Week 5 Already?

[jaypaw]

After an 0-5 start I've been able to rebound with a 10-5-3 record since.

I came within a half a point of a 13-10 record but those damn pushes are starting to add up... and if I had bought the half point on just one of them I'd be breaking even (which to be honest I am just about breaking even as a result of doubling up on the pack last night where I bought it to 3 the second time but whos counting).

The games I'm gonna be looking at first this week are gonna be New England, Buffalo, and Miami.

Tennessee -2?
Not sure but even though its in foxboro I think the pats are gonna have their hands full here. I think that they were able to come close to beating Washington but Tennessee is a completely different story.

Buffalo -6.5?
I dont see a line yet but I'm guessing the Bills will be favored by 7ish. Hopefully Henry will be out and the line will come down some because I think the Bills with or without travis will win this one by a healthy margin - I'm not willing to risk 7 but if I could get 6.5 I would consider it.

Miami pk?
I like Miami here and I think that they should be able to do it... um lemme see

 

[jimmyk+]

where'd ya find +2 ??

 

[jimmyk+]

lol........... i mean -2

 

[jaypaw]

http://www.covers.com/data/nfl/game/nfl_lines.html

First one on the list is bodog and that is what I usually use. as you might notice from my comments in some other threads.

 

[jimmyk+]

tx man...........HAVE heard that is a good book for 'dog plyrs ..........hence the name i guess...........like tenn here so will stick w/ PINNY -1.........

 

[jaypaw]

I like Tennesee too - but i'm not sure if I'm gonna go open another account somewhere just to get the point.

maybe one of these times I will

 

[winbet]

DE Tully Banta-Cain PUP
TE Fred Baxter Leg QUESTIONABLE
QB Tom Brady Arm PROBABLE
SS Je'Rod Cherry Leg QUESTIONABLE
G Mike Clare IR
LB Rosevelt Colvin Knee, hip
G Mike Compton IR
RB Kevin Faulk Arm
WR Chas Gessner Leg
WR Bethel Johnson Leg
ILB Ted Johnson Foot OUT
T Kenyatta Jones PUP
QB Kliff Kingsbury Arm
T Adrian Klemm Ankle QUESTIONABLE
CB Ty Law Ankle QUESTIONABLE
LB Courtney Ledyard IR
FB Fred McCrary Knee QUESTIONABLE
WR Scott McCready IR
C Gene Mruczkowski IR
G Steve Neal PUP
WR David Patten Knee QUESTIONABLE
WR Dan Stricker IR
OLB Mike Vrabel Arm
NT Ted Washington Leg OUT
C Damien Woody Knee QUESTIONABLE

Some injury report. Also McNair will be running 100% first time in 3 weeks. Titans do have some injuries but their secondary including nickleback Woolfolk are fit.

 

[Oren1]

I like Tennesse as well, maybe if the Patriots were healthy they'd be more competition, but from where I'm sitting, Tennessee is the better team all-around. Not sure how they match-up statistically, but, McNair is a guy that can usually score on any defense. If you want to lay 7 points, why not Pit? 7.5 is an aweful lot to be giving to an apparently improved Bungles team, although I see you aren't willing to give 'em that many... You're right though, it could be a blow-out. I'm not taking Pit but I'm thinking they might just crush the Browns.

 

[jaypaw]

I hate betting the steelers - they are the worst team in history. When they should win they dont and when they should lose they win.

I dont know if I'm gonna lay the points on the bills.

I think I'll just stick to the titans probably and see about miami.

 

[Oren1]

Miami looks tempting as well, although I opted not to take 'em. good luck.

 

[jaypaw]

thats right oren I forgot - you bet all of yours early in the week.

How is that working out? Have you gotten bitten by any late breaking injury news etc?

 

[jaypaw]

Oren?

 

[jaypaw]

here are my final ones:

Arizona Cardinals +7½ Sun@1:00p
Minnesota Vikings -5, Sun@1:00p
Seattle Seahawks +1½, Sun@1:00p
Miami Dolphins Pick, Sun@1:00p
Tennessee Titans -1½, Sun@1:00p
Oakland Raiders -4½, Sun@1:00p

 

[jaypaw]

Anyone hear that Faulk will be out today also?

I didnt realize this when I picked the titans and you'd never know it seeing the line move some towards the pats... I wonder if its just people drunk in the boston area after last nights win over the As...

 

[jaypaw]

L - Arizona Cardinals +7½ Sun@1:00p
W - Minnesota Vikings -5, Sun@1:00p
L - Seattle Seahawks +1½, Sun@1:00p
W - Miami Dolphins Pick, Sun@1:00p
L - Tennessee Titans -1½, Sun@1:00p
L - Oakland Raiders -4½, Sun@1:00p

2-4 ugh

Adding Pitt -7

 

[jaypaw]

2-5 why not shoot for 6

colts +5

 

[jaypaw]

this is horrible but I gotta take the under (17) in the second half...

7 losses in one day is not good

especially with only 2 wins


ugh

 

[jaypaw]

2-7 on the day

not bad !

12-17-3

WOHOOOO

holy crap

 

[jaypaw]

ooops I spoke too soon

maybe indy will pull off the +5 after all

will it be 12-17-3

or 13-16-3


seems like a big diff but I've learned yet another lesson

dont chase - that 2nd half wager killed me taking the under because 13-15-3 would have been soo much better