Wednesday 2/17/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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SPOT PLAYS

For Wednesday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Delta Downs (2nd) Native Little Lady, 8-1
(4th) Superlicious, 6-1


Mahoning Valley (3rd) Buddy Be Good, 5-1
(4th) Dancing Rico, 9-2


Penn National (4th) Obsess, 6-1
(8th) Summer Cocktail, 7-2


Tampa Bay Downs (3rd) Impeccable Lady, 9-2
(9th) Hey Girl Hey, 4-1


Turf Paradise (1st) Ten Purses, 7-2
(5th) Fuzzy Lovin, 7-2
 
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NCAAB

Notes for Wednesday's games..........

St Joe's won 17 of last 19 games, winning last three by 22-18-26; both of those losses were at home, to VCU/Bonnies- they're 4-2 in last six games with Dayton, winning last five in Philly by 14-6-1-14-26 points in series where home side won 12 of last 13 regular season games. Dayton won its last nine games, winning last two by a basket each. A-14 home faves of 3 or less points are 8-6 against the spread.

Syracuse won four of last six games with Louisville, winning last two in Yum Center by 1-2 points. Orange is playing for spot in NCAAs, Cards have nothing to play for, and lost last two games. Louisville won five of six ACC home games, losing to Virginia. Syracuse won eight of last nine games, three of last four on road, including win at Duke. ACC home favorites of 8+ points are 16-17 against the spread.

Xavier won 75-68 at Providence Jan 26, holding Friars to 7-34 on arc as Musketeers shot 61% inside arc. It was first road win in five games in series; Friars lost 59-53/78-69 in two visits here. Xavier won six of last seven games, winning last three at home by 8-7-8 points. Providence is 2-4 in last six games; they won last game by 3 after almost blowing its 49-29 halftime lead. Big East single digit home favorites are 10-14.

Villanova/Temple both won their last five games; Wildcats won last two games in this crosstown rivalry by 23-16 points. Big East teams are 4-1 vs AAC this year (favorites 3-2 vs spread). Villanova won its last seven road games since losing at Virginia Dec 19; they're forcing turnovers 21% of time, making 56.8% inside arc. Temple is 8-1 in last nine games, with OT wins over Cincinnati-Tulsa- they won last six home games.

Northern Iowa won its last six games, including beating Shockers in last game at Wichita; that followed 4-game skid which included an ugly 51-41 home loss to Loyola Jan 16, when UNI was 6-24 inside arc, 7-24 outside it for whole game. UNI won last three road games by 18-16-3. Loyola is 2-5 at home in Valley, beating Drake/Indiana State, with losses by 10-2-1-1-8 points. MVC home dogs of 5 or less points are 7-4 vs spread.

Oklahoma lost at home to Kansas Saturday, second loss in three games after 19-2 start; Sooners pounded Texas Tech 91-67 in first meeting Jan 26, making 12-23 on arc, scoring 1.3 ppp. Oklahoma lost three of five Big X road games, winning by 10 at Baylor, 2 at OSU. Tech won three of last four games, winning last game by 18 at Baylor; three of their last five games went OT. Big X home underdogs of 6 or less points are 6-7.

Georgetown lost 69-61 at Seton Hall 11 days ago, shooting 36% inside arc; Pirates are 4-3 in last seven series games, but lost five of last six at Georgetown, with four losses by 10+ points. Hoyas lost four of last six games but are 4-2 at home in Big East, losing to Villanova/Providence. Pirates won four of last five games, with only win at Creighton. Big East home favorites of 4 or less points are 3-7 vs spread.

Duke won five of last six games with North Carolina, taking three of last four played here; Blue Devils won last four games overall, split last four on road, losing at Clemson/Miami. Carolina is 6-0 in ACC, with all six wins by 8+ points; they won last two games by 3-21 after losing pair on road at Notre Dame/Louisville. ACC home favorites of 7 or less points are 13-11 vs spread. UNC is still shooting just 31.6% on arc (#295).

LSU won 72-70 at Alabama Jan 23, rallying back from down six with 9:59 left; Tide made 10-25 from arc in losing third game in row to LSU, by 12-11-2 points. Bama lost last three visits here, by 9-3-11, but they won last four games overall, Tide won last two road games, at Miss St, Florida. Tigers scored 81.8 ppg in four games since Oklahoma loss when Simmons was criticized for not taking control of game late. SEC home favorites of 8 or less points are 20-8 vs spread. .

Arizona won 94-82 at Arizona State Jan 3; coach Hurley got tossed in last minute. Wildcats are 8-3 in last 11 series games, winning last five in Tucson by 11-17-15-23-24 points. Arizona won last three home games by 17-6-8 points since losing to Oregon- their last three wins are all by 8 or less points. ASU is 1-5 on Pac-12 road, with all five losses by 10 or less points, or in OT. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 7-2.

New Mexico shot 59% inside the arc, won 88-83 at Boise State Jan 30; Lobos are 7-3 vs Boise in MW play, 3-1 in Pit, with wins by 15-10-9 points. Broncos lost last three road games by 10-8-4 points; they're 2-4 in last six games overall. New Mexico won ita last three home games by 29-4-16 points; they're turning ball over 20.7% of time in league play. Mountain West home favorites of 7 or less points are 13-9 vs spread.

Colorado is 7-0 vs USC in Pac-12 play, winning by 24-9-4 in three trips here, but Trojans are vastly improved at 18-7, 7-5 in Pac-12- they're 5-0 at home in conferemce, with four wins by 10+ points. Pac-12 single digit home favorites are 20-14 vs spread. Buffs are 2-4 on Pac-12 road, with wins at Stanford/Wazzu; their last four games were decided by 4 or less points or in OT. USC needs wins to stay away from dreaded bubble.

Manhattan won its last 11 games with St Peter's, winning last four tilts in Jersey City by 19-2-12-7 points. Jaspers lost three of last four away games, with win at lowly Marist; they lost by 9 at Monmouth Monday while Peacocks last played Sunday. St Peter's won its last three games, allowing 56 ppg- they're 5-2 at home in MAAC. MAAC favorites are 18-16 vs spread in games with spread of less than 5 points.
 
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'Hoosies remain flawless at home'

Indiana Hoosiers look to get back into the win column Wednesday evening when they host Nebraska Cornhuskers at Assembly Hall. Hoosiers fell to 20-6 (13-13 ATS) on the season, 10-3 (6-7 ATS) in Big Ten play with its 88-69 loss Sunday at Michigan State. Hoosiers no slouches at putting the ball through the hoop dropping 83.5 per/game behind four players in double digits are flawless at Assembly Hall at 14-0 (10-4 ATS) overall, 6-0 (4-2 ATS) hosting a Big-Ten rival.

In their last game, Cornhuskers defeated Penn State 70-54 at home moving the mark to 14-12 (13-8 ATS) on the campaign, 6-7 (8-5 ATS) within the conference. Cornhuskers netting just 73.6 per/contest will be without Shavon Shields (15.7) due to a head injury leaving only Andrew White (17.6) in double digit scoring.

This is the second meeting of the season between these two teams. Hoosiers won the first 79-69 in Lincoln as -4.5 point road chalk. Expect Hoosiers to easily polished off Cornhuskers in the rematch. Hoosiers are 5-2 ATS following a loss. Additionally, the Cornhuskers struggle cashing tickets on the road facing a team with a winning home record. Over the past eighteen such situtions the Cornhuskers are 5-12-1 against the betting line.
 
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Streaks, Tips, Notes

Duke, North Carolina Renew Hostilities on Wednesday

Regardless of records or rankings, the rivalry between the Duke Blue Devils and the North Carolina Tar Heels remains one of the hottest in the NCAAB. The two ACC rivals meet for the first time this season on Wednesday in North Carolina.

The Blue Devils (19-6 SU, 8-4 ACC) edged the No. 7 Virginia Cavaliers 63-62 at home last Saturday for their fourth win in a row. Grayson Allen scored 15 points, including the buzzer-beater. Brandon Ingram put up 25 points and seven rebounds for the Blue Devils, who also beat No. 13 Louisville on February 8 to cap their best week of the season.

The Tar Heels (21-4 SU, 10-2 ACC) routed the Pittsburgh Panthers 85-64 at home, giving them two straight wins. Brice Johnson led five UNC players in double figures with 19 points, while Marcus Paige added 15. The Tar Heels are No. 5 in the AP Top 25.

Duke has won seven of the last 10 meetings with North Carolina, including the last three. That being said, the Blue Devils have also won three of their last four trips to Chapel Hill, North Carolina.
 
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Wednesday's six-pack

-- Misissippi State 75, Vanderbilt 74-- Vandy scored three points in last 5:21; they led by 17 points in this game.

-- Air Force 79, UNLV 74-- Rebels beat Air Force 100-64 in first meeting.

-- Ohio State 76, Michigan 66-- Michigan's LeVert is out hurt again.

-- All six favorites covered in MAC games Tuesday night.

-- Missouri 72, South Carolina 67-- Horrific loss for the Gamecocks.

-- Baylor 100, Iowa State 91 OT-- Best game of night, lot of fun to watch.
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Wednesday

745 COLORADO STATE @ 746 UTAH STATE 9:00 PM

Take: 745 COLORADO STATE +3.5

I wouldn’t expect much defense tonight as Utah State plays host to Colorado State. Neither of these teams is much good at that aspect of the game. So this is very likely to be a win for whichever team hits more of the open looks they each figure to receive.

I’m looking at Colorado State here. First off, I’ve got same season revenge from a close home loss in play, and that’s an angle that has won again this year, as it usually does.

I also see the Rams as being in better form. They’ve gotten used to life without talented Gian Clavell, and prior to Saturday’s loss at UNLV, Colorado State had been playing some better basketball lately. As for the loss to the Rebels, I didn’t read anything of significance into that game. UNLV shot it pretty well, and CSU played a very sloppy game, committing 21 turnovers, most of which looked unforced to me. That might very well have been a hangover from the insane finish with Boise State just a few days earlier.

Utah State is off its best game in quite some time. The Aggies snapped a five-game skid with a solid performance against New Mexico. That was also their best win of the season. Utah State entered league play with the best non-league record of any MWC team. But that was a mirage as they beat up a collection of nobodies. Once conference play started, even in a very down year for the league as a whole, the Aggies got exposed.

Neither of these teams is anything special, and there are striking similarities as far as the vulnerabilities are concerned. For me, it’s a combo of same season revenge, a slightly better power rating, and discounting the last game for each team, better recent form for the visiting Rams. I see value in taking the points tonight with Colorado State.
 
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp NBB Pick, Wednesday, Feb 17, 2016 9:00 PM EST

(751) ARIZONA STATE VS (752) ARIZONA

Take: (751) ARIZONA STATE

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Wednesday, February 17, 2016 is in the Pac 12 scheduled contest between the Arizona State Sun Devils and the Wildcats in Arizona. A big Pac 12 rivalry game that both sides get sky-high for twice a year. Arizona State has already beaten a pair of ranked teams this year. ASU is averaging 75.5 ppg and Willie Atwood has 16 double-digit scoring games without scoring any (3 ppg) last year. Arizona State won at Creighton (Dec. 2) and at UNLV (Dec. 16) and lost at #5 Kentucky (Dec. 12). The Sun Devils are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home. Arizona is home and a big favorite, but look for a huge effort by their rivals in a close one. Play Arizona State.
 
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Bob Harvey

Blackhawks vs Rangers (8 PM ET Wednesday, February 17)

Bonus Play #054 New York Rangers -113 over Chicago

Two NHL heavyweights will square off tonight when the Chicago Blackhawks visit the New York Rangers. Game time is set for 8 PM ET at Madison Square Garden where the Rangers are moneyline favorites (-111) with the total pegged at 5.5.

The Blackhawks (37-18-5, 27-33 PL)had scored four goals during a three-game losing skid before their offense erupted in a 7-2 rout of Toronto on Monday. Rookie Artemi Panarin scored and set up a goal versus the Maple Leafs and netted his first career NHL tally in Chicago's 3-2 season-opening loss to New York on October 7. In Monday’s 7-2 wipeout of Toronto, Patrick Kane notched a four-point performance for the third time this season. Kane scored his team-leading 34th goal to go along with three assists raising his point total to nine (four goals, five assists) this month.

The Rangers (32-18-4, 26-30 PL) are 5-0-1 in their last six contests overall and 8-0-2 in the last 10 at Madison Square Garden to move into second place in the Metropolitan Division.

A pair of future Hall of Famers will be in net for their respective teams. New York will start Henrik Lundqvist while Corey Crawford will get the call for Chicago. Lundqvist made 32 saves in the season opener while Crawford turned aside 24 shots.

The road team is 4-1 in the last five meetings while the Blackhawks are 1-4 last five vs. the Rangers.

The UNDER is 20-3-6 in Chicago’s past 29 games against the Metropolitan Division and 4-0-1 in the past five series meetings. The OVER is 5-0 in the Rangers last five vs. the Central Division and 9-0-2 in the Rangers last 11 vs. Western Conference opponents.
 
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Ricky Tran

Arizona State vs Arizona

Free Pick on Arizona

The Sun Devils had a two game win streak snapped with a 78-65 loss at home to UCLA Sunday. They're 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 vs. Pacific-12 and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Wildcats are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 vs. Pacific-12 and off five consecutive wins. They've won five of the last seven meetings in this series, including a 94-82 road win on Jan. 3 as Gabe York lit up the Sun Devils for 22 points. Arizona is averaging 26.2 free throws a game while its opposition is averaging only 16.8 so expect a big advantage from the foul-line for the home team.
 
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Mike Lundin

Oklahoma vs Texas Tech

5* CBB Free Pick Oklahoma Sooners -5

The Oklahoma Sooners have dropped two of their last three, but they're still ranked #3 in the nation and should have no trouble to defeat the Texas Tech Red Raiders Wednesday night. The Sooners shot 52.6% from the field and 12-of-23 from 3-point land when they won the first meeting of the season 91-67 on Jan. 26 and they're 5-2 ATS in the last seven in the series. The Red Raiders are off back-to-back wins against Baylor and Iowa State but I really don't expect an upset here as they'll find it hard to keep up with the Sooners superior offense.
 
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Marc Lawrence

Providence vs Xavier

Play - Xavier

Edges - Musketeers: 21-9 ATS home odd a SU underdog win, including 16-3 ATS in conference games; and 10-3 ATS versus an opponent off a win this season, including 8-0 ATS when Xavier is off a DD win. With that look for Providence to fall to 0-3 ATS in this series. We recommend a 1* play on Xavier. Thank you and good luck as always.
 
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Ben Burns

Syracuse vs Louisville

Bonus Play Syracuse

The Louisville Cardinals responded to the news that they weren't eligible for the postseason by blowing out a bad Boston College team. Since then, the Cardinals have suffered losses at Duke and at Notre Dame. They'll get another crack at Duke on Saturday afternoon and the recent revenge factor should help provide the Cardinals with some added motivation for that game. First, however, Louisville will take on Syracuse on 2/17. Sure, the Cards will want to snap their losing streak. They're laying a fairly big number though and with the Blue Devils looming on deck, it could be easy to get caught looking ahead. With Syracuse off five straight wins, consider grabbing the points with the visitors on Wednesday.
 
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Scott Spreitzer

Colorado State vs Utah State

Bonus Play Colorado State

I'm recommending a play on Colorado State plus the points on Wednesday. Revenge spot for the Rams after losing 96-92 at home to Utah State in January. It's also a chance to atone for a poor performance last time out in an 87-80 loss to UNLV. Larry Eustachy's troops average just 11.6 turnovers per game, normally taking care of the basketball. But they were anything but normal in the loss to the Rebels, committing 20 turnovers, ultimately, the difference between a win and a loss. They'll face a USU team that forces less than a dozen turnovers per contest. I also like the way Prentiss Nixon is starting to fit into the Rams' scheme of things. Nixon could be a little more consistent, but he scored 15 points in a recent win over Boise State and scored 15 points again in a 69-67 loss at San Diego State. He presents a tough matchup for a USU squad that's dropped five of their last six games, and allowing 80 ppg in their last seven. The Rams have covered five of their last six off a SU loss and we'll recommending them here. Colorado State plus the points on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
 

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