⚾Saturday: MLB/Celtics-Heat *IN-GAME ACTION THREAD*?

[HacheMan]

Can Boston take Game 6?

Beware the Yankees who have lost 3 straight

And the Oakland A's have lost 9 in a row

 

[HacheMan]

BETMGM

Celtics Best Bets for Tonight:​

• • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 64 of their last 97 games (+27.19 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 58 of their last 100 games (+11.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 47 games (+10.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 12 away games (+9.85 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 away games (+9.69 Units / 65% ROI)

Heat Best Bets for Tonight:​

• • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+21.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 4Q Spread in 52 of their last 84 games (+17.32 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+16.04 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+14.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+10.40 Units / 27% ROI)

 

[HacheMan]

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:​

• • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 93 games (-20.92 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 100 games (-20.80 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 100 games (-18.60 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 43 of their last 100 games (-17.50 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 81 games (-16.75 Units / -16% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Celtics:​

• • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 74 games (-53.40 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 99 games (-39.42 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 51 of their last 99 games (-32.10 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-24.52 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 74 games (-22.35 Units / -27% ROI)

 

[Greenbacks]

Stars-Knights
8:00
Vegas leads 3-1

 

[HacheMan]

Stars-Knights
8:00
Vegas leads 3-1

Hoping Dallas can prolong this series & Florida can close their out

 

[Greenbacks]

Phillies +111
Rangers +113
Rays -115

 

[peanuts]

Boston -3. See you in game 7.

 

[jamerx]

Hoping Dallas can prolong this series & Florida can close their out

Florida in the final

 

[exploited17]

Never seen so many people so confident in a team who was down 3-0
People acting like the Heat are done and it's almost a guarantee for Celtics

 

[HacheMan]

Never seen so many people so confident in a team who was down 3-0
People acting like the Heat are done and it's almost a guarantee for Celtics

True

But the last couple of years since covid, we have seen some crazy things in sports, some that had never happened before

Could we finally see a team come back down 4-0?

 

[crudebar]

Never seen so many people so confident in a team who was down 3-0
People acting like the Heat are done and it's almost a guarantee for Celtics

I believe there are still many people sill in Miami's corner. This site though just seems to contain many people in the new england area than in southern florida---or at least more boston fans.

My take is Boston is just simply better and Miami is just a regular 8th seeds. Miami wasn't some injured team in the regular season who happened to get the whole band back together again at the right time.

The 3-0 doesn't mean a lot anymore. Boston after game 4 was going to be favored every game moving forward. Plus it's 3-2 now.

I would tend to think no team of those 150 to lose was ever going to be favored in the last 3 games. With their homes games being significant favorites.

Miami is banged up also. If Gabe Vincent can't go or less than 100 percent you are down another ball handler with Herro and Victor already gone. Miami wasn't deep to begin with.

This should have been a 4-1 Boston series win in the beginning.

 

[crudebar]

I believe this line should be boston -6.5.

Miami is going to have to "heat" up again at the 3 point line or this is going to be another comfortable Boston win.

If Boston was going to fold it would have been being down 0-3 and 52-61 in the 3rd quarter would have been the time.(imo)

 

[crudebar]

Placed a somewhat significant wager on Boston so more locked into this game than normal. Since French Open doesn't start til tomorrow.

 

[HacheMan]

Yes Miami was up 3-0

But it's not like they are the Lebron & Wade led team, or any of the other greater teams

So we certainly shouldn't be counting them as as a sure thing either

 

[amado21]

Never seen so many people so confident in a team who was down 3-0
People acting like the Heat are done and it's almost a guarantee for Celtics

Exactly

 

[MagiCap]

I think it's going to be a close game.

 

[crudebar]

Looks like the Gabe Vincent injury is still lingering.(Lol at the thought of Gabe Vincent even mattering before these play-offs started)

Even if he plays won't be near 100 percent.

 

[Avocado33]

Never seen so many people so confident in a team who was down 3-0
People acting like the Heat are done and it's almost a guarantee for Celtics

Bingo

Boston very well could win

But there’s a reason they fell down 3-0

 

[Avocado33]

I believe there are still many people sill in Miami's corner. This site though just seems to contain many people in the new england area than in southern florida---or at least more boston fans.

My take is Boston is just simply better and Miami is just a regular 8th seeds. Miami wasn't some injured team in the regular season who happened to get the whole band back together again at the right time.

The 3-0 doesn't mean a lot anymore. Boston after game 4 was going to be favored every game moving forward. Plus it's 3-2 now.

I would tend to think no team of those 150 to lose was ever going to be favored in the last 3 games. With their homes games being significant favorites.

Miami is banged up also. If Gabe Vincent can't go or less than 100 percent you are down another ball handler with Herro and Victor already gone. Miami wasn't deep to begin with.

This should have been a 4-1 Boston series win in the beginning.

Also road team taking first 2 in general is very rare

LeBron did it a lot on the Cavs I guess but that was more because his teams coasted during the regular season ( at least relatively)

 

[crudebar]

The 3-0 defense is now a little bit of the fallacy with probabilities coming into play....

It's 3-2. It's the same as saying a quarter will come up heads 4 times in a row 6.25 percent of the time. But that probability does not still hold true when heads has already come up 2 times.

You see this a lot with roulette. O the ball has come up red 6 times in a row it has to come up black soon. It's not the perfect analogy to this series----but the 3-0 defense of why they are more likely to win games 6 or 7 then if they first 3 games had played differently doesn't really hold water.