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any book that puts one up now is a moron! only 2 times in nhl history has a team gone down 3-0 and won the series. i doubt we will see a price unless this becomes 3-2. the fact the wings were OVER $3 faves in detroit, ober 2 in G3 and about -180 in G4 is crazy!
5 Dimes has put up Detroit +315 and Anaheim -380. Inuitively, that seems to be about right.
If you assume that the line stays at -180 for Games 4 and 6 in Anaheim and is about -300 for Games 5 and 7 in Detroit, betting Detroit game by game and rolling your profits back into the bet after each game would return about +330 if they win four in a row.
Conceptually, is this something that's really more than a three to one shot? This has happened only twice- the 1942 Toronto Maple Leafs and the 1975 New York Islanders- in the 135 times that a team has gone up 3-0 in the NHL. And it has never happened in the 25 times that it has occurred in MLB and the 67 times that it has occurred in the NBA.
[This message was edited by JeffH on 04-16-03 at 04:34 PM.]
j: did you know the isles almost did it in back-to-back series? they fell behind philly three games to none then roared back with three straight wins. in game seven they let kate smith distract them (anyone recall chico giving her a bouquet before the game?) and got beat. gave up an early goal and if remember correctly lost 4-1.
I almost always shy away from big chalk, but I'm taking this bet thinking Anaheim has a vg chance to win tonite or back home in game 6. If worse comes to worse I can bet some of this off if it gets to game 7. It seems to me that this is a relatively small risk on Anaheim with the hottest goalie in the NHL right now winning one of the next three games before I have to bet it off on game 7.
[This message was edited by olddog on 04-16-03 at 09:08 PM.]
