2010 mlb capping & betting #102 - daily key info plus q&a

[pops69]

Thanks Pops. Extremely helpful. Where do you get your starting lineups again? Statfox was it?

Last year both USAToday & Yahoo posted them, but I can't seem to find them. They were using the actual lineups turned in by the managers and were usually available 1 hour or so before the game.

i really dont care about the starting line up as much as i am about who's out and the HP ump. and those i get very early from sport options in the injuries and notifications, and those are way b4 the official ones that get posted

 

[pops69]

pops just wondering how come you don't track wind direction and speed at all in the master, don't remember seeing it?

i could easily put it in from the source i gave you but that does not equate to and number. much easier to just look it up if you think the other conditions are right

 

[pops69]

So Pops you one a few dollars today?
All on scalps?

you always make money scalping, it's only how much. did make a few coins on my other plays, but that was because they were all plus money bets eg +110 so even with splits you still make a little

 

[IrishTim]

Pops, I'm cooking something up right now. Using Pinnacle's lines, I'm trying to pinpoint when the "best line" is available (in hours before the game), in addition to still running tests on the OL vs. CL (to which I haven't found anything statistically significant ~ 2+ st. deviations).

Have you ever done this kind of analysis?

 

[IrishTim]

MLB Totals, 1999-2009

Also, here is some totals data I pulled recently. Not sure how useful they are by themselves but figured I'd share.

I've been hearing a lot of chatter about overs in April, so I plan to pull the data on those after class and check it out.

Lastly pops, someone mentioned to me that there is a certain dog play - dogs b/w a certain price - that occurs at the end of April that runs for one week. Could you share what the criteria was for that? You have my e-mail if it's sensitive. I plan on passing on that other MLB db when it's all fixed up - should be in the next day or so. Of course, you want the answers but the data is a start.

 

[spesh]

dont know if anyone runs a macro off the PDWS but if you do NOTE that PDWS has all Day games., they are Nite games today...only change i saw so far.

 

[pops69]

dont know if anyone runs a macro off the PDWS but if you do NOTE that PDWS has all Day games., they are Nite games today...only change i saw so far.

yes it does. didnt catch that one. tks

 

[pops69]

largest two public numbers yesterday on o/u

tex over 72%

kc under 60%

phil was up there as well on the over side so that was right on target.. one out of three aint bad

 

[pops69]

doubt i'll have any time for any q&a etc today between scalping and trying to fix the finals macro. mlb.com had a major format change so need to get that up and running fast

 

[JimmyJet]

Monday favorites of -120 or greater on closing line went 9-1 on the ML and 8-2 on the RL. Wonder how that compares to previous years. Might be a good opening day play......

 

[pops69]

Monday favorites of -120 or greater on closing line went 9-1 on the ML and 8-2 on the RL. Wonder how that compares to previous years. Might be a good opening day play......

i have the mlb master for the last two years uploaded on the thread. look and find out

i wouldnt put much stake in that being any sort of a betting option

 

[DollarDay]

Pops - don't want you to give away the "secret sauce", but what books do you normally play out of?

I've got MB, 5d and now Greek (had Wagerstreet but looks like they became part of Greek last night / this am), but are there any i'm missing that i should be at?

Thanks old man.

 

[nsight]

Insite: regarding that park info you posted yesterday, now you need to try and convert those words into specific data or ranges so that you can match up those key variables to actual numbers

words are always good but numbers are mo better

I would love to pops but I don't have time right now, i'm working 6 days a week and I have 4 kids that are involved in various activities.

Cheers!

 

[ARD]

Hey pops or anyone else.

Why is there no PigPen rating in the PDWS? Or just easy to assume they're all shit and see what slop they throw out.

 

[pops69]

Hey pops or anyone else.

Why is there no PigPen rating in the PDWS? Or just easy to assume they're all shit and see what slop they throw out.

it's not really a rating but he master shows the er for the pigs for each game so it's there vs an actual rating number

 

[patswin]

just got back from lunch, looks like everyone likes tampa today

 

[pops69]

Pops - don't want you to give away the "secret sauce", but what books do you normally play out of?

I've got MB, 5d and now Greek (had Wagerstreet but looks like they became part of Greek last night / this am), but are there any i'm missing that i should be at?

Thanks old man.

pinny, MB (love those two the best) cris, and a couple of chineese books that you prob cant get chinese bookie is one and platinum sb. a bunch of other that are not all that great but i'll take what ever my agent gives me on credit accounts

 

[pops69]

just got back from lunch, looks like everyone likes tampa today

bet that one yesterday, sitting on a very large scalp that im about to dump

u take what they give you

 

[ARD]

it's not really a rating but he master shows the er for the pigs for each game so it's there vs an actual rating number

Anyway you could put the ER for the Pigs on the PDWS?

 

[CHITOWNODAWG]

very soft totals so far, I think I will start goin under on anything above 9 till these pitches get thier legs underneath them and can go longer than 5