Wisconsin vs Minnesota 11/12/2011

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Wisconsin is a heavy favorite winning 95% of simulations over Minnesota. Russell Wilson is averaging 199 passing yards and 1.91 TDs per simulation and Montee Ball is projected for 123 rushing yards and a 93% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 5% of simulations where Minnesota wins, MarQueis Gray averages 1.58 TD passes vs 0.67 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.7 TDs to 0.78 interceptions. Duane Bennett averages 62 rushing yards and 0.44 rushing TDs when Minnesota wins and 54 yards and 0.2 TDs in losses. Wisconsin has a 52% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 97% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MIN +27

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