Wednesday 3/8/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Mar 8, 2017

STEVE JANUS

Appalachian State vs. Troy State
Play: Appalachian State +6

Play Against - Neutral court teams (TROY) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This system is 64-27 (70%) against the spread since 1997.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Mar 8, 2017

BRANDON LEE

Wake Forest vs. Virginia Tech
Play: Virginia Tech +2

Wake Forest is getting a lot of love right now and rightfully so, but I just like the value here with the Hokies given the situation. The Demon Deacons needed that win over BC to lock up a spot in the NCAA Tournament and were fortunate that the Eagles lost their best player early in that game. Virginia Tech closed out the regular season with a 84-89 loss at home to Wake Forest and there's no doubt that loss isn't sitting well with the Hokies. The extra day of rest is huge in these conference tournaments and I look for Virginia Tech to get their revenge and move on to the next round.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Mar 8, 2017

MIKE LUNDIN

Wizards vs. Nuggets
Play: Nuggets -130

We won with the Washington Wizards as a premium pick at Phoenix on Tuesday, but I think they'll struggle with the tempo in the high altitude at Denver here the very next night.

The Nuggets have won 10 of their past 13 home contests against the Wizards and the home team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in the series.

Denver is a solid 10-4 ATS in its last 14 home games overall and off a dominant 108-96 win over the Kings on Monday. The Nuggets are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games playing on one days rest and with both rest and home court advantage, I think Denver is the play here.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Mar 8, 2017

ANDREW GOLD

Mississippi State -5½

This is going to be a heavy public play as well, but th e books are off here. LSU is a complete mess right now and especially after yesterday as we have heard they are going to fire their coach. However, their coach knows nothing about it leaving more confusion. These teams just met the last game of the regular season and Miss St won by 12. They simply left off the gas as they were up 18 @ half. I expect them to get a big lead again and LSU will simply throw in the towel. Miss St is 8-2 ATS L10 games vs team with a losing record. Miss St is 8-1 ATS L9 games vs a team with a winning % below .400 LSU is 2-5 ATS L7 games as an underdog.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Mar 8, 2017

TEDDY DAVIS

Miami vs. Syracuse
Play: Miami -1

I like Miami here to open up today for the ACC Tournament. I think Cuse is getting a lot of credit because they are in a must win situation. I'm not buying it as this team has struggled big time away from home only winning two games. One road win was by 1 point and the other came in OT as they hit a 3 at buzzer to send it to OT. They could easily have 0 road wins.

Miami finished the season well earning a spot in the tournament. Sure they lost their last two games which were both on the road, but they were coming off a huge Duke win so the spot wasn't great for them. Even losing their last two they still finished their last 12 8-4.

Cuse smoked them @ home, but Miami only made 2 threes during that game and Cuse shot over 55% compared to Miami's 38. Miami gets the revenge here!

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Mar 8, 2017

JACK JONES

Wizards vs. Nuggets
Play: Nuggets -2

The Denver Nuggets are coming on strong as they pursue the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. They have gone 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last three games overall, winning all three games by 12 points or more.

The Washington Wizards are great fade material tonight because they are in a tough spot. The Wizards will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a draining 131-127 win in Phoenix last night. This will also be their 6th game in 9 days.

The Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a losing record. The Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Denver is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on one days' rest. The Nuggets are 43-21-1 ATS in their last 65 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.