We have now reached Week 17, and since this is the final week of the regular season, we advise being very careful with how you use the trends and angles in this column or any other approach you use for that matter, as many games this week will have a preseason feel with many teams that are locked into the playoffs really having nothing to play for.
Back to the matter at hand, remember last week when there was a conflict at the top of our angles, as the Seattle Seahawks fell into a system that said to fade road favorites after their 11th win of the season (in this case the 49ers) while the Niners fit the Monday Night Magic angle? Well, case solved as the game ended in a Push with San Francisco winning by two points!
The Monday Night Magic angle turns up for the sixth straight week this week after the New Orleans Saints' big win in Drew Brees' record breaking performance Monday night, but keep our aforementioned advice in mind as the Saints may sit some regulars.
We will lead off with a nice road underdog angle this week that should not be hindered by favored teams sitting players.
Play on any road underdog coming off of a road loss (168-107-7, 61.1% ATS since 2002): It used to be that teams playing consecutive road games were great fades, but as that angle became common knowledge, bookmakers started to adjust the point spreads for teams playing on the road off of a road game. Well, based on these long-term results, they may have over-adjusted the lines, especially in the case of road underdogs....KEEP READING
Back to the matter at hand, remember last week when there was a conflict at the top of our angles, as the Seattle Seahawks fell into a system that said to fade road favorites after their 11th win of the season (in this case the 49ers) while the Niners fit the Monday Night Magic angle? Well, case solved as the game ended in a Push with San Francisco winning by two points!
The Monday Night Magic angle turns up for the sixth straight week this week after the New Orleans Saints' big win in Drew Brees' record breaking performance Monday night, but keep our aforementioned advice in mind as the Saints may sit some regulars.
We will lead off with a nice road underdog angle this week that should not be hindered by favored teams sitting players.
Play on any road underdog coming off of a road loss (168-107-7, 61.1% ATS since 2002): It used to be that teams playing consecutive road games were great fades, but as that angle became common knowledge, bookmakers started to adjust the point spreads for teams playing on the road off of a road game. Well, based on these long-term results, they may have over-adjusted the lines, especially in the case of road underdogs....KEEP READING
