Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (CONF) GOY

Search

Member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
3,880
Tokens
Fantastic rebound as the Worm goes perfect during Div Wk. Purdy showed some of his rookie color missing a bunch of open receivers throughout the gm, scoring 0 TDs w/a 65% comp rate, & leading only 2 long FGs off Dak’s 2 INTs. McCaffrey, Mitchell & Kittle picked up the slack to score enough to cover the #, in a gm a lot of pro’s were going w/DAL. Thank goodness for Dak & McCarthy’s ineptitude. Tony Pollard getting hurt was a big deal too. Got lucky w/JAX as the score dictated a FG was the way to go against KC, & CIN was a breeze dog @ BUF. BIG surprise as a 3 Unit Teaser actually hit this yr!! Would’ve been a no-sweater if naught for NYG not able to score until the 3rd Q.

Playoff POW 1-1, Teasers 2-0, Overall 7-2

CIN +1 ½
are on a 10-gm win streak, 2 of them PO wins. They’re easily the hottest team in the AFC & now head to KC w/a 3-gm win streak on the line in this budding rivalry. It’s actually not a surprise that CIN has owned this matchup recently despite KC having the experience advantage. CIN’s “D” attacks @ KC’s weaknesses, starting w/the oline. Hubbard & Hendrickson are beasts on the edges & that’s where the pressure normally comes on Mahomes. The matchup on the rt side is most problematic & KC will have to help RT Wylie against Hubbard. Now w/a bad ankle, Mahomes’ mobility & plant leg creates an even worse matchup. Kelce has had some success against this CIN “D”, but they’re still overall 3rd best against TEs. CIN’s secondary is also very good, & now they don’t have to plan against Tyreek, as evidenced in their last gm in Wk 13, where aside from a long reception by MVS, KC’s receivers were held in check. That gm CIN was also w/out Hendrickson. CIN will have a tuff time against the run, as KC ran for 155, 139, 138 yds in the last 3 tilts. The focus on taking away Kelce & Mahomes has been a successful strategy so far. The true disadvantage comes w/CIN’s “O”. They racked up 475, 359 & 431 yds in the series, led by Burrow & his talented receiving corp. Chase, Higgins & Boyd are great as it is, but TE Hurst, RBs Perine & Mixon, & 4th WR Irwin (4 TDs) are utilized in the passing gm as well. KC’s secondary isn’t bad, led by McDuffie & Justin Reid, but they have a tuff time against this group. KC’s strength on “D” is obviously on the line, where All-Pro Chris Jones & Frank Clark helped KC lead the league in sacks. However CIN doesn’t flinch as they mixed short throws w/the run gm to help stave off this fearsome dline, & throw for over 350 yds each time. CIN also owns the advantage on STs as McPherson has a higher FG % (82.8) than Butker (75), & KC is one of the worse kick return coverage units, & CIN’s Trayveon Williams avg 22 ypr in his last 5 gms. Mahomes can have some head-scratching decision making in a lot of gms while Andy Reid can also make critical mistakes that cost the team. Amazing to say, but KC could be pressing here while CIN will be playing loose w/their uber-confident QB. Burrow is also 8-0 SU in gms w/40 degrees or lower temps, & Arrowhead will be in the low 20’s. I feel Burrow establishes his new role as best QB in the league w/this statement win & gets his team to another SB.

CIN 24
KC 20
7 Units


GL to all & comments are most welcome. NFL coming to an end! Enjoy it while you can!
 

Member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
3,880
Tokens
Honorable Mentions:

2 Units PHI -2 ½:
I feel that the Purdy train will finally be coming to a halt here as this will be his 1st rd PO start in the most hostile fan environment he could possibly be in. I don’t think he’ll be turning it over a lot, but what he’s done for the most part is protect the ball & trust in his “D”. So if PHI can just get going on “O” (big “if” w/Hurts), I’m not sure Purdy can carry this team to a win. Most are saying SF & PHI’s “D”s are a wash, but I disagree. SF is ultra-talented in spots & play well as a team. PHI also does that, but their front-7 as a whole & secondary are better than SF’s. What makes me think PHI will come out hot here is the veterans on this team from their last SB run. All-Pro’s Kelce & Johnson on the oline & Cox & Graham on the dline were on the 2018 SB winning team, & are quietly leading this team to another one. Hurts is the one wild card here truly that I am afraid of. Analysts & fans alike are singing his praises, but when you have great talent & coaching all around you, how do you fail? Very similar to Purdy, but the hm field advantage, better athlete, & slight veteran edge go to Hurts in that tale of the tape. PHI is also coming into this one much healthier, esp considering McCaffrey is nursing a bad calf, Deebo a bad ankle, & Mitchell a bad groin.

2 Units SF/PHI Under 46 ½:
This should be a heavyweight bout between no-doubt the 2 best “D”s in the league. These are also 2 “O”s that like to rely more on the ground gm than airing it out. I expect a heavy amount of FGs, sacks, & field position throughout this one.

1 Unit Wormy Teaser

PHI +10 ½
SF/PHI Under 59 ½
CIN +14 ½
CIN/KC Over 35


Managed to fit a 4-teamer in!
 

Member
Joined
Jun 21, 2011
Messages
6,051
Tokens
On both of these also. A rookie QB in Philly vs. a smart, quick and physical D. In KC, I still wonder how effective Mahomes will be and whether he'll even finish the game. The Bengals were dominant last week, have proven they can win @ KC, and the Chiefs have not put teams away this season as in the past.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Dec 18, 2017
Messages
7,479
Tokens
Fantastic rebound as the Worm goes perfect during Div Wk. Purdy showed some of his rookie color missing a bunch of open receivers throughout the gm, scoring 0 TDs w/a 65% comp rate, & leading only 2 long FGs off Dak’s 2 INTs. McCaffrey, Mitchell & Kittle picked up the slack to score enough to cover the #, in a gm a lot of pro’s were going w/DAL. Thank goodness for Dak & McCarthy’s ineptitude. Tony Pollard getting hurt was a big deal too. Got lucky w/JAX as the score dictated a FG was the way to go against KC, & CIN was a breeze dog @ BUF. BIG surprise as a 3 Unit Teaser actually hit this yr!! Would’ve been a no-sweater if naught for NYG not able to score until the 3rd Q.

Playoff POW 1-1, Teasers 2-0, Overall 7-2

CIN +1 ½
are on a 10-gm win streak, 2 of them PO wins. They’re easily the hottest team in the AFC & now head to KC w/a 3-gm win streak on the line in this budding rivalry. It’s actually not a surprise that CIN has owned this matchup recently despite KC having the experience advantage. CIN’s “D” attacks @ KC’s weaknesses, starting w/the oline. Hubbard & Hendrickson are beasts on the edges & that’s where the pressure normally comes on Mahomes. The matchup on the rt side is most problematic & KC will have to help RT Wylie against Hubbard. Now w/a bad ankle, Mahomes’ mobility & plant leg creates an even worse matchup. Kelce has had some success against this CIN “D”, but they’re still overall 3rd best against TEs. CIN’s secondary is also very good, & now they don’t have to plan against Tyreek, as evidenced in their last gm in Wk 13, where aside from a long reception by MVS, KC’s receivers were held in check. That gm CIN was also w/out Hendrickson. CIN will have a tuff time against the run, as KC ran for 155, 139, 138 yds in the last 3 tilts. The focus on taking away Kelce & Mahomes has been a successful strategy so far. The true disadvantage comes w/CIN’s “O”. They racked up 475, 359 & 431 yds in the series, led by Burrow & his talented receiving corp. Chase, Higgins & Boyd are great as it is, but TE Hurst, RBs Perine & Mixon, & 4th WR Irwin (4 TDs) are utilized in the passing gm as well. KC’s secondary isn’t bad,
Birrow passing has put yarded Mahmes in all three contests
led by McDuffie & Justin Reid, but they have a tuff time against this group. KC’s strength on “D” is obviously on the line, where All-Pro Chris Jones & Frank Clark helped KC lead the league in sacks. However CIN doesn’t flinch as they mixed short throws w/the run gm to help stave off this fearsome dline, & throw for over 350 yds each time. CIN also owns the advantage on STs as McPherson has a higher FG % (82.8) than Butker (75), & KC is one of the worse kick return coverage units, & CIN’s Trayveon Williams avg 22 ypr in his last 5 gms. Mahomes can have some head-scratching decision making in a lot of gms while Andy Reid can also make critical mistakes that cost the team. Amazing to say, but KC could be pressing here while CIN will be playing loose w/their uber-confident QB. Burrow is also 8-0 SU in gms w/40 degrees or lower temps, & Arrowhead will be in the low 20’s. I feel Burrow establishes his new role as best QB in the league w/this statement win & gets his team to another SB.

CIN 24
KC 20
7 Units


GL to all & comments are most welcome. NFL coming to an end! Enjoy it while you can!
Excellent write up. BOL
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Dec 18, 2017
Messages
7,479
Tokens
Honorable Mentions:

2 Units PHI -2 ½:
I feel that the Purdy train will finally be coming to a halt here as this will be his 1st rd PO start in the most hostile fan environment he could possibly be in. I don’t think he’ll be turning it over a lot, but what he’s done for the most part is protect the ball & trust in his “D”. So if PHI can just get going on “O” (big “if” w/Hurts), I’m not sure Purdy can carry this team to a win. Most are saying SF & PHI’s “D”s are a wash, but I disagree. SF is ultra-talented in spots & play well as a team. PHI also does that, but their front-7 as a whole & secondary are better than SF’s. What makes me think PHI will come out hot here is the veterans on this team from their last SB run. All-Pro’s Kelce & Johnson on the oline & Cox & Graham on the dline were on the 2018 SB winning team, & are quietly leading this team to another one. Hurts is the one wild card here truly that I am afraid of. Analysts & fans alike are singing his praises, but when you have great talent & coaching all around you, how do you fail? Very similar to Purdy, but the hm field advantage, better athlete, & slight veteran edge go to Hurts in that tale of the tape. PHI is also coming into this one much healthier, esp considering McCaffrey is nursing a bad calf, Deebo a bad ankle, & Mitchell a bad groin.

2 Units SF/PHI Under 46 ½: This should be a heavyweight bout between no-doubt the 2 best “D”s in the league. These are also 2 “O”s that like to rely more on the ground gm than airing it out. I expect a heavy amount of FGs, sacks, & field position throughout this one.

1 Unit Wormy Teaser

PHI +10 ½
SF/PHI Under 59 ½
CIN +14 ½
CIN/KC Over 35


Managed to fit a 4-teamer in!
Eagles played in the best division and SF played in a division that had 2 teams with more losses than all other the teams in the NFC East combined.
GL
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
3,589
Tokens
On both as well Worm. Played Cinn big Monday-1. Figured they b -3 b4 gd game.
 

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
52,429
Tokens
W/Pix.....BOL with your Sun. action buddy........
following your lead on both......added Phil Un. as well.....indy
 

Member
Joined
Oct 22, 2004
Messages
16,714
Tokens
Wormy ,BOL on your Cincy pick as I like them myself and you had a excellent preview on the game.Remember when Reid was in Philly he had a hard time winning NFC Title games as well.
 

Member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
3,880
Tokens
On both of these also. A rookie QB in Philly vs. a smart, quick and physical D. In KC, I still wonder how effective Mahomes will be and whether he'll even finish the game. The Bengals were dominant last week, have proven they can win @ KC, and the Chiefs have not put teams away this season as in the past.
Excellent observations Fred. Henne is a very capable QB, however we have to look @ Burrow's work so far. Incredibly impressive. He proved it to me last yr & would've won the SB if not for Donald's last second sack when Chase was wide open for the score.
gl my friend
Let's get to the Big Gm, Cash!!
Eagles played in the best division and SF played in a division that had 2 teams with more losses than all other the teams in the NFC East combined.
GL
Yes, & they absolutely destroyed NYG despite them being a div rival & on a hot streak themselves. I thought NYG might have an edge w/benching their whole team in final gm of season against PHI, but PHI easily dispatched both their JV & varsity teams! Thanks for the kind words too, Gman.
 

Member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
3,880
Tokens
Wormy ,BOL on your Cincy pick as I like them myself and you had a excellent preview on the game.Remember when Reid was in Philly he had a hard time winning NFC Title games as well.
Absolutely. Somehow he's a great preparation coach but awful in-gm guy. Don Shula was the exact opposite. He was a field general in a war!
 

Member
Joined
Sep 24, 2005
Messages
4,006
Tokens
I’m on that under with you. Good luck!

Fangio just signed as the Fins D coordinator! Yeah buddy!!!!!
 

Member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
3,880
Tokens
I’m on that under with you. Good luck!

Fangio just signed as the Fins D coordinator! Yeah buddy!!!!!
Nice! To both PHI Under & our new DC!

Again, so much anticipation for next season. Can we FINALLY stay healthy & go to the SB??
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,115,568
Messages
13,525,484
Members
100,286
Latest member
invoicetemple05
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com