Western Kentucky vs Troy 11/27/2010

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Troy is a solid favorite with a 71% chance to beat Western Kentucky. DuJuan Harris is projected for 51 rushing yards and a 48% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 29% of simulations where Western Kentucky wins, Kawaun Jakes averages 1.64 TD passes vs 0.54 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.83 TDs to 0.7 interceptions. Bobby Rainey averages 163 rushing yards and 1.89 rushing TDs when Western Kentucky wins and 145 yards and 0.99 TDs in losses. Troy has a 35% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TROY -11.5

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