Write-up of my Bluegrass/Blue Marlin Picks for Week #6...

[BrokeN]

Pats -2.5...Teams coming off games with the Dolphins are 0-3 ATS so far TY.

Browns -3...Raiders let me down LW after going into the half up by 15. Revenge for me, or not.

Panthers +5...Colts coming off MNF + OT.

Chiefs +1.5...Ride till the horse sits.

Titans -10...I remember playing on the Texans in this situation in week two. Texans have never won ATS after a victory.

Saints -5.5...Teams coming off games with the Raiders are 0-4 ATS so far TY. This resembles Buffalo LY more so than Miami as the Raiders just can't stop anyone but themselves.

Ravens -5.5...Cause.

Seahawks -3.5...The entire D against T.O. and his "Sharpie".

Falcons +11...Playing against the Rams as DD HF.


BrokeN

[This message was edited by BrokeN on October 10, 2003 at 06:42 PM.]

 

[jaypaw]

The Giants have a knack for blowing leads - and the pats can air it out if need be but I am sticking to betting against the pats because of their injuries. They cant keep up this pace with their whole D on th IR.

I liked the Browns too but its just nuts to me how the raiders havent been better against the teams they've been playing. There has to be some good explanation why a team that lead the NFL in passing yards last year is doing this crap this year. I would take the browns but I know that the raiders are gonna burn me somewhere along the line here so I'm laying off this one for now.

I really dont think the panthers are gonna be able to handle an all around team like indy. and I totally dont buy into the argument that the monday night OT game plays much into it. These guys are all in good shape and with the exception of a team that is banged up maybe - I cant imagine that being "tired" would ever be a factor in a mid season NFL game. I took the colts because I dont think the panthers are gonna be able to handle the 1-2 punch that is the colts offense-defense.

I'm laying off the cheifs though they are on a tear... I just worry about Lambeau.

Best of luck anyway!!

 

[BrokeN]

Sup Jaypaw,

The Pats play is not a play on either team rather a play against a team coming off playing the team the week before. Teams who played Buffalo the week before had a tremendous streak LY so just seeing if Miami and Oakland will do the same. Still tracking TB where teams are 0-2 the week later.

Thinking here is that teams either get beat up so bad the week before i.e. Miami, Bucs. Or, that teams had such an easy time scoring that they think they can do it against the next opponent i.e. Buffalo LY, and hopefully Oakland TY.

Speaking of Oakland, it probably is due to the fact that they lack speed. The geriatric tandem of WR can't get away from the DBs in a one-on-one situation let alone double-teamed. They are just waiting for Porter to get on the field.

I think that Carolina has the better OL and DL which is where the initial attack always begins. As long as they can control the line of scrimmage they should put much more pressure on Manning than the PREVENT THE WIN defense the Bucs played in the last 4 minutes of the game. Just where was Pittman in the second half? Give him an IV and get your ass on the field son. Steven Davis should have a big day. Indy off a short week and OT vs the Bucs, sounds sore.

I don't care much for the Chiefs (I picked LT instead

) but Lambeau magic has to rebuild once more since the warm-blooded Bucs won in the cold LY. Would love to see the Pack win all their games up to the Vikes game so the line will be in my favor. I'll take a 1 point victory by GB TW.


Thanks for your input JP & GL
BrokeN

 

[jaypaw]

cool

GL