WEEK 2-TECHNICALS

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SETUP GAMES AND DOUBLE REVERSES THIS WEEK.

MIAMI(3 37) at NYJETS..
miami comes off a rare home loss in the opener burning half the country. jets off a warm up game for testaverde and the boys.
mia horrible as a road fav vs thier div. going 3-12 ats since 93. mia managed to cover 2 of the last 12 in ny. the smaller the line miami gives on the road, the less thier chances of covering are, as they are 2-11 ats as div. rd favs of 4 or less.
the jets,"especially with testaverde", have been a solid home dog vs thier div.for years,with miami definately being no exception.
home dogs in this series have gone 13-3 ats since 81.
testaverde, chrebet and curtis martin always shine vs miami with september matchups averaging 60 pts per game, even with including last years 30-3 outing.
one technical to be leary of is the fact that ny has failed to cover thier home opener the last 10 straight years.
the double reverse here; miami gets off the losing track in ny, but ny still holds miami's ats punk card. miami will win this game in the very same fashion they lost thier last.
MIAMI 31 NYJETS 30

DETROIT at GREEN BAY(6.5 46.5)..
can't wait for this game. detroit getting thoroughly beaten in every way except the score last week at home vs arizona, due entirely to costly, timely turnovers by the cards,go to green bay who fell behind big early only to put on a vicious rally falling short at the end.
look for the technicals in this series to continue.
the home team is 18-3-2 ats in the last 23 games, with det going 1-9-1 ats in thier last 11 trips to lambeau. green bay early, often and all game long.
DETROIT 17 GREEN BAY 34

BUFFALO(3 43) at JACKSONVILLE..
jax likes to cover thier home opener going 6-0-1 ats last 7 years but buffalo is red hot, looking to be a serious contender this year and loaded up on defense. bledsoe will crucify jax with the long ball in this game as jax has no one to stop it.
buffalo has covered the last 7 straight games following neng.they've been a murderer in thier 2nd game of the season covering 11 of thier last 12 and most coincidently,"which i love",has went 18-5 ats in games after scoring in the 30's since 93.
BUFFALO 27 JACKSONVILLE 13

SAN FRANCISCO at ST.LOUIS(3 47)..
you gotta be kidding me, st.louis gets whacked, looks miserable and can't run the ball favored vs a sf team who has just hung 49 pts on the board and showed they could'nt even be slowed down, yet alone stopped?
sfran has came up short in the way of being road dogs vs thier div. going 1-8-1 ats since 99, they have also covered only 2 of thier last 9 road openers. in the series the favorite has covered 20 of the last 25, hence the setup game.
bulger once again injects life in a ram team who remembers losing the first 6 games last year and the pure misery of it.
SANFRAN 27 ST.LOUIS 31

NEW ENGLAND at PHILADELPHIA(5.5 37)..
another beautiful setup game.
philly looking miserable on offense, depleted on defense and catagorized as a one man team after one game vs a fully stocked team who at anytime can look as good on offense and defense as any superbowl team ever did.
phi has struggled to cover any game vs the afc when they're giving more than a fieldgoal going 2-8 ats in that situation the last 10 years.
now thier giving a whopping 5.5, if it wasn't for another coincidental stat i'd be all over ne. over the last 19 years new eng has managed to fail covering thier 2nd road game of the season everytime, going 0-17-2 ats. gotta love it.
NEW ENGLAND 13 PHILADELPHIA 21

CHICAGO at MINNESOTA(8 45.5)..
chicago covered 9 of the last 12 in minn, the dog covered 18 of the last 23 in the series and minn is a pathetic 1-7-1 as a sept favorite over the last several years.
chicago couldn't possibly be as bad as they played in sf, and minnesota has got to be sky high after the victory in gb. chicago steps up and minn comes out flat...NAH.
double reverse, moss shines on national tv, chicago does suck and minnesota rolls.
CHICAGO 21 MINNESOTA 35

DALLAS at NY GIANTS(7.5 37)..
on monday the ny times could read,"tuna canned in meadowlands".
the home team has covered 18 of the last 25 in series. the average point total is 34 over the last 16 games, and ny has manageed to rip a decent 7-1-1 ats mark in thier 2nd of 2 straight home games the last 6 years. the average margin of victory in sept matchups in this series has been 19 points since 90., but the best of all is one more coincidental stat pattern i love.
since 1990 the ats outcome for dallas in ny has read..LLWLLWLLWLLWL..? again, gotta love it.
DALLAS 3 NY GIANTS 23

OTHER GAMES..

KANSAS CITY-3.5
kc has covered over 83% of thier early games at home when favored, throw in a "virgin" opposing qb in shoots to over 95%.

HOUSTON+8
new orleans is 0-9 ats when favored by 7 or more since 93.

SEATTLE-4.5
arizona 2-13 ats in home openers the last 15 years.

GAME.
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GAME TECHNICIAN
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SD 0-12 ATS VS DIVISION AFTER ROAD LOSS.
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GL THIS WEEKEND
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sd is also 0-7 ats at home after playing kc since 98, if your looking to take denver.

GAME.
 

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