West Coast/Pac-10 Bowl Games

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Humanitarian Bowl, Tuesday

Nevada -1.5/Maryland*

At first I wasn't interested in this game but when you look at how well Nevada QB Kaepernick runs the shotgun offense and how poorly Maryland defends the run, there's no way to avoid it. The Terps have seen nothing like this offense all year. Few have. It's not just the run but it's also how well Kaepernick can run the play option that will keep Maryland guessing. They also have a major QB protection issue against the #8 team in the country in sacks this year. It could get ugly. Couple that with a kind of pseudo HFA being that the Wolfpack will be playing in a familiar stadium, this one sizes up to be a pretty strong pick.

This one's for you Pags.

BOL
 
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conan,

on Nevada as well my brother...hate to be against you with Northwestern though, but oh well...
 

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Update

All selections so far:

La Tech-1.5/N.Ill 1/2 Unit (W)
Nevada-1.5/MD*
BYU+3/AZ* (L)
HI+2.5/ND
(L)
Cal-6.5/Miami**
(W)
Pitt.+3/Or St.*
Cal-2 and Pitt.+9** (teaser)
USC-10/PSU*
ALA-10.5/UT*


I'm also beginning to like Oregon even more than the over but both look OK. I think the Ducks will have little trouble moving the ball all kinds of ways vs OSU. Not so sure of the other way around considering the Ducks rushing defense will limit OSU's offense mostly to the air. I think UO may win this game by 10 points.
 

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conan,

on Nevada as well my brother...hate to be against you with Northwestern though, but oh well...

Pags, to be honest I don't know the first thing about Northwestern/Mizzou game so I just picked Mizzou on the ML with a couple of others to make watching the game a little more interesting, so BOL to you on the side.
 

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Rose Bowl Pick

At this point I don't see why this game won't have a strong defensive slant to it. Both teams play good D and USC may even hold this PSU team to 13 points or less. I can't see both teams scoring in the 20's. I still think USC can cover the number but it will be their defense that gets it done.

The pick:

USC/PSU Under 45*

PS Pags, nice hit on NW. I told you I only bet the ML in a parlay so I'm safe. But that was a nice call bud.
 

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conan,

glad we both won then my friend...with you on your Oregon lean tomorrow...GL...
 

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I just have to toss in Oregon with the mix because I think they are mentally ready for this game. OK St's losing their DC for this game won't help them stop Oregon's powerful offense. It could be the Cowboys chasiing the Ducks all day instead of the other way around.

The pick:
Oregon +3* (skybook)
OR/OSU Over 77*

Also adding on the under in the Beaver game tomorrow.

The pick:
Oregon St./Pitt. Under 52.5*

So far:
La Tech-1.5/N.Ill 1/2 Unit (W)
Nevada-1.5/MD*
BYU+3/AZ*
(L)
HI+2.5/ND
(L)
Cal-6.5/Miami**
(W)
Pitt.+3/Or St.*
Cal-2 and Pitt.+9**
(teaser)
USC-10/PSU*
ALA-10.5/UT*
 

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Oregon +3* (W)
OR/OSU Over 77* (L)
Oregon St./Pitt. Under 52.5*
La Tech-1.5/N.Ill 1/2 Unit (W)
Nevada-1.5/MD* (L)
BYU+3/AZ*
(L)
HI+2.5/ND
(L)
Cal-6.5/Miami**
(W)
Pitt.+3/Or St.*
Cal-2 and Pitt.+9**
(teaser)
USC-10/PSU*
ALA-10.5/UT*


Nice win for the Ducks. Too bad the teams couldn't score just a FG each in the 2Q which would have covered the total. Look at all the WAC and MWC teams that have failed to cover. The Pac-10 s a perfect 3-0 up to now. I'm afraid tomorrow the Beavers will not make it but the Trojans should dispatch PSU easily on New Year's Day.
 

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:grandmaiscouldn't be happier bud!

That win will carry the ducks into next year.:toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast:
 

L5Y, USC is 4-0 vs SEC, outscoring them 167-48!!!
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:grandmaiscouldn't be happier bud!

That win will carry the ducks into next year.:toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast:

Nice win UoweDucks!!! Very, very nice. And yes that win will catepult ya'll into next season.

Pac10 = 3-0 in the bowlseason. Whormoan, your thoughts??:nohead:


btw, don't be surprised if USC holds PSU to 13 pts or less, while USC wins by A MINIMUM 17 pts. And go ahead, call me dilusional and call me a homer. I know this team as well as the best of em on the board.

Don't believe the ESPN hype and propaganda for ratings. SC will have no problem scoring points. Bottom line, Penn St hasn't sniffed anything remotely close to USC's speed at the skill position. Nevermind Sanchez's gambling/gunslinger style or Sark's questionable playcalling. When the ball is in the hands of any one Sanchez's offensive weapons; cue the fight song.
 

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:grandmaiscouldn't be happier bud!
That win will carry the ducks into next year.:toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast::toast:

I warned everyone about Masoli.
He's been "Dennis Dixon-like" for the past 4 games.
I wonder how many were paying attention and how many fell for the Gundy hype?

Oregon's defense made the difference in this one and that should tell you
something about B-12 defenses (and why I like Florida in the NC game.)
 
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Oregon +3* (W)
OR/OSU Over 77* (L)
Oregon St./Pitt. Under 52.5* (W)
La Tech-1.5/N.Ill 1/2 Unit (W)
Nevada-1.5/MD* (L)
BYU+3/AZ*
(L)
HI+2.5/ND*
(L)
Cal-6.5/Miami**
(W)
Pitt.+3/Or St.*
(Push)
Cal-2 and Pitt.+9**
(W)(teaser)
USC-10/PSU*
USC/PSU U45*
ALA-10.5/UT*


Slowly making a little money thus far. 5-4-1 (+2.5 units) Probably the best plays so far were the teaser and the under in the Sun Bowl. Never any doubt. It's nice to see my wagering accounts piling up a little.Tomorrow the big games go. With the lines being as sharp as they've been, teasers are gold.
 

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Here's my final bowl wrapup.

Oregon +3* (W)
OR/OSU Over 77* (L)
Oregon St./Pitt. Under 52.5* (W)
La Tech-1.5/N.Ill 1/2 Unit (W)
Nevada-1.5/MD*
(L)
BYU+3/AZ*
(L)
HI+2.5/ND*
(L)
Cal-6.5/Miami**
(W)
Pitt.+3/Or St.*
(Push)
Cal-2 and Pitt.+9**
(W)(teaser)
USC-10/PSU*
(W)
USC/PSU U45*
(L)ALA-10.5/UT* (L)

So that makes it 6-6-1 for the bowls (+1.5 units) Better than a stick in the eye. I admit that I totally underestimated Utah just because of the way they escaped a few close games such as when they played Oregon State. I count myself lucky for getting the push in the Sun Bowl (OR St./Pitt) The Beavers could have one it by 2 TD's easily but were denied on the goal line twice. The Hawaii loss was my worst pick but I still can't play on Notre Dame and it will be a while before I do.

My 2008 season was very successful with a 51-30 final tally (63% / +27.5 units.) Adding just a little more to that total was nothing to holler about but the bowls for me were very entertaining right up to the NC game. OVerall I had a very good season and I attribute it to reading my ass off in all the blogs and newspapers and I was just as busy reading up on the teams I don't particularly give a shit about as well as the ones that I do. So my advice to anyone that wants to do as well is READ READ READ!! Read it all and then look for more.

I think next year will be similar to this one in the Pac-10. Both Washington teams will be at the bottom even though Udub's starting to look more like USC every day (in the coaching dept.)

Speaking of USC, they made PSU look like boys playing men. It's no use explaining it to homies that will NEVER learn. But the fact is that this was only Mark Sanchez's first year at QB and he will return with almost his entire offense still in tact. I doubt that he will go to the NFL after just one year where he hardly made a dent in his true potential and ability.

As far as the rest of the conferrence goes for '09, I expect to see moe of the same from Oregon with Chip Kelly as their new HC. 2 of Bellotti's assistants have been told they will not be with the team when Kelly takes over at HC so I think Bellotti will be leaving sooner than later. Cal will be better off in '09 without Longshore and Kevin Riley taking over at QB. Both Cal and Oregon should be there perhaps challenging USC for the conference title depending on how well Carroll's new coaching staff woks out. Personally I think the changes could help USC but we'll see. And as far as the Beavers go, they'll be there... somehow... they always are, They may be good for 8 wins per year at least until kingdom come or until Mike Riley moves on which may never happen.

Pretty much nothing happened this past year that I didn't expect except perhaps ASU falling on their faces but even that was predictable considering that they lost 7 big producers to the NFL after their successful '07 season. Zona may be the one team that will have a hard time next year exceeding this year's output. In the post Tuitama era, can Danny Sullivan cut it in his first year as their starter? That's a very big question but they do return both Grigsby and Gronkowski... also that little scat back Antolin that reminds me of Quizz, so they won't be hurting too bad. UCLA should be better but I am thinking that maybe Neuheisel won't be their answer. Losing Walker to NM St. will be huge. Tjere was some talk about Nick Holt bolting from the Trojans to UCLA across town but that won't hapen because Sarkisian already lured him to coach the Huskies defense.

So to wrap it all up, I think once again it's up to anyone that wants to do well next season to start following the teams today! Thre will be plenty of wholesale changes in the conference and there's no better way to keep up with the changes than to do a lot of reading... including my threads as well as UoD's.

Have a good year everyone.
It's been a pleasure doing this.

PS... 3 Heisman hopefuls from the Pac-10 in '09 will be (in order of most likely to win)
1. Mark Sanchez
2. Jahvid Best
3. Jeremiah Masoli (dark horse depends on how well Oregon does in '09)
 

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Here's my final bowl wrapup.

Oregon +3* (W)
OR/OSU Over 77* (L)
Oregon St./Pitt. Under 52.5* (W)
La Tech-1.5/N.Ill 1/2 Unit (W)
Nevada-1.5/MD*
(L)
BYU+3/AZ*
(L)
HI+2.5/ND*
(L)
Cal-6.5/Miami**
(W)
Pitt.+3/Or St.*
(Push)
Cal-2 and Pitt.+9**
(W)(teaser)
USC-10/PSU*
(W)
USC/PSU U45*
(L)ALA-10.5/UT* (L)

So that makes it 6-6-1 for the bowls (+1.5 units) Better than a stick in the eye. I admit that I totally underestimated Utah just because of the way they escaped a few close games such as when they played Oregon State. I count myself lucky for getting the push in the Sun Bowl (OR St./Pitt) The Beavers could have one it by 2 TD's easily but were denied on the goal line twice. The Hawaii loss was my worst pick but I still can't play on Notre Dame and it will be a while before I do.

My 2008 season was very successful with a 51-30 final tally (63% / +27.5 units.) Adding just a little more to that total was nothing to holler about but the bowls for me were very entertaining right up to the NC game. OVerall I had a very good season and I attribute it to reading my ass off in all the blogs and newspapers and I was just as busy reading up on the teams I don't particularly give a shit about as well as the ones that I do. So my advice to anyone that wants to do as well is READ READ READ!! Read it all and then look for more.

I think next year will be similar to this one in the Pac-10. Both Washington teams will be at the bottom even though Udub's starting to look more like USC every day (in the coaching dept.)

Speaking of USC, they made PSU look like boys playing men. It's no use explaining it to homies that will NEVER learn. But the fact is that this was only Mark Sanchez's first year at QB and he will return with almost his entire offense still in tact. I doubt that he will go to the NFL after just one year where he hardly made a dent in his true potential and ability.

As far as the rest of the conferrence goes for '09, I expect to see moe of the same from Oregon with Chip Kelly as their new HC. 2 of Bellotti's assistants have been told they will not be with the team when Kelly takes over at HC so I think Bellotti will be leaving sooner than later. Cal will be better off in '09 without Longshore and Kevin Riley taking over at QB. Both Cal and Oregon should be there perhaps challenging USC for the conference title depending on how well Carroll's new coaching staff woks out. Personally I think the changes could help USC but we'll see. And as far as the Beavers go, they'll be there... somehow... they always are, They may be good for 8 wins per year at least until kingdom come or until Mike Riley moves on which may never happen.

Pretty much nothing happened this past year that I didn't expect except perhaps ASU falling on their faces but even that was predictable considering that they lost 7 big producers to the NFL after their successful '07 season. Zona may be the one team that will have a hard time next year exceeding this year's output. In the post Tuitama era, can Danny Sullivan cut it in his first year as their starter? That's a very big question but they do return both Grigsby and Gronkowski... also that little scat back Antolin that reminds me of Quizz, so they won't be hurting too bad. UCLA should be better but I am thinking that maybe Neuheisel won't be their answer. Losing Walker to NM St. will be huge. Tjere was some talk about Nick Holt bolting from the Trojans to UCLA across town but that won't hapen because Sarkisian already lured him to coach the Huskies defense.

So to wrap it all up, I think once again it's up to anyone that wants to do well next season to start following the teams today! Thre will be plenty of wholesale changes in the conference and there's no better way to keep up with the changes than to do a lot of reading... including my threads as well as UoD's.

Have a good year everyone.
It's been a pleasure doing this.
Very nice job this year!

My very early take on the 09 P10

Will be better
Stanford
Oregon
Cal
OSU
UCLA

Status quo
UW
WSU
ASU

Droping off
USC
AZ

This is not a prediction that USC won't win the conf. they prob will but I think they will be susceptible in their two toughest road games @ CAL and @ UO 1-1 or even 0-2 if Sanchez is gone.
 

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You know what is funny? I have the exact same thought about the RB.

Ducks, just FYI I had Oklahoma +11 on a teaser to the under just because everyone thought so highly of Florida and the over. Couple that to my Florida -3 pick and it was all money yesterday for me. Maybe I'll just let all that money sit in my account 'til next season. I'm staked up pretty nicely for '09 and I've already withdrawn my 27.5 units that I won this year. Hope you did well too.
:money8:

By the way, USC will probably not be as vulnerable as people will (wish to) think, but I think you are right that Sanchez staying will make a big difference if he does.
 

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