You're looking at it in the short term. Books are very aware of trends; and the odds you get are everything. I see some offshores will even put up trends for you. They adjust they're lines for trends and sometimes over adjust them. No different than laying big favorites cause they have the best chances of winning doesn't mean you profit just because you win more games than you lose. At the end of the day consistently getting a good number is how you profit. Odds of an event happening and the odds you get matter more than short term trends, and short term results.
