Week 3

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Like CFB ... took a beating with my picks on Sunday .... 3-4 Rec on year NFL

but just leans for now ...which 90% of the time I play...

Leans can change up until Kickoff


N.O. + 2.5 ... I'm a believer

Young ... is the New Justin Fields ...without legs to run .... Young has ZERO Talent around him ....just like Fields had in Chicago ....and now ................The Panthers are now benching Bryce Young in favor of Andy Dalton


Justin Herbert is 26-8 lifetime when DEF allows < 27 points. Justin Herbert is 18-0 lifetime when DEF allows < 20 points.
 

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Since leaving the Bengals, Dalton as a dog of 6 or more points is 1-4 SU and ATS

Lean

LV - 5 - 130
 

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If someone wants to work with me when trends come up .... send me a private message

Example ...like this one

Jax ....now 0-17 SU / ATS

1726569551810.png
 

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Week 2 NFL betting stats: Favorites: 5-9-1 ATS (8-7 SU) Overs: 5-9-1 Road teams: 10-4-1 ATS (9-6 SU)
 

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In the past 10 years, 0-2 teams have gone 52-33-1 (61%) ATS in Week 3 per
@Bet_Labs
0-2 Teams in Week 3: Giants +6.5 at CLE Titans -3 vs. GB Colts -1 vs. CHI Broncos +7 at TB Panthers +5.5 at LV Ravens -1 at DAL Rams +7.5 vs. SF Jaguars +5.5 at BUF Bengals -7.5 vs. WAS

 

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Caleb Williams vs Cover-3

#27 in EPA (-0.49)
#28 in success (25%)
#31 in YPA (3.0)

on 28 dropbacks

Colts use Cover-3 at the #1 highest rate in the NFL (67% of dropbacks)

it's on OC Shane Waldron to figure it out this week

you know you're getting it from Gus... FIGURE IT OUT
 

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NY Jets
Moneyline
NE Patriots @ NY Jets
−270



PIT Steelers +5
Spread Alternate
LA Chargers @ PIT Steelers
−238


2 Pick Parlay

−106


Lean

Pitt + 3 - 175
 

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Arizona ... 7-1 O/U as a Home Dog last 8

Det ............4-2 O/U as an Away Fav

Lean

Det / Ariz Over 49 - 156
 

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