Game Previews and Selections
Tulsa -17.5 (-24) over SMU
Tulsa is having a nice year (for them) with a Big upset of Hawaii and a credible loss at Boise State. The Hurricanes are averaging just under 200 yards rushing and that figure jumps up to 245 yards against generally weaker competition at home. Tulsa has been quite poor against the rush, surrendering 205 ypg, however that will not be important in the final outcome since the Mighty Mustangs only average 105 ypg. Tulsa has protected the ball extremely well, having only one or less turnovers per game until last week when the coughed it up FIVE times. Look for the Hurricanes to revert back to normal against the worst offense in D-1 and easily rope in these tame Mustangs who are 1-6 ATS this season.
New Mexico +8 (+1) over Utah
Utah is coached by one of the top young coaches in Urban Meyer. Despite having only 11 returning starters C. Meyer has quickly converted this team into a confident, aggressive bunch. One area where this team has really benefited was they found the proverbial ‘lightning in the bottle’ with QB Smith. He has been able to turn this one dimensional team into a balanced offense. The Utes have been cashing the best checks with 7-0 ATS record for 2003. New Mexico is the perfect team to break this streak. The Lobos run the ball 47 times per game which helps them control the clock. Utah runs the ball with equal aplomb, but New Mexico is holding teams to just 74ypg and 2.5pa. Teams that are off back to back games allowing less then 10-points and are more then a 3-point dog cover the number 73% of the time. Normally this is were we come up with some play on words to make our point, but when your working with Lobos and Utes you can forget it. Cash your ticket on New Mexico.
Impactful Selection
Tennessee -3.5 vs Alabama
Scooby Doo Play
Washington +10 (+3) over USC
We realize we slammed the Huskies in this newsletter just a few weeks ago, but hey things change. Still shaky C. Gilbertson admitted that his team lost its focus after the 2nd half debacle against UCLA. This team could have packed it in, yet came back with a vengeance at Oregon State and cruised to a 21-point victory as a DD dog. USC is playing some the best football in the country. Except for the hiccup against Cal, this team has been destroying every opponent in sight. That said a couple of situations are in our favor. First, an experienced QB Pickett who is unlikely to be rattled in a home game of this magnitude. He has two outstanding receivers in Williams and Frederick. This will keep them in the game, especially at home. The Huskies have also been solid against the rush allowing only 2.9 pa. The Trojans under C. Carroll have been outstanding on the road with a 10-4 ATS record. We believe USC who is off their 2nd consecutive road game and has Wash. State on deck may not be fully focused in this contest. One of our favorite situations is a Home Dog off a SU Road Dog SU victory. Add in the fact that this spread is double digits and we’ll be on the true barking dog Huskies.
NFL IMPACTFUL SELECTION
San Francisco -6.5 (-13) over Arizona
This past Sunday the 49ers dominated the defending Super Bowl champions Tampa Bay. With over 450 total yards and a quick, disruptive defense they controlled the Bucs for 60 minutes. We understand the Niners are only 3-4, but three of those losses have been by a total of 5 points. The slumbering San Fran. offense showed versatility that has been lacking in recent games. True warrior QB Garcia finally had a quality game and we believe will now continue to progress to his expected level of accomplishment. Reading Bay area papers this week, all that was talked about was how this game helped this team’s confidence. Speaking of confidence is their any team more in need then the Cardinals? This week the owner’s son said that the lack of air conditioning has adversely affected this team’s fortunes. WHAT? If that were even remotely believable I have this question: Why did you move to Arizona in the first place? It wasn’t as Hot back then? Maybe decades of poor ownership and horrible drafting MIGHT have something to do with it. Even with the potential for a letdown, count on QB Blake to create 2 or 3 turnovers by himself and provide the Bay Area Boys ample opportunity to win and cover.
Tulsa -17.5 (-24) over SMU
Tulsa is having a nice year (for them) with a Big upset of Hawaii and a credible loss at Boise State. The Hurricanes are averaging just under 200 yards rushing and that figure jumps up to 245 yards against generally weaker competition at home. Tulsa has been quite poor against the rush, surrendering 205 ypg, however that will not be important in the final outcome since the Mighty Mustangs only average 105 ypg. Tulsa has protected the ball extremely well, having only one or less turnovers per game until last week when the coughed it up FIVE times. Look for the Hurricanes to revert back to normal against the worst offense in D-1 and easily rope in these tame Mustangs who are 1-6 ATS this season.
New Mexico +8 (+1) over Utah
Utah is coached by one of the top young coaches in Urban Meyer. Despite having only 11 returning starters C. Meyer has quickly converted this team into a confident, aggressive bunch. One area where this team has really benefited was they found the proverbial ‘lightning in the bottle’ with QB Smith. He has been able to turn this one dimensional team into a balanced offense. The Utes have been cashing the best checks with 7-0 ATS record for 2003. New Mexico is the perfect team to break this streak. The Lobos run the ball 47 times per game which helps them control the clock. Utah runs the ball with equal aplomb, but New Mexico is holding teams to just 74ypg and 2.5pa. Teams that are off back to back games allowing less then 10-points and are more then a 3-point dog cover the number 73% of the time. Normally this is were we come up with some play on words to make our point, but when your working with Lobos and Utes you can forget it. Cash your ticket on New Mexico.
Impactful Selection
Tennessee -3.5 vs Alabama
Scooby Doo Play
Washington +10 (+3) over USC
We realize we slammed the Huskies in this newsletter just a few weeks ago, but hey things change. Still shaky C. Gilbertson admitted that his team lost its focus after the 2nd half debacle against UCLA. This team could have packed it in, yet came back with a vengeance at Oregon State and cruised to a 21-point victory as a DD dog. USC is playing some the best football in the country. Except for the hiccup against Cal, this team has been destroying every opponent in sight. That said a couple of situations are in our favor. First, an experienced QB Pickett who is unlikely to be rattled in a home game of this magnitude. He has two outstanding receivers in Williams and Frederick. This will keep them in the game, especially at home. The Huskies have also been solid against the rush allowing only 2.9 pa. The Trojans under C. Carroll have been outstanding on the road with a 10-4 ATS record. We believe USC who is off their 2nd consecutive road game and has Wash. State on deck may not be fully focused in this contest. One of our favorite situations is a Home Dog off a SU Road Dog SU victory. Add in the fact that this spread is double digits and we’ll be on the true barking dog Huskies.
NFL IMPACTFUL SELECTION
San Francisco -6.5 (-13) over Arizona
This past Sunday the 49ers dominated the defending Super Bowl champions Tampa Bay. With over 450 total yards and a quick, disruptive defense they controlled the Bucs for 60 minutes. We understand the Niners are only 3-4, but three of those losses have been by a total of 5 points. The slumbering San Fran. offense showed versatility that has been lacking in recent games. True warrior QB Garcia finally had a quality game and we believe will now continue to progress to his expected level of accomplishment. Reading Bay area papers this week, all that was talked about was how this game helped this team’s confidence. Speaking of confidence is their any team more in need then the Cardinals? This week the owner’s son said that the lack of air conditioning has adversely affected this team’s fortunes. WHAT? If that were even remotely believable I have this question: Why did you move to Arizona in the first place? It wasn’t as Hot back then? Maybe decades of poor ownership and horrible drafting MIGHT have something to do with it. Even with the potential for a letdown, count on QB Blake to create 2 or 3 turnovers by himself and provide the Bay Area Boys ample opportunity to win and cover.
