 7.5

4-star OVER big home favs off a bye week (Houston over, Baylor over, WVU over)

week - p:week = 2 and H and line < -15 and season > 2009
SU: 102-6-0 (27.06, 94.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 60-44-4 (1.69, 57.7%) avg line: -25.4 +6: 72-34-2 (67.9%) -6: 39-65-4 (37.5%) +10: 85-21-2 (80.2%) -10: 33-74-1 (30.8%) O/U: 69-33-2 (2.70, 67.6%) avg total: 58.5 +6: 41-62-1 (39.8%) -6: 78-25-1 (75.7%) +10: 30-71-3 (29.7%) -10: 81-23-0 (77.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 43.7 246.6 30.0 19.8 267.4 1.4 12.1 13.6 10.9 7.5 44.1 Opp 34.2 112.9 32.9 17.9 201.2 2.1 3.6 4.4 4.8 4.2 17.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 BAY RICE home -34.5 76.0 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 HOU TXST home -16.5 71.0 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 WVA MARY home -17.0 60.0

4-star week 4+ play away conference dog or small fav after fav game and div1AA game before that & opponent not off game as conference home dog (on OkSt)

game number > 3 and pp:division != ppo:division and p:F and (op:CHD) = False and AC and line > -3.5 and month < 12
SU: 65-91-1 (-2.95, 41.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 108-40-9 (4.97, 73.0%) avg line: 7.9 +6: 128-28-1 (82.1%) -6: 66-86-5 (43.4%) +10: 138-18-1 (88.5%) -10: 52-103-2 (33.5%) O/U: 40-42-0 (-0.90, 48.8%) avg total: 54.5 +6: 29-49-4 (37.2%) -6: 50-31-1 (61.7%) +10: 20-62-0 (24.4%) -10: 56-24-2 (70.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.5 148.5 31.4 18.7 212.8 1.4 5.8 6.5 6.3 6.9 23.7 Opp 37.2 157.9 34.9 20.8 252.3 1.9 6.5 8.4 6.1 7.0 26.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 OKST TEX away -3.0 61.0

5-star PLAY ON away fav with regular rest vs opponent off fav loss (on Ga Tech)

AF and rest < 13 and op:FL and p:A and date > 20081030
SU: 24-1-0 (19.76, 96.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 23-2-0 (11.82, 92.0%) avg line: -7.9 +6: 24-1-0 (96.0%) -6: 17-8-0 (68.0%) +10: 24-1-0 (96.0%) -10: 17-8-0 (68.0%) O/U: 10-15-0 (0.76, 40.0%) avg total: 55.6 +6: 8-16-1 (33.3%) -6: 16-9-0 (64.0%) +10: 7-18-0 (28.0%) -10: 18-7-0 (72.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 46.9 245.8 26.8 16.9 229.5 1.4 8.2 11.3 9.0 9.3 38.0 Opp 33.0 132.1 33.9 17.4 193.8 2.0 4.4 5.5 4.2 4.0 18.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 GTCH DUKE away -8.5 59.0

others:

oppose Sept SEC huge favs in non-conf game sandwiched b/w conference games (on Southern, on UL Monroe)

conference = SEC and not C and p:C and n:C and month = 9 and line < -30 and season > 1997
SU: 23-0-0 (34.78, 100.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 7-16-0 (-4.61, 30.4%) avg line: -39.4 +6: 9-14-0 (39.1%) -6: 5-18-0 (21.7%) +10: 12-10-1 (54.5%) -10: 4-18-1 (18.2%) O/U: 8-5-1 (1.50, 61.5%) avg total: 56.2 +6: 5-9-0 (35.7%) -6: 10-4-0 (71.4%) +10: 3-11-0 (21.4%) -10: 11-3-0 (78.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.8 214.3 27.3 18.4 272.1 1.9 11.3 14.2 11.2 9.7 45.8 Opp 33.7 95.3 29.3 15.7 136.6 1.7 1.3 4.7 2.1 2.7 11.0

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Sep 26, 2015		Saturday	4	2015	ALA	LMON	home						-38.0	55.0
Sep 26, 2015		Saturday	4	2015	GEO	SOU	home						-54.5

week 4 play on 0-3 or 1-2 big favs that were >.500 last year (on So Carolina, on Rutgers, on Nebraska, on LaTech)

game number = 4 and HF and Average(W@team and season)[team and season -1] > 0.50 and wins < 2 and season > 2000 and line < -4
SU: 73-5-0 (19.86, 93.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 46-27-5 (3.01, 63.0%) avg line: -16.9 +6: 59-19-0 (75.6%) -6: 29-49-0 (37.2%) +10: 63-15-0 (80.8%) -10: 23-54-1 (29.9%) O/U: 27-22-1 (2.15, 55.1%) avg total: 54.7 +6: 21-29-0 (42.0%) -6: 35-14-1 (71.4%) +10: 17-32-1 (34.7%) -10: 37-13-0 (74.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 42.3 223.8 27.3 17.0 227.7 1.4 10.2 11.4 7.2 9.1 37.6 Opp 35.3 122.0 35.2 19.7 226.2 2.4 3.9 6.0 4.0 4.0 17.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 LTCH FINT home -14.5 55.5 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 NEB SMIS home -21.5 68.0 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 RUT KAN home -12.5 65.0 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 SCAR CFL home -15.0 45.0

week 4 PLAY ON 2-1 away teams in 4th game if they are off a loss (on Ga Tech, on BYU, on So Cal, on No Illinois)

game number = 4 and wins = 2 and p:L and A and season > 2010 and date < 20150927
SU: 16-16-0 (1.25, 50.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 23-9-0 (6.42, 71.9%) avg line: 5.2 +6: 29-3-0 (90.6%) -6: 14-17-1 (45.2%) +10: 30-2-0 (93.8%) -10: 12-19-1 (38.7%) O/U: 13-17-2 (-1.39, 43.3%) avg total: 54.3 +6: 11-21-0 (34.4%) -6: 21-10-1 (67.7%) +10: 7-23-2 (23.3%) -10: 25-7-0 (78.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.8 138.8 31.7 19.3 230.6 2.0 7.0 6.6 6.4 6.6 27.1 Opp 39.4 149.6 33.6 20.3 248.5 1.8 4.8 7.5 6.2 6.8 25.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 USC AZST away -5.0 62.0 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 NIL BCOL away 4.0 47.0 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 GTCH DUKE away -8.5 59.0 Sep 26, 2015 Saturday 4 2015 BYU MICH away 5.5 45.0

 

[mudman]

Thanks for sharing all of your hard work, really good stuff!! GL to you

 

[rolltide]

11) from Mark Lawrence ... teams playing conference game in first 4 weeks of season that improved by 100+ yards defensively from previous season and playing a bowl team are 27-5-1 ATS. No play this week but temple vs cincy (9/12) and san jose vs fresno (9/26) qualify this year

from page 1....

reminder that san jose state is active this week in the now 28-5-1 ATS system of playing on teams that dramatically improved on defense last year vs previous year and playing a bowl team

 

[1osubucks]

Mizzu and Washington show up a few times .. Worthy of consideration. TY tide for the posts !

 

[Hammerman15]

hey roll, thanks for all you do. Is there anyway you can see if there are a trend with SEC teams playing non-confrence teams before a bye week?