YTD 3-5 ( still down, but not as much)
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I have found this Week very tough to analyse and The Teams that come out best on my figures all have question marks in their games. My 3 best bets in order were, New Orleans, Pittsburgh and The Jets. I wish I had Hansen’s obvious self belief but after deep depressions in 35 years of gambling, I have learnt that it is better to miss a winner than bet a loser that you had doubts about. New Orleans is too inconsistent and it wouldn’t surprise me to see them lose. Even with the injuries to The Bengals, I don’t think Pittsburgh are a good Team and with their secondary, I don’t want to be on the end of Palmer coming good. I still think The Jets are over-rated and wins against San Diego and The Bengals are a smoke screen. However, The Dolphins are a mess, so I will have to wait until another day. On the flip side, this Jets Team will have a major stumble sometime and although it probably will not be Sunday, you never know.
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Oakland at Houston.
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I still think Oakland has some problems and it’s easy to over value their win against The Bucs but there is no doubt that this Team is improving and gaining the confidence lacking last year. After starting out slow in the first half of the Pittsburgh game, they have got the job done. After betting Houston on the M/L last Week at Kansas (believe it or not) I feel I was lucky to draw. Although there are not many Teams that can stop Holmes, even not being 100%, their run Defense was alarming. The same worries surfaced in the San Diego and Detroit games and I got the impression they couldn’t stop anyone. My reasons for betting Houston against Detroit and Kansas was their potent Offense and after having success against a sub par San Diego and Detroit Defense, I was disappointed at their performance against Kansas. With Dom Davis being out after the second play, everything seemed to be a wing and a prayer against a bad Defense. If Davis does not play (he is doubtful) I can see the same mentality coming against the best Defense they have seen so far. With savvy vets and plenty of weapons down field Oakland appear to have the upper hand and although my figures fall right on the spread, if Davis is out, I will back The Raiders.
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Raiders –2
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New Orleans at Arizona.
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Sooner or later I will have to back my figures on games and as mentioned earlier, I have no confidence in New Orleans doing the business on the spread. However, the same figures come out with the game being 31 pts so although it is early in the season, I have no choice but to follow them as 10pts+ is as big as I normally get on totals. The reasoning is that no matter what these Teams have done, they have not generated enough Offense to score the required points. The fly in the ointment is New Orleans ability to get points from nothing but in the normal course of events, they are under achievers. It could be argued that Arizona have been unlucky not to score more points, especially with their turn-overs in the red zone last Week, but even in that game, they never had enough Offense to justify more than 14 points max.
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Saints At Cards – under
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I will not be going to the house on these plays and will be happy to draw level on the year. Because of my stakes this Week, I will have a few $$ on Black & Gold’s over in the Steelers game, which I agree with his analysis.
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Good Luck this Week-end and as usual, constructive criticism is welcomed.
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></o>I have found this Week very tough to analyse and The Teams that come out best on my figures all have question marks in their games. My 3 best bets in order were, New Orleans, Pittsburgh and The Jets. I wish I had Hansen’s obvious self belief but after deep depressions in 35 years of gambling, I have learnt that it is better to miss a winner than bet a loser that you had doubts about. New Orleans is too inconsistent and it wouldn’t surprise me to see them lose. Even with the injuries to The Bengals, I don’t think Pittsburgh are a good Team and with their secondary, I don’t want to be on the end of Palmer coming good. I still think The Jets are over-rated and wins against San Diego and The Bengals are a smoke screen. However, The Dolphins are a mess, so I will have to wait until another day. On the flip side, this Jets Team will have a major stumble sometime and although it probably will not be Sunday, you never know.
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></o>Oakland at Houston.
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></o>I still think Oakland has some problems and it’s easy to over value their win against The Bucs but there is no doubt that this Team is improving and gaining the confidence lacking last year. After starting out slow in the first half of the Pittsburgh game, they have got the job done. After betting Houston on the M/L last Week at Kansas (believe it or not) I feel I was lucky to draw. Although there are not many Teams that can stop Holmes, even not being 100%, their run Defense was alarming. The same worries surfaced in the San Diego and Detroit games and I got the impression they couldn’t stop anyone. My reasons for betting Houston against Detroit and Kansas was their potent Offense and after having success against a sub par San Diego and Detroit Defense, I was disappointed at their performance against Kansas. With Dom Davis being out after the second play, everything seemed to be a wing and a prayer against a bad Defense. If Davis does not play (he is doubtful) I can see the same mentality coming against the best Defense they have seen so far. With savvy vets and plenty of weapons down field Oakland appear to have the upper hand and although my figures fall right on the spread, if Davis is out, I will back The Raiders.
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></o>Raiders –2
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></o>New Orleans at Arizona.
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></o>Sooner or later I will have to back my figures on games and as mentioned earlier, I have no confidence in New Orleans doing the business on the spread. However, the same figures come out with the game being 31 pts so although it is early in the season, I have no choice but to follow them as 10pts+ is as big as I normally get on totals. The reasoning is that no matter what these Teams have done, they have not generated enough Offense to score the required points. The fly in the ointment is New Orleans ability to get points from nothing but in the normal course of events, they are under achievers. It could be argued that Arizona have been unlucky not to score more points, especially with their turn-overs in the red zone last Week, but even in that game, they never had enough Offense to justify more than 14 points max.
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></o>Saints At Cards – under
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></o>I will not be going to the house on these plays and will be happy to draw level on the year. Because of my stakes this Week, I will have a few $$ on Black & Gold’s over in the Steelers game, which I agree with his analysis.
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></o>Good Luck this Week-end and as usual, constructive criticism is welcomed.
