STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 12/22
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••• ALL MESSED-UP! •••
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The Chicago Bulls aim to build off one of their more impressive wins when they begin a three-game road trip tonight against the Washington Wizards at the Verizon Center. Chicago annihilated Philadelphia, 121-76, last night and led by as many as 51 points and had a 52-26 advantage in the paint. Derrick Rose posted his seventh double-double with 22 points and 12 assists, while Luol Deng scored 22 points for the Bulls, who rebounded from Saturday's loss vs. the Clippers and shot a season-high 64.5 percent.
The Wizards are a mess without John Wall in their lineup. Washington is 2-8 SU (5-5 ATS) without Wall, who is expected to be out until at least January with a knee injury. On the other hand, the Bulls are flourishing with Carlos Boozer back healthy. Chicago is 8-1 SU (6-3 ATS) in its past nine games, allowing more than 45% FG just once in this span. Boozer is averaging 27.0 PPG and 11.3 RPG over the past four contests. Chicago is 8-4 ATS on the road this year and is 4-2 ATS in the second of back-to-back games.
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*** LAS VEGAS BOWL ***
UTAH (10-2) VS. BOISE ST (11-1)
Sam Boyd Stadium - Las Vegas, NV
Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. EDT Line: Boise St -17 O/U 59.5
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A couple of nationally-ranked programs from outside the powerful BCS take center stage at the 19th annual Las Vegas Bowl, as the 10th-ranked Boise State Broncos clash with the 20th-ranked Utah Utes from Sam Boyd Stadium in Sin City. Once again the Broncos were a threat to the sanctity of the college football bowl system, at least as far as the BCS was concerned, but luckily for the establishment Boise State failed to complete the perfect season and that is why the squad now finds itself relegated to this event in Nevada. With respect to an all-time series between these two squads, Boise State has won four of the previous six encounters. The most recent of those meetings took place on September 30, 2006 with the Broncos generating a 36-3 win for their third straight over the Utes.
Boise State ran through the regular season with 11 consecutive wins and was among the top five in both the AP poll and the BCS rankings as it possessed both one of the most aggressive offenses in the country, and a defense that few opponents could penetrate. But it all came crashing down for the Broncos on November 26th in Reno when missed field goals near the end of regulation and in overtime left the team with a 34-31 loss to nationally-ranked Nevada. The most anticipated game on the Western Athletic Conference schedule and it came down to kicker Kyle Brotzman and two make-able field goals that went astray. Not only did the miscues bring threats of harm and far-reaching resentment for Brotzman, it also gave the BCS the out they were looking for as BSU head coach Chris Petersen made it clear that there were a number of plays that could have decided the outcome in favor of his squad.
As for the Utes, they too were one of the hottest teams in the nation early on in the campaign with eight straight wins out of the box, finishing 10-2 overall and 7-1 versus the rest of the Mountain West Conference. However, Utah showed more than just a few cracks in the armor on November 6th when the team hosted TCU and was run out of the building in a 47-7 final. The devastating setback certainly raised more than a few eyebrows as people began to wonder what the true identity of this top-10 team really was. A week later a trip to South Bend made it even more clear that Utah had been the beneficiary of some weak competition on the early part of the schedule as the Notre Dame Fighting Irish beat the Utes soundly in a 28-3 final. Seven days later the Utes were again on trial, this time at San Diego State, and again the program nearly rolled over and died before slipping by with a 38-34 victory. Add a narrow 17-16 win over a resurgent BYU group and Utah is making its eighth straight bowl appearance.
The Utes, who have a record of 12-4 in bowl games dating back to a 26-0 beating of New Mexico in the 1939 Sun Bowl, have won nine consecutive postseason dates and that's the longest active streak in the nation and tied for the second-longest of all-time. Last year, the team defeated California in the Poinsettia Bowl in San Diego by a score of 37-27 under head coach Kyle Whittingham. Prior to Whittingham's ascension to the top spot in the coaching ranks, Utah also won this same Las Vegas Bowl in 1999 and 2001 against Fresno State (17-16) and USC (10-6), respectively. "We are very excited about our invitation to play in the MAACO Las Vegas Bowl," said coach Whittingham after the Utes accepted the invitation. "It's been a while since we have played a bowl game in Las Vegas and our players and coaches are looking forward to the opportunity. We are proud to represent the Mountain West Conference in its top bowl game and anticipate a strong turnout by our fans."
At 6-4 the Broncos don't have that much of a bowl pedigree, but when you consider that record dates back to just 1999 one has to be impressed with the program's consistency in making it to the postseason in the first place. Last season the team was pitted against another non-BCS squad in TCU and captured a hard-fought 17-10 battle in the Fiesta Bowl. A year earlier the Broncos lost to the same Horned Frogs group, 17-16, in the Poinsettia Bowl. During much of the 2010 season the Utah offense was unrivaled, scoring at will against defenseless opponents who couldn't get out of the way fast enough. However, in crunch time the Utes experienced a power outage as they scored a combined 27 points in three games against TCU, Notre Dame and BYU during the final month of the regular season. Quarterback Jordan Wynn had some rough outings for the group, yet he still finished the campaign by completing better than 62 percent of his pass attempts for 233.4 ypg and 17 TDs, against 10 interceptions on 299 attempts.
Jereme Brooks and DeVonte Christopher were the big outlets for Wynn as they combined to make 89 catches for 1,288 yards and 10 touchdowns, but it was really the efforts of Eddie Wide and Matt Asiata coming out of the backfield that dictated what the passing attack was able to accomplish. Wide finished with 11 TDs and close to five yards per carry as he split time with Asiata who returned with 673 yards and eight TDs of his own. Defensively, the Utes placed second in the conference and eighth in the nation in terms of run defense, holding opponents to just 104.2 ypg, but a lot of that had to do with the fact that opponents were having to play from behind so often and couldn't afford to waste time on the clock. In fact, against two of the toughest running teams in the nation (Air Force and TCU) the Utes gave up a combined 387 yards and four touchdowns in back-to-back games.
Boise State's offense might not run exclusively, but being ranked 24th in the nation and second in the WAC with 200.1 ypg means that the Broncos can certainly do damage in that mode and the Utes will have to prepare for such an attack. The newest in a line of tough-nosed running backs for BSU, Doug Martin ran for 1,113 yards and 11 TDs, averaging six yards per attempt. In Addition, Jeremy Avery also reprised his role as one of the most elusive runners around as he turned in 440 yards and added 11 TD runs as well. But make no mistake, this Boise State offense rests in the capable hands of junior signal-caller Kellen Moore who was not only named the WAC Co-Offensive Player of the Year, he was also invited to New York to take part in the Heisman Trophy festivities (he finished fourth in the voting). Moore was second in the nation in passing efficiency with a 185.04 rating as he threw for 3,506 yards and 33 touchdowns with just five interceptions. As a starter, Moore is now 37-2 in three seasons and for his efforts he's been named the WAC's Freshman of the Year in 2008, and was the WAC Offensive Player of the Year last season.
But with so much attention being given to Moore and an offense that ranks second in the nation in scoring with 46.7 ppg, it is easy to forget that Boise State also has one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, limiting foes to just 13.6 points and 259.3 total yards per game, both of which rank the team fourth in the nation. Ryan Winterswyk earned most of the attention heading into and during the season as he logged seven tackles for loss and 2.5 sacks, but because he was on the scouting report for every opponent, that opened the door for teammates like Tyrone Crawford who tallied a team-high 13 TFLs and accounted for 6.5 sacks, and Shea McClellin who made the most of his 26 overall stops by recording a team-best 8.5 sacks. Wrap it all up and Boise State was first in the nation with 3.75 sacks per game and second in TFLs with 8.3 per outing. For Winterswyk, a senior, this last outing is bittersweet given all he has accomplished during his time in Idaho and he expressed that following the team's win over Utah State in the regular-season finale.
• PREGAME NOTES
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The Broncos went from a BCS bowl and a $17 million payout to the Las Vegas Bowl and a $1 million payday. At least the Broncos certainly found the right place to crap out. In their last season in the WAC, they left far too much money on the table for the conference’s liking. They meet another WAC defector in Utah (left in 1998) and one that has this bowling thing down to a science. The Utes are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS as bowlers under HC Kyle Whittingham, and also 11-2 ATS as dogs with rest under his lead. Not to mention Utah is also a profitable 24-11 ATS as dogs when they own a .750 or greater win percentage and Whittingham, himself, is 7-1 ATS as dog of more than seven points.
While it’s hard to find too many bad numbers in the Broncos’ camp (they did hold six foes to season-low yardage this season), they are just 1-5 ATS as favorites of 21 or less points versus.750 or greater opposition – and 1-4 ATS as favorites of more than 7 points versus the Mountain West Conference. As the 2010 Stat/Systems Sports College Bowl Stat Report points out, WAC bowlers are just 1-6 ATS as double-digit favorites. While we must respect the Broncos’ 17-2 SU and 15-3-1 ATS mark versus bowlers over the last three years, this pre-Christmas bowl game is just too big a drop from what Boise Blue had in mind when the season started.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Boise St by 14.5; O/U 59
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Boise St -14
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Boise St -18.05
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--BOISE ST is 35-13 ATS (+20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 38.3, OPPONENT 22.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 43-22 ATS (+18.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
The average score was UTAH 24.5, OPPONENT 25.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--BOISE ST is 33-16 UNDER (+15.3 Units) in road games off a home win since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 38.6, OPPONENT 20.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 35-18 UNDER (+15.2 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
The average score was UTAH 27.5, OPPONENT 19.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 24-9 UNDER (+14.1 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was UTAH 26.4, OPPONENT 20.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--BOISE ST is 11-1 against the 1rst half line (+9.9 Units) after leading their last 3 games by 10+ points at the half over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOISE ST 29.2, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--BOISE ST is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOISE ST 20.4, OPPONENT 5.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOISE ST 26.6, OPPONENT 7.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) after scoring 37 points or more last game this season.
The average score was BOISE ST 30.0, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--BOISE ST is 7-0 against the 1rst half line (+7.0 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOISE ST 22.5, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 7-0 against the 1rst half line (+7.0 Units) after a win by 28 or more points this season.
The average score was BOISE ST 29.0, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 30-12 against the 1rst half line (+16.8 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
The average score was UTAH 15.5, OPPONENT 9.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 9-0 against the 1rst half line (+9.0 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.
The average score was UTAH 22.9, OPPONENT 8.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--UTAH is 17-3 UNDER (+13.7 Units) the 1rst half total vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. since 1992.
The average score was UTAH 12.3, OPPONENT 9.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 28-13 UNDER (+13.7 Units) the 1rst half total as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line since 1992.
The average score was UTAH 11.9, OPPONENT 11.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
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--PLAY UNDER - Any team against the total (UTAH) - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG, in a non-conference game between two teams from second tier division 1-A conferences.
(26-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (81.2%, +19.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 51.5
The average score in these games was: Team 21.4, Opponent 21.4 (Total points scored = 42.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 20 (66.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-4).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (30-8).
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***** WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 22ND NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
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-- Bulls won eight of last nine games, covered of last eight on road.
-- Celtics won last 13 games, covered six of last eight. 76ers are 13-3 vs spread in last 16 games, despite losing by 45 points last night.
-- Thunder won, covered six of last seven games.
-- Nets won three of their last four games.
-- Jazz won three of their last four games.
-- Spurs won last nine games, but failed to cover last four.
-- Rockets won last three games by 16-9-9 points. Clippers won/covered their last three games, for first time this year.
• COLD TEAMS
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-- Pistons are 0-4-1 in last five games as a road underdog. Raptors lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Hawks are 3-11 vs spread as a home favorite. Cavaliers are 1-7-1 vs spread in last nine games as road underdog.
-- Wizards lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Knicks lost last three games, giving up 113.3 ppg.
-- Hornets lost five of their last seven games.
-- Minnesota lost last six games, but covered three of last four.
-- Nuggets are 3-4 in last seven games, 1-3-1 in last five as a road dog.
• BACK-TO-BACK
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-- Bulls are 3-1 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- 76ers are 1-3 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Thunder is 4-1 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Nets are 6-1 vs spread if they played the night before.
• TOTALS
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-- Four of last five Detroit games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Chicago games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Boston home games went over the total.
-- Five of last six New York home games went over the total. Six of last eight Thunder games stayed under.
-- Five of last six New Jersey games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Minnesota games went over the total. Utah's last four games all stayed under.
-- Four of last five Denver games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Clipper games went over the total.
• QUICK HITS
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--DETROIT @ TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET DETROIT: 1-5 ATS revenging home loss. TORONTO: 4-0 Over at home vs. Detroit.
--CLEVELAND @ ATLANTA, 7:00 PM ET CLEVELAND: 1-10 ATS if home dog last game. ATLANTA: 12-2 ATS off SU dog win.
--CHICAGO @ WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET NBA CHICAGO: 16-4 Under as road favorite. WASHINGTON: 9-22 ATS off SU win.
--PHILADELPHIA @ BOSTON, 7:30 PM ET PHILADELPHIA: 44-24 ATS as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points. BOSTON: 26-10 Under as favorite off BB covers as favorite.
--OKLAHOMA CITY @ NEW YORK, 7:30 PM ET OKLAHOMA CITY: 24-9 Over Away playing on BB days. NEW YORK: 13-27 ATS at home if total is 210+.
--NEW JERSEY @ NEW ORLEANS, 8:00 PM ET NEW JERSEY: 16-5 Under off road win. NEW ORLEANS: 39-18 ATS at home off BB non-conf games.
--UTAH @ MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET UTAH: 39-18 ATS off road game. MINNESOTA: 26-13 Under as home dog.
--DENVER @ SAN ANTONIO, 8:30 PM ET DENVER: 16-4 Under off win by 6pts or less. SAN ANTONIO: 23-9 Under at home vs. Denver.
--HOUSTON @ LA CLIPPERS, 10:30 PM ET HOUSTON: 16-4 Under Away after scoring 100+ pts L4 games. LA CLIPPERS: 7-0 ATS off SU win.
• NOTES & TIPS
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--Ben Gordon has overtaken Richard Hamilton as Detroit’s starting shooting guard. In four starts this season, Gordon averaged better than 20 points with four rebounds and three steals. Gordon is now Detroit’s No. 1 scoring option, while Hamilton, who has been cited as a distraction on the team, will come off the pine.
--By piecing different parts together, the Denver Nuggets have weathered a wave of injuries and are off to a start that even coach George Karl says is ahead of where he imagined the team might be at this point. For once, news about the Nuggets on Tuesday morning had little to do with Anthony and the swirling rumors. Instead, it centered on the fact the Nuggets may have big men Chris Andersen and Kenyon Martin back in the lineup Wednesday night in San Antonio, along with point guard Chauncey Billups, who's missed the last three games with a torn ligament in his right wrist.
--Phil Jackson says humbug to the NBA's Christmas schedule. The 11-time NBA champion coach restated his longtime opposition to Christmas games Tuesday night before his Los Angeles Lakers faced the Milwaukee Bucks in their final tuneup before Saturday's visit from the Miami Heat. "It's like Christian holidays don't mean to them anything any more," Jackson said. "Just go out and play and entertain the TV. It's really weird, but it is what it is. We have to go to work and make the best of it."
Jackson is the son of two Christian ministers, and he famously wrote a book on his spiritual growth related to basketball. The Lakers have played on every Christmas since 1999, including three straight games against the Heat during Shaquille O'Neal's tenure after his trade from Los Angeles. Kobe Bryant has played on Christmas in 13 of his 15 NBA seasons - not including the 1998-99 season, which didn't begin until the new year due to the lockout. Jackson hates the Lakers' annual spot in the showcase, noting the NHL and most other major sports usually take Christmas off.
• NOTE: NBA betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand NBA Odds, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these NBA Odds with the public in mind. They know the public is going to bet the Lakers and Bulls (and other public teams) every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like that.
It is always best to shop around when looking for the best NBA Odds. Many different books release different numbers and NBA Odds always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best NBA Odds, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
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*** DETROIT @ TORONTO (-5, O/U 206.5) ***
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The Toronto Raptors continue to be plagued by injuries and have struggled through most of December. The Detroit Pistons should be a very welcome sight for them. Looking to follow up on a record-setting comeback win over the Pistons earlier this month, Toronto goes for its sixth consecutive victory in the series Wednesday night at Air Canada Centre. The Raptors have gone 2-7 in their last nine games, so a matchup with the Pistons could be coming at the perfect time.
Toronto has outscored Detroit by 13.2 points during the five-game run and recorded the biggest comeback in franchise history in the last meeting Dec. 11. The visiting Raptors trailed by 25 midway through the third quarter, but cut the deficit to 16 heading into the fourth and outscored the Pistons 37-17 over the final 12 minutes for a 120-116 win. Leading scorer Andrea Bargnani had 22 points in that victory, but he's missed two of the last three games, both Toronto losses due to knee and ankle issues and is uncertain for Wednesday.
He's averaging 21.4 points on the season and has averaged 27.5 in his last two matchups with the Pistons. "His ankle is compensating for his knee," coach Jay Triano said. "He's been limping around because of the pain in his knee and it's caused irritation in his ankle." Bargnani is one of many banged-up Raptors that are nursing nagging injuries. The team did get encouraging performances from two of them, Jose Calderon and Linas Kleiza, in a 120-110 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday. Calderon had 20 points and 12 assists in his second game back after missing four with a sore foot, while Kleiza (sore Achilles') scored 26 points with 10 rebounds.
"I think I'm finally healthy," Kleiza said. "I'm getting there, my legs are feeling good, they put me back in the starting lineup. Consistent minutes and playing along Jose (Calderon) and getting in that flow early in the game it helps." The Raptors led the Lakers 34-28 after one quarter, but allowed them to shoot 51.9 percent from the field overall. After starting 18 straight games, swingman Sonny Weems has sat out the previous two with back spasms and is uncertain to play Wednesday. He is averaging 11.5 points, third best on the team.
Detroit was able to overcome injury issues of its own Sunday, defeating New Orleans 111-108 in overtime despite playing without both starting guards. Ben Gordon scored 25 points and Will Bynum had a season-high 21 as they made up for the absences of Richard Hamilton (upset stomach) and Rodney Stuckey (sore big toe). Those two starters are uncertain for Wednesday.
"(I'm) very proud of this bunch that played today," coach John Kuester said. "It's amazing what happens when you do compete." Detroit has won two of three since a four-game skid, but has dropped a season-worst eight straight on the road. The Pistons are averaging an NBA-low 88.4 points as visitors. Ben Wallace, who has played in 999 NBA games, had a career-high 23 points and 14 rebounds -- nine offensive -- along with five steals and four assists versus Toronto on Dec. 11.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Toronto by 7; O/U 207
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Toronto -3.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Toronto -5.87
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--TORONTO is 44-63 ATS (-25.3 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.9, OPPONENT 106.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 14-29 ATS (-17.6 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 102.4, OPPONENT 108.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--DETROIT is 81-56 UNDER (+19.4 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 91.3, OPPONENT 94.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 66-44 UNDER (+17.6 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 92.9, OPPONENT 91.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--TORONTO is 56-86 against the 1rst half line (-38.6 Units) in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 49.5, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--TORONTO is 21-38 against the 1rst half line (-20.8 Units) in home games versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 48.6, OPPONENT 48.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--TORONTO is 40-17 OVER (+21.3 Units) the 1rst half total after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 53.4, OPPONENT 55.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 41-18 OVER (+21.2 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 52.6, OPPONENT 54.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 18-4 OVER (+13.6 Units) the 1rst half total against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 55.7, OPPONENT 53.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (DETROIT) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half.
(32-8 since 1996.) (80.0%, +23.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 54.2, Opponent 55.8 (Total first half points scored = 110)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-6).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DETROIT) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season.
(44-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.0%, +24.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 209.6
The average score in these games was: Team 98.1, Opponent 106.2 (Total points scored = 204.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 34 (51.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (29-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (63-34).
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*** CLEVELAND @ ATLANTA (-11, O/U 190.5) ***
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The Atlanta Hawks continue to thrive at home due in large part to their much-improved effort on the defensive end of the court. Looking for a third straight win over the struggling Cleveland Cavaliers, the Hawks try for a season-best eighth consecutive victory at Philips Arena on Wednesday night. After allowing 99.8 points over its first eight home games, Atlanta has held opponents to 91.9 on 41.6 percent shooting over the seven-game run.
The Hawks limited Orlando to 35.2 percent shooting, an opponent season low in their 91-81 victory Monday night, while Al Horford led the way with a team-best 24 points and 11 rebounds. Josh Smith had 12 points and 10 boards, and he also added three blocks as the Hawks improved to 15-4 when he registers at least two. After falling 89-82 to last-place New Jersey on Sunday, Smith knows the danger in overlooking a slumping club such as the Cavaliers, who have lost 11 of 12 and 11 straight on the road.
"I wish we could get revved up for everybody else like we get revved up for Orlando and other good teams with good records," said Smith, who was held to six points in a 100-88 win at Cleveland on Nov. 2. Joe Johnson scored 17 against the Magic and is averaging 15.7 points on 33.3 percent shooting over three games following an early return from surgery to remove loose cartilage in his shooting elbow.
Cleveland is on the verge of recording its longest road slide since dropping 13 in a row Oct. 29-Dec. 15, 2003. The Cavaliers defeated New York 109-102 in overtime Saturday to snap a 10-game losing streak before falling 101-90 to Utah on Monday night despite making a season-best 12 3-pointers. "For me, and hopefully for the guys in that locker room, losing is always frustrating. I don't like it. I don't enjoy it," coach Byron Scott said. "I can deal with it because we are going to continue to get better. I know the guys in that locker room will continue to give me that same effort."
After scoring 11 points on 4-of-20 shooting against the Knicks, Daniel Gibson made 7 of 8 from beyond the arc en route to a career-high 29 points. "I'm not real big on personal things. If it results in a win, then I'm excited about it," said Gibson, who is shooting 63.0 percent from 3-point range over his previous six games. "If we are not winning, then for me, I just want to figure out what we need to do in order to win our next game."
Gibson and the Cavs may want to take a lesson from the Hawks and start on defense, as they are surrendering 102.9 points per game, 107.9 on the road. Cleveland is 3-17 when allowing 100 or more points. Mo Williams scored 16 points and dished out 10 assists against the Jazz. He is averaging 20.3 points and 11.6 assists in his last three games. Cleveland had taken five straight from Atlanta before falling in the previous two meetings.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Atlanta by 11; O/U 191
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Atlanta -14
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Atlanta -11.80
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a home favorite this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 99.1, OPPONENT 97.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 89.7, OPPONENT 98.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 59-37 UNDER (+18.3 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 94.1, OPPONENT 94.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 23-6 UNDER (+16.2 Units) after a game where they made 12 or more 3 point shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 101.2, OPPONENT 92.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 39-20 against the 1rst half line (+16.8 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 50.6, OPPONENT 45.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 1-11 against the 1rst half line (-11.1 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 46.4, OPPONENT 54.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 1-10 against the 1rst half line (-10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 45.7, OPPONENT 55.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 39-17 OVER (+19.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 50.4, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 40-20 OVER (+18.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus the 1rst half line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 52.3, OPPONENT 52.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 33-16 OVER (+15.4 Units) the 1rst half total vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 53.6, OPPONENT 52.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (ATLANTA) - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or less.
(35-11 since 1996.) (76.1%, +22.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.1, Opponent 50.9 (Average first half point differential = -2.8)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-4).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites of 10 or more points (ATLANTA) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record.
(32-10 since 1996.) (76.2%, +21 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (8-36)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 12.3
The average score in these games was: Team 91, Opponent 98.9 (Average point differential = -7.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (42.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (ATLANTA) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home loss.
(33-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +20.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 194.1
The average score in these games was: Team 97.3, Opponent 90.6 (Total points scored = 187.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 25 (56.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (82-61).
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*** CHICAGO (-2.5, O/U 193) @ WASHINGTON ***
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The Washington Wizards didn't seem to need new acquisition Rashard Lewis nor No. 1 overall draft pick John Wall in their most recent victory. Facing the Central Division-leading Chicago Bulls, they may need all the help they can get. Lewis is expected to make his Wizards debut Wednesday night when Chicago visits Washington. Looking to build around Wall and rid themselves of the injury-plagued and problematic Gilbert Arenas, the Wizards acquired Lewis from Orlando for Arenas on Saturday. Lewis and Wall both sat out Monday's 108-75 win against Charlotte, but Nick Young scored 21 points to shoulder the scoring load.
The victory snapped a seven-game losing streak and gave the Wizards only their second win in 13 games. "I can't remember too many games like this," coach Flip Saunders said. "As I said to our players, if you execute, you can still score a lot of points." Though Lewis was averaging only 12.2 points for the Magic, his fewest since 1999-2000 with Seattle, Washington hopes to use his versatility to make up for the production of Arenas and Wall, who hasn't played since Dec. 10 because of a bone bruise and is expected to sit out again Wednesday.
"He's very professional and he's going to be extremely motivated," Saunders said of Lewis. "We're going to try and use him a little bit how he was used in Seattle and move him around, let him play a couple of positions and run some plays for him. It's one of his positives. You can move him around." Kirk Hinrich, who played his first seven seasons with Chicago, had his second straight double-double Monday with 18 points and 11 assists in his fourth straight start in place of Wall. He'll likely be matched up against Derrick Rose, who has helped the Bulls to eight wins in their last nine and is sixth in the NBA with 24.3 points per game.
Rose and Luol Deng each scored 22 points Tuesday in Chicago's 121-76 rout of Philadelphia. It was the Bulls' most lopsided victory since beating Memphis 111-66 on Jan. 13, 2007. "There was not much not to like," coach Tom Thibodeau said. "We came out from the start with great energy. The shots went down for us early. Defensively we did a good job with body position and getting back challenging shots." It was the second game for Chicago without Joakim Noah (thumb surgery), and Taj Gibson sat out with a concussion suffered in Saturday's loss to the Los Angeles Clippers, but Carlos Boozer picked up the slack inside with 16 points and 11 rebounds.
The Bulls, who led by as many as 51, continued their vast improvement from last season, when they were 10-16 at this point. Chicago hasn't started this well since it was also 17-9 in 1997-98, eventually winning the NBA championship in Michael Jordan's final season with the club. The Bulls beat the Wizards 103-96 on Nov. 13 behind 24 points from Rose, giving Chicago its sixth win in the last eight meetings with Washington.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Chicago by 6; O/U 196
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Chicago -7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Chicago -9.01
____________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 27-51 ATS (-29.1 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) since 1996.
The average score was WASHINGTON 94.7, OPPONENT 98.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--WASHINGTON is 35-57 ATS (-27.7 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 95.3, OPPONENT 102.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 54-30 UNDER (+21.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 95.2, OPPONENT 102.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--WASHINGTON is 39-18 UNDER (+18.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 91.7, OPPONENT 101.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 21-5 UNDER (+15.5 Units) after having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 93.5, OPPONENT 97.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHICAGO is 44-21 UNDER (+20.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 101.6, OPPONENT 98.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 45-60 against the 1rst half line (-21.0 Units) versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 47.1, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--WASHINGTON is 0-7 against the 1rst half line (-7.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 43.1, OPPONENT 56.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHICAGO is 11-3 against the 1rst half line (+7.7 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was CHICAGO 47.6, OPPONENT 42.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--CHICAGO is 8-1 against the 1rst half line (+6.9 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game this season.
The average score was CHICAGO 54.0, OPPONENT 43.4 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 59-34 UNDER (+21.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 46.5, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHICAGO is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was CHICAGO 47.6, OPPONENT 42.2 - (Rating = 5*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Any team (WASHINGTON) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half.
(33-7 since 1996.) (82.5%, +25.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 193.4
The average score in these games was: Team 94.6, Opponent 90.9 (Total points scored = 185.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 19 (48.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-2).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team (WASHINGTON) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a huge blowout win by 30 or more.
(22-5 since 1996.) (81.5%, +16.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 202.4
The average score in these games was: Team 94.5, Opponent 96.9 (Total points scored = 191.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 16 (61.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-3).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (WASHINGTON) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games.
(34-12 since 1996.) (73.9%, +20.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.4, Opponent 46.1 (Total first half points scored = 93.6)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-2).
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*** PHILADELPHIA @ BOSTON (-9.5, O/U 191) ***
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The Philadelphia 76ers have come closer than anyone to knocking off the Celtics during Boston's 13-game winning streak. While that may have been Philadelphia at its best, its latest game certainly represented the worst. Boston looks to extend the NBA's longest run of success this season Wednesday night against the visiting 76ers, who will have a 45-point defeat fresh in their minds as they look to avenge their last-second loss to the Celtics. The Celtics have rarely been tested during their 13 consecutive victories, shooting 52.1 percent and winning by more than five points all but three times.
Boston shot 55.9 percent at Philadelphia on December. 9th, but still had to sweat out its ninth straight win. Kevin Garnett banked in a shot off Rajon Rondo's alley-oop pass with 1.4 seconds left to lift the Celtics to a 102-101 victory. "What a heartbreaking loss," 76ers coach Doug Collins said. "They have so many different ways that they can attack on the offensive end.... It would have been an incredible win for us."
Rondo finished with 19 points and 14 assists, but he won't be around for the rematch. The NBA assist leader has missed Boston's last two games with a sprained left ankle and might be out until early January. The Celtics got Shaquille O'Neal back in the lineup Sunday against Indiana after a four-game absence, but Paul Pierce stole the show. The eight-time All-Star had 18 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds in a 99-88 win -- his first triple-double since March 8, 2006, against Philadelphia.
Pierce has 22 assists in the two games without Rondo as Boston has averaged 25.5 -- just 0.4 fewer than what it produces when Rondo is in the lineup. "We're putting (Pierce) in Rondo's spot, and making him the facilitator," coach Doc Rivers said. "With this team, especially with the injuries we have, he's been a great utility guy." Boston might get another big man back Wednesday. Jermaine O'Neal has missed 18 consecutive games while recovering from left knee soreness, but is back practicing and says he's "50/50" to face Philadelphia.
The Sixers won their last visit to Boston, 98-97 on Dec. 18, 2009, behind 23 points from Elton Brand, but their eight-game road trip took a disastrous turn Tuesday. Philadelphia let Chicago shoot 64.5 percent from the field at the United Center, falling behind by as many as 51 points in a 121-76 Bulls romp. Collins, though, seemed remarkably composed after watching the Sixers' worst loss since they fell 124-74 at Houston on March 18, 2007.
"In the NBA you're going to have games like this, it just happens," said Collins, whose team had won eight of 11. "It'll be easier tomorrow. Our effort will be better tomorrow. We were just discombobulated on offense tonight. I didn't recognize us out there. I didn't even know what plays we were running." The key to Philadelphia's success, however, seems to be on the defensive end. The 76ers are 9-0 when they hold their opponent under 41.5 percent from the field.
They're 2-17 if a team shoots better than that mark, though they did nearly knock off the Celtics despite Boston's exceptionally good shooting. Philadelphia could use some more production from Jrue Holiday if it's going to pull off the upset. Holiday has averaged 9.5 points and shot 31.1 percent in four career starts against the Celtics, and he's been awful lately -- shooting 23.5 percent and scoring in single digits in the Sixers' last three games.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Boston by 12; O/U 190
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Boston -18
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Boston -13.13
_____________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 83-59 ATS (+17.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 98.6, OPPONENT 93.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 80-109 ATS (-39.9 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 94.5, OPPONENT 98.5 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 84-59 UNDER (+19.1 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 97.8, OPPONENT 92.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 26-8 UNDER (+16.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 94.1, OPPONENT 99.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 22-39 against the 1rst half line (-20.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 50.2, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 against the 1rst half line (+11.6 Units) when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 53.1, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 against the 1rst half line (+8.8 Units) after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 52.2, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 77-54 OVER (+17.4 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 50.6, OPPONENT 46.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
The average score was BOSTON 52.5, OPPONENT 46.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 33-14 OVER (+17.5 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 49.4, OPPONENT 52.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more.
(48-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.6%, +24.9 units. Rating = 2*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 97.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.1, Opponent 46.8 (Total first half points scored = 93.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (120-81).
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*** OKLAHOMA CITY @ NEW YORK (-1, O/U 216) ***
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It didn't take long for the New York Knicks to go from surging to struggling. Their struggles might not be about to end. The Knicks attempt to snap a three-game slide by beating the Oklahoma City Thunder for just the second time in eight meetings Wednesday night at Madison Square Garden. New York emerged as one of the biggest surprises in the NBA this fall by winning 13 of 14, including an eight-game streak, its longest in more than 16 years.
That momentum ended with consecutive losses to Boston and Miami, the top two teams in the Eastern Conference. The Knicks failed to rebound from those defeats and saw their losing streak reach three with Saturday's 109-102 overtime defeat at last-place Cleveland. "It has been a long week," Amar'e Stoudemire said. "We gave it all we had in the Miami game and back-to-backs are always tough in this league. That's just the way it is." The schedule won't give New York much relief in the next week.
After facing the Thunder the Knicks host Central Division leading Chicago on Saturday before visiting the Heat on Tuesday. The Knicks have dropped six of seven to Oklahoma City dating back to a victory Jan. 5, 2007, when the franchise was the Seattle SuperSonics. New York lost a third consecutive meeting with the Thunder in the most recent matchup at MSG on Feb. 20, 121-118 in overtime. Perhaps Stoudemire, the Knicks' leader with 26.5 points and 9.4 rebounds per game, can make the difference. He's averaging 29.7 points and 12.7 rebounds in his last three games versus Oklahoma City, all while he played for Phoenix.
The Thunder are tied with Utah atop the Northwest Division after winning six of seven overall and three in a row on the road. They parlayed a 25-3 run to start the fourth quarter into a 99-81 win at Charlotte on Tuesday. Oklahoma City's strong defensive effort came two nights after losing 113-110 to Phoenix. "It was a combination of them missing shots and us playing great defense," said coach Scott Brooks, who indicated he'd "flushed it out" with his team following the loss to the Suns. "We really focused on getting better defensively."
Kevin Durant led the Thunder with 32 points Tuesday, shooting 8 of 13 from the floor and adding seven rebounds. The NBA's leading scorer has totaled 66 points in his last two meetings with the Knicks. Russell Westbrook has also had success against New York, averaging 23.3 points and 8.0 assists in the last three games in the series. He had 31 points and 10 assists in the Thunder's last visit to MSG, a 121-118 overtime victory Feb. 20, when Durant led all scorers with 36. Westbrook had a less impressive performance against the Bobcats on Tuesday, finishing with 15 points but shooting 5 for 13.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New York by 4; O/U 214
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New York -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Oklahoma City 0.61
______________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 107.2, OPPONENT 110.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 38-20 ATS (+15.9 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 100.1, OPPONENT 101.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 98.2, OPPONENT 99.1 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-9 OVER (+14.1 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 98.8, OPPONENT 105.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 58-40 OVER (+14.0 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 99.8, OPPONENT 103.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-18 against the 1rst half line (+18.9 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 51.0, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-15 against the 1rst half line (+15.4 Units) when the first half total >= 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 56.7, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 30-10 OVER (+18.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 54.6, OPPONENT 55.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-17 OVER (+17.5 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.0, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-3 OVER (+14.7 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 51.6, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a road win by 10 points or more, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days.
(47-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +26.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 108.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 56.8, Opponent 55.4 (Total first half points scored = 112.2)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (36-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (58-28).
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*** NEW JERSEY @ NEW ORLEANS (-8.5, O/U 185) ***
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The New Jersey Nets have done some reshuffling of their roster in hopes of acquiring Carmelo Anthony. Despite rumors swirling of a potential trade, Brook Lopez and the rest of the current Nets seem to be finding their stride. New Jersey looks to win a third straight game for the first time in nearly two years Wednesday night when it travels to New Orleans to face the struggling Hornets. The Dec. 15 trade of former first-round pick Terrence Williams to Houston brought Sasha Vujacic from the Los Angeles Lakers and two future first-round picks to New Jersey, which may be trying to use those assets to acquire Anthony from Denver.
In the meantime, Vujacic has averaged 10.7 points in his three games with New Jersey, notching a season high for the second straight contest with 16 at Memphis on Tuesday. Lopez contributed 26, his fifth 20-point game in his last eight to help the Nets end a 10-game road losing streak with a 101-94 victory over the Grizzlies. New Jersey is looking to win its third consecutive game overall for the first time since it won four straight from Jan. 31-Feb. 7, 2009. Coach Avery Johnson said the Nets are feeling the momentum after winning three of their last four.
"There has been some carry-over in general," Johnson said. "We've got positive energy. Our defense early in the season was good enough to win some games, but we couldn't score. Now, we're being spaced a little more and dominant offensively inside." Devin Harris has averaged 19.5 points and 7.0 assists in the last four games after scoring 10.5 per game on 32.7 percent shooting while the Nets lost their previous eight. New Jersey improved to 3-12 on the road Tuesday and won its first game away from home since a 110-96 win Nov. 15 against the Los Angeles Clippers.
While the Nets seem to have put some struggles behind them, the Hornets have gone 5-11 since starting the season 11-1. New Orleans lost for the seventh time in 10 games Monday, falling 94-93 at Indiana on Mike Dunleavy's buzzer-beating tip-in. It was the second tough loss in as many nights for the Hornets, who lost 111-108 in overtime Sunday in Detroit. "We've always felt this roster was built for times like this," New Orleans coach Monty Williams said. "I'm saying tough stuff, Chris (Paul) is saying the tough stuff. We need other guys to step up."
Paul had 15 points Monday but only four assists, one more than his season low of three set Dec. 12 in a loss at Philadelphia. David West scored 32 points Sunday, but he's had only four double-doubles all season after totaling 79 over the previous three campaigns. Center Emeka Okafor will try to build on one of his best performances after he scored 19 points and added a season-high 15 boards Monday. A return home my help the Hornets get back on track. They've won two straight there to improve to 11-3 in New Orleans. The Hornets have beaten the Nets six of the last eight meetings, including three straight at home.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New Orleans by 11; O/U 185
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New Orleans -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Orleans -10.23
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--NEW ORLEANS is 42-61 ATS (-25.1 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.7, OPPONENT 99.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 31-47 ATS (-20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 99.5, OPPONENT 96.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 53-32 UNDER (+17.6 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 95.0, OPPONENT 95.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 56-35 UNDER (+17.3 Units) after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 94.2, OPPONENT 100.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--NEW ORLEANS is 37-62 against the 1rst half line (-31.2 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.4, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 18-34 against the 1rst half line (-19.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.6, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--NEW ORLEANS is 75-46 UNDER (+23.8 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 47.9, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW JERSEY is 38-17 UNDER (+18.9 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 46.0, OPPONENT 49.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (NEW JERSEY) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season.
(71-36 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.4%, +31.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49, Opponent 51.6 (Average first half point differential = -2.6)
The situation's record this season is: (4-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (51-31).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (127-96).
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*** UTAH (-6, O/U 208.5) @ MINNESOTA ***
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One reason the Utah Jazz had some trouble against the Minnesota Timberwolves last season was because they struggled to contain Al Jefferson. They don't have to worry about that anymore. Jefferson, now with the Jazz, will face his former team for his first time Wednesday night as he tries to help Jerry Sloan move into sole possession of third place on the all-time coaching wins list against the Timberwolves, who are returning home from a winless six-game road trip.
Despite capturing the Northwest Division in 2009-10, Utah split its four-game season series with a Minnesota team that won just 15 games. The Jazz had little trouble offensively against the Timberwolves, averaging 105.3 points, but had few answers for stopping Jefferson. The 6-foot-10 center, who came to the Timberwolves in the 2007 blockbuster deal that sent Kevin Garnett to Boston, averaged 19.0 points, 10.0 rebounds and 2.0 blocked shots.
Jefferson made such a strong impression, the Jazz quickly made a move to acquire him after losing power forward Carlos Boozer to free agency over the summer. The move is proving to be a good one, as Jefferson has done a solid job of replacing Boozer and filling in for injured center Mehmet Okur in helping Utah to its best start since opening 21-9 in 2006-07. Jefferson is third on the Jazz in scoring at 16.3 per game, averaging a team-best 8.8 rebounds and Utah is 11-3 when he notches at least 18 points.
He was one of five Jazz players to score at least 16 points in Monday's 101-90 win at Cleveland, as Sloan moved into a tie with Pat Riley for the third-most coaching wins in NBA history. Sloan, Utah's coach since 1988, has 1,210 victories, 122 fewer than Lenny Wilkens for second place. "I don't have any thoughts on it," Sloan said of the accomplishment. "That's not how I ever played or how I've ever coached. Obviously, I like to win, but I couldn't win without the coaches I've had with me." Sloan's success also stems from a bevy of talented players, especially at the point guard position.
Deron Williams had 17 points and 10 assists Monday, and the Jazz are 19-2 when he has at least eight assists. The sixth-year star has recorded at least eight assists in all 16 games against the Timberwolves since 2006-07, and 11 or more in each of the last 11. Williams appears to pose as a major problem for Minnesota, which is coming off another dismal defensive performance.
The Timberwolves lost to the Los Angeles Clippers 113-90 on Monday to complete a six-game trip with a 12th straight road defeat. Minnesota, which surrendered at least 107 points in each game of the trek, allowed the Clippers to shoot 51.8 percent and match an opponent season worst with 62 points in the paint. "We didn't execute our game plan on the defensive end by any means," said Kevin Love, limited to 12 points two days after scoring a career-high 43 in a loss to Denver. "This isn't how you want to end a road trip." Defense has been a major issue for the Timberwolves for the last month, as they've lost 14 of 16, winning the only two games in which they allowed fewer than 100 points.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Utah by 6; O/U 204
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Utah -7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Utah -8.03
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 12-34 ATS (-25.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 95.3, OPPONENT 105.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 42-20 ATS (+20.0 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 103.9, OPPONENT 98.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 105.5, OPPONENT 97.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 85-57 OVER (+22.3 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 96.0, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 21-5 OVER (+15.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 107.8, OPPONENT 106.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--MINNESOTA is 19-38 against the 1rst half line (-22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 48.6, OPPONENT 56.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 18-36 against the 1rst half line (-21.6 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 48.9, OPPONENT 56.7 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--UTAH is 81-32 UNDER (+45.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 42.0, OPPONENT 45.3 - (Rating = 6*)
--UTAH is 77-32 UNDER (+41.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus poor ball handling teams - committing >=16 turnovers/game since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 45.2, OPPONENT 44.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--UTAH is 29-9 UNDER (+19.1 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 48.9, OPPONENT 47.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (UTAH) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, vs. division opponents.
(41-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.2%, +24.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204
The average score in these games was: Team 106, Opponent 106.7 (Total points scored = 212.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32 (57.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-8).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (72-53).
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*** DENVER @ SAN ANTONIO (-6.5, O/U 213.5) ***
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Carmelo Anthony thought he hit a winning shot to deny the San Antonio Spurs a seventh straight victory last week. Instead, San Antonio won on a fortuitous call, and it's added two more victories since then. The Spurs now look to push their winning streak to double digits Wednesday night when they host Anthony and a Denver Nuggets team that could have some key players back in the lineup. San Antonio's longest win streak of the season was a 12-game run Nov. 1-24. The Spurs are drawing closer to it because of a break they got in a 113-112 victory at Denver on Thursday. Anthony hit a shot at the buzzer, but it was waved off for an offensive foul when Manu Ginobili stepped in front to draw a charge.
Coach George Karl's comments about the play led to a $25,000 fine from the NBA. "It's a play that I think goes either way a lot," Karl said. "It seemed like the referees, they like to hit us with tough calls." Denver might have better luck ending a three-game losing streak to San Antonio if several key players return. Point guard Chauncey Billups, big man Chris Andersen and forward Kenyon Martin practiced Monday and could play when the Nuggets try for their fourth straight victory at the AT&T Center. Martin has not played this season due to knee surgery while Billups has missed the last three games with a torn ligament in his right wrist.
Andersen has been out with a fracture in his lower back. Karl said Anderson and Martin will be game-time decisions while he was confident Billups would play. Denver will take all the help it can get as it seeks some revenge against surging San Antonio. "We owe them a lot of payback," guard Ty Lawson told the Nuggets' official website. Denver didn't seem to lack for inspiration in its last game at San Antonio, either. Martin had 27 points and 11 rebounds, Billups added 25 points, 11 assists and six rebounds and Andersen chipped in 18 points as the Nuggets won 103-89 without Anthony on Jan. 31. That gave Denver three straight road victories in the series for the first time.
San Antonio knocked off Phoenix 118-110 on Monday, its fourth straight game decided by eight points or fewer. "We feel pretty good about ourselves right now. But I think we still have a lot to build on, honestly," said forward Tim Duncan, who had 20 points and 15 rebounds. "Our record is really good, and that's a great situation to be in, but we got a lot of things we can clean up." Duncan, averaging just 14.1 points and 9.7 rebounds this season, has averaged 20.3 and 13.6 over the last three games. The Spurs haven't had two winning streaks of at least 10 games in a season since 2003-04, when they had a 13-game run and an 11-game run.
The Nuggets bounced back from the loss to the Spurs with a 115-113 win over Minnesota on Saturday. It wasn't pretty as Denver blew a 20-point lead, but Anthony had 24 points and a key late block while Lawson added 23 points and nine assists to help the Nuggets hang on. Lawson has started the last three games in place of Billups and averaged 18.0 points and 8.0 assists. Denver has been inconsistent since a seven-game winning streak, going 3-4.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Antonio by 4.5; O/U 218
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Antonio -8
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Antonio -7.89
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--DENVER is 66-93 ATS (-36.3 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 94.0, OPPONENT 102.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--DENVER is 15-40 ATS (-29.0 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 103.2, OPPONENT 113.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was DENVER 110.1, OPPONENT 113.1 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 36-15 UNDER (+19.2 Units) in home games after 6 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 96.0, OPPONENT 84.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 42-20 UNDER (+20.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 99.4, OPPONENT 102.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--DENVER is 41-19 UNDER (+19.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 99.8, OPPONENT 102.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--DENVER is 62-38 against the 1rst half line (+20.2 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 53.0, OPPONENT 50.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--DENVER is 69-47 against the 1rst half line (+17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 52.2, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--SAN ANTONIO is 55-34 UNDER (+17.4 Units) the 1rst half total as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points vs. the first half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 50.0, OPPONENT 46.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 34-15 UNDER (+17.3 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total >= 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 51.2, OPPONENT 52.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (DENVER) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (>=102 PPG), after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games.
(40-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.7%, +23.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 56.4, Opponent 55.5 (Average first half point differential = +0.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (34-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (43-24).
--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, playing with 3 or more days rest.
(51-22 since 1996.) (69.9%, +26.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (61-14)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.7
The average score in these games was: Team 100.3, Opponent 93 (Average point differential = +7.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (31.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-8).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (>=36.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game).
(90-40 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.2%, +46 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 216.9
The average score in these games was: Team 105, Opponent 105 (Total points scored = 210)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 74 (56.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (86-38).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (106-68).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (DENVER) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record.
(56-25 since 1996.) (69.1%, +28.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 105.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.2, Opponent 52.4 (Total first half points scored = 102.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-9).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (27-9).
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*** HOUSTON (-1, O/U 206) @ LA CLIPPERS ***
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With an improved effort on both ends of the court, the Los Angeles Clippers find themselves in an unfamiliar position. Looking for a rare home victory over the surging Houston Rockets, the Clippers will try to extend their longest winning streak of the season Wednesday night. After dropping 21 of its first 26, Los Angeles defeated Minnesota 113-90 on Monday night for its third straight win. The Clippers (8-21) haven't won four in a row since a season-best run Dec. 31, 2009-Jan. 10.
They are averaging 96.8 points and surrendering 100.8 on the season but have scored 107.3 and allowed 92.3 during the win streak. "We just got together as a team and said we didn't feel like the worst team, even though that is what our record showed," said Blake Griffin, who recorded his 16th straight double-double with 22 points and 10 rebounds Monday. "Everybody since then has stepped up and did their part, nobody is trying to do too much. Everybody is doing exactly what they need to and that's how you win games."
Eric Gordon went 5 of 7 from 3-point range as he recorded a season-high 36 points Monday. He has made 61.5 percent of his attempts from long distance in his last three games. "We are playing more as a team, we are just playing well together right now," Gordon said after Los Angeles matched a season high with 31 assists. The Clippers will be short-handed Wednesday as forward Craig Smith is expected to miss at least two weeks with a herniated disc in his lower back. Smith is averaging 5.8 points and 2.9 rebounds in 13.9 minutes.
After starting its three-game trip with a 102-93 victory over Sacramento on Sunday, Houston beat Golden State 121-112 on Monday night for its third straight win. The Rockets have split their last six on the road after dropping eight of their first 10. "I don't know what our road record is but I know it's not good, so these two wins and with a chance to go in to L.A. and try to get a sweep would be huge for us," point guard Kyle Lowry said. "Shane (Battier), before we left on this road trip, he made sure that our emphasis was on what we could do on this trip."
Kevin Martin scored 30 on Monday and is averaging 27.0 points in his previous six games, over which the Rockets have gone 5-1. "We've been playing better as of late so it's easier to come out here with a little bit of confidence and win these games," said Battier, who went 4 of 6 from 3-point range against the Warriors. Martin is averaging 22.0 points while going 10 of 18 from beyond the arc in his last three meetings with the Clippers. The Rockets, who rank among the best in the NBA with 105.8 points per game, have taken 11 of the previous 13 matchups with the Clippers at Staples Center by an average of 11.6 points. Houston hasn't won three straight on the road since Nov. 29-Dec. 3, 2009.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Houston by 2; O/U 204
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Clippers -0.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Houston -0.97
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 102.1, OPPONENT 99.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 37-61 ATS (-30.1 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 100.2, OPPONENT 101.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--HOUSTON is 46-67 ATS (-27.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 99.7, OPPONENT 100.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 49-27 UNDER (+19.3 Units) in home games after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 97.3, OPPONENT 97.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 39-19 UNDER (+18.1 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 90.8, OPPONENT 95.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--LA CLIPPERS are 40-64 against the 1rst half line (-30.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 47.7, OPPONENT 52.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--HOUSTON is 67-44 against the 1rst half line (+18.6 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 51.0, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--LA CLIPPERS are 23-7 UNDER (+15.4 Units) the 1rst half total after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 46.9, OPPONENT 51.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 55-28 UNDER (+23.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 46.2, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (LA CLIPPERS) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points against opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points.
(29-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.4%, +20.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.9, Opponent 51.4 (Average first half point differential = +1.5)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (38-18).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making >=47% of their shots.
(30-10 since 1996.) (75.0%, +19 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.9, Opponent 46.8 (Total first half points scored = 98.8)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-7).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (HOUSTON) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days.
(45-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.4%, +25.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.4, Opponent 49.3 (Average first half point differential = +0.2)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (29-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (95-59).
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••• ALL MESSED-UP! •••
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The Chicago Bulls aim to build off one of their more impressive wins when they begin a three-game road trip tonight against the Washington Wizards at the Verizon Center. Chicago annihilated Philadelphia, 121-76, last night and led by as many as 51 points and had a 52-26 advantage in the paint. Derrick Rose posted his seventh double-double with 22 points and 12 assists, while Luol Deng scored 22 points for the Bulls, who rebounded from Saturday's loss vs. the Clippers and shot a season-high 64.5 percent.
The Wizards are a mess without John Wall in their lineup. Washington is 2-8 SU (5-5 ATS) without Wall, who is expected to be out until at least January with a knee injury. On the other hand, the Bulls are flourishing with Carlos Boozer back healthy. Chicago is 8-1 SU (6-3 ATS) in its past nine games, allowing more than 45% FG just once in this span. Boozer is averaging 27.0 PPG and 11.3 RPG over the past four contests. Chicago is 8-4 ATS on the road this year and is 4-2 ATS in the second of back-to-back games.
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*** LAS VEGAS BOWL ***
UTAH (10-2) VS. BOISE ST (11-1)
Sam Boyd Stadium - Las Vegas, NV
Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. EDT Line: Boise St -17 O/U 59.5
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A couple of nationally-ranked programs from outside the powerful BCS take center stage at the 19th annual Las Vegas Bowl, as the 10th-ranked Boise State Broncos clash with the 20th-ranked Utah Utes from Sam Boyd Stadium in Sin City. Once again the Broncos were a threat to the sanctity of the college football bowl system, at least as far as the BCS was concerned, but luckily for the establishment Boise State failed to complete the perfect season and that is why the squad now finds itself relegated to this event in Nevada. With respect to an all-time series between these two squads, Boise State has won four of the previous six encounters. The most recent of those meetings took place on September 30, 2006 with the Broncos generating a 36-3 win for their third straight over the Utes.
Boise State ran through the regular season with 11 consecutive wins and was among the top five in both the AP poll and the BCS rankings as it possessed both one of the most aggressive offenses in the country, and a defense that few opponents could penetrate. But it all came crashing down for the Broncos on November 26th in Reno when missed field goals near the end of regulation and in overtime left the team with a 34-31 loss to nationally-ranked Nevada. The most anticipated game on the Western Athletic Conference schedule and it came down to kicker Kyle Brotzman and two make-able field goals that went astray. Not only did the miscues bring threats of harm and far-reaching resentment for Brotzman, it also gave the BCS the out they were looking for as BSU head coach Chris Petersen made it clear that there were a number of plays that could have decided the outcome in favor of his squad.
As for the Utes, they too were one of the hottest teams in the nation early on in the campaign with eight straight wins out of the box, finishing 10-2 overall and 7-1 versus the rest of the Mountain West Conference. However, Utah showed more than just a few cracks in the armor on November 6th when the team hosted TCU and was run out of the building in a 47-7 final. The devastating setback certainly raised more than a few eyebrows as people began to wonder what the true identity of this top-10 team really was. A week later a trip to South Bend made it even more clear that Utah had been the beneficiary of some weak competition on the early part of the schedule as the Notre Dame Fighting Irish beat the Utes soundly in a 28-3 final. Seven days later the Utes were again on trial, this time at San Diego State, and again the program nearly rolled over and died before slipping by with a 38-34 victory. Add a narrow 17-16 win over a resurgent BYU group and Utah is making its eighth straight bowl appearance.
The Utes, who have a record of 12-4 in bowl games dating back to a 26-0 beating of New Mexico in the 1939 Sun Bowl, have won nine consecutive postseason dates and that's the longest active streak in the nation and tied for the second-longest of all-time. Last year, the team defeated California in the Poinsettia Bowl in San Diego by a score of 37-27 under head coach Kyle Whittingham. Prior to Whittingham's ascension to the top spot in the coaching ranks, Utah also won this same Las Vegas Bowl in 1999 and 2001 against Fresno State (17-16) and USC (10-6), respectively. "We are very excited about our invitation to play in the MAACO Las Vegas Bowl," said coach Whittingham after the Utes accepted the invitation. "It's been a while since we have played a bowl game in Las Vegas and our players and coaches are looking forward to the opportunity. We are proud to represent the Mountain West Conference in its top bowl game and anticipate a strong turnout by our fans."
At 6-4 the Broncos don't have that much of a bowl pedigree, but when you consider that record dates back to just 1999 one has to be impressed with the program's consistency in making it to the postseason in the first place. Last season the team was pitted against another non-BCS squad in TCU and captured a hard-fought 17-10 battle in the Fiesta Bowl. A year earlier the Broncos lost to the same Horned Frogs group, 17-16, in the Poinsettia Bowl. During much of the 2010 season the Utah offense was unrivaled, scoring at will against defenseless opponents who couldn't get out of the way fast enough. However, in crunch time the Utes experienced a power outage as they scored a combined 27 points in three games against TCU, Notre Dame and BYU during the final month of the regular season. Quarterback Jordan Wynn had some rough outings for the group, yet he still finished the campaign by completing better than 62 percent of his pass attempts for 233.4 ypg and 17 TDs, against 10 interceptions on 299 attempts.
Jereme Brooks and DeVonte Christopher were the big outlets for Wynn as they combined to make 89 catches for 1,288 yards and 10 touchdowns, but it was really the efforts of Eddie Wide and Matt Asiata coming out of the backfield that dictated what the passing attack was able to accomplish. Wide finished with 11 TDs and close to five yards per carry as he split time with Asiata who returned with 673 yards and eight TDs of his own. Defensively, the Utes placed second in the conference and eighth in the nation in terms of run defense, holding opponents to just 104.2 ypg, but a lot of that had to do with the fact that opponents were having to play from behind so often and couldn't afford to waste time on the clock. In fact, against two of the toughest running teams in the nation (Air Force and TCU) the Utes gave up a combined 387 yards and four touchdowns in back-to-back games.
Boise State's offense might not run exclusively, but being ranked 24th in the nation and second in the WAC with 200.1 ypg means that the Broncos can certainly do damage in that mode and the Utes will have to prepare for such an attack. The newest in a line of tough-nosed running backs for BSU, Doug Martin ran for 1,113 yards and 11 TDs, averaging six yards per attempt. In Addition, Jeremy Avery also reprised his role as one of the most elusive runners around as he turned in 440 yards and added 11 TD runs as well. But make no mistake, this Boise State offense rests in the capable hands of junior signal-caller Kellen Moore who was not only named the WAC Co-Offensive Player of the Year, he was also invited to New York to take part in the Heisman Trophy festivities (he finished fourth in the voting). Moore was second in the nation in passing efficiency with a 185.04 rating as he threw for 3,506 yards and 33 touchdowns with just five interceptions. As a starter, Moore is now 37-2 in three seasons and for his efforts he's been named the WAC's Freshman of the Year in 2008, and was the WAC Offensive Player of the Year last season.
But with so much attention being given to Moore and an offense that ranks second in the nation in scoring with 46.7 ppg, it is easy to forget that Boise State also has one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, limiting foes to just 13.6 points and 259.3 total yards per game, both of which rank the team fourth in the nation. Ryan Winterswyk earned most of the attention heading into and during the season as he logged seven tackles for loss and 2.5 sacks, but because he was on the scouting report for every opponent, that opened the door for teammates like Tyrone Crawford who tallied a team-high 13 TFLs and accounted for 6.5 sacks, and Shea McClellin who made the most of his 26 overall stops by recording a team-best 8.5 sacks. Wrap it all up and Boise State was first in the nation with 3.75 sacks per game and second in TFLs with 8.3 per outing. For Winterswyk, a senior, this last outing is bittersweet given all he has accomplished during his time in Idaho and he expressed that following the team's win over Utah State in the regular-season finale.
• PREGAME NOTES
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The Broncos went from a BCS bowl and a $17 million payout to the Las Vegas Bowl and a $1 million payday. At least the Broncos certainly found the right place to crap out. In their last season in the WAC, they left far too much money on the table for the conference’s liking. They meet another WAC defector in Utah (left in 1998) and one that has this bowling thing down to a science. The Utes are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS as bowlers under HC Kyle Whittingham, and also 11-2 ATS as dogs with rest under his lead. Not to mention Utah is also a profitable 24-11 ATS as dogs when they own a .750 or greater win percentage and Whittingham, himself, is 7-1 ATS as dog of more than seven points.
While it’s hard to find too many bad numbers in the Broncos’ camp (they did hold six foes to season-low yardage this season), they are just 1-5 ATS as favorites of 21 or less points versus.750 or greater opposition – and 1-4 ATS as favorites of more than 7 points versus the Mountain West Conference. As the 2010 Stat/Systems Sports College Bowl Stat Report points out, WAC bowlers are just 1-6 ATS as double-digit favorites. While we must respect the Broncos’ 17-2 SU and 15-3-1 ATS mark versus bowlers over the last three years, this pre-Christmas bowl game is just too big a drop from what Boise Blue had in mind when the season started.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Boise St by 14.5; O/U 59
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Boise St -14
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Boise St -18.05
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--BOISE ST is 35-13 ATS (+20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 38.3, OPPONENT 22.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 43-22 ATS (+18.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
The average score was UTAH 24.5, OPPONENT 25.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--BOISE ST is 33-16 UNDER (+15.3 Units) in road games off a home win since 1992.
The average score was BOISE ST 38.6, OPPONENT 20.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 35-18 UNDER (+15.2 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
The average score was UTAH 27.5, OPPONENT 19.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 24-9 UNDER (+14.1 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was UTAH 26.4, OPPONENT 20.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--BOISE ST is 11-1 against the 1rst half line (+9.9 Units) after leading their last 3 games by 10+ points at the half over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOISE ST 29.2, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--BOISE ST is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOISE ST 20.4, OPPONENT 5.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOISE ST 26.6, OPPONENT 7.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) after scoring 37 points or more last game this season.
The average score was BOISE ST 30.0, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--BOISE ST is 7-0 against the 1rst half line (+7.0 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOISE ST 22.5, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOISE ST is 7-0 against the 1rst half line (+7.0 Units) after a win by 28 or more points this season.
The average score was BOISE ST 29.0, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 30-12 against the 1rst half line (+16.8 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
The average score was UTAH 15.5, OPPONENT 9.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 9-0 against the 1rst half line (+9.0 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.
The average score was UTAH 22.9, OPPONENT 8.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--UTAH is 17-3 UNDER (+13.7 Units) the 1rst half total vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. since 1992.
The average score was UTAH 12.3, OPPONENT 9.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 28-13 UNDER (+13.7 Units) the 1rst half total as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line since 1992.
The average score was UTAH 11.9, OPPONENT 11.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Any team against the total (UTAH) - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG, in a non-conference game between two teams from second tier division 1-A conferences.
(26-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (81.2%, +19.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 51.5
The average score in these games was: Team 21.4, Opponent 21.4 (Total points scored = 42.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 20 (66.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-4).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (30-8).
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***** WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 22ND NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
-----------------
-- Bulls won eight of last nine games, covered of last eight on road.
-- Celtics won last 13 games, covered six of last eight. 76ers are 13-3 vs spread in last 16 games, despite losing by 45 points last night.
-- Thunder won, covered six of last seven games.
-- Nets won three of their last four games.
-- Jazz won three of their last four games.
-- Spurs won last nine games, but failed to cover last four.
-- Rockets won last three games by 16-9-9 points. Clippers won/covered their last three games, for first time this year.
• COLD TEAMS
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-- Pistons are 0-4-1 in last five games as a road underdog. Raptors lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Hawks are 3-11 vs spread as a home favorite. Cavaliers are 1-7-1 vs spread in last nine games as road underdog.
-- Wizards lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Knicks lost last three games, giving up 113.3 ppg.
-- Hornets lost five of their last seven games.
-- Minnesota lost last six games, but covered three of last four.
-- Nuggets are 3-4 in last seven games, 1-3-1 in last five as a road dog.
• BACK-TO-BACK
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-- Bulls are 3-1 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- 76ers are 1-3 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Thunder is 4-1 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Nets are 6-1 vs spread if they played the night before.
• TOTALS
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-- Four of last five Detroit games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Chicago games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Boston home games went over the total.
-- Five of last six New York home games went over the total. Six of last eight Thunder games stayed under.
-- Five of last six New Jersey games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Minnesota games went over the total. Utah's last four games all stayed under.
-- Four of last five Denver games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Clipper games went over the total.
• QUICK HITS
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--DETROIT @ TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET DETROIT: 1-5 ATS revenging home loss. TORONTO: 4-0 Over at home vs. Detroit.
--CLEVELAND @ ATLANTA, 7:00 PM ET CLEVELAND: 1-10 ATS if home dog last game. ATLANTA: 12-2 ATS off SU dog win.
--CHICAGO @ WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET NBA CHICAGO: 16-4 Under as road favorite. WASHINGTON: 9-22 ATS off SU win.
--PHILADELPHIA @ BOSTON, 7:30 PM ET PHILADELPHIA: 44-24 ATS as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points. BOSTON: 26-10 Under as favorite off BB covers as favorite.
--OKLAHOMA CITY @ NEW YORK, 7:30 PM ET OKLAHOMA CITY: 24-9 Over Away playing on BB days. NEW YORK: 13-27 ATS at home if total is 210+.
--NEW JERSEY @ NEW ORLEANS, 8:00 PM ET NEW JERSEY: 16-5 Under off road win. NEW ORLEANS: 39-18 ATS at home off BB non-conf games.
--UTAH @ MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET UTAH: 39-18 ATS off road game. MINNESOTA: 26-13 Under as home dog.
--DENVER @ SAN ANTONIO, 8:30 PM ET DENVER: 16-4 Under off win by 6pts or less. SAN ANTONIO: 23-9 Under at home vs. Denver.
--HOUSTON @ LA CLIPPERS, 10:30 PM ET HOUSTON: 16-4 Under Away after scoring 100+ pts L4 games. LA CLIPPERS: 7-0 ATS off SU win.
• NOTES & TIPS
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--Ben Gordon has overtaken Richard Hamilton as Detroit’s starting shooting guard. In four starts this season, Gordon averaged better than 20 points with four rebounds and three steals. Gordon is now Detroit’s No. 1 scoring option, while Hamilton, who has been cited as a distraction on the team, will come off the pine.
--By piecing different parts together, the Denver Nuggets have weathered a wave of injuries and are off to a start that even coach George Karl says is ahead of where he imagined the team might be at this point. For once, news about the Nuggets on Tuesday morning had little to do with Anthony and the swirling rumors. Instead, it centered on the fact the Nuggets may have big men Chris Andersen and Kenyon Martin back in the lineup Wednesday night in San Antonio, along with point guard Chauncey Billups, who's missed the last three games with a torn ligament in his right wrist.
--Phil Jackson says humbug to the NBA's Christmas schedule. The 11-time NBA champion coach restated his longtime opposition to Christmas games Tuesday night before his Los Angeles Lakers faced the Milwaukee Bucks in their final tuneup before Saturday's visit from the Miami Heat. "It's like Christian holidays don't mean to them anything any more," Jackson said. "Just go out and play and entertain the TV. It's really weird, but it is what it is. We have to go to work and make the best of it."
Jackson is the son of two Christian ministers, and he famously wrote a book on his spiritual growth related to basketball. The Lakers have played on every Christmas since 1999, including three straight games against the Heat during Shaquille O'Neal's tenure after his trade from Los Angeles. Kobe Bryant has played on Christmas in 13 of his 15 NBA seasons - not including the 1998-99 season, which didn't begin until the new year due to the lockout. Jackson hates the Lakers' annual spot in the showcase, noting the NHL and most other major sports usually take Christmas off.
• NOTE: NBA betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand NBA Odds, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these NBA Odds with the public in mind. They know the public is going to bet the Lakers and Bulls (and other public teams) every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like that.
It is always best to shop around when looking for the best NBA Odds. Many different books release different numbers and NBA Odds always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best NBA Odds, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
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*** DETROIT @ TORONTO (-5, O/U 206.5) ***
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The Toronto Raptors continue to be plagued by injuries and have struggled through most of December. The Detroit Pistons should be a very welcome sight for them. Looking to follow up on a record-setting comeback win over the Pistons earlier this month, Toronto goes for its sixth consecutive victory in the series Wednesday night at Air Canada Centre. The Raptors have gone 2-7 in their last nine games, so a matchup with the Pistons could be coming at the perfect time.
Toronto has outscored Detroit by 13.2 points during the five-game run and recorded the biggest comeback in franchise history in the last meeting Dec. 11. The visiting Raptors trailed by 25 midway through the third quarter, but cut the deficit to 16 heading into the fourth and outscored the Pistons 37-17 over the final 12 minutes for a 120-116 win. Leading scorer Andrea Bargnani had 22 points in that victory, but he's missed two of the last three games, both Toronto losses due to knee and ankle issues and is uncertain for Wednesday.
He's averaging 21.4 points on the season and has averaged 27.5 in his last two matchups with the Pistons. "His ankle is compensating for his knee," coach Jay Triano said. "He's been limping around because of the pain in his knee and it's caused irritation in his ankle." Bargnani is one of many banged-up Raptors that are nursing nagging injuries. The team did get encouraging performances from two of them, Jose Calderon and Linas Kleiza, in a 120-110 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday. Calderon had 20 points and 12 assists in his second game back after missing four with a sore foot, while Kleiza (sore Achilles') scored 26 points with 10 rebounds.
"I think I'm finally healthy," Kleiza said. "I'm getting there, my legs are feeling good, they put me back in the starting lineup. Consistent minutes and playing along Jose (Calderon) and getting in that flow early in the game it helps." The Raptors led the Lakers 34-28 after one quarter, but allowed them to shoot 51.9 percent from the field overall. After starting 18 straight games, swingman Sonny Weems has sat out the previous two with back spasms and is uncertain to play Wednesday. He is averaging 11.5 points, third best on the team.
Detroit was able to overcome injury issues of its own Sunday, defeating New Orleans 111-108 in overtime despite playing without both starting guards. Ben Gordon scored 25 points and Will Bynum had a season-high 21 as they made up for the absences of Richard Hamilton (upset stomach) and Rodney Stuckey (sore big toe). Those two starters are uncertain for Wednesday.
"(I'm) very proud of this bunch that played today," coach John Kuester said. "It's amazing what happens when you do compete." Detroit has won two of three since a four-game skid, but has dropped a season-worst eight straight on the road. The Pistons are averaging an NBA-low 88.4 points as visitors. Ben Wallace, who has played in 999 NBA games, had a career-high 23 points and 14 rebounds -- nine offensive -- along with five steals and four assists versus Toronto on Dec. 11.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Toronto by 7; O/U 207
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Toronto -3.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Toronto -5.87
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--TORONTO is 44-63 ATS (-25.3 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.9, OPPONENT 106.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 14-29 ATS (-17.6 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 102.4, OPPONENT 108.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 81-56 UNDER (+19.4 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 91.3, OPPONENT 94.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 66-44 UNDER (+17.6 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 92.9, OPPONENT 91.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--TORONTO is 56-86 against the 1rst half line (-38.6 Units) in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 49.5, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--TORONTO is 21-38 against the 1rst half line (-20.8 Units) in home games versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 48.6, OPPONENT 48.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--TORONTO is 40-17 OVER (+21.3 Units) the 1rst half total after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 53.4, OPPONENT 55.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 41-18 OVER (+21.2 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 52.6, OPPONENT 54.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 18-4 OVER (+13.6 Units) the 1rst half total against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 55.7, OPPONENT 53.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (DETROIT) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half.
(32-8 since 1996.) (80.0%, +23.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 54.2, Opponent 55.8 (Total first half points scored = 110)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-6).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DETROIT) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season.
(44-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.0%, +24.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 209.6
The average score in these games was: Team 98.1, Opponent 106.2 (Total points scored = 204.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 34 (51.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (29-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (63-34).
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*** CLEVELAND @ ATLANTA (-11, O/U 190.5) ***
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The Atlanta Hawks continue to thrive at home due in large part to their much-improved effort on the defensive end of the court. Looking for a third straight win over the struggling Cleveland Cavaliers, the Hawks try for a season-best eighth consecutive victory at Philips Arena on Wednesday night. After allowing 99.8 points over its first eight home games, Atlanta has held opponents to 91.9 on 41.6 percent shooting over the seven-game run.
The Hawks limited Orlando to 35.2 percent shooting, an opponent season low in their 91-81 victory Monday night, while Al Horford led the way with a team-best 24 points and 11 rebounds. Josh Smith had 12 points and 10 boards, and he also added three blocks as the Hawks improved to 15-4 when he registers at least two. After falling 89-82 to last-place New Jersey on Sunday, Smith knows the danger in overlooking a slumping club such as the Cavaliers, who have lost 11 of 12 and 11 straight on the road.
"I wish we could get revved up for everybody else like we get revved up for Orlando and other good teams with good records," said Smith, who was held to six points in a 100-88 win at Cleveland on Nov. 2. Joe Johnson scored 17 against the Magic and is averaging 15.7 points on 33.3 percent shooting over three games following an early return from surgery to remove loose cartilage in his shooting elbow.
Cleveland is on the verge of recording its longest road slide since dropping 13 in a row Oct. 29-Dec. 15, 2003. The Cavaliers defeated New York 109-102 in overtime Saturday to snap a 10-game losing streak before falling 101-90 to Utah on Monday night despite making a season-best 12 3-pointers. "For me, and hopefully for the guys in that locker room, losing is always frustrating. I don't like it. I don't enjoy it," coach Byron Scott said. "I can deal with it because we are going to continue to get better. I know the guys in that locker room will continue to give me that same effort."
After scoring 11 points on 4-of-20 shooting against the Knicks, Daniel Gibson made 7 of 8 from beyond the arc en route to a career-high 29 points. "I'm not real big on personal things. If it results in a win, then I'm excited about it," said Gibson, who is shooting 63.0 percent from 3-point range over his previous six games. "If we are not winning, then for me, I just want to figure out what we need to do in order to win our next game."
Gibson and the Cavs may want to take a lesson from the Hawks and start on defense, as they are surrendering 102.9 points per game, 107.9 on the road. Cleveland is 3-17 when allowing 100 or more points. Mo Williams scored 16 points and dished out 10 assists against the Jazz. He is averaging 20.3 points and 11.6 assists in his last three games. Cleveland had taken five straight from Atlanta before falling in the previous two meetings.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Atlanta by 11; O/U 191
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Atlanta -14
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Atlanta -11.80
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a home favorite this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 99.1, OPPONENT 97.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 89.7, OPPONENT 98.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 59-37 UNDER (+18.3 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 94.1, OPPONENT 94.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 23-6 UNDER (+16.2 Units) after a game where they made 12 or more 3 point shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 101.2, OPPONENT 92.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 39-20 against the 1rst half line (+16.8 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 50.6, OPPONENT 45.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 1-11 against the 1rst half line (-11.1 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 46.4, OPPONENT 54.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 1-10 against the 1rst half line (-10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 45.7, OPPONENT 55.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 39-17 OVER (+19.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 50.4, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 40-20 OVER (+18.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus the 1rst half line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 52.3, OPPONENT 52.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 33-16 OVER (+15.4 Units) the 1rst half total vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 53.6, OPPONENT 52.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (ATLANTA) - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or less.
(35-11 since 1996.) (76.1%, +22.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.1, Opponent 50.9 (Average first half point differential = -2.8)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-4).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites of 10 or more points (ATLANTA) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record.
(32-10 since 1996.) (76.2%, +21 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (8-36)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 12.3
The average score in these games was: Team 91, Opponent 98.9 (Average point differential = -7.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (42.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (ATLANTA) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home loss.
(33-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +20.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 194.1
The average score in these games was: Team 97.3, Opponent 90.6 (Total points scored = 187.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 25 (56.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (82-61).
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*** CHICAGO (-2.5, O/U 193) @ WASHINGTON ***
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The Washington Wizards didn't seem to need new acquisition Rashard Lewis nor No. 1 overall draft pick John Wall in their most recent victory. Facing the Central Division-leading Chicago Bulls, they may need all the help they can get. Lewis is expected to make his Wizards debut Wednesday night when Chicago visits Washington. Looking to build around Wall and rid themselves of the injury-plagued and problematic Gilbert Arenas, the Wizards acquired Lewis from Orlando for Arenas on Saturday. Lewis and Wall both sat out Monday's 108-75 win against Charlotte, but Nick Young scored 21 points to shoulder the scoring load.
The victory snapped a seven-game losing streak and gave the Wizards only their second win in 13 games. "I can't remember too many games like this," coach Flip Saunders said. "As I said to our players, if you execute, you can still score a lot of points." Though Lewis was averaging only 12.2 points for the Magic, his fewest since 1999-2000 with Seattle, Washington hopes to use his versatility to make up for the production of Arenas and Wall, who hasn't played since Dec. 10 because of a bone bruise and is expected to sit out again Wednesday.
"He's very professional and he's going to be extremely motivated," Saunders said of Lewis. "We're going to try and use him a little bit how he was used in Seattle and move him around, let him play a couple of positions and run some plays for him. It's one of his positives. You can move him around." Kirk Hinrich, who played his first seven seasons with Chicago, had his second straight double-double Monday with 18 points and 11 assists in his fourth straight start in place of Wall. He'll likely be matched up against Derrick Rose, who has helped the Bulls to eight wins in their last nine and is sixth in the NBA with 24.3 points per game.
Rose and Luol Deng each scored 22 points Tuesday in Chicago's 121-76 rout of Philadelphia. It was the Bulls' most lopsided victory since beating Memphis 111-66 on Jan. 13, 2007. "There was not much not to like," coach Tom Thibodeau said. "We came out from the start with great energy. The shots went down for us early. Defensively we did a good job with body position and getting back challenging shots." It was the second game for Chicago without Joakim Noah (thumb surgery), and Taj Gibson sat out with a concussion suffered in Saturday's loss to the Los Angeles Clippers, but Carlos Boozer picked up the slack inside with 16 points and 11 rebounds.
The Bulls, who led by as many as 51, continued their vast improvement from last season, when they were 10-16 at this point. Chicago hasn't started this well since it was also 17-9 in 1997-98, eventually winning the NBA championship in Michael Jordan's final season with the club. The Bulls beat the Wizards 103-96 on Nov. 13 behind 24 points from Rose, giving Chicago its sixth win in the last eight meetings with Washington.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Chicago by 6; O/U 196
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Chicago -7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Chicago -9.01
____________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 27-51 ATS (-29.1 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) since 1996.
The average score was WASHINGTON 94.7, OPPONENT 98.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--WASHINGTON is 35-57 ATS (-27.7 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 95.3, OPPONENT 102.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 54-30 UNDER (+21.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 95.2, OPPONENT 102.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--WASHINGTON is 39-18 UNDER (+18.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 91.7, OPPONENT 101.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 21-5 UNDER (+15.5 Units) after having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 93.5, OPPONENT 97.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHICAGO is 44-21 UNDER (+20.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 101.6, OPPONENT 98.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 45-60 against the 1rst half line (-21.0 Units) versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 47.1, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--WASHINGTON is 0-7 against the 1rst half line (-7.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 43.1, OPPONENT 56.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHICAGO is 11-3 against the 1rst half line (+7.7 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was CHICAGO 47.6, OPPONENT 42.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--CHICAGO is 8-1 against the 1rst half line (+6.9 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game this season.
The average score was CHICAGO 54.0, OPPONENT 43.4 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 59-34 UNDER (+21.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 46.5, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHICAGO is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was CHICAGO 47.6, OPPONENT 42.2 - (Rating = 5*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Any team (WASHINGTON) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half.
(33-7 since 1996.) (82.5%, +25.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 193.4
The average score in these games was: Team 94.6, Opponent 90.9 (Total points scored = 185.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 19 (48.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-2).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team (WASHINGTON) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a huge blowout win by 30 or more.
(22-5 since 1996.) (81.5%, +16.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 202.4
The average score in these games was: Team 94.5, Opponent 96.9 (Total points scored = 191.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 16 (61.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-3).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (WASHINGTON) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games.
(34-12 since 1996.) (73.9%, +20.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.4, Opponent 46.1 (Total first half points scored = 93.6)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-2).
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*** PHILADELPHIA @ BOSTON (-9.5, O/U 191) ***
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The Philadelphia 76ers have come closer than anyone to knocking off the Celtics during Boston's 13-game winning streak. While that may have been Philadelphia at its best, its latest game certainly represented the worst. Boston looks to extend the NBA's longest run of success this season Wednesday night against the visiting 76ers, who will have a 45-point defeat fresh in their minds as they look to avenge their last-second loss to the Celtics. The Celtics have rarely been tested during their 13 consecutive victories, shooting 52.1 percent and winning by more than five points all but three times.
Boston shot 55.9 percent at Philadelphia on December. 9th, but still had to sweat out its ninth straight win. Kevin Garnett banked in a shot off Rajon Rondo's alley-oop pass with 1.4 seconds left to lift the Celtics to a 102-101 victory. "What a heartbreaking loss," 76ers coach Doug Collins said. "They have so many different ways that they can attack on the offensive end.... It would have been an incredible win for us."
Rondo finished with 19 points and 14 assists, but he won't be around for the rematch. The NBA assist leader has missed Boston's last two games with a sprained left ankle and might be out until early January. The Celtics got Shaquille O'Neal back in the lineup Sunday against Indiana after a four-game absence, but Paul Pierce stole the show. The eight-time All-Star had 18 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds in a 99-88 win -- his first triple-double since March 8, 2006, against Philadelphia.
Pierce has 22 assists in the two games without Rondo as Boston has averaged 25.5 -- just 0.4 fewer than what it produces when Rondo is in the lineup. "We're putting (Pierce) in Rondo's spot, and making him the facilitator," coach Doc Rivers said. "With this team, especially with the injuries we have, he's been a great utility guy." Boston might get another big man back Wednesday. Jermaine O'Neal has missed 18 consecutive games while recovering from left knee soreness, but is back practicing and says he's "50/50" to face Philadelphia.
The Sixers won their last visit to Boston, 98-97 on Dec. 18, 2009, behind 23 points from Elton Brand, but their eight-game road trip took a disastrous turn Tuesday. Philadelphia let Chicago shoot 64.5 percent from the field at the United Center, falling behind by as many as 51 points in a 121-76 Bulls romp. Collins, though, seemed remarkably composed after watching the Sixers' worst loss since they fell 124-74 at Houston on March 18, 2007.
"In the NBA you're going to have games like this, it just happens," said Collins, whose team had won eight of 11. "It'll be easier tomorrow. Our effort will be better tomorrow. We were just discombobulated on offense tonight. I didn't recognize us out there. I didn't even know what plays we were running." The key to Philadelphia's success, however, seems to be on the defensive end. The 76ers are 9-0 when they hold their opponent under 41.5 percent from the field.
They're 2-17 if a team shoots better than that mark, though they did nearly knock off the Celtics despite Boston's exceptionally good shooting. Philadelphia could use some more production from Jrue Holiday if it's going to pull off the upset. Holiday has averaged 9.5 points and shot 31.1 percent in four career starts against the Celtics, and he's been awful lately -- shooting 23.5 percent and scoring in single digits in the Sixers' last three games.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Boston by 12; O/U 190
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Boston -18
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Boston -13.13
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 83-59 ATS (+17.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 98.6, OPPONENT 93.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 80-109 ATS (-39.9 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 94.5, OPPONENT 98.5 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 84-59 UNDER (+19.1 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 97.8, OPPONENT 92.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 26-8 UNDER (+16.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 94.1, OPPONENT 99.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
------------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 22-39 against the 1rst half line (-20.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 50.2, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 against the 1rst half line (+11.6 Units) when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 53.1, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 against the 1rst half line (+8.8 Units) after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 52.2, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 77-54 OVER (+17.4 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 50.6, OPPONENT 46.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
The average score was BOSTON 52.5, OPPONENT 46.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 33-14 OVER (+17.5 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 49.4, OPPONENT 52.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more.
(48-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.6%, +24.9 units. Rating = 2*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 97.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.1, Opponent 46.8 (Total first half points scored = 93.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (120-81).
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*** OKLAHOMA CITY @ NEW YORK (-1, O/U 216) ***
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It didn't take long for the New York Knicks to go from surging to struggling. Their struggles might not be about to end. The Knicks attempt to snap a three-game slide by beating the Oklahoma City Thunder for just the second time in eight meetings Wednesday night at Madison Square Garden. New York emerged as one of the biggest surprises in the NBA this fall by winning 13 of 14, including an eight-game streak, its longest in more than 16 years.
That momentum ended with consecutive losses to Boston and Miami, the top two teams in the Eastern Conference. The Knicks failed to rebound from those defeats and saw their losing streak reach three with Saturday's 109-102 overtime defeat at last-place Cleveland. "It has been a long week," Amar'e Stoudemire said. "We gave it all we had in the Miami game and back-to-backs are always tough in this league. That's just the way it is." The schedule won't give New York much relief in the next week.
After facing the Thunder the Knicks host Central Division leading Chicago on Saturday before visiting the Heat on Tuesday. The Knicks have dropped six of seven to Oklahoma City dating back to a victory Jan. 5, 2007, when the franchise was the Seattle SuperSonics. New York lost a third consecutive meeting with the Thunder in the most recent matchup at MSG on Feb. 20, 121-118 in overtime. Perhaps Stoudemire, the Knicks' leader with 26.5 points and 9.4 rebounds per game, can make the difference. He's averaging 29.7 points and 12.7 rebounds in his last three games versus Oklahoma City, all while he played for Phoenix.
The Thunder are tied with Utah atop the Northwest Division after winning six of seven overall and three in a row on the road. They parlayed a 25-3 run to start the fourth quarter into a 99-81 win at Charlotte on Tuesday. Oklahoma City's strong defensive effort came two nights after losing 113-110 to Phoenix. "It was a combination of them missing shots and us playing great defense," said coach Scott Brooks, who indicated he'd "flushed it out" with his team following the loss to the Suns. "We really focused on getting better defensively."
Kevin Durant led the Thunder with 32 points Tuesday, shooting 8 of 13 from the floor and adding seven rebounds. The NBA's leading scorer has totaled 66 points in his last two meetings with the Knicks. Russell Westbrook has also had success against New York, averaging 23.3 points and 8.0 assists in the last three games in the series. He had 31 points and 10 assists in the Thunder's last visit to MSG, a 121-118 overtime victory Feb. 20, when Durant led all scorers with 36. Westbrook had a less impressive performance against the Bobcats on Tuesday, finishing with 15 points but shooting 5 for 13.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New York by 4; O/U 214
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New York -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Oklahoma City 0.61
______________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 107.2, OPPONENT 110.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 38-20 ATS (+15.9 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 100.1, OPPONENT 101.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 98.2, OPPONENT 99.1 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-9 OVER (+14.1 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 98.8, OPPONENT 105.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 58-40 OVER (+14.0 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 99.8, OPPONENT 103.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-18 against the 1rst half line (+18.9 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 51.0, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-15 against the 1rst half line (+15.4 Units) when the first half total >= 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 56.7, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 30-10 OVER (+18.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 54.6, OPPONENT 55.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-17 OVER (+17.5 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.0, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-3 OVER (+14.7 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 51.6, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a road win by 10 points or more, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days.
(47-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +26.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 108.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 56.8, Opponent 55.4 (Total first half points scored = 112.2)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (36-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (58-28).
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*** NEW JERSEY @ NEW ORLEANS (-8.5, O/U 185) ***
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The New Jersey Nets have done some reshuffling of their roster in hopes of acquiring Carmelo Anthony. Despite rumors swirling of a potential trade, Brook Lopez and the rest of the current Nets seem to be finding their stride. New Jersey looks to win a third straight game for the first time in nearly two years Wednesday night when it travels to New Orleans to face the struggling Hornets. The Dec. 15 trade of former first-round pick Terrence Williams to Houston brought Sasha Vujacic from the Los Angeles Lakers and two future first-round picks to New Jersey, which may be trying to use those assets to acquire Anthony from Denver.
In the meantime, Vujacic has averaged 10.7 points in his three games with New Jersey, notching a season high for the second straight contest with 16 at Memphis on Tuesday. Lopez contributed 26, his fifth 20-point game in his last eight to help the Nets end a 10-game road losing streak with a 101-94 victory over the Grizzlies. New Jersey is looking to win its third consecutive game overall for the first time since it won four straight from Jan. 31-Feb. 7, 2009. Coach Avery Johnson said the Nets are feeling the momentum after winning three of their last four.
"There has been some carry-over in general," Johnson said. "We've got positive energy. Our defense early in the season was good enough to win some games, but we couldn't score. Now, we're being spaced a little more and dominant offensively inside." Devin Harris has averaged 19.5 points and 7.0 assists in the last four games after scoring 10.5 per game on 32.7 percent shooting while the Nets lost their previous eight. New Jersey improved to 3-12 on the road Tuesday and won its first game away from home since a 110-96 win Nov. 15 against the Los Angeles Clippers.
While the Nets seem to have put some struggles behind them, the Hornets have gone 5-11 since starting the season 11-1. New Orleans lost for the seventh time in 10 games Monday, falling 94-93 at Indiana on Mike Dunleavy's buzzer-beating tip-in. It was the second tough loss in as many nights for the Hornets, who lost 111-108 in overtime Sunday in Detroit. "We've always felt this roster was built for times like this," New Orleans coach Monty Williams said. "I'm saying tough stuff, Chris (Paul) is saying the tough stuff. We need other guys to step up."
Paul had 15 points Monday but only four assists, one more than his season low of three set Dec. 12 in a loss at Philadelphia. David West scored 32 points Sunday, but he's had only four double-doubles all season after totaling 79 over the previous three campaigns. Center Emeka Okafor will try to build on one of his best performances after he scored 19 points and added a season-high 15 boards Monday. A return home my help the Hornets get back on track. They've won two straight there to improve to 11-3 in New Orleans. The Hornets have beaten the Nets six of the last eight meetings, including three straight at home.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New Orleans by 11; O/U 185
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New Orleans -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Orleans -10.23
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 42-61 ATS (-25.1 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.7, OPPONENT 99.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 31-47 ATS (-20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 99.5, OPPONENT 96.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 53-32 UNDER (+17.6 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 95.0, OPPONENT 95.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 56-35 UNDER (+17.3 Units) after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 94.2, OPPONENT 100.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 37-62 against the 1rst half line (-31.2 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.4, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 18-34 against the 1rst half line (-19.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.6, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 75-46 UNDER (+23.8 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 47.9, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW JERSEY is 38-17 UNDER (+18.9 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 46.0, OPPONENT 49.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (NEW JERSEY) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season.
(71-36 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.4%, +31.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49, Opponent 51.6 (Average first half point differential = -2.6)
The situation's record this season is: (4-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (51-31).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (127-96).
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*** UTAH (-6, O/U 208.5) @ MINNESOTA ***
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One reason the Utah Jazz had some trouble against the Minnesota Timberwolves last season was because they struggled to contain Al Jefferson. They don't have to worry about that anymore. Jefferson, now with the Jazz, will face his former team for his first time Wednesday night as he tries to help Jerry Sloan move into sole possession of third place on the all-time coaching wins list against the Timberwolves, who are returning home from a winless six-game road trip.
Despite capturing the Northwest Division in 2009-10, Utah split its four-game season series with a Minnesota team that won just 15 games. The Jazz had little trouble offensively against the Timberwolves, averaging 105.3 points, but had few answers for stopping Jefferson. The 6-foot-10 center, who came to the Timberwolves in the 2007 blockbuster deal that sent Kevin Garnett to Boston, averaged 19.0 points, 10.0 rebounds and 2.0 blocked shots.
Jefferson made such a strong impression, the Jazz quickly made a move to acquire him after losing power forward Carlos Boozer to free agency over the summer. The move is proving to be a good one, as Jefferson has done a solid job of replacing Boozer and filling in for injured center Mehmet Okur in helping Utah to its best start since opening 21-9 in 2006-07. Jefferson is third on the Jazz in scoring at 16.3 per game, averaging a team-best 8.8 rebounds and Utah is 11-3 when he notches at least 18 points.
He was one of five Jazz players to score at least 16 points in Monday's 101-90 win at Cleveland, as Sloan moved into a tie with Pat Riley for the third-most coaching wins in NBA history. Sloan, Utah's coach since 1988, has 1,210 victories, 122 fewer than Lenny Wilkens for second place. "I don't have any thoughts on it," Sloan said of the accomplishment. "That's not how I ever played or how I've ever coached. Obviously, I like to win, but I couldn't win without the coaches I've had with me." Sloan's success also stems from a bevy of talented players, especially at the point guard position.
Deron Williams had 17 points and 10 assists Monday, and the Jazz are 19-2 when he has at least eight assists. The sixth-year star has recorded at least eight assists in all 16 games against the Timberwolves since 2006-07, and 11 or more in each of the last 11. Williams appears to pose as a major problem for Minnesota, which is coming off another dismal defensive performance.
The Timberwolves lost to the Los Angeles Clippers 113-90 on Monday to complete a six-game trip with a 12th straight road defeat. Minnesota, which surrendered at least 107 points in each game of the trek, allowed the Clippers to shoot 51.8 percent and match an opponent season worst with 62 points in the paint. "We didn't execute our game plan on the defensive end by any means," said Kevin Love, limited to 12 points two days after scoring a career-high 43 in a loss to Denver. "This isn't how you want to end a road trip." Defense has been a major issue for the Timberwolves for the last month, as they've lost 14 of 16, winning the only two games in which they allowed fewer than 100 points.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Utah by 6; O/U 204
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Utah -7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Utah -8.03
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 12-34 ATS (-25.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 95.3, OPPONENT 105.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 42-20 ATS (+20.0 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 103.9, OPPONENT 98.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 105.5, OPPONENT 97.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 85-57 OVER (+22.3 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 96.0, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 21-5 OVER (+15.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 107.8, OPPONENT 106.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 19-38 against the 1rst half line (-22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 48.6, OPPONENT 56.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 18-36 against the 1rst half line (-21.6 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 48.9, OPPONENT 56.7 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 81-32 UNDER (+45.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 42.0, OPPONENT 45.3 - (Rating = 6*)
--UTAH is 77-32 UNDER (+41.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus poor ball handling teams - committing >=16 turnovers/game since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 45.2, OPPONENT 44.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--UTAH is 29-9 UNDER (+19.1 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 48.9, OPPONENT 47.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (UTAH) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, vs. division opponents.
(41-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.2%, +24.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204
The average score in these games was: Team 106, Opponent 106.7 (Total points scored = 212.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32 (57.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-8).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (72-53).
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*** DENVER @ SAN ANTONIO (-6.5, O/U 213.5) ***
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Carmelo Anthony thought he hit a winning shot to deny the San Antonio Spurs a seventh straight victory last week. Instead, San Antonio won on a fortuitous call, and it's added two more victories since then. The Spurs now look to push their winning streak to double digits Wednesday night when they host Anthony and a Denver Nuggets team that could have some key players back in the lineup. San Antonio's longest win streak of the season was a 12-game run Nov. 1-24. The Spurs are drawing closer to it because of a break they got in a 113-112 victory at Denver on Thursday. Anthony hit a shot at the buzzer, but it was waved off for an offensive foul when Manu Ginobili stepped in front to draw a charge.
Coach George Karl's comments about the play led to a $25,000 fine from the NBA. "It's a play that I think goes either way a lot," Karl said. "It seemed like the referees, they like to hit us with tough calls." Denver might have better luck ending a three-game losing streak to San Antonio if several key players return. Point guard Chauncey Billups, big man Chris Andersen and forward Kenyon Martin practiced Monday and could play when the Nuggets try for their fourth straight victory at the AT&T Center. Martin has not played this season due to knee surgery while Billups has missed the last three games with a torn ligament in his right wrist.
Andersen has been out with a fracture in his lower back. Karl said Anderson and Martin will be game-time decisions while he was confident Billups would play. Denver will take all the help it can get as it seeks some revenge against surging San Antonio. "We owe them a lot of payback," guard Ty Lawson told the Nuggets' official website. Denver didn't seem to lack for inspiration in its last game at San Antonio, either. Martin had 27 points and 11 rebounds, Billups added 25 points, 11 assists and six rebounds and Andersen chipped in 18 points as the Nuggets won 103-89 without Anthony on Jan. 31. That gave Denver three straight road victories in the series for the first time.
San Antonio knocked off Phoenix 118-110 on Monday, its fourth straight game decided by eight points or fewer. "We feel pretty good about ourselves right now. But I think we still have a lot to build on, honestly," said forward Tim Duncan, who had 20 points and 15 rebounds. "Our record is really good, and that's a great situation to be in, but we got a lot of things we can clean up." Duncan, averaging just 14.1 points and 9.7 rebounds this season, has averaged 20.3 and 13.6 over the last three games. The Spurs haven't had two winning streaks of at least 10 games in a season since 2003-04, when they had a 13-game run and an 11-game run.
The Nuggets bounced back from the loss to the Spurs with a 115-113 win over Minnesota on Saturday. It wasn't pretty as Denver blew a 20-point lead, but Anthony had 24 points and a key late block while Lawson added 23 points and nine assists to help the Nuggets hang on. Lawson has started the last three games in place of Billups and averaged 18.0 points and 8.0 assists. Denver has been inconsistent since a seven-game winning streak, going 3-4.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Antonio by 4.5; O/U 218
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Antonio -8
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Antonio -7.89
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--DENVER is 66-93 ATS (-36.3 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 94.0, OPPONENT 102.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--DENVER is 15-40 ATS (-29.0 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 103.2, OPPONENT 113.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was DENVER 110.1, OPPONENT 113.1 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 36-15 UNDER (+19.2 Units) in home games after 6 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 96.0, OPPONENT 84.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 42-20 UNDER (+20.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 99.4, OPPONENT 102.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--DENVER is 41-19 UNDER (+19.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 99.8, OPPONENT 102.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--DENVER is 62-38 against the 1rst half line (+20.2 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 53.0, OPPONENT 50.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--DENVER is 69-47 against the 1rst half line (+17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 52.2, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 55-34 UNDER (+17.4 Units) the 1rst half total as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points vs. the first half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 50.0, OPPONENT 46.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 34-15 UNDER (+17.3 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total >= 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 51.2, OPPONENT 52.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (DENVER) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (>=102 PPG), after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games.
(40-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.7%, +23.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 56.4, Opponent 55.5 (Average first half point differential = +0.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (34-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (43-24).
--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, playing with 3 or more days rest.
(51-22 since 1996.) (69.9%, +26.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (61-14)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.7
The average score in these games was: Team 100.3, Opponent 93 (Average point differential = +7.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (31.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-8).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (>=36.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game).
(90-40 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.2%, +46 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 216.9
The average score in these games was: Team 105, Opponent 105 (Total points scored = 210)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 74 (56.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (86-38).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (106-68).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (DENVER) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record.
(56-25 since 1996.) (69.1%, +28.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 105.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.2, Opponent 52.4 (Total first half points scored = 102.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-9).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (27-9).
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Stan Knows Football and Basketball! Check out the huge winning run “The Man is enjoying and prepare to get all of his football and basketball selections with a discounted monthly or seasonal package.” Do it now and Save Big! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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*** HOUSTON (-1, O/U 206) @ LA CLIPPERS ***
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With an improved effort on both ends of the court, the Los Angeles Clippers find themselves in an unfamiliar position. Looking for a rare home victory over the surging Houston Rockets, the Clippers will try to extend their longest winning streak of the season Wednesday night. After dropping 21 of its first 26, Los Angeles defeated Minnesota 113-90 on Monday night for its third straight win. The Clippers (8-21) haven't won four in a row since a season-best run Dec. 31, 2009-Jan. 10.
They are averaging 96.8 points and surrendering 100.8 on the season but have scored 107.3 and allowed 92.3 during the win streak. "We just got together as a team and said we didn't feel like the worst team, even though that is what our record showed," said Blake Griffin, who recorded his 16th straight double-double with 22 points and 10 rebounds Monday. "Everybody since then has stepped up and did their part, nobody is trying to do too much. Everybody is doing exactly what they need to and that's how you win games."
Eric Gordon went 5 of 7 from 3-point range as he recorded a season-high 36 points Monday. He has made 61.5 percent of his attempts from long distance in his last three games. "We are playing more as a team, we are just playing well together right now," Gordon said after Los Angeles matched a season high with 31 assists. The Clippers will be short-handed Wednesday as forward Craig Smith is expected to miss at least two weeks with a herniated disc in his lower back. Smith is averaging 5.8 points and 2.9 rebounds in 13.9 minutes.
After starting its three-game trip with a 102-93 victory over Sacramento on Sunday, Houston beat Golden State 121-112 on Monday night for its third straight win. The Rockets have split their last six on the road after dropping eight of their first 10. "I don't know what our road record is but I know it's not good, so these two wins and with a chance to go in to L.A. and try to get a sweep would be huge for us," point guard Kyle Lowry said. "Shane (Battier), before we left on this road trip, he made sure that our emphasis was on what we could do on this trip."
Kevin Martin scored 30 on Monday and is averaging 27.0 points in his previous six games, over which the Rockets have gone 5-1. "We've been playing better as of late so it's easier to come out here with a little bit of confidence and win these games," said Battier, who went 4 of 6 from 3-point range against the Warriors. Martin is averaging 22.0 points while going 10 of 18 from beyond the arc in his last three meetings with the Clippers. The Rockets, who rank among the best in the NBA with 105.8 points per game, have taken 11 of the previous 13 matchups with the Clippers at Staples Center by an average of 11.6 points. Houston hasn't won three straight on the road since Nov. 29-Dec. 3, 2009.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Houston by 2; O/U 204
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Clippers -0.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Houston -0.97
_____________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 102.1, OPPONENT 99.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 37-61 ATS (-30.1 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 100.2, OPPONENT 101.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--HOUSTON is 46-67 ATS (-27.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 99.7, OPPONENT 100.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 49-27 UNDER (+19.3 Units) in home games after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 97.3, OPPONENT 97.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 39-19 UNDER (+18.1 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 90.8, OPPONENT 95.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 40-64 against the 1rst half line (-30.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 47.7, OPPONENT 52.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--HOUSTON is 67-44 against the 1rst half line (+18.6 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 51.0, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 23-7 UNDER (+15.4 Units) the 1rst half total after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 46.9, OPPONENT 51.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 55-28 UNDER (+23.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 46.2, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (LA CLIPPERS) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points against opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points.
(29-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.4%, +20.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.9, Opponent 51.4 (Average first half point differential = +1.5)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (38-18).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making >=47% of their shots.
(30-10 since 1996.) (75.0%, +19 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.9, Opponent 46.8 (Total first half points scored = 98.8)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-7).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (HOUSTON) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days.
(45-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.4%, +25.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.4, Opponent 49.3 (Average first half point differential = +0.2)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (29-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (95-59).
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Stan the Man Szumera a Professional Handicapper since 1977 offers you 33 years of experience. Stan is known for his strong work ethic and his commitment to delivering you the best analysis available. With regards to style, The Man likes to use the perfect blend of three decades of experience as well as emotional, statistical, and technical support to back up his selections.
Back in the early 80's, Stan the Man helped assemble one of the most powerful football and basketball databases in the nation. This incredible piece of software holds over 100 profitable situations with ATS records topping 90 percent.
Located on the East Coast just a few miles from the University of Seton Hall, Stan the Man is tuned into the Pirates as well as the Big East and Atlantic Coast Conferences. College Football, Major League Baseball as well as the NBA and NFL are considered his strengths. But keep in mind a profitable run can happen at any time in any sport when Stan gets into one of his capping zones!
Vince Lombardi, one of the greatest football coaches ever, once said, "They say that the Harder you Work, the Luckier you get" and Stan the Man is Living Proof! When you do business with Stan Szumera you can expect three things: experience, professionalism and effort, “Enjoy and the best of luck” –Stan!
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