Griffin, I completely agree they get out of the first round, but not b/c they are good, b/c they are home and playing in an absolutely piss poor group. If they advance, they play the winner or 2nd of England/Sweden/Paraguay group. Assuming England and Sweden advance, they are not nearly as good as either of those teams. Assuming they beat them, they play Arg/Ned/S&M/I Coast/Mex/Port and have to win that game for you to cash.
IMO, NO F*ING way are they getting through the knockout stages against those teams. If they were in ARG or ITALY group, they would be no better than the 3rd best team in the group. They are lucky to have that shit group they have. They would need huge upsets (like they benefitted from in 02) to get to the semis. Frankly, they weren't good in 02 but played Ireland, Cameroon and Saudi Arabia in the first round and Paraguay, US and Korea in the knockouts. They haven't beaten a top team since the 02 Euro.