First off, a friend asked me to view this thread on this forum. It is hysterical. I have lurked on other forums before and even signed up for one over a year ago, but I had to sign up here today and respond to the nonsense that Riggs has brought here.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
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Secondly, I have a doctorate from MIT in Statistical Analysis and was valedictorian there and in High School. I wrote my thesis on "The Prediction of Random Effects in Sports Gambling using BLUP (Best Linear Unbiased Predictors)". I contacted a Sportsbook in Vegas and they set me up with a Vegas company that sent me over two decades worth of information in multiple sports so I could back-test line data and game results. The results were quite staggering. <o></o>
<o></o>
Given two random variables with a joint bivariate normal distribution, the estimated mean of one corresponding to a specified value of the other is known as a predictor of the particular realization of the random variable. Recent literature has tended to use the term predictor, rather than estimator, when referring to random effects. When prediction is based on the regression line, the predictor is known as a best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) of the random effect. <o></o>
<o></o>
In relation to the prediction used in plant and animal breeding, the BLUP of G <o></o>
corresponding to a particular value P(i) of the phenotype will always be closer to the population mean than P(i) itself. Compared to P(i), the BLUP of G(i) is shrunken towards the mean. The degree of shrinkage depends on the variance-covariance structure of the bivariate distribution. In general, the shrinkage factor will be the ratio of the covariance between the two variables to the variance of the conditioning variable. <o></o>
<o></o>
BLUP is an important principle in mixed model analysis. <o></o>
<o></o>
The example I used for sports betting was similar to: <o></o>
<o></o>
Y(ijk) = m + F(i) + R(j) + FR(ij) + e(ijk), where F(i) represents the fixed effect of the vegas lines, R(j) represents the random effect of line movement (j), FR(ij) represents the random indeteration between the vegas lines and the line movements, and e(ijk) represents a random error associated with a particular observation. Assume that R(j) are random samples from a population with mean zero and variance V[R], FR(ij) are random samples from a population with mean zero and variance V[FR], and e(ijk) are random samples from a population with mean zero and variance V[e]. Furthermore, assume that R(j), FR(ij) and e(ijk) are independent.<o></o>
<o></o>
With this model, the expected value of any observation Y(ijk) is m + F. The variance of any observation is V[R] + V[FR] + V[e]. The covariance between any two observations from the same machine-operator combination is V[R] + V[FR]. The covariance between two observations from the same operator but different machines is V[R]. The covariance between two observations from different operators is zero. <o></o>
Anyway, it is pointless to try and explain how this works using these formulas unless you have the background to understand it.<o></o>
<o></o>
Bottom line is this:<o></o>
<o></o>
This RIGGS guy is a total moron. An idiot. A bully who talks tough on the Internet and makes wild promises. He claims to have found the "golden goose", as Northern Star points out (more on him later). "Bobby" Riggs is obviously a narcissistic egomaniac. <o></o>
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The part that cracks me up the most (and I cannot believe nobody else has picked up on this) is the part where he actually believe that He and Vegas are actually in a "chess-match" with each other!!! Hysterical!!! LMAO!!! He actually thinks that Vegas knows the outcomes of these games and then in turn produces these Over/Under "cycles" to throw the bettors off. LMAO!!! <o></o>
<o></o>
And of course, since Riggs is suck a friggin "genius", he has "discovered" what Vegas is "secretly" up to and is "cleaning up" now, making "piles and piles" of money. And gosh, how nice of this clown to SHARE this "discovery" with the general public for free!! How nice. How altruistic. How much BS can this guy shovel out???<o></o>
<o></o>
He claims the formula is based on calculus and algebra, yet when pressed, it is REALLY just simple addition and subtraction, and the only "trick" is for this "genius" RIGGS to figure out when Vegas is "changing their cycles" around. LMAO!!! <o></o>
Last night, just his 2nd time posting here, he goes 0-3 and of course that is the first 0-3 he has ever had with this system. LMAO!!! He explains this as "vegas messing with me". ROTF LMAO!!! Yeah, Vegas sees him posting at the RX now, so they "pulled a fast one" and reversed the cycle on him yesterday!! ROTF LMAO!!!! How utterly ridiculous, laughable and absurd.<o></o>
<o></o>
And now Mr. Internet Tough Guy Riggs is going to be "up all night" crunching numbers and tweaking formulas for us so he can figure out what Vegas is up to. How tricky of Vegas to reverse that cycle on poor Mr. Riggs last night out of the blue. How unfair of Vegas to do that!! LMAO!!!<o></o>
<o></o>
This guy is a FRAUD. He last about 2 weeks at covers.com, lost his ass there with this "system" he "discovered" that "hits 70%". He had the same wild claims there, and as soon as he went into the tank, which was quick, the sharks swam in after this tough guy, who was now chum, and ate him alive, which is already starting to happen here. And of course this bully, like ALL bullies, just attacks his attackers by "yelling louder", using worse insults than they did and just being unbearably condescending, always acting like he is the "expert" and everyone else is the "moron". I see in just 2 days, the same pattern is already happening here. No surprise.<o></o>
<o></o>
This guy has no formula based on calculus, in fact, he has no friggin clue in the world how to hit even 60% with this fairytale system, let alone 70%.
Somebody needs to send a boat over to Fantasy Island and bring Riggs back to reality. But I doubt he'll ever leave, so say hello to Mr. Rourke for me, ok numbskull? <o></o>
<o></o>
Anybody can claim to be a friggin genius on the Internet. That's the beauty of the Internet. Anyone can type whatever they want, live in whatever fantasy world they want, and who is to say it isn't true?<o></o>
<o></o>
Take Northern Star, who wrote that eloquent rebuttal today. Here is part of it:<o></o>
<o></o>
"In regards to my abilities, I scored in the top one tenth of one percent in math on my college entrance test ( a perfect score ), I received a full ride scholarship, I have an aerospace engineering degree and I will probably be the only person you know that has had information so good that they couldn't get a $5 (grocery store dollars that is) bet accepted at a major sportsbook in Las Vegas. Let me know when Ceasar Palace or some other major sportsbook tells you "I am sorry sir but we don't want you action on a $5 bet" (I think it would have paid about $50)"<o></o>
<o></o>
<o></o>
And twice in your response, you said you have been gambling for "over 30 years", which of course coupled with the above "abilities" gives you instant "credibility", right?? Well, all it takes is one look at your profile to see your birthday is January 26, 1969. So I guess you were gambling at Age 3, 4, 5 or 6, then, huh?<o></o>
<o></o>
You see, this is the "beauty" of the internet. You can lie-lie-lie all day long and who can really prove it? <o></o>
<o></o>
Just because you typed those impressive "credentials" on an Internet forum, Northern Star, doesn't mean they are true. Anybody can type that BS. It doesn't make it fact. The same way I typed my "credentials" at the top of my reply. None of that is actually true. None of it. But how would you know if I didn't tell you?? You wouldn't. Yes, I understand you were just trying to call this a-hole Riggs out and the best way to argue with a narcissistic bully is to pump yourself up full of "credentials" the same way the LIAR RIGGS did, so you are forgiven.<o></o>
<o></o>
But the "Almighty Riggs"......You are a farce, a liar, a bully, a JOKE. Period. You are already 7-7 and won't get much better than that. <o></o>
<o></o>
I will say what everyone in here is thinking but haven't said:<o></o>
<o></o>
I am rooting against you. I am rooting against ALL of your picks, unless I happen to bet one of them myself, and believe me, if I am on the same side as you on a pick from time to time, it has NOTHING to do with you being on it, believe me, loser. You are a blowhard, fraudulent, narcissistic bully. Why don't you get out now and cut your losses? Stop posting immediately and save yourself further humiliation.<o></o>
<o></o>
There is no "secret formula" to picking winners, people, like Northern Star said. And I've seen hundreds of clowns come along on forums like this with ridiculous stories like this.<o></o>
<o></o>
BEWARE!!<o></o>
<o></o>
This guy is nothing but an attention whore. All he talks about is how many views he got at covers. That's ALL that he REALLY cares about, here. He is a lonely, broke loser who needs attention, so this kind of interaction with "people" on the Net fulfills all the things that are missing in his life.<o></o>
<o></o>
This is a sports forum. NOBODY cares about secret formulas, calculus, algebra, inside information, cycles and whatever else.<o></o>
<o></o>
All people care about here is WINNERS. If you cannot pick winners, people don't care. Ok, Mr. Riggs?? They don't care if your system is a monkey throwing darts at a dartboard, if it hits 60% over the course of the season, THAT is all that matters. You dopes here on these forums are all too wrapped up in providing a "secret" system or "mathematical" system or "fade" system or "quit factor" system. All of which are ridiculous. <o></o>
<o></o>
You want attention, just pick winners, nobody really cares how you did it if you can do it consistently.<o></o>
<o></o>
WAKE UP, people.<o></o>
<o></o>
Secondly, I have a doctorate from MIT in Statistical Analysis and was valedictorian there and in High School. I wrote my thesis on "The Prediction of Random Effects in Sports Gambling using BLUP (Best Linear Unbiased Predictors)". I contacted a Sportsbook in Vegas and they set me up with a Vegas company that sent me over two decades worth of information in multiple sports so I could back-test line data and game results. The results were quite staggering. <o></o>
<o></o>
Given two random variables with a joint bivariate normal distribution, the estimated mean of one corresponding to a specified value of the other is known as a predictor of the particular realization of the random variable. Recent literature has tended to use the term predictor, rather than estimator, when referring to random effects. When prediction is based on the regression line, the predictor is known as a best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) of the random effect. <o></o>
<o></o>
In relation to the prediction used in plant and animal breeding, the BLUP of G <o></o>
corresponding to a particular value P(i) of the phenotype will always be closer to the population mean than P(i) itself. Compared to P(i), the BLUP of G(i) is shrunken towards the mean. The degree of shrinkage depends on the variance-covariance structure of the bivariate distribution. In general, the shrinkage factor will be the ratio of the covariance between the two variables to the variance of the conditioning variable. <o></o>
<o></o>
BLUP is an important principle in mixed model analysis. <o></o>
<o></o>
The example I used for sports betting was similar to: <o></o>
<o></o>
Y(ijk) = m + F(i) + R(j) + FR(ij) + e(ijk), where F(i) represents the fixed effect of the vegas lines, R(j) represents the random effect of line movement (j), FR(ij) represents the random indeteration between the vegas lines and the line movements, and e(ijk) represents a random error associated with a particular observation. Assume that R(j) are random samples from a population with mean zero and variance V[R], FR(ij) are random samples from a population with mean zero and variance V[FR], and e(ijk) are random samples from a population with mean zero and variance V[e]. Furthermore, assume that R(j), FR(ij) and e(ijk) are independent.<o></o>
<o></o>
With this model, the expected value of any observation Y(ijk) is m + F. The variance of any observation is V[R] + V[FR] + V[e]. The covariance between any two observations from the same machine-operator combination is V[R] + V[FR]. The covariance between two observations from the same operator but different machines is V[R]. The covariance between two observations from different operators is zero. <o></o>
Anyway, it is pointless to try and explain how this works using these formulas unless you have the background to understand it.<o></o>
<o></o>
Bottom line is this:<o></o>
<o></o>
This RIGGS guy is a total moron. An idiot. A bully who talks tough on the Internet and makes wild promises. He claims to have found the "golden goose", as Northern Star points out (more on him later). "Bobby" Riggs is obviously a narcissistic egomaniac. <o></o>
<o></o>
The part that cracks me up the most (and I cannot believe nobody else has picked up on this) is the part where he actually believe that He and Vegas are actually in a "chess-match" with each other!!! Hysterical!!! LMAO!!! He actually thinks that Vegas knows the outcomes of these games and then in turn produces these Over/Under "cycles" to throw the bettors off. LMAO!!! <o></o>
<o></o>
And of course, since Riggs is suck a friggin "genius", he has "discovered" what Vegas is "secretly" up to and is "cleaning up" now, making "piles and piles" of money. And gosh, how nice of this clown to SHARE this "discovery" with the general public for free!! How nice. How altruistic. How much BS can this guy shovel out???<o></o>
<o></o>
He claims the formula is based on calculus and algebra, yet when pressed, it is REALLY just simple addition and subtraction, and the only "trick" is for this "genius" RIGGS to figure out when Vegas is "changing their cycles" around. LMAO!!! <o></o>
Last night, just his 2nd time posting here, he goes 0-3 and of course that is the first 0-3 he has ever had with this system. LMAO!!! He explains this as "vegas messing with me". ROTF LMAO!!! Yeah, Vegas sees him posting at the RX now, so they "pulled a fast one" and reversed the cycle on him yesterday!! ROTF LMAO!!!! How utterly ridiculous, laughable and absurd.<o></o>
<o></o>
And now Mr. Internet Tough Guy Riggs is going to be "up all night" crunching numbers and tweaking formulas for us so he can figure out what Vegas is up to. How tricky of Vegas to reverse that cycle on poor Mr. Riggs last night out of the blue. How unfair of Vegas to do that!! LMAO!!!<o></o>
<o></o>
This guy is a FRAUD. He last about 2 weeks at covers.com, lost his ass there with this "system" he "discovered" that "hits 70%". He had the same wild claims there, and as soon as he went into the tank, which was quick, the sharks swam in after this tough guy, who was now chum, and ate him alive, which is already starting to happen here. And of course this bully, like ALL bullies, just attacks his attackers by "yelling louder", using worse insults than they did and just being unbearably condescending, always acting like he is the "expert" and everyone else is the "moron". I see in just 2 days, the same pattern is already happening here. No surprise.<o></o>
<o></o>
This guy has no formula based on calculus, in fact, he has no friggin clue in the world how to hit even 60% with this fairytale system, let alone 70%.
Somebody needs to send a boat over to Fantasy Island and bring Riggs back to reality. But I doubt he'll ever leave, so say hello to Mr. Rourke for me, ok numbskull? <o></o>
<o></o>
Anybody can claim to be a friggin genius on the Internet. That's the beauty of the Internet. Anyone can type whatever they want, live in whatever fantasy world they want, and who is to say it isn't true?<o></o>
<o></o>
Take Northern Star, who wrote that eloquent rebuttal today. Here is part of it:<o></o>
<o></o>
"In regards to my abilities, I scored in the top one tenth of one percent in math on my college entrance test ( a perfect score ), I received a full ride scholarship, I have an aerospace engineering degree and I will probably be the only person you know that has had information so good that they couldn't get a $5 (grocery store dollars that is) bet accepted at a major sportsbook in Las Vegas. Let me know when Ceasar Palace or some other major sportsbook tells you "I am sorry sir but we don't want you action on a $5 bet" (I think it would have paid about $50)"<o></o>
<o></o>
<o></o>
And twice in your response, you said you have been gambling for "over 30 years", which of course coupled with the above "abilities" gives you instant "credibility", right?? Well, all it takes is one look at your profile to see your birthday is January 26, 1969. So I guess you were gambling at Age 3, 4, 5 or 6, then, huh?<o></o>
<o></o>
You see, this is the "beauty" of the internet. You can lie-lie-lie all day long and who can really prove it? <o></o>
<o></o>
Just because you typed those impressive "credentials" on an Internet forum, Northern Star, doesn't mean they are true. Anybody can type that BS. It doesn't make it fact. The same way I typed my "credentials" at the top of my reply. None of that is actually true. None of it. But how would you know if I didn't tell you?? You wouldn't. Yes, I understand you were just trying to call this a-hole Riggs out and the best way to argue with a narcissistic bully is to pump yourself up full of "credentials" the same way the LIAR RIGGS did, so you are forgiven.<o></o>
<o></o>
But the "Almighty Riggs"......You are a farce, a liar, a bully, a JOKE. Period. You are already 7-7 and won't get much better than that. <o></o>
<o></o>
I will say what everyone in here is thinking but haven't said:<o></o>
<o></o>
I am rooting against you. I am rooting against ALL of your picks, unless I happen to bet one of them myself, and believe me, if I am on the same side as you on a pick from time to time, it has NOTHING to do with you being on it, believe me, loser. You are a blowhard, fraudulent, narcissistic bully. Why don't you get out now and cut your losses? Stop posting immediately and save yourself further humiliation.<o></o>
<o></o>
There is no "secret formula" to picking winners, people, like Northern Star said. And I've seen hundreds of clowns come along on forums like this with ridiculous stories like this.<o></o>
<o></o>
BEWARE!!<o></o>
<o></o>
This guy is nothing but an attention whore. All he talks about is how many views he got at covers. That's ALL that he REALLY cares about, here. He is a lonely, broke loser who needs attention, so this kind of interaction with "people" on the Net fulfills all the things that are missing in his life.<o></o>
<o></o>
This is a sports forum. NOBODY cares about secret formulas, calculus, algebra, inside information, cycles and whatever else.<o></o>
<o></o>
All people care about here is WINNERS. If you cannot pick winners, people don't care. Ok, Mr. Riggs?? They don't care if your system is a monkey throwing darts at a dartboard, if it hits 60% over the course of the season, THAT is all that matters. You dopes here on these forums are all too wrapped up in providing a "secret" system or "mathematical" system or "fade" system or "quit factor" system. All of which are ridiculous. <o></o>
<o></o>
You want attention, just pick winners, nobody really cares how you did it if you can do it consistently.<o></o>
<o></o>
WAKE UP, people.<o></o>