weekend

[rolltide]

19-3-13 +10.39 YTD (stake 41.29)

Fri night match in Spain...

Real Valladolid vs Atletic Bilbao
- big public bets here are away team and over so i'll stake on home team. Bilbao away are very poor. In past 12 months only away wins were at #17 Granada and #19 Mallorca, both clearly relegation contenders and a class below Valladolid. In their other 16 league away games they've gained a total of 3 points, 0-3-13, while allowing 43 goals. In only one game of those 16 did they fail to allow at least 2 goals as well and since Valladolid won't get shutout (only 2x in last 41 at home have they failed to score) then it is really likely they net at least twice. RV are a good home team, 5-3-3, and when you drop the losses to Barca and Real Madrid they are 5-3-1 18/7. Valladolid actually have the 6th best goal difference in the league and should be solid favs today. No complacency either as they are fighting for Europa league spot and are just 1 point behind from Champions League!

Real valladolid pk 1.06u to win 1u

 

[MIKEY.1TIME]

my site has - 156...big difference

 

[rolltide]

your site sucks....closing odds were -107 at 5dimes, -105 pinnacle
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/sp...2012-2013/valladolid-ath-bilbao-1382585/#ah;2

Bookmakers	Handicap	1	2	Payout
10Bet	0	1.96	1.93	97.2%
5Dimes	0	1.93	1.93	96.5%
bet365	0	1.93	1.98	97.7%
BetCRIS	0	1.80	1.95	93.6%
BetOnline	0	1.91	1.91	95.5%
BetRedKings	0	1.89	1.91	95.0%
BetVictor	0	1.94	1.97	97.7%
Bookmaker	0	1.80	1.95	93.6%
Bovada	0	1.83	1.91	93.5%
Interwetten	0	1.70	1.90	89.7%
Ladbrokes	0	1.83	1.94	94.2%
Pinnacle Sports	0	1.95	1.99	98.5%
SBOBET	0	1.95	2.00	-
TonyBet	0	1.80	2.01	95.0%

 

[rolltide]

over was too obvious so didn't take it...would have been a winner in 22 minutes. argh. 2-1 valladolid...see if they can finish this out after getting the early 2-0 lead

 

[rolltide]

2-2 push ...

 

[rolltide]

a few for sat...

asteras 1.2u to win 1.65u
charleroi over 2.5 1u to win .75u
yeovil over 2.5 .75u to win .77u

 

[rolltide]

small add

Newcastle o2.5 .5u to win .44u

 

[rolltide]

brazil late afternoon

Fluminense -1.5 1u to win .81u

 

[barclay]

Hey Roll, you're a United man, no? How do you feel about Man U - 1 v. Fulham? No Berba, Man U should win by at least 2-0

 

[rolltide]

sorry barclay was away ... was available right away at -135 straight win so wouldn't have touched -1. no berba would not have made a diff to me. guy couldn't see the field for United unless they were playing Crawley in the cup

whole lotta nothing...
fri/sat 3-1-2 -0.18
+0 Real valladolid pk 1.06u to win 1u
-1.2 asteras 1.2u to win 1.65u
-1.0 charleroi over 2.5 1u to win .75u
+0.77 yeovil over 2.5 .75u to win .77u
+0.44 Newcastle o2.5 .5u to win .44u
+0.81 Fluminense -1.5 1u to win .81u

22-4-15 +10.21 YTD (stake 47.25)

 

[rolltide]

attempt #3

Pescara 1h .53u to win 1.30u

 

[rolltide]

sun morning

Pescara 1h .53u to win 1.30u (chase to win 1h)
Brugge/Genk over 2.5 1u to win .74u (strong stats play)
Rayo Vallecano +1 goal .5u to win .5u (sevilla 3rd match in 6 days)

 

[rolltide]

City v Liverpool
- hate em both but think they will entertain today. City down 10 points cannot just take 1 point and of course are something like 33-2-1 home in EPL. Liverpool have scored in 10 of last 11 away and last 3 league meetings at city have gone over. Aguero/Silva/Dzeko not a bad attack and still no Kompany in the back. Liverpool defense beyond awful in last two games so I'm guessing 3-1 home win but hope for 2-2 tie

over 2.5 .75u to win .58u

 

[rolltide]

afternoon adds...waiting for a night game to settle but have a few bets in already

Botafogo/Vasco double .75u to win .81u (Brazil Carioca)
- two huge clubs vs minnows that they always dominate. combined these two are 8-1-0 28/2 against today's opponents

Marseille over 2.5 .6u to win .5u (france)
- Nancy 14 straight games of both scoring and conceding and scored in 8 straight away. Marseille 5 straight both scoring and conceding

should be a 2u play later but watching market....

 

[rolltide]

atlante vs monterrey
- atlante over streak now 11-1 in last 12 and 7-0 L7 at home where they've scored and conceded in all 7. Monterrey with a top 3 attack force in league have scored and conceded in 6 straight away matches and have scored 5 straight trips to Cancun and allowed a goal in 12 straight trips in league.

Atlante/Rayados over 2.5 2u to win 1.80u

 

[barclay]

atlante vs monterrey
- atlante over streak now 11-1 in last 12 and 7-0 L7 at home where they've scored and conceded in all 7. Monterrey with a top 3 attack force in league have scored and conceded in 6 straight away matches and have scored 5 straight trips to Cancun and allowed a goal in 12 straight trips in league.

Atlante/Rayados over 2.5 2u to win 1.80u

Right now my out has it posted at Over 2.5 -125.... still worth it at that price in your estimation?

 

[rolltide]

yes

 

[rolltide]

+1.30 Pescara 1h .53u to win 1.30u (chase to win 1h)
+0.74 Brugge/Genk over 2.5 1u to win .74u (strong stats play)
+0.00 Rayo Vallecano +1 goal .5u to win .5u (sevilla 3rd match in 6 days)
+0.58 City over 2.5 .75u to win .58u
-0.75 Botafogo/Vasco double .75u to win .81u (Brazil Carioca)
-0.60 Marseille over 2.5 .6u to win .5u (france)
+1.80 Atlante/Rayados over 2.5 2u to win 1.80u

4-1-2 +3.07 sunday

26-5-17 +13.28 YTD (stake 53.38)

 

[barclay]

Nice sunday roll. Was on City over 3 +118 for 2 units myself and followed you on Atlante/Rayados O2,5 -125 for 2 units, thanks.

 

[gobucks]

Great stuff Rolltide....thanks for all your contributions