Also of note---Jimmy Butler is 33 years old and has had to do much of the heavy lifting to get them to this point. Miami(like against Milwaukee) shot the lights out from 3 to win first 3, hitting i believe over 45 percent, from a team that was 27th(over the long haul of the regular season) at 3 point percentage.
This could just be them hitting a wall and reverting to the norm. Some will tell you regular season doesn't matter---it does, unless a team is bringing back star players they didn't have over the regular season. Jimmy is only around 6'6-6'7---he isn't an unstoppable force like a KD, Giannis, Lebron. You can do stuff to shut him down. He might also just be wearing down. Hell the Heat looked to be wearing down against the Knicks later in that series before they got a 2nd win to take out Boston first 3.
Game 6 Boston is still the more desperate team. Meaning if Miami gets down 15 plus late they aren't going to empty the tank.(small advantage for Cs)
I haven't taken Cs to win series but have them tonight.
This could just be them hitting a wall and reverting to the norm. Some will tell you regular season doesn't matter---it does, unless a team is bringing back star players they didn't have over the regular season. Jimmy is only around 6'6-6'7---he isn't an unstoppable force like a KD, Giannis, Lebron. You can do stuff to shut him down. He might also just be wearing down. Hell the Heat looked to be wearing down against the Knicks later in that series before they got a 2nd win to take out Boston first 3.
Game 6 Boston is still the more desperate team. Meaning if Miami gets down 15 plus late they aren't going to empty the tank.(small advantage for Cs)
I haven't taken Cs to win series but have them tonight.
If you go game by game. Throw out the knicks series to a sense since those teams are about 50/50.
Miami won game 1 against Milwaukee, minus Giannis for most..(in fairness might not have mattered)Miami got smoked game 2 and then played excellent to smoke Milwaukee game 3. Games 4 and 5 they were down 14 and 16 respectively late in the 2nd half---got hot again from 3 and won both.
Boston in games 1 and 2(i didn't watch in Spain and started at like 3am) i believe Boston controlled most of the game and gave them away late. Game 3 Miami smoked them. In game 4 had a good 1st half and decent very early start to third to build 61-52 lead---this is where Miami blew its chance. Boston has smoked them ever since.
Miami is playing at home. It's always good to have a clinching game at home. Outside of this i don't see this team having an advantage outside of going KD, Steph, Thompson from the 3 point line. That shot has left them. It never came back in the Knicks series but they had just enough left to slip by them scoring in the high 90s. I just don't see that being enough against a Boston team that has thrived at backs against wall against teams they should beat...
Miami won game 1 against Milwaukee, minus Giannis for most..(in fairness might not have mattered)Miami got smoked game 2 and then played excellent to smoke Milwaukee game 3. Games 4 and 5 they were down 14 and 16 respectively late in the 2nd half---got hot again from 3 and won both.
Boston in games 1 and 2(i didn't watch in Spain and started at like 3am) i believe Boston controlled most of the game and gave them away late. Game 3 Miami smoked them. In game 4 had a good 1st half and decent very early start to third to build 61-52 lead---this is where Miami blew its chance. Boston has smoked them ever since.
Miami is playing at home. It's always good to have a clinching game at home. Outside of this i don't see this team having an advantage outside of going KD, Steph, Thompson from the 3 point line. That shot has left them. It never came back in the Knicks series but they had just enough left to slip by them scoring in the high 90s. I just don't see that being enough against a Boston team that has thrived at backs against wall against teams they should beat...
Looks like you are from Boston =) Boston -6.5 is the good line for regular season game, when, for example, Miami has 2 wins and Boston with 2 looses before it. But now is different story: it is playoff and Bostons has 2 wins and Miami has 2 looses. Boston is a better team but situation is better for Miami today. I think it will be close game, may be with overtime.
Crudebar you bring up a good point No team back from 3-0 in 150 X.And the team down 3-0 being favored in every game going forward.I would bet that it hasn t happened too like you said.I did see a stat on the Heat where they were the biggest NBA series dog to ever go up 3-0 in a series..So you could say typically teams up 3-0 were favored for the series or certainly not as big a dog as the Heat were.At Home I think the Heat come with a lot of intensity and do Win to close the Celts out tonight,certainly not the more talented team, but I do think they are more mature,better coached, and mentally tougher.
Mets were down 6-0
Now 6-6
Now 6-6
