When no one wants to take the favorite...

[letsgohoosiers]

SO FRUSTRATED!

Placed my bet at Bookmaker, line changed to -8 and I clicked "submit". Once I click submit, they go "odds changed to -8.5. I figured "It won't matter".

#)(*$R)*$! Miami goes up 10 with 6 seconds to go and NC State puts in a cheap layup.

 

[Delta00]

Arizona State was an obvious play....

 

[Kaboom]

Play: Miami FL -8.5 (2 units = BCS team)

Pushed on Mia Fla for the game and bet Mia Fla for the 2 nd half which was a winner . Thanks !!:cripwalk:

 

[Kaboom]

Portland is a play so far .. Hou , Byu , Montana all in the 50 to 60 % range .. On Radar ..

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Should be 3-0 today. I'm still pissed over Miami.

Thanks for contributing guys. I haven't been watching the numbers, just drinking that fricken loss away.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

<table id="gridtable"><tbody><tr id="e161313" ondblclick="highlightRow(this)" onclick="testHit('e161313', event)" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 51);"> <td id="score" width="50">3/7
7:00P
</td> <td id="team" width="135">593 Princeton
594 Cornell
</td> <td id="bets" width="45">135
</td> <td id="spreadpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40">58%
42%
</td> <td style="background-color: rgb(250, 243, 158);" class="linebox" width="60">121.5 -105
-15.5-105
</td> <td id="sb2_0" class="open" width="60">121.5 -105
-14.5-110
</td> </tr></tbody></table><table><tbody></tbody></table><table id="gridtable"><tbody><tr id="e161328" ondblclick="highlightRow(this)" onclick="testHit('e161328', event)" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 51);"> <td id="score" width="50">3/7
8:00P
</td> <td id="team" width="135">603 SMU
604 Houston U
</td> <td id="bets" width="45">372
</td> <td id="spreadpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40">51%
49%
</td> <td style="background-color: rgb(250, 243, 158);" class="linebox" width="60">138.5 -105
-15-105
</td> <td id="sb2_0" class="open" width="60">138 -105
-15-105
</td> </tr></tbody></table>

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Cornell -14.5

 

[CycloneFan]

Maybe this system works earlier in the season. Now that games have more riding on them, the dog plays tougher? Maybe the motivation angle is key and who is laying the big line makes a difference. I see Wisky and Tenn as possible plays today under the system.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

I just think it's bad luck. I lost Milwaukee by 1 point last night (a missed Richard Jefferson FT) and Miami by the hook (meaningless lay-up with 6 seconds left. I'm thinking about teasing, because when I lose these type of games it's only by a few points. Maybe that's the way to go.

Here's the games the public is on the dog today. Two currently qualify (Tennessee and Wisconsin), 3 could potentially qualify (UNC).

I think Tennessee is a good one. There is no doubt they are the better team. The public usually gobbles up the better team. Vegas introduces this line and bettors flock to Alabama. They're scared of laying that much chalk.

Thinking of teasing Tennessee, Wisconsin, and North Carolina. It would be a 3 team teaser Tennessee -5 UNC PK Wisconsin -8.5.

Right now here are the bets. I'm down 3.3 units in posted plays:

Tennessee -13 (2 units = BCS team)
Wisconsin -16.5 (3 units = BCS team and RLM)

<table style="width: 496px; height: 194px;" id="gridtable"><tbody><tr id="e161507" ondblclick="highlightRow(this)" onclick="testHit('e161507', event)" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 51);"> <td id="score" width="50">3/8
12:00P
</td> <td id="team" width="135">815 Alabama
816 Tennessee
</td> <td id="bets" width="45">2946
</td> <td id="spreadpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40">69%
31%
</td> <td style="background-color: rgb(250, 243, 158);" class="linebox" width="60">152.5 -105
-13-105
</td> <td id="sb2_0" class="open" width="60">152.5 -105
-13-101
</td> </tr><tr id="e161513" ondblclick="highlightRow(this)" onclick="testHit('e161513', event)" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 51);"> <td id="score" width="50">3/8
2:00P
</td> <td id="team" width="135">819 Central Michigan
820 Western Michigan
</td> <td id="bets" width="45">214
</td> <td id="spreadpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40">66%
34%
</td> <td style="background-color: rgb(250, 243, 158);" class="linebox" width="60">123 -105
-5-105
</td> <td id="sb2_0" class="open" width="60">123 -105
-5-105
</td> </tr><tr id="e161522" ondblclick="highlightRow(this)" onclick="testHit('e161522', event)" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 51);"> <td id="score" width="50">3/8
2:00P
</td> <td id="team" width="135">825 Northern Illinois
826 Toledo
</td> <td id="bets" width="45">372
</td> <td id="spreadpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40">58%
42%
</td> <td style="background-color: rgb(250, 243, 158);" class="linebox" width="60">128.5 -105
-4-105
</td> <td id="sb2_0" class="open" width="60">128.5 -105
-4-105
</td> </tr></tbody></table><table><tbody></tbody></table><table style="width: 497px; height: 60px;" id="gridtable"><tbody><tr id="e161534" ondblclick="highlightRow(this)" onclick="testHit('e161534', event)" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 51);"> <td id="score" width="50">3/8
4:00P
</td> <td id="team" width="135">833 Duke
834 North Carolina
</td> <td id="bets" width="45">3620
</td> <td id="spreadpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40">56%
44%
</td> <td style="background-color: rgb(250, 243, 158);" class="linebox" width="60">164.5 -105
-8-105
</td> <td id="sb2_0" class="open" width="60">164 -105
-8-105
</td> </tr></tbody></table><table><tbody></tbody></table>
<table style="width: 498px; height: 60px;" id="gridtable"><tbody><tr id="e161558" ondblclick="highlightRow(this)" onclick="testHit('e161558', event)" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 51);"> <td id="score" width="50">3/8
7:00P
</td> <td id="team" width="135">867 Indiana U
868 Wisconsin
</td> <td id="bets" width="45">293
</td> <td id="spreadpct" style="background-color: rgb(204, 255, 102);" width="40">72%
28%
</td> <td style="background-color: rgb(250, 243, 158);" class="linebox" width="60">121.5 -105
-16-105
</td> <td id="sb2_0" class="open" width="60">121.5o-108
-16.5-108
</td> </tr></tbody></table>

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Plays:

Tennessee -13 (2 units)
Wisconsin -16.5 (3 units)
Tennessee -8 Wisconsin -11.5 (5 pt teaser)

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Additional unit on Tennessee (RLM)
Additional unit on the teaser

3 units Tennessee -13
3 units Wisconsin -16.5
2 units Tennessee -8 Wisconsin -11.5 5 point teaser

 

[Ilovetobet]

TY and gl!

 

[Oak3]

Thanks letsgohoosiers,
Always enjoy reading your posts.
Always find your insights interesting.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Negative units today. Hope someone is profiting off this!