Week 12 VICTORY FROM OHIO picks. 17-4 year to date. Discussion, analysis and eventually picks

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I know you say 20-7 but have you broken it down into unit size? If you go 1-3 this wk on huge plays, 1-0 med and 1-0 small, you can see how that 20-7 is deceiving.
 

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I know you say 20-7 but have you broken it down into unit size? If you go 1-3 this wk on huge plays, 1-0 med and 1-0 small, you can see how that 20-7 is deceiving.


No I have not gone back and broken down the units and I am the first to admit that this was a bad (losing) week. As I've said from the beginning feel free to follow, fade or pass on my plays. I have my methods and am confident that in the long term it will continue to make me money. I've also advised all members to only wager what you can afford to lose and realize that anyone can have bad weeks. Don't worry, I won't have "extra huge" or "gigantic" plays like others on here may do if they are losing.
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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you can see how that 20-7 is deceiving.

c'mon SBD....20-7 is 20-7. there is nothing deceiving about it. why the fuck does everyone around here try to knock dude's around. he's fucking 20-7 and you want to call him out for deception?

i really don't know why anyone posts here. if you win, you get shit on...if you lose, you get shit on. such clowns
 

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Vic..........nicely done YTD............BOL this week and continued success...........indy
 

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c'mon SBD....20-7 is 20-7. there is nothing deceiving about it. why the fuck does everyone around here try to knock dude's around. he's fucking 20-7 and you want to call him out for deception?

i really don't know why anyone posts here. if you win, you get shit on...if you lose, you get shit on. such clowns




I totally agree with you, you said a mouthful, some must get their jollies by doing that, i'll never understand, i can see why so many posters have quit posting as you get knocked for posting winners, NUFF SAID!!
 

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Very nice record. In the long run the + is what we strive for. The amount one chooses to bet is gambling!
 

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Appreciate the kind words rolltide, buckshotbookies, indy, sparticus and United. Don't worry I'm not going anywhere and will continue to post any plays I deem to be strong. My HUGE or MEDIUM or SMALL wager amounts are relative to me and my bankroll. As the wins have been going up I have been adjusting my wager size accordingly. Thus, I don't have any number of units won year to date but I can say it's been a very good NFL season thus far.

There are those here wagering 5 dollars a game to others betting 20k or higher and someone above was right that winning is the name of the game in the long term. I'm more excited about a poster that wins 10 in a row that wins 100 dollars than one that wins 1 game and posts about how they won $20k.

This is gambling and there will always be wins and unfortunately losses. This is NOT my full time job but I do use it as a way to supplement my income from being a full time physician. Good luck to all and as always only wager what you can truly afford to lose!
 

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thank you for your time - as a fellow health professional - im a Dentist - i know time is hard to come by - so I appreciate all your hard work. thanks again!
 

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Sometimes I wonder if the trolls are touts or their minions who fear that guys who post for free are cutting into their business. Between the NFL Forum and the Service Plays Forum, the Rx has to hurt them.
 

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This is NOT my full time job but I do use it as a way to supplement my income from being a full time physician. Good luck to all and as always only wager what you can truly afford to lose!


Keep up the good work Doc. You might (probably will) need the extra money with Barack "Don't know my ass from a hole in the ground" Obama fiddling around with your reimbursement!
 

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Sometimes I wonder if the trolls are touts or their minions who fear that guys who post for free are cutting into their business. Between the NFL Forum and the Service Plays Forum, the Rx has to hurt them.

I actually think that the touts are not too worried/bothered by us small guys at therx. You have to keep in mind that only a very small percentage of players will come to a forum such as this. Also, the picks can be all over the place sometimes with seeming to be a 50/50 mix of winners and losers. Also, when we are wagering 110 to win 100 that inherent advantage is tough to beat (and that's without the big juice prop plays).

Keep up the good work Doc. You might (probably will) need the extra money with Barack "Don't know my ass from a hole in the ground" Obama fiddling around with your reimbursement!

Thanks packer2012! I usually don't get political in a public forum like this but I VERY MUCH agree with everything you said! Now that I said that I'm sure the haters will come out in the thread against me......
 

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You got anything tonight Victory?

Sharingan82 I'm still taking a look at the matchups and stats right now and I've been short on time. Right now I should have one play at least and will post it right here in this thread.

great job victory keep up the good work ignore the haters waste of time


cheers


tsf

No worries thesportsforecaster about any haters; thanks for the kind words. I've learned that this place is filled with haters but also has a lot of good people too. The latter is the main reason I keep coming back and will continue to post.
 
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c'mon SBD....20-7 is 20-7. there is nothing deceiving about it. why the fuck does everyone around here try to knock dude's around. he's fucking 20-7 and you want to call him out for deception?

i really don't know why anyone posts here. if you win, you get shit on...if you lose, you get shit on. such clowns

I'm not shitting on the guy. I played his stuff. I'm rooting for him. All I'm saying is 20-7 is not the same profit if you break down the unit size and through analysis see a different outcome. 20-7 flat betting is +12.5ish units, no? That isn't the case here.
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
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Sharingan82 I'm still taking a look at the matchups and stats right now and I've been short on time. Right now I should have one play at least and will post it right here in this thread.



No worries thesportsforecaster about any haters; thanks for the kind words. I've learned that this place is filled with haters but also has a lot of good people too. The latter is the main reason I keep coming back and will continue to post.

thats why i don't post as much in this forum anymore its great for entertainment!! the reason i entered the las vegas hilton super contest back in 2005 was because of this site it doesn't matter if your 25-1 here if you post your 27th pick as lock of the century lol! and lose you get crucified lol !! this forum is about good information and sometimes riding the hot cappers.... i love baltimore +3.5 tonite the hook is key here !!!!! new orleans defence will let them down home field loses 3rd straight at the big easy



cheers


tsf
 

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On to the real reason for this thread...the picks that are hopefully winners:

1. Baltimore at New Orleans
New Orleans has not been very good lately with 2 consecutive losses at home in the dome. The last time they lost 3 in a row at home was 2005. I know what this New Orleans team is capable of on primetime at home and I say just look at how this team destroyed Green Bay 44-23 a few weeks ago. With a win, this team will have sole possession of 1st place and they know the pressure is on and it's now or never time. New Orleans did look very flat last week against Cincinnati but I think Sean Payton has them fired up this week. 4 of the 6 losses were by 3 points or less so they have had some very tough losses.

Baltimore has lost 3 of their last 4 games on the road. Yes, they too are fighting to keep up in their division and are coming off a bye but I feel strongly here that New Orleans is the play. Flacco has not been impressive and he has thrown 5 TDs and 5 interceptions in the last 4 games.

Taking New Orleans minus 3 for a HUGE wager

2. New York Jets/Buffalo (in Detroit)
New York does not do well when they travel away from home. Yes, this is a neutral site game in Detroit but the Jets are winless (0-4) away from home. I do not think the Jets are a very good team and when these teams played 4 weeks ago in NY, the Bills won by 20 points. Yes Buffalo was unable to practice as much as they wanted to but they had a chance to rest their team as they have not played in 11 days. I think they will use this past week as motivation to rally the team and come out playing hard. I feel the Buffalo defense is able to shut down the Jets while Orton is able to do play mistake free and not make many costly errors. Having Fred Jackson back will be a boost for Buffalo and I think Sammy Watkins has a great game.
Thus my wager is Buffalo minus 3 for a HUGE wager.

Summary: 20-6 YEAR TO DATE
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PICKS
1. New Orleans minus 3 (-115) (HUGE)
2. Buffalo minus 3 (-105) (HUGE)


Good luck!
 

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Vic..........good looking plays.........BOL with tonight's action..........indy
 

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