2009 Tennis Picks

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Sep 12, 2006
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B Reynolds o T Robredo @ 4.30 @ Pinnacle (1 unit) LOST -1
J Benneteau o M Baghdatis @ 2.41 @ Pinnacle (1.25 unit) LOST -1.25
S Groth o M Fish @ 9.50 @ Pinnacle (0.75 unit) LOST -0.75
PH Mathieu o J Nieminen @ 2.16 @ Pinnacle (1.25 unit) PUSH
G Garcia-Lopez o A Calleri @ 2.26 @ Pinnacle (1 unit) WON +1.26
E Korolev o C Moya @ 2.20 @ Expekt (1 unit) WON +1.20
M Zverev +9.5 games @ 1.83 @ Will Hill (1.25 unit) WON +1.03
J Tipsarevic vs. O Hernandez - UNDER 29.5 GAMES @ 1.83 @ Will Hill (1.25 unit) LOST -1.25

Mug Treble:
YH Lu / J Tipsarevic / M Cilic @ 2.07 @ Gamebookers (1.25 unit) WON +1.33
Chardy / Lu / Hrbaty @ 3.11 @ Gamebookers (1 unit) WON +2.11

Adding
S Querrey o P Kohlschreiber @ 2.25 @ Ladbrokes (1 unit) LOST -1

Couple of long shots
D Gremelmayr o D Ferrer @ 6.78 @ Pinnacle (0.5 unit) LOST -0.5
M Zverev o JM Del Potro @ 16 @ Pinnacle (0.5 unit) LOST -0.5

5-7-1 (+0.68)
ytd: 19-19-1 (+7.69)

Glad to get a profit from last night. Dogs really weren't barking, although Gremelmayr lost a very close 5th set.
 

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Pending:
S Koubek o M Youzhny @ 5.20 @ Expekt (1 unit)
T Gabashvili o M Grannolers @ 2.40 @ Expekt (1.5 unit)

Adding:
N Lapentti o R Stepanek @ 7.50 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)
D Gimeno-Traver o I Karlovic @ 8 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)
F Cipolla o D Tursunov @ 4.67 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)
 

~~ Bleedin' Orange & Blue ~~
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Sep 23, 2006
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<<< :toast: Great calls to oppose Tursy & Youznhy :toast: >>> Typical 1st RD inflated lines to the tankers... Both on my "black.list" ... Picked up a few quid on Baltacha the lovely Saxon ... Surprised many @ 3.60 ;))... Tough go ahead versus Maures'man tho ;))... Last great hope besides Murray m8
 

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Thanks PA. It was a good day. Really wish Lapentti could have dug out a win though!

Nice hits on the women for you. I'm clueless on women's tennis, and wouldn't bet it otherwise I'd probably have died from a heart attack already.

S Koubek o M Youzhny @ 5.20 @ Expekt (1 unit) WON +4.20
T Gabashvili o M Grannolers @ 2.40 @ Expekt (1.5 unit) LOST -1.5
N Lapentti o R Stepanek @ 7.50 @ Pinnacle (1 unit) LOST -1
D Gimeno-Traver o I Karlovic @ 8 @ Pinnacle (1 unit) LOST -1
F Cipolla o D Tursunov @ 4.67 @ Pinnacle (1 unit) WON +3.67

2-3 (+4.37)
ytd: 21-22-1 (+12.06)
 

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F Santoro o P Kohlschreiber @ 4.33 @ BlueSq (1 unit)
D Hrbaty o D Ferrer @ 2.55 @ Fonbet (1 unit)
S Bolelli o M Fish @ 2.52 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)
 

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F Mayer +8.5 games o JM Del Potro @ 1.95 @ Fonbet (1 unit)
M Baghdatis o R Soderling @ 2.34 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)
M Ancic o I Karlovic @ 2.00 @ Eurobet (1 unit)
 

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Feb 7, 2006
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Rhinoo,

Great season so far.

I noticed in your thread at the beginning of last year, you were betting 0.5-3.0 units. Assuming I did not miss anything, you had only 0.5, 1, 1.25 and 1.5 units this year. Are still using the 0.5-3.0 scale? Or you doing something different?

Also, what surface to you think your best at capping?

Cheers,

BT
 

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Thanks mate, it's been a good start.

Still using the same staking plan but I'd say I'll be betting 1 unit about 90% of the time. I had one 3 unit play last year (it lost), and only a few 2/2.5 unit plays. Very rare for me and only if I see some tremendous value. One of my problems is being able to adjust stakes, sometimes I'm too cautious.

As for surface, I honestly have no clue. I got killed on clay and grass two years ago, but did great on them last year. A few guys say clay is very difficult to beat, but I don't think surface plays a huge part, you need some good draws, interesting matchups, and an eye for spotting that value.
 

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Ferru has been out of form/playing with no confidence for close to a year now. He's making so many uncharacteristic errors, and his serve is weak as piss.

Hrbaty seems to be making a revival, put some impressive performances in the Hopman Cup, and was apparently awesome in qualifying. Different confidence levels with these two guys, so hoping it continues in this match.
 

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Adding two more:
J Tipsarevic o M Cilic @ 3.03 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)
A Delic o PH Mathieu @ 4.95 @ Pinnacle (0.75 unit)
 

~~ Bleedin' Orange & Blue ~~
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Sep 23, 2006
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:toast: Glad to see you on Amer m8 :toast: ... Looks like we may be going to New Bond Street after this 1 ;))
 

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Thanks guys. PA - damn right, Delic has brought us some coin. He's a good guy with a fun game to watch, but what a choke from Paulo!

F Santoro o P Kohlschreiber @ 4.33 @ BlueSq (1 unit) WON +3.33
D Hrbaty o D Ferrer @ 2.55 @ Fonbet (1 unit) LOST -1
S Bolelli o M Fish @ 2.52 @ Pinnacle (1 unit) LOST -1
F Mayer +8.5 games o JM Del Potro @ 1.95 @ Fonbet (1 unit) LOST -1
M Baghdatis o R Soderling @ 2.34 @ Pinnacle (1 unit) WON +1.34
J Tipsarevic o M Cilic @ 3.03 @ Pinnacle (1 unit) LOST -1
A Delic o PH Mathieu @ 4.95 @ Pinnacle (0.75 unit) WON +2.96

3-4 (+3.63)
ytd: 24-26-1 (+15.69)

Good/lucky day thanks to mega chokes from Soderling and Mathieu.

Pending:
M Ancic o I Karlovic @ 2.00 @ Eurobet (1 unit)

Tempted by Koubek, Andreev and a few others.
 

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S Koubek o G Monfils @ 5.50 @ Pinnacle (0.75 unit)
C Guccione o G Simon @ 4.75 @ Pinnacle (0.75 unit)
I Andreev o E Gulbis @ 2.60 @ Pinnacle (1 unit)
 

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Yep, mainly dogs. A few faves, parlays, handicaps, and totals in the mix as well.

Adding a mug parlay:
T Haas / J Melzer / JW Tsonga / F Gonzalez / R Stepanek / F Verdasco @ 3.38 @ Gamebookers (1 unit)

Haas, Melzer, and Nando are headcase chokers but I think they're either too classy or in too good form for their opponents.
 

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