Wyoming vs Bowling Green 9/17/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Wyoming winning 41% of simulations, and Bowling Green 59% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Wyoming commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 58% when they take care of the ball. Bowling Green wins 74% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Alvester Alexander is averaging 74 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 57%. Matt Schilz is averaging 302 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 77%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BG -8.5

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