Like I said, I am not a huge trend player either, in fact this is the only trend I have ever played. The way I look at it is that when there is only 1 or 2 CFB games on the board the linesmakers inflate the faves because they know the casual bettor generally takes the fav. All I am saying with these numbers is that the home team generally comes out with a swagger and plays over their head. I think Vegas is pretty happy tonight, not only did they get the juice but with all of the money on KSU that moved the line from 3.5 to 6, they will be able to re-gold plate all of the shitters in the casino. Again, just my 2 cents. Just like when the books got crippled when the Giants won the SB, all the money was on the G-men and the ML because of the odds and they took it in the ass big time.
Like I said, I am not a huge trend player either, in fact this is the only trend I have ever played. The way I look at it is that when there is only 1 or 2 CFB games on the board the linesmakers inflate the faves because they know the casual bettor generally takes the fav. All I am saying with these numbers is that the home team generally comes out with a swagger and plays over their head. I think Vegas is pretty happy tonight, not only did they get the juice but with all of the money on KSU that moved the line from 3.5 to 6, they will be able to re-gold plate all of the shitters in the casino. Again, just my 2 cents. Just like when the books got crippled when the Giants won the SB, all the money was on the G-men and the ML because of the odds and they took it in the ass big time.
I am not trying to argue with you guys, I am just stating it the way I see it, good luck to you. WVU was a solid team last year, but they didn't win any games to get in the top 10. They were annointed that spot by guys that write sports columns. Devine has never carried the full load and when was the last time WVU won a game on the arm of Pat White? All I am saying is that a lot can change in a year, especially when you lose as much talent as WVU did. Everybody starts at 0 and this WVU team hasn't beaten anyone yet, it may happen tonight, might not.
Here is what I usually do, and it put me at major + units to start the year in 2006 and 2007.
Power rank all the FBS teams somewhat, I do it in like a group of 20 or so tiers, and do it a few weeks before the season starts. Then take the first 5 weeks and print out the schedules. Set the lines yourself. I do this for the first 5 weeks only. Since seasons take so many twists and turns during the first few weeks, and nobody can ever really tell how a team is going to be at the end of the year after only 2-3 games, I look at the point spreads I made in the preseason as better indicators than the point spreads now. So much is based on single-game performances when point spreads are set early in the year, too much.
Bottom line.
I had Rutgers -10.5 / -11 at Navy
I had West Virginia - 7.5 / -8 at Colorado
Thus I saw value in Rutgers -3.5, likewise with West Virginia -3
Power rank all the FBS teams somewhat, I do it in like a group of 20 or so tiers, and do it a few weeks before the season starts. Then take the first 5 weeks and print out the schedules. Set the lines yourself. I do this for the first 5 weeks only. Since seasons take so many twists and turns during the first few weeks, and nobody can ever really tell how a team is going to be at the end of the year after only 2-3 games, I look at the point spreads I made in the preseason as better indicators than the point spreads now. So much is based on single-game performances when point spreads are set early in the year, too much.
Bottom line.
I had Rutgers -10.5 / -11 at Navy
I had West Virginia - 7.5 / -8 at Colorado
Thus I saw value in Rutgers -3.5, likewise with West Virginia -3
Who is going to stop them??? I will start with Villanova and East Carolina. Since Slaton and Schmitt left what have they done??? You are predicting that they will do what they have done in the past when they had and entirely different team. What happened to WVU when Slaton was injured in the Pitt game last year?
Wait til you get a look at Darrell Scott, he just might go off tomorrow night for the Buffs. I don't want to get into a pissing contest with you, its a forum you post your thoughts and I will post mine. I guess we just agree to disagree, but again good luck to you.
Too bad Villanova didn't stop them and ECU won't be playing in the CU game. WVU lost in Pitt...a conference game much different place and time.
WVU is in a must win spot tomorrow. They can't afford a 1-2 start. Darrell Scott had 13 carries for 39 yards vs Eastern Wash.
Noel Devine went 12 carries for 97 yards vs ECU.
whisperz right on man, stand by wvu on this. must win game is all that should be said. also to help towards your point, wvu has always played close vs ECU except last year. They just caught ECU's momentum from the VT win, just like the loss they took from USF when they rode out their momentum on wvu from the auburn win. It was humid, energy absorbing day at the ECU game wrong spot at the wrong time for them.
Once the offense gets fired up, thats when the defense will show up and hold on enough positions to get the score up. once the offense scores, defense should light up as well knowing their offense will score and not result to FG's and fumbles.
BOL on the play
your right about must win cause I want them to pull this off, dont need anything worse with a new coach's first season
Once the offense gets fired up, thats when the defense will show up and hold on enough positions to get the score up. once the offense scores, defense should light up as well knowing their offense will score and not result to FG's and fumbles.
BOL on the play
your right about must win cause I want them to pull this off, dont need anything worse with a new coach's first season
whisperz or any other wvu backers, how do you feel about the mountaineers' ability to execute stewart's new offensive gameplan? seems like they really struggled with it against ECU and i was curious to see how you feel confident about this aspect going into tonight's game? i'm actually leaning towards wvu myself, but this is a big concern for me. just seems a lot to ask of all the linemen who are used to the zone blocking scheme of rodriguez to be able to go into another hostile environment in thin air and be successful with this new playbook. thanks
a couple of points.....i see this as a shootout.....i dont see colo stopping white devine, and sanders.....i think colo will burn our corners a few times....
wvu is going back to the zone blocking/pat white zone read this game....they went away from it at ecu and i have no idea why.....the long runs devine and white had against ecu, came from the zone read.....coaches have been fillingthe players heads all weak saying the fans have said the season is over.....the players will be motivated here.....i know it sounds like a homer pick but im on wvu....pressure is on with this coaching staff for this game because they know if they win they probably go into the auburn game with 1 loss.....
wvu is going back to the zone blocking/pat white zone read this game....they went away from it at ecu and i have no idea why.....the long runs devine and white had against ecu, came from the zone read.....coaches have been fillingthe players heads all weak saying the fans have said the season is over.....the players will be motivated here.....i know it sounds like a homer pick but im on wvu....pressure is on with this coaching staff for this game because they know if they win they probably go into the auburn game with 1 loss.....
WV wins
My guys say WV wins this game. Here's their write up on the game
"There are 3 reasons why WV should win a close game against Clorado Thursday evening. First, the Mountaineers retruns the best offensive line in college football from a year ago-Everyone! Next, their Heisman Trophy candidate QB, Pat White, is probably one of the nation's best "combo-quarterbacks" (running and passing). And third, WV has the best kicker(Pat McAfee) in the nation. His head coach says the Lou Groza semi-finalist from a year ago "has the strongest leg in the country". Blue-chip RB Noel Divine along with White are 2 of college football's fastest men. Meanwhile, Colorado must replace All-American LB, Jordon Dixon and replace both graduating cornerbacks. Colorado does return 8 on defense and retains a good QB in Cody Hawkins. However, Colorado's leading returning rusher from a year ago rushed for only 335 yeards and their leading receiver from last year who is now starting only caught passes totaling 550 yards. If WV's defense comes up big against Hawkins, WV should win the game rather easily because of their offensive front and speed at the skill positions. If it's a closer game, look for McAfee's leg to make the Difference."
My guys say WV wins this game. Here's their write up on the game
"There are 3 reasons why WV should win a close game against Clorado Thursday evening. First, the Mountaineers retruns the best offensive line in college football from a year ago-Everyone! Next, their Heisman Trophy candidate QB, Pat White, is probably one of the nation's best "combo-quarterbacks" (running and passing). And third, WV has the best kicker(Pat McAfee) in the nation. His head coach says the Lou Groza semi-finalist from a year ago "has the strongest leg in the country". Blue-chip RB Noel Divine along with White are 2 of college football's fastest men. Meanwhile, Colorado must replace All-American LB, Jordon Dixon and replace both graduating cornerbacks. Colorado does return 8 on defense and retains a good QB in Cody Hawkins. However, Colorado's leading returning rusher from a year ago rushed for only 335 yeards and their leading receiver from last year who is now starting only caught passes totaling 550 yards. If WV's defense comes up big against Hawkins, WV should win the game rather easily because of their offensive front and speed at the skill positions. If it's a closer game, look for McAfee's leg to make the Difference."
