Wigan to drop +200

[rolltide]

this is the perfect time for a "Wigan to relegate" bet! First off I think Wigan have the worst roster in EPL and were always my favorites to relegate. Sitting on 5 points after 3 games looks great on paper but they were simply lucky to draw the 3 newcomers in each of these games, 2 at home. Even with that they were only able to win once and now comes the real teams.

this next stretch will put them in bottom of the table with 3/4 away games and playing real decent teams: at City, at Everton, home Spurs, at Villa. Even if they stay afloat during an easier Oct/Nov schedule then December will be their undoing with Arsenal, West Brom, Chelsea, Liverpool, United, and Stoke in succession.

By New Year's Day they'll be bottom two, IMO, and you'll be lucky to get -200 for this bet

 

[cocktailsnlongshots+]

well i hope my boys can put you off on the right boot today

 

[rolltide]

good start here with 3 straight losses to fall just 1 point above the drop zone and 2 points from dead last with a trip to draw masters, villa, on tap. price now +150 to go down which is still nice value IMHO

took a flier on Bristol Rovers to win League Two at 16/1. Likely not good enough to stay with Crawley but just beat leaders away and only need to find home scoring form. Serious team and just signed a Leicester young MF on loan.

 

[guil0000]

I grabbed some of that bet at +175. looking pretty good

 

[guil0000]

I grabbed some of that bet at +175. looking pretty good

 

[rolltide]

Wigan bet is rolling along with last 6 matches picking up a perfect ZERO points and now dead last on the EPL table

so with that bet on track let's go to the other side of the table and

Man United to win EPL +180

tremendous odds though City are in driver's seat. United have been hit with a lot of injuries early on, particularly in defense where they're not particularly deep, but with Rio and Vidic coming to full fitness they will be hard to beat. After the City debacle this team is not only well focused but will be favored in every EPL match for many months as this is the weak area of the schedule

unless you count Newcastle as a top 4 club, which I don't, they should breeze through the next 3.5 months making these odds quite valuable come mid feb when they face Chelski

Oct 29 7:00 ET Everton v Manchester United Goodison Park Premier League
Nov 5 11:00 ET Manchester United v Sunderland Old Trafford Premier League
Nov 19 12:30 ET Swansea City v Manchester United Liberty Stadium Premier League
Nov 26 10:00 ET Manchester United v Newcastle United Old Trafford Premier League
Dec 3 12:30 ET Aston Villa v Manchester United Villa Park Premier League
Dec 10 10:00 ET Manchester United v Wolverhampton Wanderers Old Trafford Premier League
Dec 18 7:00 ET Queens Park Rangers v Manchester United Loftus Road Premier League
Dec 21 3:00 ET Fulham v Manchester United Craven Cottage Premier League
Dec 26 10:00 ET Manchester United v Wigan Athletic Old Trafford Premier League
Dec 31 7:45 ET Manchester United v Blackburn Rovers Old Trafford Premier League
Jan 4 3:00 ET Newcastle United v Manchester United St James' Park Premier League
Jan 14 10:00 ET Manchester United v Bolton Wanderers Old Trafford Premier League
Jan 22 11:00 ET Arsenal v Manchester United Emirates Stadium Premier League
Jan 31 2:45 ET Manchester United v Stoke City Old Trafford Premier League

 

[cocktailsnlongshots+]

their next match will be a bitch at goodison...the rest is or shall i say 'seems' like a walk in the park...the only thing to factor in is the other competitions(carling,fa,cl)sprinkled in between the league matches....other than that, it looks like they could have a good run....as for vidic being back, he is top class....rio though, different story...totally reminds me of lescott..it's all in their name...they have just lived off of past accomplishments on the teams' back they played for....they both have no game in my opinion..ps i hope you are wrong about yer above wager...go city!...hahaha.....cheers

 

[rolltide]

well i'm a real big Rio fan. Doesn't have the quickness of 4 years ago but is rarely caught out of position and he's damn good in the air. vidic, in my incredibly biased opinion, is the best center back in the world so i'm still shaking my head on how he didn't start against city. Rio not getting younger but when you watch Evans and before him, O'shea, take his place you realize just how valuable he is to United. They're a completely different team without Rio/Vidic paired up.

yes, the everton match will be a tough one but that's a lot of easy matches in a row and united should see a lot of points between now and february. carling cup is a non-issue as all the reserves (valencia, cleverley, berbatov, owen, etc) will get run out. United get next 2 CL matches in Old Trafford with Galati being a walkover next week then the tough one against Benfica. Assuming 6 points they'll be qualified before December begins so I fully expect to be leading the premier league by the new year

keep thinking city will falter with all these distractions but they're rolling right along...dirty bastards

 

[cocktailsnlongshots+]

hahahaha/////dirty bastards i take as a compliment...ciao....

 

[rolltide]

current odds to be relegated

Wigan -350
Blackburn -110
Norwich +175
Swansea +175
Bolton +200
Wolves +220


was thinking of taking a bit on Bolton at +200. They're the worst defensive team in EPL and the team that allows the most goals goes down every year. My gut says they'll get it together but if you're thinking of taking that bet you have to do it now as they play only one home game against a relegation candidate between now and mid-Feb and have a very easy schedule in closing months. After seeing their home schedule up to now which included City, United, and Chelsea I'll hold off and just keep my Wigan bet for relegation. Speaking of Wigan they're now 0-1-8 since taking the bet

Wolves could be in trouble. They still have Chelsea, United, Liverpool, Arsenal, and City to play at home

 

[cocktailsnlongshots+]

funny, as soon a i saw this thread pop back up...i wondered if u had thought of another team to make fun of....looks like we think alike...bolton is dregs....thet don't even look like a league 1 defense...good on ya

 

[guil0000]

Thanks for the nice bet tailed when I saw it

 

[rolltide]

a couple of killers today

ref hands newcastle a bullshit point and wigan scores in final seconds of game to win away

 

[rolltide]

update time: The united to win EPL bet is all but dead. The Vidic injury destroyed all chance as Rio will undoubtedly get injured at some point as well and Jones/Smalling is a good central defense pairing only in the Championship

Wigan bet still on track though. They're still #1 favorites to drop at -250 with Blackburn at -190 and Bolton 3rd favorite at -167. Wigan still have to host both Manchester teams plus go to Arsenal, Spurs, Chelsea, and Liverpool. They have by far the worst goal difference in the EPL and every year both the worst goal diff and team that concedes the most go down.

 

[rolltide]

updating...

Still consider United to win EPL a losing bet as they just can't survive with these central defense injuries despite only trailing City by 3 points and GD. Likely be the time Feb is out that number will get pushed to 6-8 points. Once EPL starts back up need United to whip Stoke and City to pull their annual choke job at Everton but then United get Chelsea/Liverpool b2b while City take out Fulham/Villa...

Wigan bet is rolling along. They sit dead last and 4 points from safety with worst league GD. They do have some winnable matches coming against Everton, Swansea, Bolton, Villa in Feb/Mar so not counting the money yet. Current odds for Wigan to drop are -500 with Bolton and Blackburn -120.

 

[rolltide]

monthly update...

Wigan have closed in on safety with 5 points in 3 games but still sit last in table with fewest wins and most goals conceded. A real 6 pointer up next when they host swansea who are in junk form at the moment

United won today and are just 2 points back of City but they are only paper contenders. Normally I'd say a road game vs #3 team would be a sure home bet but that team is Spurs and if you know United's history against them they simply never lose (been over a decade!). Have not seen a United team play this poorly in several years and it's pretty shocking they're 19-4-3. Even though they have an incredibly easy schedule after Spurs I recommend backing the underdogs at huge prices since they'll slip up a time or two. City will win the league by 7-9 points IMHO

 

[rolltide]

boy do we miss him

 

[rolltide]

with wigan 3-0 up after 40' i can officially call this bet dead. incredible stretch they had beating United, Arsenal, and now Newcastle all within a month.