XSPower NFL 2014 - 2015 Football Side & Total Power Winners

[XSPower]

SUNDAY RESULTS (5-6) -$9,150

More results from Sunday.......

5000 New England +2.5 +105 (Lost)

5000 Denver Over 49 (Lost 45 Points)

7000 New England Over 57 (Lost 47 Points)

5000 Denver +1.5 (Super Su Blowout Winner 29-16)

5000 Atlanta Over 45 -105 (Easy Winner 47 Points)

XS

 

[XSPower]

MONDAY RESULTS (1-1) -$4,350 / NFL RECORD (135-131) -$44,120

High percentage on the Dolphin in this one and they don't cover the spread...... this one was a defensive slug fest....... Monday night OVER still cashing in this season as well (I think)......

3000 NY Jets +6.5 (Winner 13-16)

7000 NY Jets Over 41.5 -105 (Lost 29 Points)

Good Luck,

XS

 

[XSPower]

NFL Prop Shop: Week 14's best player prop picks BY Sean Murphy

Most passing yards

Joe Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) vs. Ryan Tannehill (Miami Dolphins)

I'll support Joe Flacco in this matchup as I simply feel the Ravens offense has a little more upside at this stage of the season.
Baltimore suffered a crushing defeat after leading virtually wire-to-wire against the Chargers last Sunday. I don't expect to see them suffer a letdown here, however.

Flacco certainly isn't the most consistent quarterback in the league, but if he's given enough time, he'll be able to connect on a few big plays against a beatable Dolphins secondary. Ryan Tannehill has evolved into a solid pro quarterback, but he's topped out at 240 yards over the last four games.

Take: Flacco

Ryan Fitzpatrick (Houston Texans) vs. Blake Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars)

No one saw Ryan Fitzpatrick's six-touchdown performance coming a week ago. Don't count on him turning in a repeat effort on Sunday.
The Jaguars defense is quietly starting to make some plays, and coming off one of their best games of the season last week against the Giants.

This is a tougher matchup to be sure, but let's not forget that Fitzpatrick has struggled for much of the year.
Blake Bortles threw for 290 yards in Week 10 against Dallas, but has thrown for only 240 yards combined in the last two games. Facing J.J. Watt is an unenviable task, but the rest of the Texans defense hasn't been all that imposing.

Take: Bortles

Most rushing yards

Tre Mason (St. Louis Rams) vs. Alfred Morris (Washington Redskins)

Rams rookie running back Tre Mason enjoyed a huge game last week against Oakland, running for 117 yards and two touchdowns on only 14 carries. This matchup is a favorable one as well, as the Redskins defense allows four yards per rush.

It's important to consider that the Rams defense has had a tough time against the run, allowing 4.3 yards per rush. Alfred Morris ran for only 67 yards last week against the Colts, but racked up 125 yards in San Francisco just two weeks ago. I'm not expecting the Redskins to throw Colt McCoy into the fire against an opportunistic Rams defense. Morris should see a heavy workload on Sunday.

Take: Morris

Most pass receptions

Antonio Brown (Pittsburgh Steelers) vs. A.J. Green (Cincinnati Bengals)

I simply like the underdog value being offered with A.J. Green in this matchup. There's a good chance Antonio Brown will see more targets, but this isn't a tremendous matchup for him against a division rival on the road. The Bengals defense has had its ups and downs this season, but has shown signs of turning things around lately.

Green was held down in Tampa last Sunday, but prior to that had hauled in 18 catches over his last two games. The Steelers won't be able to hold him down for four quarters on Sunday.

Take: Green

 

[XSPower]

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 14

St. Louis Rams at Washington Redskins (+2.5, 44.5)

Rams’ pass rush vs. Redskins’ poor protection

You can’t blame Robert Griffin III for being pissed at his teammates. In his two games back before getting benched for Colt McCoy, RG3 was sacked 11 times in losses to Tampa Bay and San Francisco. And if things don’t tighten up on the Redskins offensive line, McCoy could have some serious beef with his teammates as well.

McCoy was sacked six times in last week’s defeat to Indianapolis – a grand total of 17 sacks allowed in three games. Washington has given up 39 sacks on the year which means almost 44 percent of those QB kills have come in that three-game span.

The Redskins face the Rams at the worst possible time. St. Louis, which has its vaunted pass rush rolling after a slow start to the season, just returned star DE Chris Long from injury last week and it didn’t take him any time to find his form, recording a sack and fumble recovery. Fellow DE Robert Quinn had three sacks in the blowout win against Oakland and sits 13th in the NFL with nine on the season, despite going sack-less through the first five games.

Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos (-10)

Bills’ WR Sammy Watkins vs. Broncos’ thin Mile-High air

Hitting the rookie wall is even harder when you’re nursing a hip injury. And it’s doubly hard when you’re trying to play through all that in the altitude of Sports Authority Field, high up in the Rocky Mountains. The Bills head to Denver for a Sunday showdown with the Broncos, knowing they need their star rookie to play at the same pace he was earlier in the year.

Watkins returned to practice this week and has told the media that he needs to “get back in the groove”. Easier said than done. Opponents aren’t getting caught by surprise against Watkins any more, with plenty of tape on the dynamic wideout, and Buffalo will undoubtedly turn to the passing game to keep pace with Denver’s offense.

Watkins has been QB Kyle Orton’s favorite target since he took over the starting gig. But outside of two big days versus Detroit and Minnesota, Watkins has had more than three catches only once – a 4-for-10 day for just 27 yards against Kansas City – with Orton under center. Buffalo gets to Denver Friday, hoping to get used to the thin air before Sunday’s game. But Watkins tank could already be on empty.

Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles (-1, 48)

Seahawks’ penalty problems vs. Eagles’ flag-flying offense

If the defending Super Bowl champs have a vice, it’s that they don’t know how to play by the rules. Seattle is tied for the most penalized team in the NFL, forcing 102 flags to fly heading into Week 14. This is nothing new for the Seahawks, who topped the league with 152 infractions last season. However, the big cause for concern is the split between penalties given and penalties taken. Seattle has only drawn 51 flags so far – dead last in the NFL.

Instead of preaching fair play to his players, head coach Pete Carroll is crying foul to the NFL and pointing out the discrepancy in the penalty numbers. “We’re not going to change the way we play,” Carroll told the media following a 14-flag day that equaled 105 yards against versus San Francisco last week – the most penalties Seattle has committed in Carroll’s five years with the team.

The Seahawks can’t afford to just hand over extra yards to the Eagles' up-tempo offense Sunday. Philadelphia is not only hitting its stride offensively – averaging 451.7 yards over the last three games – but has drawn the fifth most penalties (91) in the league, equaling 821 free yards. With the Eagles no-huddle attack taking its toll, expect a tired Seattle stop unit to start clutching and grabbing as the game wears on.

New England Patriots at San Diego Chargers (+3.5, 50.5)

Patriots’ tight end troubles vs. Chargers TE Antonio Gates

It seems like every couple weeks we feature a team getting trounced by tight ends. Welcome to the evolution of the NFL. And if you were to look at the progression of tight ends over the past 20 years – like one of those homo-sapien charts that go from neanderthal to modern man – there would be a huge jump in the chain when you got to Antonio Gates.

The Chargers veteran TE is still among the biggest end zone threats in the league, reeling in a team-high nine touchdowns which ranks second among tight ends, tied with Jimmy Graham and his counterpart Sunday night, Rob Gronkowski. Gates isn’t just a red-zone target. He’s coming off a 83-yard performance in the win over Baltimore and has 574 yards receiving on the year.

The Patriots love to exploit teams with their talented tight end but haven’t fared well when opponents turn the tables. New England has given up five touchdowns, 786 yards and has failed to intercept a pass in the 93 times foes have thrown to their tight ends. The Pats watched Green Bay TE Richard Rodgers score last week and were scorched for 144 yards by Colts TE Coby Fleener three weeks ago. With the Bolts’ deep threats keeping the secondary busy, Gates could be in for a big game with linebackers in coverage.

 

[XSPower]

Sunday Night Football betting preview: Patriots at Chargers

New England Patriots at San Diego Chargers (+3.5, 51)

Their seven-game winning streak now history, the New England Patriots will look to avoid back-to-back defeats for the first time since September 2012 when they visit the San Diego Chargers on Sunday. The Patriots were unable to keep pace with Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay in last week's 26-21 road loss but remain even with Denver and hold the tiebreaker for the top seed in the AFC. Tom Brady threw for 245 yards against the Packers - his lowest total since Week 4 - but he is 5-0 lifetime versus San Diego.

The Chargers have rebounded from a three-game skid to rip off three wins in a row, including last week's 34-33 stunner at Baltimore in which Philip Rivers threw a pair of touchdown passes in the final 3:40 to erase a 10-point deficit. No teams are better over the final quarter of the season than New England and San Diego, who are each an NFL-best 17-3 over the last four games of the season since 2009. "You get down to the home stretch and it just has a little different feel to it," Rivers said. "And you throw in the fact that we will play one of the best teams ever, as far as tradition-wise, what this franchise has done over the last 15 years or so."

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE HISTORY: The Patriots opened as 3-point road faves and have moved to -3.5. The total opened 50.5 and is up a half-point.

INJURY REPORT:

Patriots - QB Tom Brady (Probable, ankle), RB Shane Vereen (Questionable, ankle), CB Kyle Arrington (Questionable, ankle), G Dan Connolly (Questionable, ankle), WR Julian Edelman (Questionable, thigh), LB Dont'a Hightower (Questionable, shoulder), WR Brandon LaFell (Questionable, shoulder).

Chargers - LB Andrew Gachkar (Probable, knee), QB Philip Rivers (Probable, chest), DE Corey Liuget (Probable, knee), LB Donald Butler (Questionable, quad), T D.J. Fluker (Questionable, concussion), DT Ryan Carrethers (Out, elbow).

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Patriots (-8.0) + Chargers (-2.75) + home field (-3.0) = Chargers +2.25

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with wind blowing across the field at 3 mph.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Patriots had their seven-game winning streak snapped and are heading to San Diego. New England is 5-12 ATS in its L17 road games. San Diego needed a big win and got it in Baltimore to remain a game out in the AFC West. Chargers host Patriots and Broncos before closing with two road games." Covers Expert Matt Fargo.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS, 8-4 O/U): New England averaged 39.6 points during its winning streak but was forced to abandon the running game and play catch-up against the Packers, who held the ball for 36 1/2 minutes. While Brady has thrown 28 touchdowns passes versus only six interceptions, the Patriots are only 3-3 on the road and the two-time Super Bowl MVP has been limited to 257 yards or less in five of those games. Tight end Rob Gronkowski has 32 receptions and five touchdowns over the past five games and Brandon LaFell caught a pair of scoring passes last week, but New England must find a way to pressure Rivers. The Patriots were unable to generate any pass rush against Rodgers, who threw for 282 yards in the first half alone as Green Bay racked up 478 yards of total offense.

ABOUT THE CHARGERS (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS, 6-6 O/U): San Diego's playoff hopes appeared to take a major hit following a 37-0 drubbing in Miami entering its bye week, but it has bounced back with three straight narrow victories to move within one game of the first-place Broncos in the AFC West. Rivers, who leads the AFC in completion percentage at 69.1, had three TD passes and threw for a season-high 383 yards in the improbable victory over the Ravens. Wideout Keenan Allen, who has struggled to maintain consistency following a superb rookie season, had a pair of touchdown catches among his career-high 11 receptions while going over 100 yards for the second straight week. Ryan Mathews has rushed for 215 yards and two TDs since returning from injury but the defense has permitted 57 points in the past two games.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in San Diego.
* Patriots are 0-9 ATS in their last nine games on grass.
* Chargers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 14.
* Over is 4-1 in Patriots last five games in December.

COVERS CONSENSUS: According to Covers Consensus, 66 percent of bettors are on the Pats.

 

[XSPower]

Where the action is: Sunday's biggest Week 14 NFL line moves BY COVERS

We talk with John Lester, senior lines manager for BookMaker.eu, about the action on some of Sunday's match ups and where those odds could end up come kickoff:

New York Giants at Tennessee Titans - Open: Pick, Move: -1, Move: +1

It's been an embarrassing season for both of these franchises who could very well find themselves in the bottom of their respective divisions depending on some of Sunday's outcomes. The Giants are mired in an ugly seven-game losing skid (1-6 against the spread), while the Titans have dropped their previous six games (1-5 ATS).

"We opened at a PK and this one has crossed over both sides," Lester tells Covers. "Initially it went to Titans -1 and most of our sharp money is on Tennessee. The public is pretty split. I could see this closing with Giants as short chalk."

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars - Open: +3.5, Move: +4, Move: +6

The Texans head in eager to make a push for a wild-card spot at the very least. They are currently two games back of the Indianapolis Colts and one game back of a wild-card position. Meanwhile, it's been another long season in Jacksonville, but the Jags are coming in off a 25-24 victory over the aforementioned Giants.

"We moved it from +3.5 to +4.5 within the first 24 hours and have been forced to steadily increase as the week’s drawn on," said Lester. "Everyone is on the Texans as they realize Jacksonville’s "upset" last week was a little bit of fool’s gold. I expect some buyback on Jags if it gets any higher."

Kansas City Chiefs at Arizona Cardinals - Open: Pick, Move: -2, Move: +1

Glendale will be the site as a pair of slumping teams meet up at the University of Phoenix Stadium in late-afternoon action. Both of these teams have dropped their last two games SU and ATS and are rapidly losing a hold of playoff positioning. Sunday will not end well for one of these floundering franchises.

"We’ve had some big swings here, opened at PK, got as high as Cards -2 and now we’re dealing Cards +1," states Lester. "The wiseguys haven’t been too interested in this one. I think it closes where we opened, and my opinion is that the home team gets it done."

San Francisco 49ers at Oakland Raiders - Open: +7, Move: +8.5

The Battle of the Bay will have a new chapter written as the two Northern California teams meet for the first time since 2010. The Niners have won three-straight meetings (2-1 ATS) since 2002 and will be playing for their playoff lives Sunday, but will be dealing with some off the field news involving their head coach.

"There is plenty of drama for this one amid the Harbaugh coaching speculation," Lester points out. "We’ve been fairly one-sided with Niners action after opening at +7. I think this could creep up to +9 by kickoff."

New England Patriots at San Diego Chargers - Open: +3, +3.5

Something will have to give in Sunday's marquee matchup as Patriots quarterback Tom Brady owns a 5-0 SU record (4-1 ATS) versus Philip Rivers in his career, but the latter owns an incredible 30-6 SU record in the month of December. The Chargers have been hot and cold this season, but followed up a three-game losing streak with a three-game winning streak. They haven't been kind to bettors of late, however, as they've covered the spread just once in their last seven games.

"Majority backing the road chalk, and we moved from +3 on the open to +3.5 very quickly after taking a smart bet on New England," Lester said. "This could reach +4, but at that number I would expect some players to side with San Diego. Everyone is grabbing the over for this primetime affair."

 

[XSPower]

[h=1]NFL Football Consensus: Public Picks [/h]
Time	Teams	ATS	Moneyline	Total
(ET)		Picks	Percentage	Picks	Percentage	Picks	Percentage
Sunday, December 7, 2014
1:00pm odds	(151) Baltimore Ravens (152) Miami Dolphins	5858 3855	60% 40%	1396 616	69% 31%	O2195 U1583	58% 42%
1:00pm odds	(153) Pittsburgh Steelers (154) Cincinnati Bengals	7059 6114	54% 46%	2251 1069	68% 32%	O3173 U2696	54% 46%
1:00pm odds	(155) Indianapolis Colts (156) Cleveland Browns	11510 3514	77% 23%	2564 1015	72% 28%	O3571 U2270	61% 39%
1:00pm odds	(157) Houston Texans (158) Jacksonville Jaguars	9233 2215	81% 19%	2295 607	79% 21%	O3088 U1775	63% 37%
1:00pm odds	(159) New York Giants (160) Tennessee Titans	6482 2071	76% 24%	1325 577	70% 30%	O2547 U1455	64% 36%
1:00pm odds	(161) Carolina Panthers (162) New Orleans Saints	4508 13386	25% 75%	1682 2790	38% 62%	O4629 U2440	65% 35%
1:00pm odds	(163) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (164) Detroit Lions	3562 10085	26% 74%	1038 2508	29% 71%	O3937 U1693	70% 30%
1:00pm odds	(165) St. Louis Rams (166) Washington Redskins	8745 3583	71% 29%	1425 1483	49% 51%	O3301 U2150	61% 39%
1:00pm odds	(167) New York Jets (168) Minnesota Vikings	2738 5702	32% 68%	784 1045	43% 57%	O1543 U2235	41% 59%
4:05pm odds	(169) Buffalo Bills (170) Denver Broncos	3491 12303	22% 78%	1126 3124	26% 74%	O4152 U2233	65% 35%
4:05pm odds	(171) Kansas City Chiefs (172) Arizona Cardinals	6178 4065	60% 40%	1101 1255	47% 53%	O2158 U2542	46% 54%
4:25pm odds	(173) San Francisco 49ers (174) Oakland Raiders	9026 2829	76% 24%	2222 779	74% 26%	O2621 U2260	54% 46%
4:25pm odds	(175) Seattle Seahawks (176) Philadelphia Eagles	8669 5804	60% 40%	3112 657	83% 17%	O2978 U3560	46% 54%
8:30pm odds	(177) New England Patriots (178) San Diego Chargers	11197 3303	77% 23%	2283 1341	63% 37%	O5227 U1199	81% 19%

 

[XSPower]

SUNDAY WEEK 13 POWER FOOTBALL

Here we go my friends....

10,000 Houston -6.5

7000 New Orleans -8.5 -105

5000 St Louis -2.5

5000 Indianapolis -3 +100

5000 Tennessee Over 46.5 -107

Good Luck,

XS

 

[Viking65]

You outdid yourself XS!!! THANK YOU for the awesome insight and info. Good luck today!!!

 

[Addicted2quack]

BOL today my friend... I really like the picks. I'm on most of those myself. But im going to add that Rams game, thx

 

[United]

good luck XS

 

[XSPower]

You outdid yourself XS!!! THANK YOU for the awesome insight and info. Good luck today!!!

Thank you sir!!! :toast:

 

[XSPower]

BOL today my friend... I really like the picks. I'm on most of those myself. But im going to add that Rams game, thx

Thank you sir!!! :toast:

 

[XSPower]

good luck XS

Thank you sir!!! :toast:

 

[XSPower]

SUNDAY WEEK 13 POWER FOOTBALL

Here we go my friends....

10,000 Houston -6.5

7000 New Orleans -8.5 -105

5000 St Louis -2.5

5000 Indianapolis -3 +100

5000 Tennessee Over 46.5 -107

Good Luck,

XS

ADDING:

10,000 Buffalo +9 -105

XS

 

[XSPower]

ADDING:

10,000 Buffalo +9 -105

XS

ADDING:

5000 Philadelphia +2 -107

5000 Philadelphia Over 47

5000 Kansas City Under 41.5 -107

XS

 

[XSPower]

SUNDAY NIGHT POWER FOOTBALL

Here we go my friends.....

5000 New England (1st Half) -2.5

5000 New England (1st Half) Over 26.5

7000 New England ML -190

7000 New England -3.5 -107

5000 New England Over 53 -105

Good Luck,

XS

 

[LexingtonBrass]

XS your 10,000 plays are money! A must play... Always!!! GL tonight

 

[XSPower]

XS your 10,000 plays are money! A must play... Always!!! GL tonight

Thank you sir...... let's hit this last game and call it a night..... so many points left off the board in the first half..... now it's Brady time!!!!! :toast:

 

[XSPower]

SUNDAY SO FAR (2-3) -$2,700

More results......

5000 Indianapolis -3 +100 (Lost 25-24)

7000 New Orleans -8.5 -105 (Lost 10-41)

5000 Tennessee Over 46.5 -107 (Lost 43 Points)

10,000 Houston -6.5 (Blowout Winner 27-13)

5000 St Louis -2.5 (Super Blowout Winner 24-0)

XS