I am going to put up some ideas and feel free to critique them. I think this card is gong to be a tough one to handicap with so much talent running tonight. The factthat this is ELIMINATIONS means that we may not get 100% out of these horses. All too often I have seen them be satisfied with a top 4 when they clearly had the juice to take the win.
So I am putting up my thoughts REAL early here and taking time to think them through the day - will post any changes of heart later.
Race#1: Short field of 7. There are some very competitive horses here and the tote may be your guide.
I will likely back H T Bo Magee. Last start out she got parked inside and had to watch the race unfold. With this more open race and having beaten most of these horses in the recent past ,I think she may be able to do it here. The only unanswered question for me will be #5 & #6 horses who are higher priced critters that have a "Story" (ie: coming off vet scratches etc etc) that MAY be able to upset. **Miss Billie Le Ru would be my longshot
RACE#2: Kadabra
This horse is down in class a bit and should be able to get out front from the 10 hole. (I ususally run from this post) If she does, she should have no problem finishing well. Keep an eye on the odds and maybe look at her for an exotic to get a better play. Maybe with "Springtop"
RACE#3: Bunny Lake
I like race 3 as it brings in a horse that has made me good $$ Bunny should handle this field.
Given that the odds should be LOW, I am looking as well for a good exotic.
Although I think Worldly Beauty will be seen as the next favourite, BUT I am going to bet on Eternal Camnation for the second slot of my ex. Maybe I'll even use a 4/6,1 Ex.
RACE4: Western Affluence/DropintheHammer
I believe these two should run the game here. That said , I am always slow to rule out the Waples effect on "PutaSmileon". Depending on the odds at post, I may play 1 horse or I may look for an exotic.
RACE#5: This one will be interesting as well...
I am looking at "Fools Goal" to be the main horse here along with "AbbeyRoad" That said, Abbey has drawn the 10 hole which can be a tough one to win from so I am looking to take some higher odds and use "Cameron HAll".
So- #5 Cameron Hall across the board and maybe a 7/5 exactor or 7/5/10 Tri here. See how the bankroll is bruised by then
Race6: Just too open . IF I take a shot, it could be with "CC Spice" and a "longshot". I would normally back Armbro Amaretto", however she is looking at the 10 hole which could be too much to get a win and odds will be low on her. I have a "feeling" that "Loyal Opposition" could be on the board at 10-1 or more and COULD actually be in the top 3 tonight with the right trip.
**CC Spice across board and something on loyal for a hopeful surprise
RACE#8: Camelot Hall/Lucky Jackpot
These horses SHOULD run 1/2 however they have the distinction of having the 8 & 9 slots. I am not convinced entirely that they will fail BUT I might be looking at Brandons Cowboy with Campbell on board for a big upset here and a big price to match maybe.
RACE#10: Future Champion
Another race that sticks a good contender out in 10 hole - Casino Miss. I am always slow to bet on this position at Woodbine as it has cost me too often. That said, I will be looking at value on "Future" as well as the numbers on JasperAvenue Or Monterey. Either horse can take a share here and I will likely lean to Jasper tonight with a 1 slot and McDonnell on the cart.
RACE#10: Bidding For Time/cammibest
Should see Admirals Express & Firstline Luck take the engines early. I am playing this one for an "upset" and expecting them to setup the closers. The odds at post will determine for me if "Bidding" is worth a play or not. Cammi may even have it in her to take this on outright.
RACE#11: Yulestar N
Should be the class ofthis field. Moiseyev should handle her well.
RACE#12: Yankee Sensation
Campbell should route.And I will be looking at Dreamfair Vogel as well for a few dollars on an exactor
If odds are decent with Yank ,I'll wheel here with #9,7,6 (Dream, Allstar & Arts Regards)
Good Luck Tonight!!!
sds
So I am putting up my thoughts REAL early here and taking time to think them through the day - will post any changes of heart later.
Race#1: Short field of 7. There are some very competitive horses here and the tote may be your guide.
I will likely back H T Bo Magee. Last start out she got parked inside and had to watch the race unfold. With this more open race and having beaten most of these horses in the recent past ,I think she may be able to do it here. The only unanswered question for me will be #5 & #6 horses who are higher priced critters that have a "Story" (ie: coming off vet scratches etc etc) that MAY be able to upset. **Miss Billie Le Ru would be my longshot
RACE#2: Kadabra
This horse is down in class a bit and should be able to get out front from the 10 hole. (I ususally run from this post) If she does, she should have no problem finishing well. Keep an eye on the odds and maybe look at her for an exotic to get a better play. Maybe with "Springtop"
RACE#3: Bunny Lake
I like race 3 as it brings in a horse that has made me good $$ Bunny should handle this field.
Given that the odds should be LOW, I am looking as well for a good exotic.
Although I think Worldly Beauty will be seen as the next favourite, BUT I am going to bet on Eternal Camnation for the second slot of my ex. Maybe I'll even use a 4/6,1 Ex.
RACE4: Western Affluence/DropintheHammer
I believe these two should run the game here. That said , I am always slow to rule out the Waples effect on "PutaSmileon". Depending on the odds at post, I may play 1 horse or I may look for an exotic.
RACE#5: This one will be interesting as well...
I am looking at "Fools Goal" to be the main horse here along with "AbbeyRoad" That said, Abbey has drawn the 10 hole which can be a tough one to win from so I am looking to take some higher odds and use "Cameron HAll".
So- #5 Cameron Hall across the board and maybe a 7/5 exactor or 7/5/10 Tri here. See how the bankroll is bruised by then
Race6: Just too open . IF I take a shot, it could be with "CC Spice" and a "longshot". I would normally back Armbro Amaretto", however she is looking at the 10 hole which could be too much to get a win and odds will be low on her. I have a "feeling" that "Loyal Opposition" could be on the board at 10-1 or more and COULD actually be in the top 3 tonight with the right trip.
**CC Spice across board and something on loyal for a hopeful surprise
RACE#8: Camelot Hall/Lucky Jackpot
These horses SHOULD run 1/2 however they have the distinction of having the 8 & 9 slots. I am not convinced entirely that they will fail BUT I might be looking at Brandons Cowboy with Campbell on board for a big upset here and a big price to match maybe.
RACE#10: Future Champion
Another race that sticks a good contender out in 10 hole - Casino Miss. I am always slow to bet on this position at Woodbine as it has cost me too often. That said, I will be looking at value on "Future" as well as the numbers on JasperAvenue Or Monterey. Either horse can take a share here and I will likely lean to Jasper tonight with a 1 slot and McDonnell on the cart.
RACE#10: Bidding For Time/cammibest
Should see Admirals Express & Firstline Luck take the engines early. I am playing this one for an "upset" and expecting them to setup the closers. The odds at post will determine for me if "Bidding" is worth a play or not. Cammi may even have it in her to take this on outright.
RACE#11: Yulestar N
Should be the class ofthis field. Moiseyev should handle her well.
RACE#12: Yankee Sensation
Campbell should route.And I will be looking at Dreamfair Vogel as well for a few dollars on an exactor
If odds are decent with Yank ,I'll wheel here with #9,7,6 (Dream, Allstar & Arts Regards)
Good Luck Tonight!!!
sds
