what the sheep are betting

Search

Leonard Washington
Joined
Nov 17, 2008
Messages
2,553
Tokens
Public on the Pats big time. Everyone thinks Seattle got lucky and they suck, esp. their with Baldwin and "Butterfingers" Kearse. Don't forget that Brady got lucky a week ago against Balty.
 

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2012
Messages
2,205
Tokens
Both got Lucky, but in my opinion, Seattle takes home the Lombardi which I'm not a fan of but thats realistically thinking. Brady and Bilicheat aren't bringing another Lombardi back. Id like to think EVER! And if Pats which I believe will be, the favs in the game; it only solidifies Seattle win.
 

come strong or dont come at all
Joined
Nov 21, 2006
Messages
5,453
Tokens
Seer is right...they will flock to Brady and Billicheat. They are a public team when it comes to superbowls.
 

New member
Joined
Jan 29, 2009
Messages
3,172
Tokens
Seattle doesnt have the d line to pressure Brady. Green Bay exploited the middle against Seattle, last I heard, NE has a pretty good tight end. They slow Lynch, and lock up those seattle wrs, while pounding blunt and using Gronk in the middle of the field.

It took a truly terrible and conservative coach to extend the seattle season. In comes bellichek with 2 weeks to prepare.

Call me a sheep, a square, a sap, a whatever u want, but the patriots are winning this game. Im not even positive that it ll be close.

If anyone is betting seattle and wishes to save the juice, please pm me.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
19,007
Tokens
Seattle doesnt have the d line to pressure Brady. Green Bay exploited the middle against Seattle, last I heard, NE has a pretty good tight end. They slow Lynch, and lock up those seattle wrs, while pounding blunt and using Gronk in the middle of the field.

It took a truly terrible and conservative coach to extend the seattle season. In comes bellichek with 2 weeks to prepare.

Call me a sheep, a square, a sap, a whatever u want, but the patriots are winning this game. Im not even positive that it ll be close.

If anyone is betting seattle and wishes to save the juice, please pm me.


Dude, why are you capping the super bowl on just the last game Seattle played?

Why would anyone wager someone online on this game? Its basically the same line you're giving......my 2 locals have Seattle Pk (-105) & Seattle -1 (+100)

Now if you're willing to give me 2-1 on my bet, I'm down for it........also, we would need to send our money into BAS.....if he would be willing to hold our bets, I trust him.
 

New member
Joined
Jan 29, 2009
Messages
3,172
Tokens
Dude, why are you capping the super bowl on just the last game Seattle played?

Why would anyone wager someone online on this game? Its basically the same line you're giving......my 2 locals have Seattle Pk (-105) & Seattle -1 (+100)

Now if you're willing to give me 2-1 on my bet, I'm down for it........also, we would need to send our money into BAS.....if he would be willing to hold our bets, I trust him.

Sure dude, lets make it 3-1. ha ha. And if its a pick at -105, thats not exactly what I am offering now is it? Pick at even money is not the same as pick -105..right? Why the hell would i give odds? lol... U start early today my man?
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
19,007
Tokens
Sure dude, lets make it 3-1. ha ha. And if its a pick at -105, thats not exactly what I am offering now is it? Pick at even money is not the same as pick -105..right? Why the hell would i give odds? lol... U start early today my man?



Lmao...... I stopped drinking in 2003, & no, I wasn't an alcoholic. I'm just trying g to get the best line available, & 2-1 my way would be it :) I mean, everyone thinks Patriots will win easily, so its kind of, put your money where your mouth is deal......haha! Anyway, good luck with your wager.
 

New member
Joined
Jan 29, 2009
Messages
3,172
Tokens
Lmao...... I stopped drinking in 2003, & no, I wasn't an alcoholic. I'm just trying g to get the best line available, & 2-1 my way would be it :) I mean, everyone thinks Patriots will win easily, so its kind of, put your money where your mouth is deal......haha! Anyway, good luck with your wager.

Ok brother, I ll have one for you. I havent drank the seattle/russel wilson kool aid all year. I expect the result of this game to fall somewhere in between the baltimore and indy games. Hows that for a middle? take care
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
19,007
Tokens
Vegas took in around 100 million on last years super bowl........2/3 of the money was on Denver........I'm.expecting more than 2/3 on the Patriots.

Last year Vegas made over 19 million in profits over all including prop bets. If Pats win, Vegas will take a HUGE bath.

I don't see it happening, go Seattle!
 

Banned
Joined
Nov 4, 2009
Messages
12,115
Tokens
Vegas took in around 100 million on last years super bowl........2/3 of the money was on Denver........I'm.expecting more than 2/3 on the Patriots.

Last year Vegas made over 19 million in profits over all including prop bets. If Pats win, Vegas will take a HUGE bath.

I don't see it happening, go Seattle!

Which presents me with the chance to clarify that when I say "bad lines" get made on Super Bowl I ain't necessarily saying that Vegas gets hurt as result but that sharper bettors profit.

Moreso than they would have had a "bad line" not been set.

That line this year is NE+3....we'll see how "bad" it was
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
19,007
Tokens
Ba‘al Zəvûv;10954464 said:
Which presents me with the chance to clarify that when I say "bad lines" get made on Super Bowl I ain't necessarily saying that Vegas gets hurt as result but that sharper bettors profit.

Moreso than they would have had a "bad line" not been set.

That line this year is NE+3....we'll see how "bad" it was


So you're saying that oddsmakers set a bad line & Pats are the play even at -2?
 

Banned
Joined
Nov 4, 2009
Messages
12,115
Tokens
So you're saying that oddsmakers set a bad line & Pats are the play even at -2?

Oh No. Saying they exposed themselves unwisely with that opener which they had to know was gonna get hammered as it did gifting Middle opps to those fortunate to get that but not terribly because most if not all who posted that line Limited Betting so they're likely nowhere even close to "overexposed" I mean simply, re: the convo in regards to bad lines set for SBs....he was another yet one.
 

New member
Joined
Nov 7, 2005
Messages
770
Tokens
Anyone have data on the super bowl when more than 2/3 of the money is on one side?

I'm seeing 74% on the pats on scores and odds, btw.
 

Banned
Joined
Nov 4, 2009
Messages
12,115
Tokens
Anyone have data on the super bowl when more than 2/3 of the money is on one side?

I'm seeing 74% on the pats on scores and odds, btw.

The dangerous thing about that "seeing 74%" is what Line were those wagers made at?

Were they made at NE+3? Of Course. Then some at NE+2.5, +2, +1.5, +1, +.5 as the line plummeted so what does that 74% on NE tell us?
 

Banned
Joined
Nov 4, 2009
Messages
12,115
Tokens
What it tells us "Look at me! I am information that is close to completely worthless and potentially deceptive so as to lure you into a Losing Bet which you deserve because you're too lazy to Handicap the game."

Public Fade was a more viable strategy in the past. Not completely buried as a viable strategy today just....things are a bit changed. Google "Fading The Public" or similar, there are a couple of very good articles that detail why Public Fade works less well nowadays, I forget the reasons.
 

L5Y, USC is 4-0 vs SEC, outscoring them 167-48!!!
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
7,025
Tokens
Sheep are drinking the Pats teet based on last week's outcome. Everyone knows Brady and Gronk, and Edleman and Blount, and..and.. But they probably can't recall 1 receiver again for Seattle if asked.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
19,007
Tokens
I wish the super bowl was this weekend, we're getting snow on Saturday.........I live watching football wheniI can't leave the house. Gotta listen to my gf babble away......at least she likes watching sports with me.

As for the public, we a know they're all over the Pats & unless Brady & Belichick get suspended from the super bowl for violations, the public bets won't change.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,849
Messages
13,574,020
Members
100,876
Latest member
kiemt5385
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com