If you had a goose laying gold eggs in your yard would you go out there and run him off? Stop talking shit and let him post. When someone is bad, you want them to post here. That is the only way you are going to win money.People are in here trying to find a capper that might hit 60%. I love these guys that hit about 20% and bet against them. People like you come here everyday and talk crap and run them off.
STAN THE STAT MAN !!!
***** WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 15TH NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
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-- Chicago won last six games, covered last three.
-- Celtics won last ten games, covered four of last five. Knicks won last eight games, covering six of last seven.
-- Lakers won four of last five games but failed to cover last six tries as a road favorite.
-- 76ers won four of last five games, covered last nine.
-- Miami won last nine games, covered last eight.
-- Oklahoma City won last three games, covered five of last seven as a home favorite. Rockets covered five of their last six games.
-- Memphis won last three games, covered last five.
-- San Antonio won last five games, covered last four. Bucks won four of their last five games.
-- Mavericks won 12 of their last 13 games; they're 5-2 in last seven games as a home favorite.
• COLD TEAMS
------------
-- Raptors lost five of their last six games.
-- Pacers lost five of their last seven games.
-- Clippers lost five of last six games but are 6-3 vs spread in last nine games as a road underdog.
-- Cleveland lost last eight games (1-7 vs spread).
-- New Orleans lost five of its last six games. Kings are 0-5-1 vs spread in last six games as a road underdog.
-- Bobcats covered once in last five games as road underdog.
-- Phoenix lost last three games, by 7-6-7 points. Timberwolves covered once in last six games as road underdog.
-- Portland lost its last two games, scoring 78-73 points.
• BACK-TO-BACK
--------------
-- Toronto is 3-2 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Lakers are 2-2 vs spread if they played night before.
-- 76ers are 3-1 vs spread at home if they played night before.
-- Rockets are 1-3 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Sacramento is 2-0-1 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Charlotte is 5-2 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Minnesota is 3-1 vs spread if it lost the night before.
• TOTALS
--------
-- Last five Chicago games stayed under the total. Four of Toronto's last five games went over.
-- Four of last five Boston road games stayed under the total.
-- Pacers' last three home games went over the total. Under is 11-2 in last thirteen Laker games.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Clipper games.
-- Five of last six Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in Houston's last ten road games.
-- Last eight New Orleans games stayed under total.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Charlotte games.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in Milwaukee's last four road games. Five of Spurs' last six games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Minnesota road games stayed under total.
-- Last five Dallas games went over the total.
• QUICK HITS
------------
--CHICAGO @ TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET CHICAGO: 6-1 ATS off division win by 10+ pts. TORONTO: 19-38 ATS off road loss.
--BOSTON @ NEW YORK, 7:00 PM ET ESPN BOSTON: 7-17 ATS off win by 15+ points. NEW YORK: 10-1 ATS as an underdog.
--LA LAKERS @ INDIANA, 7:00 PM ET LA LAKERS: 7-1 Under off non-conf game. INDIANA: 24-10 ATS after scoring 85 pts or less BB Games.
--LA CLIPPERS @ PHILADELPHIA, 7:00 PM ET LA CLIPPERS: 64-85 ATS as an underdog. PHILADELPHIA: 7-0 ATS after winning 2 of L3 games.
--CLEVELAND @ MIAMI, 7:30 PM ET CLEVELAND: 56-84 ATS after scoring 80 pts or less. MIAMI: 8-1 ATS off 2 straight 10+ wins.
--HOUSTON @ OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET HOUSTON: 8-18 ATS Away off ATS win. OKLAHOMA CITY: 13-5 Over when favored.
--SACRAMENTO @ NEW ORLEANS, 8:00 PM ET SACRAMENTO: 1-6 ATS of double digit loss. NEW ORLEANS: 7-0 Under off 2 straight ATS losses.
--CHARLOTTE @ MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET CHARLOTTE: 11-0 ATS off 4+ Unders. MEMPHIS: 17-6 Over off 2 straight wins.
--MILWAUKEE @ SAN ANTONIO, 8:30 PM ET MILWAUKEE: 26-15 UNDER off 2 straight ATS wins. SAN ANTONIO: 10-0 Under at home off 4 straight wins by 10+ points.
--MINNESOTA @ PHOENIX, 9:00 PM ET MINNESOTA: 25-41 ATS after 2 or more SU losses. PHOENIX: 41-28 ATS after playing a game as favorite.
--PORTLAND @ DALLAS, 9:30 PM ET ESPN PORTLAND: 33-19 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games. DALLAS: 18-37 ATS in home games.
• NOTES & TIPS
--------------
--Chicago Bulls guard Derrick Rose is listed as day-to-day after suffering multiple injuries in a victory over the Indiana Pacers. Rose has a sprained right wrist, a bruised right elbow and a sore right hip after Monday's game. He will be in Toronto for Wednesday's game against the Raptors. Coach Tom Thibodeau said that he anticipates Rose will play, but if he can't C.J. Watson will start at point guard. Rose, a right-hander, did not participate in Tuesday's practice beyond taking a few left-handed shots in front of reporters. X-rays on the wrist were negative. Rose said the hip was actually more sore than the wrist or elbow.
--The Dallas Mavericks entered Tuesday night in Milwaukee seeking to extend their NBA-best 12-game win streak. They built up a 20-point lead in the second quarter but couldn’t stop the Bucks’ second-half surge. Even with the setback, the Mavericks are reminding NBA bettors hung up on the Heat and the Lakers not to forget about that team in Dallas. Dirk Nowitzki and Company own the league’s third best record and own wins over elite clubs such as Boston, Oklahoma City, Utah, Miami, Atlanta and San Antonio. The Mavs’ streak is over, and they made their backers a lot of money during it 9-3 against the spread mark.
--Boston backers have come to expect fast starts for this team since Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett showed up in 2007. In the last three seasons, the Celtics are 73-11 straight up (47-36-1 ATS) before Boxing Day and 105-57 (81-78-2 ATS) afterward. Now, a lot of that has to do with the health of Garnett. The All-Star power forward missed the second half of the 2008-09 campaign and seemed to coast from January until the end of the regular season a year ago. But KG seems to be his old self now. His explosion is back to where it used to be – or at least pretty close – and he’s beating younger big men up and down the court on a regular basis. This might be the deepest Celtics team (six players averaging double figures in points) coach Doc Rivers has had in Boston, so the second-half plunge shouldn’t be as dramatic this time around.
--Miami is finally living up to its team nickname. The Heat have been on fire since losing to the Mavericks on Nov. 27, after starting the season just 9-8. They’re riding a nine-game win streak and are 8-0 ATS in their last eight contests. LeBron James fans say the Heat are now playing like the championship contenders everyone thought they’d be with the All-Star trio of James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh on the same roster, but that line of thinking might be a bit premature. Team South Beach owns just three victories over winning clubs during the streak and two of those came on its home floor. Still, there are lots of positives to take from the way the Heat are playing now compared to where they were a month ago. The squad is rebounding at a much better rate and that’s led to a big bump in fast break points. The true litmus test for the Heat comes on Christmas day when they visit the defending champion Los Angeles Lakers.
--The Knicks don’t seem to belong in this group of teams but their win streak is eye-catching nonetheless. New York is winning games it would have found a way to lose in years past. Most of that has to do with the infusion of talent after a busy offseason. The Mecca of basketball failed to lure King James but Amar’e Stoudemire is proving he’s not too bad of a consolation prize. The All-Star big man is the go-to scorer coach Mike D’Antoni has never had in NYC. Stoudemire has hit the 30-point plateau in a franchise-record eight straight games and is averaging 33.9 points per game during the Knicks’ winning streak. Plus it’s not like he’s the only player stepping up his game.
Free agent pickup Raymond Felton is playing like an All-Star at the point, averaging 18.4 points and 8.7 assists while shooting a career-best .462 from the field. Not bad for a guy who wasn’t supposed to be a good fit for D’Antoni’s pick ‘n’ roll offense. Meanwhile role players such as rookie Landry Fields, Wilson Chandler and Danilo Gallinari are contributing with timely hoops, rebounds, steals and blocks. The Knicks are the league’s best bet against the spread thanks to their 7-1 mark during the win streak but most of those victories have come against sub-.500 clubs. Spike Lee’s boys have big tests this week when they play the Celtics on Wednesday and the Heat on Friday.
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*** CHICAGO (-5.5, O/U 202) @ TORONTO ***
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Mentally, the Chicago Bulls are feeling good about their recent play. Physically, Derrick Rose is not doing as well. The Bulls hope to have the banged-up All-Star in the lineup as they try to extend their season-high winning streak to seven games Wednesday night against the Toronto Raptors at Air Canada Centre. Averaging career highs with 24.7 points and 8.3 assists, Rose had 17 and 12 in Monday's 92-73 win over Indiana. However, he fell hard after making contact with the Pacers' Brandon Rush while driving to the basket in the fourth quarter.
Though X-rays on his wrist were negative, Rose hopes to play while continuing to deal with a sprained right wrist, bruised right elbow and sore right hip. "He's a little nicked up," Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau said. "He's got a little soreness in the elbow and a little soreness in the wrist. If he says he can play, he'll play." Rose, averaging 22.0 points on 57.4-percent shooting and 8.0 assists in four career games at Toronto, is confident he'll be on the floor Wednesday.
"If it's up to me, I'm going," Rose said. "If it's sore, usually I can play through soreness. Hopefully I'll be playing (Wednesday)." If he is unable to go, C.J. Wilson will start at point guard. With Rose out with a sore neck, Watson scored 33 points in a 98-97 loss at Denver on Nov. 26. With or without their star guard, the Bulls appear to have a good chance for their first seven-game winning streak since Nov. 25-Dec. 8, 2008.
Chicago's opponents have averaged 88.0 points on 39.6-percent shooting over the last six games. Monday's contest marked the third straight in which the Bulls held their opponent to a season-worst scoring total. "They're a really good defensive team," Indiana guard Mike Dunleavy said. The Bulls limited the Raptors to 41.1 percent from the field in a 104-88 win at Toronto in the teams' most recent meeting April 11.
Carlos Boozer, who had 22 points and 18 rebounds against the Pacers, has averaged 23.3 and 13.0 in his last seven games versus Toronto. He's averaging 15.5 points and 8.0 rebounds in eight games since missing the first month with a broken hand. "You can really see his timing coming back," Thibodeau said. Boozer's surge could continue that success against a Raptors club that allows 105.2 points per contest. Toronto played better defensively Tuesday but fell for the fifth time in six games, 97-91 at Charlotte.
After rallying from 25 points down and shooting a season-high 62.9 percent in a 120-116 win at Detroit on Saturday for the largest comeback victory in franchise history, the Raptors made 40.4-percent of their shots and committed 19 turnovers against the Bobcats. "It's real frustrating,'' said swingman DeMar DeRozan, who had 14 points Tuesday. “Teams these days are too good, and when you turn over the ball, it's a good chance they will go down and make something happen." Jerryd Bayless had 17 points with nine assists after scoring 31 against the Pistons. The Raptors could be without point guard Jose Calderon for a fourth consecutive game because of a sore left foot.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Chicago by 5.5; O/U 203
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Chicago -6
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Chicago -5.47
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--TORONTO is 40-62 ATS (-28.2 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.0, OPPONENT 105.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 98.9, OPPONENT 108.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 98.3, OPPONENT 107.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------
--TORONTO is 57-34 OVER (+19.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 99.4, OPPONENT 106.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 64-41 OVER (+18.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.0, OPPONENT 105.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHICAGO is 95-66 OVER (+22.4 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games since 1996.
The average score was CHICAGO 95.3, OPPONENT 99.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--TORONTO is 54-25 against the 1rst half line (+26.3 Units) after a game where they made 60% of their free throws or worse since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 49.4, OPPONENT 48.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHICAGO is 55-81 against the 1rst half line (-34.1 Units) in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was CHICAGO 46.7, OPPONENT 50.5 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--TORONTO is 36-15 UNDER (+19.5 Units) the 1rst half total after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 54.4, OPPONENT 55.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHICAGO is 33-11 UNDER (+20.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% since 1996.
The average score was CHICAGO 49.1, OPPONENT 47.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHICAGO is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 this season.
The average score was CHICAGO 50.2, OPPONENT 46.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games.
(38-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.6%, +25.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.4, Opponent 48.1 (Total first half points scored = 96.6)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (53-44).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (CHICAGO) - after a combined score of 165 points or less.
(40-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.1%, +24.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.3, Opponent 47.7 (Average first half point differential = -0.4)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (112-109).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHICAGO) - average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more.
(33-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.3%, +19.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.8
The average score in these games was: Team 109.6, Opponent 103.9 (Total points scored = 213.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 26 (57.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-11).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (42-21).
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*** BOSTON (-3.5, O/U 205) @ NEW YORK ***
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It's not a big surprise that the Boston Celtics are the hottest team in the league. What is a shock is that the New York Knicks aren't far behind. Boston goes for an 11th consecutive victory Wednesday night as it heads into Madison Square Garden looking to halt the Knicks' longest winning streak in more than 16 years. "They're probably going to be extremely fired up for this game and I'm hoping our guys can match that intensity," Celtics coach Doc Rivers said. "Any time a game has energy, it's great. It's really great for us because finding ways to get them up is always nice when you don't have to do it."
With Dallas having its 12-game run snapped Monday, no team is on a longer win streak than the Celtics. Their stretch of 10 consecutive victories is one shy of their longest winning streak from all of last season. New York is on its longest run since taking 15 in a row March 1-April 2, 1994. The Knicks have won eight in a row as Amare Stoudemire has set a franchise record for consecutive 30-point games by reaching that mark in each victory.
While a long win streak might be expected of Boston, the reigning Eastern Conference champion which won the NBA title in 2008, New York hasn't even been to the playoffs since 2004. The Knicks, who didn't post more than four straight victories last season, have won 13 of 14. "We have confidence. We know how good we can be. We see the room for improvement," Stoudemire said. "We can get better. We have confidence that we can win. Every game is a different story. We just have to make sure we are ready to go and play smart."
This matchup is by far the toughest challenge for the Knicks in weeks. Only three opponents among their last 14 currently have winning records. "They obviously have won a championship a couple of years prior, went to the finals last year, so they're hands-down the team to beat in the East," Stoudemire said. Among East teams, the Celtics have the best record overall and on the road at 9-3. They're allowing 91.0 points per game, tied with Miami for best in the league, and just 86.1 during the win streak. "We're finding ways to win and we're doing it with defense," Kevin Garnett said.
New York is scoring a league-leading 108.5 per game, including 114.5 during its win streak as Stoudemire has averaged 33.9 points and 10.9 rebounds. His 30-point streak will be put to the test against Garnett and possibly Shaquille O'Neal, who is optimistic he'll return after missing the last two games with a calf injury. Rivers' team is still missing big men Kendrick Perkins and Jermaine O'Neal due to knee problems. "Doc does a great job of managing the old, antique cars," the 38-year-old O'Neal said.
The Celtics have kept winning despite the struggles of Paul Pierce, averaging 10.8 points in the last four games on 31.6 percent shooting. He's missed his last 16 3-point attempts. The eight-time All-Star made four 3-pointers and had 25 points in Boston's 105-101 home win over the Knicks on Oct. 29, the teams' only meeting this season. Garnett added 24 points while Stoudemire led New York with 27.
Stoudemire had 30 points as the Knicks defeated Denver 129-125 on Sunday. He scored a season low-tying six points in the first half, but went 11 of 15 from the floor over the final 24 minutes. "He's balling this season, nobody's stopping him," Nuggets forward Nene said. New York has lost 13 of 15 against Boston. The Knicks did win the last meeting at MSG, 104-101 on April 6 behind Danilo Galinari's 31 points. He was 0 for 6 from the field with two points in the October loss to the Celtics. Pierce has averaged 26.2 points in the last six meetings.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Boston by 3; O/U 205
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Boston -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Boston -5.01
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--NEW YORK is 40-20 ATS (+17.9 Units) after scoring 110 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 105.7, OPPONENT 104.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 49-30 ATS (+15.9 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 104.2, OPPONENT 104.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 12-25 ATS (-15.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 97.2, OPPONENT 93.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 97-64 OVER (+26.6 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 94.7, OPPONENT 99.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW YORK is 97-65 OVER (+25.5 Units) as a home underdog of 6 points or less since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 97.1, OPPONENT 99.7 - (Rating = 5*)
--BOSTON is 71-45 OVER (+21.5 Units) in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 96.9, OPPONENT 99.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--BOSTON is 29-9 OVER (+19.1 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 99.4, OPPONENT 102.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 98-67 against the 1rst half line (+24.3 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 47.2, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW YORK is 25-7 against the 1rst half line (+17.1 Units) in home games after 2 straight games making 85% of their free throws or better since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 48.1, OPPONENT 45.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 17-38 against the 1rst half line (-24.5 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or less since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 46.4, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 48-19 UNDER (+26.9 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 35 points or less in the first half last game since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 47.3, OPPONENT 45.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--BOSTON is 41-19 UNDER (+19.8 Units) the 1rst half total after game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 35% or less since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 46.4, OPPONENT 44.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 30-11 UNDER (+17.7 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 48.7, OPPONENT 45.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (NEW YORK) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record.
(32-9 since 1996.) (78.0%, +22.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50, Opponent 48.7 (Total first half points scored = 98.7)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
--PLAY AGAINST - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (BOSTON) - after allowing 80 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 225 points or more.
(28-9 since 1996.) (75.7%, +18.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.8, Opponent 47.8 (Average first half point differential = +2)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-3).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites (BOSTON) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record.
(45-16 since 1996.) (73.8%, +27.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-29)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.7
The average score in these games was: Team 97.1, Opponent 95.9 (Average point differential = +1.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 27 (45.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-7).
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*** LA LAKERS (-4.5, O/U 197.5) @ INDIANA ***
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The Los Angeles Lakers have won five of six since a four-game slide, beating four opponents that have lost a combined 51 games more than they've won. There's little chance they'll be overlooking their next sub-.500 opponent. The Indiana Pacers stunned the Lakers at Staples Center during that surprising skid, a loss Los Angeles looks to avenge Wednesday night at Conseco Fieldhouse. Road defeats in Utah, Memphis and Houston weren't completely surprising when the Lakers dropped four straight for the first time since April 2007, but the lone home loss in that stretch was.
Indiana had never won in 14 games at Staples Center, but snapped that drought Nov. 28 thanks to Roy Hibbert. The third-year center had 24 points, 12 rebounds and six assists as the Pacers held off Los Angeles 95-92 despite a season-high 41 points from Kobe Bryant. "We know this is a big win for us, but we can play with anybody," Hibbert told the Pacers' official website. "In the future, we don't want this to be a surprise."
Indiana's plan was to go right at All-Star Pau Gasol, and the strategy worked perfectly. Gasol was 5 of 15 with five turnovers and five fouls, playing 45 minutes during a stretch in which he complained of being overworked while battling a minor hamstring injury. Gasol's minutes were high largely because of Los Angeles' lack of interior depth, but it got deeper Tuesday. Andrew Bynum made his season debut in Washington after undergoing knee surgery over the summer, scoring seven points in 17 minutes off the bench in the Lakers' 103-89 win.
"It was great getting to play again," Bynum said. "It was a big moment for me because I've been wanting to get back. Now that I am back I just want to help my teammates out and get back in the rotation." Bynum has certainly thrived against the Pacers. He's averaged 20.0 points in six meetings versus Indiana the past three seasons, his highest average against any team he's faced at least four times. Los Angeles' five wins this month have come against Sacramento, New Jersey, the Los Angeles Clippers and Washington twice.
While the Pacers represent a definite step up in competition, they've looked bad offensively in their last two losses, averaging 78.0 points and shooting 36.4 percent at Atlanta and Chicago. Leading scorer Danny Granger sat out Monday's 92-73 defeat against the Bulls with a sprained left ankle, but coach Jim O'Brien wasn't using that as an excuse. "We got dominated in both games. There's no way of sugar-coating that," he told the Pacers' official website. "It's a learning experience for our guys."
Granger is expected to return Wednesday, but it's Hibbert who needs to bounce back from a pair of ugly performances. He had 12 total points as Indiana was outrebounded by 19, and wants to get back to the way he played against the Lakers last month. "I haven't been as aggressive as I wanted to be after the west coast trip so it's going to be a good test," Hibbert said. "I know they're looking for blood and we're just going to have to go out there and battle. This is a big one for us." His coach agrees, particularly considering the Pacers haven't swept the Lakers since the 1991-92 season. "We're not going to sneak up on them again after beating them in L.A.," O'Brien said.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Lakers by 1; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Indiana -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Lakers -0.71
___________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
------------------
--INDIANA is 84-54 ATS (+24.6 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 99.2, OPPONENT 92.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--INDIANA is 51-28 ATS (+20.2 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 101.1, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 100.6, OPPONENT 95.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 22-38 ATS (-19.6 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 101.5, OPPONENT 98.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--INDIANA is 39-17 UNDER (+20.1 Units) after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 95.1, OPPONENT 97.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 55-32 UNDER (+19.8 Units) in road games off a road win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 99.4, OPPONENT 97.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 53-31 UNDER (+18.9 Units) in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 97.6, OPPONENT 95.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 99.4, OPPONENT 93.1 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--INDIANA is 23-6 against the 1rst half line (+16.3 Units) in home games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making >=80% of their shots since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 52.4, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 44-80 against the 1rst half line (-44.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=43% since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 45.0, OPPONENT 48.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--LA LAKERS are 54-73 against the 1rst half line (-26.3 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 52.0, OPPONENT 50.0 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--INDIANA is 79-48 UNDER (+25.9 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 46.7, OPPONENT 44.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 89-57 UNDER (+26.3 Units) the 1rst half total when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 48.9, OPPONENT 48.2 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANA) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team.
(61-19 since 1996.) (76.2%, +40.1 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.7, Opponent 46.9 (Average first half point differential = +1.7)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-8).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 80 points.
(28-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.7%, +18.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (17-21 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6
The average score in these games was: Team 99.7, Opponent 101.5 (Average point differential = -1.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (47.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (64-47).
_____________________________________
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__________________________________________________ ___
*** LA CLIPPERS @ PHILADELPHIA (-5, O/U 192.5) ***
---------------------------------------------------
After a rough first month, the Philadelphia 76ers appears to be hitting their stride. The 76ers look for a season-high third consecutive victory while trying to keep the Los Angeles Clippers winless on the road Wednesday night. Philadelphia won 82-77 at New Jersey on Tuesday for its sixth win in eight games following a 3-13 start. "We're a bunch of young guys just trying to win, and lately we've been successful," said Jrue Holiday, who scored 10 of his game-high 19 points in the fourth quarter. Strong defense continues to key the 76ers' resurgence. Philadelphia opponents have averaged 86.9 points on 41.3-percent shooting over the last eight games.
Two nights after New Orleans shot 30.4 percent during an 88-70 loss at Philadelphia, the 76ers limited the Nets to 34.1 percent from the floor but almost squandered a late 11-point lead. "We still make too many mistakes at the end of the game," Coach Doug Collins said. "We can't do that, but we got away with it tonight. I think I teach more in winning than in losing. We have to finish games better. We did get the win and that's what matters." Philadelphia could achieve a more complete effort against a Clippers squad that's averaged 84.7 points during its current three-game skid.
Though Los Angeles averaged 108.0 points on 53.7-percent shooting while winning both meetings with the 76ers in 2009-10, the Clippers are 0-10 away from home this season and have dropped 37 of 40 on the road since a 112-107 overtime win at Philadelphia last Dec. 19. Los Angeles will try to avoid a ninth straight defeat to an Eastern Conference opponent after falling 94-85 at home to Orlando on Sunday. Coming off consecutive one-point defeats to the Lakers and Memphis, the Clippers trailed by 26 points in the first half and got no closer than six in the fourth quarter while shooting 38.1 percent against the Magic.
"We still got to be more consistent and play a whole game," said rookie Blake Griffin, who had 27 points and 16 rebounds. "It's tough, but at the same time I know it's not going to happen overnight. It's going to be gradual." Griffin, who is contributing 20.3 points and 11.9 rebounds per game, has posted 12 straight double-doubles, averaging 24.3 points and 13.3 boards during that stretch. "He is really aggressive out there. That is what I like about him," Orlando star Dwight Howard said. "He just needs to continue to work hard and get better."
Eric Gordon scored 28 points Sunday and is averaging 24.5 this season, but he has totaled 25 points on 7-of-17 shooting with four assists and six turnovers in two career games at Philadelphia. Though Baron Davis has averaged a disappointing 7.4 points in 11 games while battling injuries this season, he scored 20 and added 13 assists in Los Angeles' win at Philadelphia last season. Ex-Clipper Elton Brand has scored 15 points in each of his last two games for the 76ers, and has averaged 16.7 points and 10.6 rebounds in seven career games against Los Angeles.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Philadelphia by 3.5; O/U 193.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Philadelphia -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Philadelphia -4.97
__________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 50-80 ATS (-38.0 Units) in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 95.9, OPPONENT 98.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 96.7, OPPONENT 95.0 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 44-21 OVER (+20.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 96.8, OPPONENT 102.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 43-21 OVER (+19.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 95.6, OPPONENT 102.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 28-49 against the 1rst half line (-25.7 Units) as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 50.4, OPPONENT 49.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 21-37 against the 1rst half line (-19.6 Units) when the first half total is 95.5 to 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 48.4, OPPONENT 51.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 21-4 against the 1rst half line (+16.5 Units) off 3 or more consecutive home losses since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 49.6, OPPONENT 49.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 50-28 UNDER (+19.2 Units) the 1rst half total after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 48.1, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 39-18 UNDER (+18.9 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 90 points or less 3 straight games since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 45.8, OPPONENT 49.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record.
(37-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.5%, +23.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.5, Opponent 49.7 (Average first half point differential = +0.8)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (77-57).
--PLAY ON - Any team (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record.
(52-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +28.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (38-36 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.7
The average score in these games was: Team 99.5, Opponent 98.1 (Average point differential = +1.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 29 (40.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (40-19).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (97-89).
__________________________________
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*** CLEVELAND @ MIAMI (-16.5, O/U 193.5) ***
---------------------------------------------
No extra security this time. No concerns about unrest in the stands. Probably not much in the way of organized "Akron Hates You" chants, either. LeBron vs. Cleveland, Round 2 awaits in Miami on Wednesday. And it won't have anywhere near the cache of the first meeting. James took notice of that truth on Tuesday when the Heat finished practice and only a dozen or so reporters were in the gym, as opposed to the "300," by his own estimate, who were around the team for the buildup to Miami's trip to Cleveland back on Dec. 2 - the two-time MVP's return to the city he jilted by signing with the Heat.
Led by James, Miami won by 28 that night, even with fans chanting that his hometown hates him and other rather colorful things for much of the evening. The Heat haven't lost since. Cleveland hasn't won since. "It doesn't feel like just another opponent," James said. That's because, well, Cleveland isn't just another opponent. Not to James, anyway. He was criticized for talking to some Cavs' players, longtime friend Daniel Gibson in particular, and Cleveland's bench during the game two weeks ago. More heat might be coming, because James apparently has more to say to his old team.
"I'll probably be talking to them... again," said James, who insisted that there was no joking around going on during the exchanges he had in the Dec. 2 matchup. Not much is funny to Cleveland these days. Losers of eight straight - four of those by at least 20 - whatever good feeling there was over a 5-5 start without James is long gone now. Cavaliers guard Mo Williams downplayed the rematch between teams heading in opposite directions.
"Our concern is not them right now, it's us," Williams said following practice Tuesday. "We're going through a tough time right now and we need to get a win. We need to stay positive and stay focused and this thing will turn around. Nobody likes to lose. We definitely know we can play better. We can't let anything else cloud our goal and our goal is getting better."
As if the James-Cavs stuff wasn't saucy enough for a story line, there's also the matter of Miami looking for NBA history. According to STATS LLC, only three teams have won 10 consecutive games by at least 10 points apiece. Miami has won nine straight, all of them by double figures, and could join the 2007-08 Houston Rockets, 2003-04 New Jersey Nets and 1946-47 Washington Capitols in that exclusive club if they beat the Cavs by 10 or more on Wednesday.
"We're starting to figure out how this team is going to play all year, how we're going to be effective," Heat guard Dwyane Wade said. "The spurts and the runs that we go on is going to be probably the most effective thing that other teams can't do that we have the ability to do." The Heat went through a relatively light practice Tuesday, which in no way suggests Miami, is taking things easy right now.
Much in the same way that the struggles in their 9-8 start were part of the "process" that Heat coach Erik Spoelstra spoke of often in the season's opening weeks, continuing to refine things remains part of that same process. "It's no different than when we lost four out of five," Spoelstra said. "We still had to work and stay together to try to improve and that's where we are right now. If you just try to relax and think of the wins that we've had, you're not getting any better. And we have a long ways to go, still."
Relaxing against a team that's struggling isn't an uncommon occurrence. James said he won't let Miami fall into that trap - not against Cleveland. "It's a tough situation going on in Cleveland," James said. "I wish those guys the best. It just so happened they haven't won since we played them and now they come in here when we're still rolling. As much as I would love for them to get back on track, I don't want them to get back on track against us."
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Miami by 17.5; O/U 195
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Miami -20
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Miami -21.04
_____________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--MIAMI is 36-19 ATS (+14.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 102.8, OPPONENT 93.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more this season.
The average score was MIAMI 103.5, OPPONENT 86.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--CLEVELAND is 40-69 ATS (-35.9 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 88.7, OPPONENT 99.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--CLEVELAND is 14-34 ATS (-23.3 Units) in road games after 4 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 87.5, OPPONENT 100.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 94.2, OPPONENT 106.4 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MIAMI is 24-7 OVER (+16.1 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 100.3, OPPONENT 99.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 76-48 OVER (+23.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 93.6, OPPONENT 100.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--CLEVELAND is 19-3 OVER (+15.5 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 103.6, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--CLEVELAND is 6-18 against the 1rst half line (-13.8 Units) versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 48.5, OPPONENT 54.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 0-12 against the 1rst half line (-13.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 47.6, OPPONENT 57.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--CLEVELAND is 0-9 against the 1rst half line (-9.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 46.1, OPPONENT 56.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 0-8 against the 1rst half line (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 45.1, OPPONENT 57.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 0-7 against the 1rst half line (-7.7 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 45.4, OPPONENT 60.6 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--MIAMI is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 50.9, OPPONENT 51.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 75-40 OVER (+31.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 52.5, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--CLEVELAND is 39-19 OVER (+18.1 Units) the 1rst half total versus the 1rst half line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 52.5, OPPONENT 52.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MIAMI) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after allowing 85 points or less.
(35-8 since 1996.) (81.4%, +26.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 195.3
The average score in these games was: Team 105.2, Opponent 98.9 (Total points scored = 204.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 27 (64.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (27-7).
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (MIAMI) - after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.
(26-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.2%, +19.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 56, Opponent 43.7 (Average first half point differential = +12.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (50-23).
--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs (CLEVELAND) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more.
(33-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +23.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (36-6 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 8.5
The average score in these games was: Team 107.2, Opponent 92.7 (Average point differential = +14.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (46.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-7).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (62-44).
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*** HOUSTON @ OKLAHOMA CITY (-8.5, O/U 209) ***
------------------------------------------------
The Oklahoma City Thunder's defensive pressure has been outstanding lately. Coach Scott Brooks was pleased to see that same intensity during his team's most recent practice. With a chance to move into a first-place tie in the Northwest Division, the Thunder go for their fourth consecutive victory Wednesday night against the Houston Rockets, who have reportedly added an under-achieving former first-round pick to an improving squad. Coming off a 106-77 victory over Cleveland on Sunday when they held the Cavaliers to 32 second-half points on 26.5 percent shooting from the field, the Thunder had their most physical practice of the season Tuesday.
"It was good. It was a little chippy today," Brooks said. "Our guys aren't normally are not like that (in practice), but I like it. I like to see the toughness that needed to be displayed in order to be successful."... The contact part of practice wasn't long, but when it was, guys were getting after it and challenging each other. That's good basketball." The Thunder, who can pull even in the Northwest with idle Utah, are holding teams to 90.7 points - 11.2 fewer than their season average - and 41.0 percent shooting in last three games.
"I thought our defensive effort was great tonight," Kevin Durant, the league's leading scorer with 27.3 points per game, said Sunday. "We played well on both ends of the floor and our defense tonight led to some easy baskets for us." The Thunder are averaging 104.7 points and shooting 51.8 percent in the last three games, and they are undefeated in 13 games this season when scoring at least 105. Reaching that point total could be a challenge the way Houston is playing. Including Tuesday's 118-105 victory over Sacramento, the Rockets are holding teams to 95.0 points - nearly 10 fewer than their 2010-11 average - in the last four games.
"We're going to play solid halfcourt defense," said Shane Battier, who will likely match up with Durant. While Houston has won six in a row at home, Coach Rick Adelman's team opens this stretch of four of five on the road with just one victory away from Toyota Center since Nov. 14. Making their first visit to Oklahoma City since a 116-99 loss on Nov. 17, the Rockets will unlikely have Terrence Williams available after reportedly acquiring the troubled swingman Tuesday from New Jersey as part of a three-team deal involving the Los Angeles Lakers.
Williams is averaging 6.7 points in 10 games this season and has been fined for being late to practices and sent home from one game for failure to follow team rules. He also played a couple of games in the D-League. Despite participating in the majority of Monday's practice, Rockets point guard Aaron Brooks is expected to miss his 20th consecutive game with a severely sprained left ankle. That leaves Kyle Lowry with the task of guarding Russell Westbrook, who is having a career year with 23.6 points per game and 8.8 assists.
Westbrook scored 23 with 10 assists as the Thunder dropped their 11th in a row in Houston, 99-98 on Nov. 28. If Thunder center Nenad Krstic misses his third straight game with a lower back sprain, Serge Ibaka will likely get the start and guard Luis Scola, who had 26 and eight rebounds in last month's loss in Oklahoma City. Ibaka grabbed a team-high eight boards in each of the two matchups with Houston this season.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Oklahoma City by 6.5; O/U 209.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Oklahoma City -7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Oklahoma City -4.79
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-17 ATS (+17.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 99.7, OPPONENT 96.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 99.5, OPPONENT 100.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-14 OVER (+19.5 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 103.5, OPPONENT 101.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-38 OVER (+17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 103.4, OPPONENT 101.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-27 against the 1rst half line (+18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.2, OPPONENT 50.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 61-39 against the 1rst half line (+17.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 51.0, OPPONENT 50.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 38-19 OVER (+16.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.0, OPPONENT 50.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 29-10 OVER (+17.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 52.8, OPPONENT 53.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 56.6, OPPONENT 59.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (HOUSTON) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team.
(23-5 since 1996.) (82.1%, +17.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 105.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 54, Opponent 56.2 (Total first half points scored = 110.2)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-3).
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*** SACRAMENTO @ NEW ORLEANS (-10, O/U 186) ***
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New Orleans Hornets coach Monty Williams didn't get too excited last month when his team extended the franchise's best start with a victory over the Sacramento Kings. The first-year coach definitely isn't pleased with how his team is playing now. New Orleans looks to snap a season-worst three-game losing streak Wednesday night when it hosts a slumping Kings team that could be without Tyreke Evans again. Needing a victory to tie San Antonio for the league's best record at 11-1, New Orleans won 75-71 at Sacramento on Nov. 21 despite missing 14 of its first 17 shots and finishing at 32.2 percent from the field.
It was the Hornets' worst shooting effort in a victory since they made 22 of 72 in a 76-73 win at Houston on April 1, 2005. "I don't think either one of us is going to send this tape to Springfield (the Basketball Hall of Fame) or any other field," Williams said after that game. "At this point in the season I don't even look at the standings. I had no idea we would have this kind of record. Looking at our record, it might be fools' gold." With Williams' team dropping nine of 12 since that victory, the Hornets' record-setting start seems more like an anomaly.
New Orleans, which has fallen from first to seventh in the Western Conference since last month's victory in Sacramento, dropped its third straight for the first time this season Monday, losing 96-84 at Miami. "We need to get a win so we could see how it feels," said All-Star point guard Chris Paul, who is averaging 5.0 assists half, his career average during the losing streak. The Hornets' schedule, though, could help the club experience winning more often. Including Wednesday's matchup, four of New Orleans' next seven games are against teams at least 10 games below .500.
The Kings fell to 5-17 on Tuesday with their 16th loss in 18 games, 118-105 at Houston. Playing without its scoring and assists leader in Evans, who is questionable Wednesday with mild plantar fasciitis in his left foot, Sacramento was outscored 31-18 in the second quarter en route to the team's sixth straight road loss. "Things start snowballing a little bit, and we can't seem to stop the avalanche," Coach Paul Westphal said. "Whether it's a couple of calls we think should go our way, a couple turnovers, a couple of made 3s, hustle plays where we deflect the ball and it goes to the other team, it just seems like even though we were playing well, next thing you know, we're down 10."
Sacramento will try to avoid its first seven-game skid on the road since a 0-11 stretch from Jan. 1-Feb. 7, as it makes its first trip to New Orleans Arena since a 96-94 loss on Dec. 8, 2009. David West had 24 points and 12 rebounds, Emeka Okafor added 17 points and 12 boards and Paul scored 15 with 12 assists in that matchup as the Hornets posted their ninth victory in 10 home meetings with the Kings. Paul has won the last six times he's faced Sacramento, and is averaging 21.8 points and 11.2 assists during that stretch.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New Orleans by 10; O/U 188.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New Orleans -11
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Orleans 11.04
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 42-61 ATS (-25.1 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 96.3, OPPONENT 97.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 12-32 ATS (-23.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 101.3, OPPONENT 102.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 19-32 ATS (-20.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 101.5, OPPONENT 102.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 28-9 UNDER (+17.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 93.2, OPPONENT 95.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 89.6, OPPONENT 83.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=33% of their attempts this season.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 93.7, OPPONENT 88.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 25-7 UNDER (+17.2 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 95.2, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 24-49 against the 1rst half line (-29.9 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 46.8, OPPONENT 47.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 42-63 against the 1rst half line (-27.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 50.0, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 84-54 OVER (+24.3 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=33% of their attempts since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.3, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 58-35 OVER (+19.3 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 50.7, OPPONENT 55.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 10 or more points (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team.
(44-18 since 1996.) (71.0%, +24.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (11-51)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 11.6
The average score in these games was: Team 92.7, Opponent 100.8 (Average point differential = -8.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 24 (39.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-5).
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*** CHARLOTTE @ MEMPHIS (-8.5, O/U 185) ***
--------------------------------------------
Some solid defense has the Memphis Grizzlies on the verge of their longest winning stretch of the season. Looking for a fourth straight victory, the Grizzlies could use another strong defensive effort while trying to avoid a fifth consecutive loss to the visiting Charlotte Bobcats on Wednesday night. Though Memphis has scored more than 90 points once over the last four games, it's given up an average of 84.7 while holding Phoenix, the Los Angeles Clippers and Portland to 41.4 percent shooting during a three-game winning streak.
"It ain't Chinese algebra," Memphis reserve guard Tony Allen said. "If you get stops, and you execute on offense, normally that teams wins." Though the Grizzlies are giving up 100.9 points per contest this season, they are 10-4 when holding their opponents to fewer than 100 points. "Defense wins games," forward Rudy Gay said. "It's the oldest saying in the book." Memphis flexed its defensive muscle once again by holding the Trail Blazers to 36.7 percent shooting and outscoring them 25-9 in the fourth quarter of an 83-73 win Monday.
Zach Randolph had 25 points with 20 rebounds, while Gay scored 16 to give the Grizzlies a chance for their first four-game winning streak since Jan. 12-18. "We're believing that we can win and just coming out and playing basketball," Randolph told the Grizzlies' official website. "It's important that we keep building and focusing on these games." Randolph continues to play well, averaging 22.4 points and 15.2 boards his last five games. "I just try to be aggressive and hit the glass on both ends and play around the basket," said Randolph, who has four games with at least 20 points and 20 rebounds in less than two seasons with the Grizzlies.
Randolph has averaged 23.8 points and 10.8 boards in his last five games versus Charlotte. However, the Grizzlies have not fared so well against the Bobcats of late. Memphis has averaged 86.3 points during its four-game skid versus Charlotte. The Bobcats, meanwhile, have averaged 98.8 on 51.5 percent shooting during that stretch. That recent success over the Grizzlies and a 97-91 win over Toronto on Tuesday could the provide the Bobcats with some much needed confidence to help them avoid a seventh consecutive road loss.
Charlotte is 3-9 away from home. "The only way if you maybe have some deficiencies is you play harder, you compete harder, you execute better," Bobcats coach Larry Brown said. The Bobcats avoided a third consecutive loss by shooting 52.0 percent and matching a season high with 13 blocked shots against the Raptors. "I think (Tuesday) was the starting point. We've got to build off that," said Gerald Wallace, who had 16 points and four blocks. Charlotte's Stephen Jackson (17.7 ppg) was limited to seven points before fouling out Tuesday, and has totaled 35 his last three games. However, he's averaged 23.5 points in his last four games versus Memphis. Wallace, though, has averaged 10.3 points in 10 career games at Memphis.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Memphis by 6.5; O/U 191.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Memphis -7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Memphis -5.43
________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 95.9, OPPONENT 99.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 59-36 ATS (+19.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 96.8, OPPONENT 97.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 99.7, OPPONENT 94.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 54-25 UNDER (+26.5 Units) after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 91.8, OPPONENT 90.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 39-18 UNDER (+19.2 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 92.9, OPPONENT 93.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 31-14 against the 1rst half line (+15.4 Units) in home games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 52.0, OPPONENT 50.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 13-28 against the 1rst half line (-17.7 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 46.2, OPPONENT 48.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 1-11 against the 1rst half line (-11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 46.7, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (MEMPHIS) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after a combined score of 165 points or less.
(45-18 since 1996.) (71.4%, +25.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 93.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 43.7, Opponent 46.2 (Total first half points scored = 89.8)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-7).
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*** MILWAUKEE @ SAN ANTONIO (-8.5, O/U 190.5) ***
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The San Antonio Spurs have the NBA's best record, but they aren't likely to take their next opponent for granted. The Spurs look to close out a perfect six-game homestand Wednesday night when they host the Milwaukee Bucks, who shocked another of the league's top teams in their last game. San Antonio extended its winning streak to five games with a 95-78 victory over Portland on Sunday. It was the fourth straight double-digit win for the Spurs, who held the Trail Blazers to 37.9 percent shooting and outscored them 22-7 at the foul line.
The Spurs' recent games have been so lopsided that Tim Duncan hadn't played in the fourth quarter in any of the previous three contests. Duncan had eight points, 13 rebounds and four assists in 28 minutes Sunday. The 34-year-old is averaging a career-low 28.7 minutes. "As the minutes continue to drop and I'm not in the fourth quarter, I'm going to become unbearable on the bench and pretty much annoy (Coach Gregg Popovich) to the point where that he has to put me in," Duncan said. "That's my goal."
With the season starting so well for the Spurs, there's plenty of light-hearted joking. They are holding opponents to 87 points in the last four games and offensively are getting plenty of contributions. George Hill scored a season-high 22 points Sunday while rookie Gary Neal had 11 in 19 minutes off the bench. Popovich still sees room for improvement despite his team's stellar play. "Right now there are about 10 to 15 teams that are doing a better job defensively than we are," he said. "So we have to pay attention to it."
One of the teams that is giving up fewer point than the Spurs is the Bucks, who will be trying for a season-high fourth straight win Wednesday. Milwaukee is allowing 93.2 points per game this season. "It's a big game," Spurs forward Antonio McDyess said. "You don't want a letdown. We're doing pretty well so far in not letting up.... With Milwaukee coming in, we want to put that game away." The Bucks ended Dallas' 12-game winning streak with a 103-99 road victory Monday.
Brandon Jennings had 23 points and 10 assists, helping Milwaukee rally from a 20-point second-quarter deficit. The Bucks had lost five in a row on the road and were 2-8 away from home entering the game. "We're starting to play better basketball," said Andrew Bogut, who had 21 points and 14 rebounds. "We're starting to buy into what the coaches want us to do, what we need to do to win games. It's nice to have that feeling after a game like this and win a game on the road."
The Bucks' schedule doesn't get any easier with their next five games against Western Conference opponents, including a visit by Utah on Saturday and a road game against the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday. Milwaukee is 3-8 against teams from the West. Continued strong play from Bogut would certainly help the Bucks. After missing five games with a back injury, he's averaging 20.8 points, 15.6 rebounds and 3.4 blocks in the last five games. The Spurs swept the season series against the Bucks last season, and have won six of eight at home.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Antonio by 9.5; O/U 191
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Antonio -9.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Antonio -10.79
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 38-17 ATS (+20.1 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 103.5, OPPONENT 95.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 105.7, OPPONENT 91.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 40-67 ATS (-33.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 96.8, OPPONENT 98.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--MILWAUKEE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 87.8, OPPONENT 96.4 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 89-59 UNDER (+24.1 Units) in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 96.5, OPPONENT 87.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 59-36 UNDER (+19.3 Units) after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 92.9, OPPONENT 88.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 10-0 UNDER (+10.0 Units) in home games after 4 straight wins by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 89.5, OPPONENT 79.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MILWAUKEE is 53-77 against the 1rst half line (-31.7 Units) versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 49.4, OPPONENT 50.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--MILWAUKEE is 9-24 against the 1rst half line (-17.2 Units) in road games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 45.8, OPPONENT 52.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor shooting teams - making <=43% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 44.8, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--MILWAUKEE is 16-2 UNDER (+13.8 Units) the 1rst half total vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 45.2, OPPONENT 48.2 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (MILWAUKEE) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more.
(101-47 since 1996.) (68.2%, +49.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 97.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 45.7, Opponent 47.9 (Total first half points scored = 93.6)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (29-11).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (40-17).
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*** MINNESOTA @ PHOENIX (-10, O/U 223.5) ***
---------------------------------------------
The Phoenix Suns would like to avoid their longest home losing streak in nearly two years. A visit from the struggling Minnesota Timberwolves might be coming at the ideal time. The Suns look to continue their success against the Timberwolves in an effort to avoid being swept in a three-game homestand on Wednesday night. Phoenix has matched its longest overall slide of the season at three games, though its previous skid from Nov. 17-20 came on the road. This one includes the first two of this three-game homestand, and the Suns haven't had a three-game losing streak at US Airways Center since Jan. 16-31, 2009.
They last dropped four in a row overall from Jan. 13-18, all on the road. A matchup with Minnesota gives Phoenix a strong chance to end its slide. The Suns have won five in a row over the Timberwolves by an average of 18.0 points. They've also taken seven of eight meetings in Phoenix, including a 152-114 victory March 16 in the most recent matchup there. Suns coach Alvin Gentry, though, might be looking for a stronger start after falling behind by double digits in the first half and failing to rally in a 101-94 loss to Portland on Friday.
"The only thing that's disappointing is that we wait until we get down 15, and then we play like I want us to play at the start of the game," Gentry said. "So we've got to take care of that in some kind of way." Showing improvement from beyond the arc should help. Phoenix has made 10 of 44 3-pointers over the last two games, but is making 37.2 percent of its attempts overall. The team may be in position to regain that form against Minnesota, which allows opponents to shoot 39.0 percent from beyond the arc.
Jason Richardson is trying to shake out of his recent funk. The swingman has totaled 18 points while making 6 of 28 shots from the field and missing all 12 3-point attempts over the last three games. Richardson, the team leader with 19.2 points per game, is averaging 25.2 points over the last six home meetings with Minnesota. The Suns are hoping to get a lift from Robin Lopez's expected return from a sprained left knee that sidelined him for 14 games. It is uncertain how much playing time the 7-footer, who averages 5.3 points and 4.3 rebounds, will get.
"He'll play, although I don't how long or how effective he'll be," Gentry told the team's official website. "Just his size will help." Phoenix is the worst defensive team in the NBA, allowing 109.5 points per game. However, the Timberwolves aren't much better at 109.1, and they are 1-13 on the road. Minnesota's road woes date back to last season when they tied a franchise worst road record at 5-36. The club has dropped 25 of 26 away contests. The Timberwolves' current road losing streak reached eight with Tuesday's 108-99 loss at Golden State in the second of this six-game trip.
"Our team needs to learn that if they don't play hard every night, we are not going to win," Timberwolves coach Kurt Rambis said. "Particularly in the second half, we did not give a maximum effort. We gave them too many second chance opportunities and turned the ball over too many times." Darko Milicic is trying to build on his season-high 25 points against the Warriors, matching his total from his previous three games. The forward-center is averaging 9.8 points and 6.1 rebounds.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Phoenix by 9; O/U 216.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Phoenix -10
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Phoenix -8.84
______________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--PHOENIX is 37-58 ATS (-26.8 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 107.9, OPPONENT 97.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 39-18 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than opponent since 1996.
The average score was MINNESOTA 95.8, OPPONENT 97.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 54-31 UNDER (+19.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 96.9, OPPONENT 106.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 28-10 UNDER (+16.9 Units) in road games when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 99.3, OPPONENT 108.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 15-34 against the 1rst half line (-22.4 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.5, OPPONENT 57.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 21-39 against the 1rst half line (-21.9 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 48.5, OPPONENT 56.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 70-46 UNDER (+19.4 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus foul prone teams - called for 24 or more fouls/game since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 51.0, OPPONENT 47.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season.
The average score was PHOENIX 50.4, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--MINNESOTA is 99-67 UNDER (+25.1 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1996.
The average score was MINNESOTA 47.7, OPPONENT 47.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (MINNESOTA) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days.
(45-18 since 1996.) (71.4%, +25.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 108.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.6, Opponent 51.7 (Total first half points scored = 104.3)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-13).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-15).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites (PHOENIX) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a terrible team (<=25%).
(46-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.8%, +25.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (29-37 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6.1
The average score in these games was: Team 99.8, Opponent 100.4 (Average point differential = -0.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 29 (45.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (36-15).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (107-91).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(46-20 since 1996.) (69.7%, +24 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 215.3
The average score in these games was: Team 103.8, Opponent 104.4 (Total points scored = 208.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 35 (53.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (31-18).
_______________________________________________
Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
___________________________________________
*** PORTLAND @ DALLAS (-6.5, O/U 184) ***
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Unable to protect another seemingly safe lead, the Dallas Mavericks had their longest winning streak of the season come to an abrupt end their last time out. While the Mavericks know they have to play tighter defense down the stretch to prevent big rallies, the Portland Trail Blazers are hardly looking like a team that could mount such a comeback. Dallas tries to bounce back from its first loss in 3 1/2 weeks Wednesday night in its first meeting of the season with the Trail Blazers, who are coming off a second straight sluggish offensive performance.
After wasting a 25-point lead against Utah on Saturday before rallying for its 12th straight victory, Dallas squandered a 20-point second-quarter advantage and lost 103-99 to Milwaukee on Sunday. The Mavericks had a chance to tie the score late but Dirk Nowitzki missed from 7 feet with 10.6 seconds to go. Nowitzki finished with 30 points for Dallas, which lost for the first time since Nov. 19. "This kind of slippage we've seen all too often," Coach Rick Carlisle said. "I've got to coach harder, the players have got to be more conscientious, and we’ve got to do better than we did (Monday)."
Dallas, known for playing sound defense under Carlisle, surrendered 60 points in the second half - its highest total allowed in a half this season. "This was a game we should have won, a game we clearly had under control," forward Tyson Chandler said. "We let them back in it." Dallas, which allowed more than 100 points for just the sixth time this season, doesn't seem likely to have as much trouble defensively against a Trail Blazers team that has managed 69 second-half points in its last two games combined.
After scoring a then-season-low 78 points in a loss to San Antonio on Sunday, Portland hit a new low in Monday's 86-73 defeat at Memphis, its eighth in 12 games. The Blazers had a three-point lead after three periods, but missed 15 of 19 shots and scored nine fourth-quarter points in their lowest-scoring quarter of the season. They shot 36.7 percent from the floor overall, the seventh time in 12 games they were below the 40.0 mark. "We had a bad fourth quarter," said guard Andre Miller, who finished with 14 points and nine assists. "The most important quarter, and it killed us. That was the game right there."
The Blazers were also hurt by an ineffective Brandon Roy, who was playing on a bum left knee he tweaked Sunday. Roy, who entered as Portland's leading scorer at 17.7 points, finished with seven on 3-of-16 shooting. The three-time All-Star has shot 31.9 percent from the floor in his last six games. The Blazers, wrapping up a four-game trip, have lost nine of their last 11 away from Portland. However, they took both meetings in Dallas last season after dropping their previous 11 there.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Dallas by 8; O/U 196
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Dallas -7.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Dallas -9.04
___________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--DALLAS is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 101.2, OPPONENT 97.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--DALLAS is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 101.7, OPPONENT 99.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 38-19 ATS (+16.8 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 96.9, OPPONENT 96.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--DALLAS is 76-43 UNDER (+28.7 Units) against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 99.2, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--PORTLAND is 34-14 UNDER (+18.2 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 92.7, OPPONENT 94.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 30-11 against the 1rst half line (+17.9 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.7, OPPONENT 46.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 25-7 against the 1rst half line (+17.2 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.2, OPPONENT 43.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 70-45 UNDER (+20.5 Units) the 1rst half total against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 49.3, OPPONENT 47.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--PORTLAND is 96-60 UNDER (+30.0 Units) the 1rst half total when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 45.3, OPPONENT 46.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--PORTLAND is 57-36 UNDER (+17.4 Units) the 1rst half total when playing their 5th game in 7 days since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 46.3, OPPONENT 44.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (PORTLAND) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team.
(30-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.2%, +17.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 93.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 41.5, Opponent 48.1 (Total first half points scored = 89.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-7).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (76-44).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (DALLAS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 80 points or less 2 straight games.
(44-17 since 1996.) (72.1%, +25.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 44.3, Opponent 44.6 (Average first half point differential = -0.3)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
***** WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 15TH NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
__________________________________________________ ________________
• HOT TEAMS
-----------
-- Chicago won last six games, covered last three.
-- Celtics won last ten games, covered four of last five. Knicks won last eight games, covering six of last seven.
-- Lakers won four of last five games but failed to cover last six tries as a road favorite.
-- 76ers won four of last five games, covered last nine.
-- Miami won last nine games, covered last eight.
-- Oklahoma City won last three games, covered five of last seven as a home favorite. Rockets covered five of their last six games.
-- Memphis won last three games, covered last five.
-- San Antonio won last five games, covered last four. Bucks won four of their last five games.
-- Mavericks won 12 of their last 13 games; they're 5-2 in last seven games as a home favorite.
• COLD TEAMS
------------
-- Raptors lost five of their last six games.
-- Pacers lost five of their last seven games.
-- Clippers lost five of last six games but are 6-3 vs spread in last nine games as a road underdog.
-- Cleveland lost last eight games (1-7 vs spread).
-- New Orleans lost five of its last six games. Kings are 0-5-1 vs spread in last six games as a road underdog.
-- Bobcats covered once in last five games as road underdog.
-- Phoenix lost last three games, by 7-6-7 points. Timberwolves covered once in last six games as road underdog.
-- Portland lost its last two games, scoring 78-73 points.
• BACK-TO-BACK
--------------
-- Toronto is 3-2 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Lakers are 2-2 vs spread if they played night before.
-- 76ers are 3-1 vs spread at home if they played night before.
-- Rockets are 1-3 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Sacramento is 2-0-1 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Charlotte is 5-2 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Minnesota is 3-1 vs spread if it lost the night before.
• TOTALS
--------
-- Last five Chicago games stayed under the total. Four of Toronto's last five games went over.
-- Four of last five Boston road games stayed under the total.
-- Pacers' last three home games went over the total. Under is 11-2 in last thirteen Laker games.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Clipper games.
-- Five of last six Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in Houston's last ten road games.
-- Last eight New Orleans games stayed under total.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Charlotte games.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in Milwaukee's last four road games. Five of Spurs' last six games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Minnesota road games stayed under total.
-- Last five Dallas games went over the total.
• QUICK HITS
------------
--CHICAGO @ TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET CHICAGO: 6-1 ATS off division win by 10+ pts. TORONTO: 19-38 ATS off road loss.
--BOSTON @ NEW YORK, 7:00 PM ET ESPN BOSTON: 7-17 ATS off win by 15+ points. NEW YORK: 10-1 ATS as an underdog.
--LA LAKERS @ INDIANA, 7:00 PM ET LA LAKERS: 7-1 Under off non-conf game. INDIANA: 24-10 ATS after scoring 85 pts or less BB Games.
--LA CLIPPERS @ PHILADELPHIA, 7:00 PM ET LA CLIPPERS: 64-85 ATS as an underdog. PHILADELPHIA: 7-0 ATS after winning 2 of L3 games.
--CLEVELAND @ MIAMI, 7:30 PM ET CLEVELAND: 56-84 ATS after scoring 80 pts or less. MIAMI: 8-1 ATS off 2 straight 10+ wins.
--HOUSTON @ OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET HOUSTON: 8-18 ATS Away off ATS win. OKLAHOMA CITY: 13-5 Over when favored.
--SACRAMENTO @ NEW ORLEANS, 8:00 PM ET SACRAMENTO: 1-6 ATS of double digit loss. NEW ORLEANS: 7-0 Under off 2 straight ATS losses.
--CHARLOTTE @ MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET CHARLOTTE: 11-0 ATS off 4+ Unders. MEMPHIS: 17-6 Over off 2 straight wins.
--MILWAUKEE @ SAN ANTONIO, 8:30 PM ET MILWAUKEE: 26-15 UNDER off 2 straight ATS wins. SAN ANTONIO: 10-0 Under at home off 4 straight wins by 10+ points.
--MINNESOTA @ PHOENIX, 9:00 PM ET MINNESOTA: 25-41 ATS after 2 or more SU losses. PHOENIX: 41-28 ATS after playing a game as favorite.
--PORTLAND @ DALLAS, 9:30 PM ET ESPN PORTLAND: 33-19 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games. DALLAS: 18-37 ATS in home games.
• NOTES & TIPS
--------------
--Chicago Bulls guard Derrick Rose is listed as day-to-day after suffering multiple injuries in a victory over the Indiana Pacers. Rose has a sprained right wrist, a bruised right elbow and a sore right hip after Monday's game. He will be in Toronto for Wednesday's game against the Raptors. Coach Tom Thibodeau said that he anticipates Rose will play, but if he can't C.J. Watson will start at point guard. Rose, a right-hander, did not participate in Tuesday's practice beyond taking a few left-handed shots in front of reporters. X-rays on the wrist were negative. Rose said the hip was actually more sore than the wrist or elbow.
--The Dallas Mavericks entered Tuesday night in Milwaukee seeking to extend their NBA-best 12-game win streak. They built up a 20-point lead in the second quarter but couldn’t stop the Bucks’ second-half surge. Even with the setback, the Mavericks are reminding NBA bettors hung up on the Heat and the Lakers not to forget about that team in Dallas. Dirk Nowitzki and Company own the league’s third best record and own wins over elite clubs such as Boston, Oklahoma City, Utah, Miami, Atlanta and San Antonio. The Mavs’ streak is over, and they made their backers a lot of money during it 9-3 against the spread mark.
--Boston backers have come to expect fast starts for this team since Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett showed up in 2007. In the last three seasons, the Celtics are 73-11 straight up (47-36-1 ATS) before Boxing Day and 105-57 (81-78-2 ATS) afterward. Now, a lot of that has to do with the health of Garnett. The All-Star power forward missed the second half of the 2008-09 campaign and seemed to coast from January until the end of the regular season a year ago. But KG seems to be his old self now. His explosion is back to where it used to be – or at least pretty close – and he’s beating younger big men up and down the court on a regular basis. This might be the deepest Celtics team (six players averaging double figures in points) coach Doc Rivers has had in Boston, so the second-half plunge shouldn’t be as dramatic this time around.
--Miami is finally living up to its team nickname. The Heat have been on fire since losing to the Mavericks on Nov. 27, after starting the season just 9-8. They’re riding a nine-game win streak and are 8-0 ATS in their last eight contests. LeBron James fans say the Heat are now playing like the championship contenders everyone thought they’d be with the All-Star trio of James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh on the same roster, but that line of thinking might be a bit premature. Team South Beach owns just three victories over winning clubs during the streak and two of those came on its home floor. Still, there are lots of positives to take from the way the Heat are playing now compared to where they were a month ago. The squad is rebounding at a much better rate and that’s led to a big bump in fast break points. The true litmus test for the Heat comes on Christmas day when they visit the defending champion Los Angeles Lakers.
--The Knicks don’t seem to belong in this group of teams but their win streak is eye-catching nonetheless. New York is winning games it would have found a way to lose in years past. Most of that has to do with the infusion of talent after a busy offseason. The Mecca of basketball failed to lure King James but Amar’e Stoudemire is proving he’s not too bad of a consolation prize. The All-Star big man is the go-to scorer coach Mike D’Antoni has never had in NYC. Stoudemire has hit the 30-point plateau in a franchise-record eight straight games and is averaging 33.9 points per game during the Knicks’ winning streak. Plus it’s not like he’s the only player stepping up his game.
Free agent pickup Raymond Felton is playing like an All-Star at the point, averaging 18.4 points and 8.7 assists while shooting a career-best .462 from the field. Not bad for a guy who wasn’t supposed to be a good fit for D’Antoni’s pick ‘n’ roll offense. Meanwhile role players such as rookie Landry Fields, Wilson Chandler and Danilo Gallinari are contributing with timely hoops, rebounds, steals and blocks. The Knicks are the league’s best bet against the spread thanks to their 7-1 mark during the win streak but most of those victories have come against sub-.500 clubs. Spike Lee’s boys have big tests this week when they play the Celtics on Wednesday and the Heat on Friday.
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Stan Knows Football and Basketball! Check out the huge winning run “The Man is enjoying and prepare to get all of his football and basketball selections with a discounted monthly or seasonal package.” Do it now and Save Big! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
__________________________________________________ _________________
*** CHICAGO (-5.5, O/U 202) @ TORONTO ***
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Mentally, the Chicago Bulls are feeling good about their recent play. Physically, Derrick Rose is not doing as well. The Bulls hope to have the banged-up All-Star in the lineup as they try to extend their season-high winning streak to seven games Wednesday night against the Toronto Raptors at Air Canada Centre. Averaging career highs with 24.7 points and 8.3 assists, Rose had 17 and 12 in Monday's 92-73 win over Indiana. However, he fell hard after making contact with the Pacers' Brandon Rush while driving to the basket in the fourth quarter.
Though X-rays on his wrist were negative, Rose hopes to play while continuing to deal with a sprained right wrist, bruised right elbow and sore right hip. "He's a little nicked up," Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau said. "He's got a little soreness in the elbow and a little soreness in the wrist. If he says he can play, he'll play." Rose, averaging 22.0 points on 57.4-percent shooting and 8.0 assists in four career games at Toronto, is confident he'll be on the floor Wednesday.
"If it's up to me, I'm going," Rose said. "If it's sore, usually I can play through soreness. Hopefully I'll be playing (Wednesday)." If he is unable to go, C.J. Wilson will start at point guard. With Rose out with a sore neck, Watson scored 33 points in a 98-97 loss at Denver on Nov. 26. With or without their star guard, the Bulls appear to have a good chance for their first seven-game winning streak since Nov. 25-Dec. 8, 2008.
Chicago's opponents have averaged 88.0 points on 39.6-percent shooting over the last six games. Monday's contest marked the third straight in which the Bulls held their opponent to a season-worst scoring total. "They're a really good defensive team," Indiana guard Mike Dunleavy said. The Bulls limited the Raptors to 41.1 percent from the field in a 104-88 win at Toronto in the teams' most recent meeting April 11.
Carlos Boozer, who had 22 points and 18 rebounds against the Pacers, has averaged 23.3 and 13.0 in his last seven games versus Toronto. He's averaging 15.5 points and 8.0 rebounds in eight games since missing the first month with a broken hand. "You can really see his timing coming back," Thibodeau said. Boozer's surge could continue that success against a Raptors club that allows 105.2 points per contest. Toronto played better defensively Tuesday but fell for the fifth time in six games, 97-91 at Charlotte.
After rallying from 25 points down and shooting a season-high 62.9 percent in a 120-116 win at Detroit on Saturday for the largest comeback victory in franchise history, the Raptors made 40.4-percent of their shots and committed 19 turnovers against the Bobcats. "It's real frustrating,'' said swingman DeMar DeRozan, who had 14 points Tuesday. “Teams these days are too good, and when you turn over the ball, it's a good chance they will go down and make something happen." Jerryd Bayless had 17 points with nine assists after scoring 31 against the Pistons. The Raptors could be without point guard Jose Calderon for a fourth consecutive game because of a sore left foot.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Chicago by 5.5; O/U 203
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Chicago -6
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Chicago -5.47
______________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--TORONTO is 40-62 ATS (-28.2 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.0, OPPONENT 105.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 98.9, OPPONENT 108.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 98.3, OPPONENT 107.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------
--TORONTO is 57-34 OVER (+19.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 99.4, OPPONENT 106.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 64-41 OVER (+18.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.0, OPPONENT 105.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHICAGO is 95-66 OVER (+22.4 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games since 1996.
The average score was CHICAGO 95.3, OPPONENT 99.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--TORONTO is 54-25 against the 1rst half line (+26.3 Units) after a game where they made 60% of their free throws or worse since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 49.4, OPPONENT 48.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHICAGO is 55-81 against the 1rst half line (-34.1 Units) in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was CHICAGO 46.7, OPPONENT 50.5 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--TORONTO is 36-15 UNDER (+19.5 Units) the 1rst half total after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 54.4, OPPONENT 55.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHICAGO is 33-11 UNDER (+20.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% since 1996.
The average score was CHICAGO 49.1, OPPONENT 47.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHICAGO is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 this season.
The average score was CHICAGO 50.2, OPPONENT 46.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games.
(38-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.6%, +25.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.4, Opponent 48.1 (Total first half points scored = 96.6)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (53-44).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (CHICAGO) - after a combined score of 165 points or less.
(40-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.1%, +24.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.3, Opponent 47.7 (Average first half point differential = -0.4)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (112-109).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHICAGO) - average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more.
(33-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.3%, +19.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.8
The average score in these games was: Team 109.6, Opponent 103.9 (Total points scored = 213.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 26 (57.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-11).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (42-21).
_____________________________________
Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
__________________________________________________ __________________
*** BOSTON (-3.5, O/U 205) @ NEW YORK ***
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It's not a big surprise that the Boston Celtics are the hottest team in the league. What is a shock is that the New York Knicks aren't far behind. Boston goes for an 11th consecutive victory Wednesday night as it heads into Madison Square Garden looking to halt the Knicks' longest winning streak in more than 16 years. "They're probably going to be extremely fired up for this game and I'm hoping our guys can match that intensity," Celtics coach Doc Rivers said. "Any time a game has energy, it's great. It's really great for us because finding ways to get them up is always nice when you don't have to do it."
With Dallas having its 12-game run snapped Monday, no team is on a longer win streak than the Celtics. Their stretch of 10 consecutive victories is one shy of their longest winning streak from all of last season. New York is on its longest run since taking 15 in a row March 1-April 2, 1994. The Knicks have won eight in a row as Amare Stoudemire has set a franchise record for consecutive 30-point games by reaching that mark in each victory.
While a long win streak might be expected of Boston, the reigning Eastern Conference champion which won the NBA title in 2008, New York hasn't even been to the playoffs since 2004. The Knicks, who didn't post more than four straight victories last season, have won 13 of 14. "We have confidence. We know how good we can be. We see the room for improvement," Stoudemire said. "We can get better. We have confidence that we can win. Every game is a different story. We just have to make sure we are ready to go and play smart."
This matchup is by far the toughest challenge for the Knicks in weeks. Only three opponents among their last 14 currently have winning records. "They obviously have won a championship a couple of years prior, went to the finals last year, so they're hands-down the team to beat in the East," Stoudemire said. Among East teams, the Celtics have the best record overall and on the road at 9-3. They're allowing 91.0 points per game, tied with Miami for best in the league, and just 86.1 during the win streak. "We're finding ways to win and we're doing it with defense," Kevin Garnett said.
New York is scoring a league-leading 108.5 per game, including 114.5 during its win streak as Stoudemire has averaged 33.9 points and 10.9 rebounds. His 30-point streak will be put to the test against Garnett and possibly Shaquille O'Neal, who is optimistic he'll return after missing the last two games with a calf injury. Rivers' team is still missing big men Kendrick Perkins and Jermaine O'Neal due to knee problems. "Doc does a great job of managing the old, antique cars," the 38-year-old O'Neal said.
The Celtics have kept winning despite the struggles of Paul Pierce, averaging 10.8 points in the last four games on 31.6 percent shooting. He's missed his last 16 3-point attempts. The eight-time All-Star made four 3-pointers and had 25 points in Boston's 105-101 home win over the Knicks on Oct. 29, the teams' only meeting this season. Garnett added 24 points while Stoudemire led New York with 27.
Stoudemire had 30 points as the Knicks defeated Denver 129-125 on Sunday. He scored a season low-tying six points in the first half, but went 11 of 15 from the floor over the final 24 minutes. "He's balling this season, nobody's stopping him," Nuggets forward Nene said. New York has lost 13 of 15 against Boston. The Knicks did win the last meeting at MSG, 104-101 on April 6 behind Danilo Galinari's 31 points. He was 0 for 6 from the field with two points in the October loss to the Celtics. Pierce has averaged 26.2 points in the last six meetings.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Boston by 3; O/U 205
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Boston -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Boston -5.01
____________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--NEW YORK is 40-20 ATS (+17.9 Units) after scoring 110 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 105.7, OPPONENT 104.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 49-30 ATS (+15.9 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 104.2, OPPONENT 104.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 12-25 ATS (-15.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 97.2, OPPONENT 93.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 97-64 OVER (+26.6 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 94.7, OPPONENT 99.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW YORK is 97-65 OVER (+25.5 Units) as a home underdog of 6 points or less since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 97.1, OPPONENT 99.7 - (Rating = 5*)
--BOSTON is 71-45 OVER (+21.5 Units) in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 96.9, OPPONENT 99.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--BOSTON is 29-9 OVER (+19.1 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 99.4, OPPONENT 102.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 98-67 against the 1rst half line (+24.3 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 47.2, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW YORK is 25-7 against the 1rst half line (+17.1 Units) in home games after 2 straight games making 85% of their free throws or better since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 48.1, OPPONENT 45.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 17-38 against the 1rst half line (-24.5 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or less since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 46.4, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--BOSTON is 48-19 UNDER (+26.9 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 35 points or less in the first half last game since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 47.3, OPPONENT 45.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--BOSTON is 41-19 UNDER (+19.8 Units) the 1rst half total after game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 35% or less since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 46.4, OPPONENT 44.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 30-11 UNDER (+17.7 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 48.7, OPPONENT 45.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (NEW YORK) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record.
(32-9 since 1996.) (78.0%, +22.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50, Opponent 48.7 (Total first half points scored = 98.7)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
--PLAY AGAINST - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (BOSTON) - after allowing 80 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 225 points or more.
(28-9 since 1996.) (75.7%, +18.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.8, Opponent 47.8 (Average first half point differential = +2)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-3).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites (BOSTON) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record.
(45-16 since 1996.) (73.8%, +27.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-29)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.7
The average score in these games was: Team 97.1, Opponent 95.9 (Average point differential = +1.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 27 (45.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-7).
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*** LA LAKERS (-4.5, O/U 197.5) @ INDIANA ***
----------------------------------------------
The Los Angeles Lakers have won five of six since a four-game slide, beating four opponents that have lost a combined 51 games more than they've won. There's little chance they'll be overlooking their next sub-.500 opponent. The Indiana Pacers stunned the Lakers at Staples Center during that surprising skid, a loss Los Angeles looks to avenge Wednesday night at Conseco Fieldhouse. Road defeats in Utah, Memphis and Houston weren't completely surprising when the Lakers dropped four straight for the first time since April 2007, but the lone home loss in that stretch was.
Indiana had never won in 14 games at Staples Center, but snapped that drought Nov. 28 thanks to Roy Hibbert. The third-year center had 24 points, 12 rebounds and six assists as the Pacers held off Los Angeles 95-92 despite a season-high 41 points from Kobe Bryant. "We know this is a big win for us, but we can play with anybody," Hibbert told the Pacers' official website. "In the future, we don't want this to be a surprise."
Indiana's plan was to go right at All-Star Pau Gasol, and the strategy worked perfectly. Gasol was 5 of 15 with five turnovers and five fouls, playing 45 minutes during a stretch in which he complained of being overworked while battling a minor hamstring injury. Gasol's minutes were high largely because of Los Angeles' lack of interior depth, but it got deeper Tuesday. Andrew Bynum made his season debut in Washington after undergoing knee surgery over the summer, scoring seven points in 17 minutes off the bench in the Lakers' 103-89 win.
"It was great getting to play again," Bynum said. "It was a big moment for me because I've been wanting to get back. Now that I am back I just want to help my teammates out and get back in the rotation." Bynum has certainly thrived against the Pacers. He's averaged 20.0 points in six meetings versus Indiana the past three seasons, his highest average against any team he's faced at least four times. Los Angeles' five wins this month have come against Sacramento, New Jersey, the Los Angeles Clippers and Washington twice.
While the Pacers represent a definite step up in competition, they've looked bad offensively in their last two losses, averaging 78.0 points and shooting 36.4 percent at Atlanta and Chicago. Leading scorer Danny Granger sat out Monday's 92-73 defeat against the Bulls with a sprained left ankle, but coach Jim O'Brien wasn't using that as an excuse. "We got dominated in both games. There's no way of sugar-coating that," he told the Pacers' official website. "It's a learning experience for our guys."
Granger is expected to return Wednesday, but it's Hibbert who needs to bounce back from a pair of ugly performances. He had 12 total points as Indiana was outrebounded by 19, and wants to get back to the way he played against the Lakers last month. "I haven't been as aggressive as I wanted to be after the west coast trip so it's going to be a good test," Hibbert said. "I know they're looking for blood and we're just going to have to go out there and battle. This is a big one for us." His coach agrees, particularly considering the Pacers haven't swept the Lakers since the 1991-92 season. "We're not going to sneak up on them again after beating them in L.A.," O'Brien said.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Lakers by 1; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Indiana -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Lakers -0.71
___________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
------------------
--INDIANA is 84-54 ATS (+24.6 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 99.2, OPPONENT 92.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--INDIANA is 51-28 ATS (+20.2 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 101.1, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 100.6, OPPONENT 95.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 22-38 ATS (-19.6 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 101.5, OPPONENT 98.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--INDIANA is 39-17 UNDER (+20.1 Units) after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 95.1, OPPONENT 97.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 55-32 UNDER (+19.8 Units) in road games off a road win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 99.4, OPPONENT 97.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 53-31 UNDER (+18.9 Units) in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 97.6, OPPONENT 95.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 99.4, OPPONENT 93.1 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--INDIANA is 23-6 against the 1rst half line (+16.3 Units) in home games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making >=80% of their shots since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 52.4, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 44-80 against the 1rst half line (-44.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=43% since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 45.0, OPPONENT 48.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--LA LAKERS are 54-73 against the 1rst half line (-26.3 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 52.0, OPPONENT 50.0 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--INDIANA is 79-48 UNDER (+25.9 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 46.7, OPPONENT 44.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 89-57 UNDER (+26.3 Units) the 1rst half total when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 48.9, OPPONENT 48.2 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANA) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team.
(61-19 since 1996.) (76.2%, +40.1 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.7, Opponent 46.9 (Average first half point differential = +1.7)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-8).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 80 points.
(28-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.7%, +18.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (17-21 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6
The average score in these games was: Team 99.7, Opponent 101.5 (Average point differential = -1.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (47.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (64-47).
_____________________________________
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__________________________________________________ ___
*** LA CLIPPERS @ PHILADELPHIA (-5, O/U 192.5) ***
---------------------------------------------------
After a rough first month, the Philadelphia 76ers appears to be hitting their stride. The 76ers look for a season-high third consecutive victory while trying to keep the Los Angeles Clippers winless on the road Wednesday night. Philadelphia won 82-77 at New Jersey on Tuesday for its sixth win in eight games following a 3-13 start. "We're a bunch of young guys just trying to win, and lately we've been successful," said Jrue Holiday, who scored 10 of his game-high 19 points in the fourth quarter. Strong defense continues to key the 76ers' resurgence. Philadelphia opponents have averaged 86.9 points on 41.3-percent shooting over the last eight games.
Two nights after New Orleans shot 30.4 percent during an 88-70 loss at Philadelphia, the 76ers limited the Nets to 34.1 percent from the floor but almost squandered a late 11-point lead. "We still make too many mistakes at the end of the game," Coach Doug Collins said. "We can't do that, but we got away with it tonight. I think I teach more in winning than in losing. We have to finish games better. We did get the win and that's what matters." Philadelphia could achieve a more complete effort against a Clippers squad that's averaged 84.7 points during its current three-game skid.
Though Los Angeles averaged 108.0 points on 53.7-percent shooting while winning both meetings with the 76ers in 2009-10, the Clippers are 0-10 away from home this season and have dropped 37 of 40 on the road since a 112-107 overtime win at Philadelphia last Dec. 19. Los Angeles will try to avoid a ninth straight defeat to an Eastern Conference opponent after falling 94-85 at home to Orlando on Sunday. Coming off consecutive one-point defeats to the Lakers and Memphis, the Clippers trailed by 26 points in the first half and got no closer than six in the fourth quarter while shooting 38.1 percent against the Magic.
"We still got to be more consistent and play a whole game," said rookie Blake Griffin, who had 27 points and 16 rebounds. "It's tough, but at the same time I know it's not going to happen overnight. It's going to be gradual." Griffin, who is contributing 20.3 points and 11.9 rebounds per game, has posted 12 straight double-doubles, averaging 24.3 points and 13.3 boards during that stretch. "He is really aggressive out there. That is what I like about him," Orlando star Dwight Howard said. "He just needs to continue to work hard and get better."
Eric Gordon scored 28 points Sunday and is averaging 24.5 this season, but he has totaled 25 points on 7-of-17 shooting with four assists and six turnovers in two career games at Philadelphia. Though Baron Davis has averaged a disappointing 7.4 points in 11 games while battling injuries this season, he scored 20 and added 13 assists in Los Angeles' win at Philadelphia last season. Ex-Clipper Elton Brand has scored 15 points in each of his last two games for the 76ers, and has averaged 16.7 points and 10.6 rebounds in seven career games against Los Angeles.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Philadelphia by 3.5; O/U 193.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Philadelphia -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Philadelphia -4.97
__________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 50-80 ATS (-38.0 Units) in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 95.9, OPPONENT 98.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 96.7, OPPONENT 95.0 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 44-21 OVER (+20.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 96.8, OPPONENT 102.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 43-21 OVER (+19.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 95.6, OPPONENT 102.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 28-49 against the 1rst half line (-25.7 Units) as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 50.4, OPPONENT 49.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 21-37 against the 1rst half line (-19.6 Units) when the first half total is 95.5 to 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 48.4, OPPONENT 51.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 21-4 against the 1rst half line (+16.5 Units) off 3 or more consecutive home losses since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 49.6, OPPONENT 49.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 50-28 UNDER (+19.2 Units) the 1rst half total after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 48.1, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 39-18 UNDER (+18.9 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 90 points or less 3 straight games since 1996.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 45.8, OPPONENT 49.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record.
(37-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.5%, +23.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.5, Opponent 49.7 (Average first half point differential = +0.8)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (77-57).
--PLAY ON - Any team (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record.
(52-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +28.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (38-36 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.7
The average score in these games was: Team 99.5, Opponent 98.1 (Average point differential = +1.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 29 (40.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (40-19).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (97-89).
__________________________________
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*** CLEVELAND @ MIAMI (-16.5, O/U 193.5) ***
---------------------------------------------
No extra security this time. No concerns about unrest in the stands. Probably not much in the way of organized "Akron Hates You" chants, either. LeBron vs. Cleveland, Round 2 awaits in Miami on Wednesday. And it won't have anywhere near the cache of the first meeting. James took notice of that truth on Tuesday when the Heat finished practice and only a dozen or so reporters were in the gym, as opposed to the "300," by his own estimate, who were around the team for the buildup to Miami's trip to Cleveland back on Dec. 2 - the two-time MVP's return to the city he jilted by signing with the Heat.
Led by James, Miami won by 28 that night, even with fans chanting that his hometown hates him and other rather colorful things for much of the evening. The Heat haven't lost since. Cleveland hasn't won since. "It doesn't feel like just another opponent," James said. That's because, well, Cleveland isn't just another opponent. Not to James, anyway. He was criticized for talking to some Cavs' players, longtime friend Daniel Gibson in particular, and Cleveland's bench during the game two weeks ago. More heat might be coming, because James apparently has more to say to his old team.
"I'll probably be talking to them... again," said James, who insisted that there was no joking around going on during the exchanges he had in the Dec. 2 matchup. Not much is funny to Cleveland these days. Losers of eight straight - four of those by at least 20 - whatever good feeling there was over a 5-5 start without James is long gone now. Cavaliers guard Mo Williams downplayed the rematch between teams heading in opposite directions.
"Our concern is not them right now, it's us," Williams said following practice Tuesday. "We're going through a tough time right now and we need to get a win. We need to stay positive and stay focused and this thing will turn around. Nobody likes to lose. We definitely know we can play better. We can't let anything else cloud our goal and our goal is getting better."
As if the James-Cavs stuff wasn't saucy enough for a story line, there's also the matter of Miami looking for NBA history. According to STATS LLC, only three teams have won 10 consecutive games by at least 10 points apiece. Miami has won nine straight, all of them by double figures, and could join the 2007-08 Houston Rockets, 2003-04 New Jersey Nets and 1946-47 Washington Capitols in that exclusive club if they beat the Cavs by 10 or more on Wednesday.
"We're starting to figure out how this team is going to play all year, how we're going to be effective," Heat guard Dwyane Wade said. "The spurts and the runs that we go on is going to be probably the most effective thing that other teams can't do that we have the ability to do." The Heat went through a relatively light practice Tuesday, which in no way suggests Miami, is taking things easy right now.
Much in the same way that the struggles in their 9-8 start were part of the "process" that Heat coach Erik Spoelstra spoke of often in the season's opening weeks, continuing to refine things remains part of that same process. "It's no different than when we lost four out of five," Spoelstra said. "We still had to work and stay together to try to improve and that's where we are right now. If you just try to relax and think of the wins that we've had, you're not getting any better. And we have a long ways to go, still."
Relaxing against a team that's struggling isn't an uncommon occurrence. James said he won't let Miami fall into that trap - not against Cleveland. "It's a tough situation going on in Cleveland," James said. "I wish those guys the best. It just so happened they haven't won since we played them and now they come in here when we're still rolling. As much as I would love for them to get back on track, I don't want them to get back on track against us."
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Miami by 17.5; O/U 195
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Miami -20
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Miami -21.04
_____________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--MIAMI is 36-19 ATS (+14.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 102.8, OPPONENT 93.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more this season.
The average score was MIAMI 103.5, OPPONENT 86.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--CLEVELAND is 40-69 ATS (-35.9 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 88.7, OPPONENT 99.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--CLEVELAND is 14-34 ATS (-23.3 Units) in road games after 4 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 87.5, OPPONENT 100.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 94.2, OPPONENT 106.4 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MIAMI is 24-7 OVER (+16.1 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 100.3, OPPONENT 99.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 76-48 OVER (+23.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 93.6, OPPONENT 100.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--CLEVELAND is 19-3 OVER (+15.5 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 103.6, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--CLEVELAND is 6-18 against the 1rst half line (-13.8 Units) versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 48.5, OPPONENT 54.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 0-12 against the 1rst half line (-13.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 47.6, OPPONENT 57.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--CLEVELAND is 0-9 against the 1rst half line (-9.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 46.1, OPPONENT 56.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 0-8 against the 1rst half line (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 45.1, OPPONENT 57.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 0-7 against the 1rst half line (-7.7 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 45.4, OPPONENT 60.6 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--MIAMI is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 50.9, OPPONENT 51.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 75-40 OVER (+31.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 52.5, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--CLEVELAND is 39-19 OVER (+18.1 Units) the 1rst half total versus the 1rst half line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 52.5, OPPONENT 52.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MIAMI) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after allowing 85 points or less.
(35-8 since 1996.) (81.4%, +26.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 195.3
The average score in these games was: Team 105.2, Opponent 98.9 (Total points scored = 204.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 27 (64.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (27-7).
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (MIAMI) - after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.
(26-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.2%, +19.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 56, Opponent 43.7 (Average first half point differential = +12.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (50-23).
--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs (CLEVELAND) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more.
(33-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +23.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (36-6 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 8.5
The average score in these games was: Team 107.2, Opponent 92.7 (Average point differential = +14.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (46.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-7).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (62-44).
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*** HOUSTON @ OKLAHOMA CITY (-8.5, O/U 209) ***
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The Oklahoma City Thunder's defensive pressure has been outstanding lately. Coach Scott Brooks was pleased to see that same intensity during his team's most recent practice. With a chance to move into a first-place tie in the Northwest Division, the Thunder go for their fourth consecutive victory Wednesday night against the Houston Rockets, who have reportedly added an under-achieving former first-round pick to an improving squad. Coming off a 106-77 victory over Cleveland on Sunday when they held the Cavaliers to 32 second-half points on 26.5 percent shooting from the field, the Thunder had their most physical practice of the season Tuesday.
"It was good. It was a little chippy today," Brooks said. "Our guys aren't normally are not like that (in practice), but I like it. I like to see the toughness that needed to be displayed in order to be successful."... The contact part of practice wasn't long, but when it was, guys were getting after it and challenging each other. That's good basketball." The Thunder, who can pull even in the Northwest with idle Utah, are holding teams to 90.7 points - 11.2 fewer than their season average - and 41.0 percent shooting in last three games.
"I thought our defensive effort was great tonight," Kevin Durant, the league's leading scorer with 27.3 points per game, said Sunday. "We played well on both ends of the floor and our defense tonight led to some easy baskets for us." The Thunder are averaging 104.7 points and shooting 51.8 percent in the last three games, and they are undefeated in 13 games this season when scoring at least 105. Reaching that point total could be a challenge the way Houston is playing. Including Tuesday's 118-105 victory over Sacramento, the Rockets are holding teams to 95.0 points - nearly 10 fewer than their 2010-11 average - in the last four games.
"We're going to play solid halfcourt defense," said Shane Battier, who will likely match up with Durant. While Houston has won six in a row at home, Coach Rick Adelman's team opens this stretch of four of five on the road with just one victory away from Toyota Center since Nov. 14. Making their first visit to Oklahoma City since a 116-99 loss on Nov. 17, the Rockets will unlikely have Terrence Williams available after reportedly acquiring the troubled swingman Tuesday from New Jersey as part of a three-team deal involving the Los Angeles Lakers.
Williams is averaging 6.7 points in 10 games this season and has been fined for being late to practices and sent home from one game for failure to follow team rules. He also played a couple of games in the D-League. Despite participating in the majority of Monday's practice, Rockets point guard Aaron Brooks is expected to miss his 20th consecutive game with a severely sprained left ankle. That leaves Kyle Lowry with the task of guarding Russell Westbrook, who is having a career year with 23.6 points per game and 8.8 assists.
Westbrook scored 23 with 10 assists as the Thunder dropped their 11th in a row in Houston, 99-98 on Nov. 28. If Thunder center Nenad Krstic misses his third straight game with a lower back sprain, Serge Ibaka will likely get the start and guard Luis Scola, who had 26 and eight rebounds in last month's loss in Oklahoma City. Ibaka grabbed a team-high eight boards in each of the two matchups with Houston this season.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Oklahoma City by 6.5; O/U 209.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Oklahoma City -7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Oklahoma City -4.79
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-17 ATS (+17.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 99.7, OPPONENT 96.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 99.5, OPPONENT 100.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-14 OVER (+19.5 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 103.5, OPPONENT 101.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-38 OVER (+17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 103.4, OPPONENT 101.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-27 against the 1rst half line (+18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.2, OPPONENT 50.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 61-39 against the 1rst half line (+17.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 51.0, OPPONENT 50.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 38-19 OVER (+16.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.0, OPPONENT 50.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 29-10 OVER (+17.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 52.8, OPPONENT 53.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 56.6, OPPONENT 59.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (HOUSTON) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team.
(23-5 since 1996.) (82.1%, +17.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 105.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 54, Opponent 56.2 (Total first half points scored = 110.2)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-3).
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*** SACRAMENTO @ NEW ORLEANS (-10, O/U 186) ***
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New Orleans Hornets coach Monty Williams didn't get too excited last month when his team extended the franchise's best start with a victory over the Sacramento Kings. The first-year coach definitely isn't pleased with how his team is playing now. New Orleans looks to snap a season-worst three-game losing streak Wednesday night when it hosts a slumping Kings team that could be without Tyreke Evans again. Needing a victory to tie San Antonio for the league's best record at 11-1, New Orleans won 75-71 at Sacramento on Nov. 21 despite missing 14 of its first 17 shots and finishing at 32.2 percent from the field.
It was the Hornets' worst shooting effort in a victory since they made 22 of 72 in a 76-73 win at Houston on April 1, 2005. "I don't think either one of us is going to send this tape to Springfield (the Basketball Hall of Fame) or any other field," Williams said after that game. "At this point in the season I don't even look at the standings. I had no idea we would have this kind of record. Looking at our record, it might be fools' gold." With Williams' team dropping nine of 12 since that victory, the Hornets' record-setting start seems more like an anomaly.
New Orleans, which has fallen from first to seventh in the Western Conference since last month's victory in Sacramento, dropped its third straight for the first time this season Monday, losing 96-84 at Miami. "We need to get a win so we could see how it feels," said All-Star point guard Chris Paul, who is averaging 5.0 assists half, his career average during the losing streak. The Hornets' schedule, though, could help the club experience winning more often. Including Wednesday's matchup, four of New Orleans' next seven games are against teams at least 10 games below .500.
The Kings fell to 5-17 on Tuesday with their 16th loss in 18 games, 118-105 at Houston. Playing without its scoring and assists leader in Evans, who is questionable Wednesday with mild plantar fasciitis in his left foot, Sacramento was outscored 31-18 in the second quarter en route to the team's sixth straight road loss. "Things start snowballing a little bit, and we can't seem to stop the avalanche," Coach Paul Westphal said. "Whether it's a couple of calls we think should go our way, a couple turnovers, a couple of made 3s, hustle plays where we deflect the ball and it goes to the other team, it just seems like even though we were playing well, next thing you know, we're down 10."
Sacramento will try to avoid its first seven-game skid on the road since a 0-11 stretch from Jan. 1-Feb. 7, as it makes its first trip to New Orleans Arena since a 96-94 loss on Dec. 8, 2009. David West had 24 points and 12 rebounds, Emeka Okafor added 17 points and 12 boards and Paul scored 15 with 12 assists in that matchup as the Hornets posted their ninth victory in 10 home meetings with the Kings. Paul has won the last six times he's faced Sacramento, and is averaging 21.8 points and 11.2 assists during that stretch.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New Orleans by 10; O/U 188.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New Orleans -11
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Orleans 11.04
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 42-61 ATS (-25.1 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 96.3, OPPONENT 97.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 12-32 ATS (-23.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 101.3, OPPONENT 102.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 19-32 ATS (-20.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 101.5, OPPONENT 102.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 28-9 UNDER (+17.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 93.2, OPPONENT 95.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 89.6, OPPONENT 83.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=33% of their attempts this season.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 93.7, OPPONENT 88.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 25-7 UNDER (+17.2 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 95.2, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 24-49 against the 1rst half line (-29.9 Units) vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 46.8, OPPONENT 47.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 42-63 against the 1rst half line (-27.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 50.0, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 84-54 OVER (+24.3 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=33% of their attempts since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.3, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 58-35 OVER (+19.3 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 50.7, OPPONENT 55.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 10 or more points (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team.
(44-18 since 1996.) (71.0%, +24.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (11-51)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 11.6
The average score in these games was: Team 92.7, Opponent 100.8 (Average point differential = -8.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 24 (39.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-5).
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*** CHARLOTTE @ MEMPHIS (-8.5, O/U 185) ***
--------------------------------------------
Some solid defense has the Memphis Grizzlies on the verge of their longest winning stretch of the season. Looking for a fourth straight victory, the Grizzlies could use another strong defensive effort while trying to avoid a fifth consecutive loss to the visiting Charlotte Bobcats on Wednesday night. Though Memphis has scored more than 90 points once over the last four games, it's given up an average of 84.7 while holding Phoenix, the Los Angeles Clippers and Portland to 41.4 percent shooting during a three-game winning streak.
"It ain't Chinese algebra," Memphis reserve guard Tony Allen said. "If you get stops, and you execute on offense, normally that teams wins." Though the Grizzlies are giving up 100.9 points per contest this season, they are 10-4 when holding their opponents to fewer than 100 points. "Defense wins games," forward Rudy Gay said. "It's the oldest saying in the book." Memphis flexed its defensive muscle once again by holding the Trail Blazers to 36.7 percent shooting and outscoring them 25-9 in the fourth quarter of an 83-73 win Monday.
Zach Randolph had 25 points with 20 rebounds, while Gay scored 16 to give the Grizzlies a chance for their first four-game winning streak since Jan. 12-18. "We're believing that we can win and just coming out and playing basketball," Randolph told the Grizzlies' official website. "It's important that we keep building and focusing on these games." Randolph continues to play well, averaging 22.4 points and 15.2 boards his last five games. "I just try to be aggressive and hit the glass on both ends and play around the basket," said Randolph, who has four games with at least 20 points and 20 rebounds in less than two seasons with the Grizzlies.
Randolph has averaged 23.8 points and 10.8 boards in his last five games versus Charlotte. However, the Grizzlies have not fared so well against the Bobcats of late. Memphis has averaged 86.3 points during its four-game skid versus Charlotte. The Bobcats, meanwhile, have averaged 98.8 on 51.5 percent shooting during that stretch. That recent success over the Grizzlies and a 97-91 win over Toronto on Tuesday could the provide the Bobcats with some much needed confidence to help them avoid a seventh consecutive road loss.
Charlotte is 3-9 away from home. "The only way if you maybe have some deficiencies is you play harder, you compete harder, you execute better," Bobcats coach Larry Brown said. The Bobcats avoided a third consecutive loss by shooting 52.0 percent and matching a season high with 13 blocked shots against the Raptors. "I think (Tuesday) was the starting point. We've got to build off that," said Gerald Wallace, who had 16 points and four blocks. Charlotte's Stephen Jackson (17.7 ppg) was limited to seven points before fouling out Tuesday, and has totaled 35 his last three games. However, he's averaged 23.5 points in his last four games versus Memphis. Wallace, though, has averaged 10.3 points in 10 career games at Memphis.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Memphis by 6.5; O/U 191.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Memphis -7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Memphis -5.43
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 95.9, OPPONENT 99.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 59-36 ATS (+19.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 96.8, OPPONENT 97.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 99.7, OPPONENT 94.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 54-25 UNDER (+26.5 Units) after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 91.8, OPPONENT 90.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 39-18 UNDER (+19.2 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 92.9, OPPONENT 93.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 31-14 against the 1rst half line (+15.4 Units) in home games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 52.0, OPPONENT 50.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 13-28 against the 1rst half line (-17.7 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 46.2, OPPONENT 48.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 1-11 against the 1rst half line (-11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 46.7, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (MEMPHIS) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after a combined score of 165 points or less.
(45-18 since 1996.) (71.4%, +25.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 93.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 43.7, Opponent 46.2 (Total first half points scored = 89.8)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-7).
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*** MILWAUKEE @ SAN ANTONIO (-8.5, O/U 190.5) ***
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The San Antonio Spurs have the NBA's best record, but they aren't likely to take their next opponent for granted. The Spurs look to close out a perfect six-game homestand Wednesday night when they host the Milwaukee Bucks, who shocked another of the league's top teams in their last game. San Antonio extended its winning streak to five games with a 95-78 victory over Portland on Sunday. It was the fourth straight double-digit win for the Spurs, who held the Trail Blazers to 37.9 percent shooting and outscored them 22-7 at the foul line.
The Spurs' recent games have been so lopsided that Tim Duncan hadn't played in the fourth quarter in any of the previous three contests. Duncan had eight points, 13 rebounds and four assists in 28 minutes Sunday. The 34-year-old is averaging a career-low 28.7 minutes. "As the minutes continue to drop and I'm not in the fourth quarter, I'm going to become unbearable on the bench and pretty much annoy (Coach Gregg Popovich) to the point where that he has to put me in," Duncan said. "That's my goal."
With the season starting so well for the Spurs, there's plenty of light-hearted joking. They are holding opponents to 87 points in the last four games and offensively are getting plenty of contributions. George Hill scored a season-high 22 points Sunday while rookie Gary Neal had 11 in 19 minutes off the bench. Popovich still sees room for improvement despite his team's stellar play. "Right now there are about 10 to 15 teams that are doing a better job defensively than we are," he said. "So we have to pay attention to it."
One of the teams that is giving up fewer point than the Spurs is the Bucks, who will be trying for a season-high fourth straight win Wednesday. Milwaukee is allowing 93.2 points per game this season. "It's a big game," Spurs forward Antonio McDyess said. "You don't want a letdown. We're doing pretty well so far in not letting up.... With Milwaukee coming in, we want to put that game away." The Bucks ended Dallas' 12-game winning streak with a 103-99 road victory Monday.
Brandon Jennings had 23 points and 10 assists, helping Milwaukee rally from a 20-point second-quarter deficit. The Bucks had lost five in a row on the road and were 2-8 away from home entering the game. "We're starting to play better basketball," said Andrew Bogut, who had 21 points and 14 rebounds. "We're starting to buy into what the coaches want us to do, what we need to do to win games. It's nice to have that feeling after a game like this and win a game on the road."
The Bucks' schedule doesn't get any easier with their next five games against Western Conference opponents, including a visit by Utah on Saturday and a road game against the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday. Milwaukee is 3-8 against teams from the West. Continued strong play from Bogut would certainly help the Bucks. After missing five games with a back injury, he's averaging 20.8 points, 15.6 rebounds and 3.4 blocks in the last five games. The Spurs swept the season series against the Bucks last season, and have won six of eight at home.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Antonio by 9.5; O/U 191
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Antonio -9.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Antonio -10.79
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 38-17 ATS (+20.1 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 103.5, OPPONENT 95.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 105.7, OPPONENT 91.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MILWAUKEE is 40-67 ATS (-33.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 96.8, OPPONENT 98.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--MILWAUKEE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 87.8, OPPONENT 96.4 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 89-59 UNDER (+24.1 Units) in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 96.5, OPPONENT 87.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 59-36 UNDER (+19.3 Units) after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 92.9, OPPONENT 88.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN ANTONIO is 10-0 UNDER (+10.0 Units) in home games after 4 straight wins by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 89.5, OPPONENT 79.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MILWAUKEE is 53-77 against the 1rst half line (-31.7 Units) versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 49.4, OPPONENT 50.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--MILWAUKEE is 9-24 against the 1rst half line (-17.2 Units) in road games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 45.8, OPPONENT 52.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor shooting teams - making <=43% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 44.8, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--MILWAUKEE is 16-2 UNDER (+13.8 Units) the 1rst half total vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 45.2, OPPONENT 48.2 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (MILWAUKEE) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more.
(101-47 since 1996.) (68.2%, +49.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 97.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 45.7, Opponent 47.9 (Total first half points scored = 93.6)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (29-11).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (40-17).
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*** MINNESOTA @ PHOENIX (-10, O/U 223.5) ***
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The Phoenix Suns would like to avoid their longest home losing streak in nearly two years. A visit from the struggling Minnesota Timberwolves might be coming at the ideal time. The Suns look to continue their success against the Timberwolves in an effort to avoid being swept in a three-game homestand on Wednesday night. Phoenix has matched its longest overall slide of the season at three games, though its previous skid from Nov. 17-20 came on the road. This one includes the first two of this three-game homestand, and the Suns haven't had a three-game losing streak at US Airways Center since Jan. 16-31, 2009.
They last dropped four in a row overall from Jan. 13-18, all on the road. A matchup with Minnesota gives Phoenix a strong chance to end its slide. The Suns have won five in a row over the Timberwolves by an average of 18.0 points. They've also taken seven of eight meetings in Phoenix, including a 152-114 victory March 16 in the most recent matchup there. Suns coach Alvin Gentry, though, might be looking for a stronger start after falling behind by double digits in the first half and failing to rally in a 101-94 loss to Portland on Friday.
"The only thing that's disappointing is that we wait until we get down 15, and then we play like I want us to play at the start of the game," Gentry said. "So we've got to take care of that in some kind of way." Showing improvement from beyond the arc should help. Phoenix has made 10 of 44 3-pointers over the last two games, but is making 37.2 percent of its attempts overall. The team may be in position to regain that form against Minnesota, which allows opponents to shoot 39.0 percent from beyond the arc.
Jason Richardson is trying to shake out of his recent funk. The swingman has totaled 18 points while making 6 of 28 shots from the field and missing all 12 3-point attempts over the last three games. Richardson, the team leader with 19.2 points per game, is averaging 25.2 points over the last six home meetings with Minnesota. The Suns are hoping to get a lift from Robin Lopez's expected return from a sprained left knee that sidelined him for 14 games. It is uncertain how much playing time the 7-footer, who averages 5.3 points and 4.3 rebounds, will get.
"He'll play, although I don't how long or how effective he'll be," Gentry told the team's official website. "Just his size will help." Phoenix is the worst defensive team in the NBA, allowing 109.5 points per game. However, the Timberwolves aren't much better at 109.1, and they are 1-13 on the road. Minnesota's road woes date back to last season when they tied a franchise worst road record at 5-36. The club has dropped 25 of 26 away contests. The Timberwolves' current road losing streak reached eight with Tuesday's 108-99 loss at Golden State in the second of this six-game trip.
"Our team needs to learn that if they don't play hard every night, we are not going to win," Timberwolves coach Kurt Rambis said. "Particularly in the second half, we did not give a maximum effort. We gave them too many second chance opportunities and turned the ball over too many times." Darko Milicic is trying to build on his season-high 25 points against the Warriors, matching his total from his previous three games. The forward-center is averaging 9.8 points and 6.1 rebounds.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Phoenix by 9; O/U 216.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Phoenix -10
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Phoenix -8.84
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--PHOENIX is 37-58 ATS (-26.8 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 107.9, OPPONENT 97.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 39-18 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than opponent since 1996.
The average score was MINNESOTA 95.8, OPPONENT 97.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 54-31 UNDER (+19.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 96.9, OPPONENT 106.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 28-10 UNDER (+16.9 Units) in road games when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 99.3, OPPONENT 108.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 15-34 against the 1rst half line (-22.4 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.5, OPPONENT 57.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 21-39 against the 1rst half line (-21.9 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 48.5, OPPONENT 56.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 70-46 UNDER (+19.4 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus foul prone teams - called for 24 or more fouls/game since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 51.0, OPPONENT 47.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season.
The average score was PHOENIX 50.4, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--MINNESOTA is 99-67 UNDER (+25.1 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1996.
The average score was MINNESOTA 47.7, OPPONENT 47.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (MINNESOTA) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days.
(45-18 since 1996.) (71.4%, +25.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 108.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.6, Opponent 51.7 (Total first half points scored = 104.3)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-13).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-15).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites (PHOENIX) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a terrible team (<=25%).
(46-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.8%, +25.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (29-37 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6.1
The average score in these games was: Team 99.8, Opponent 100.4 (Average point differential = -0.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 29 (45.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (36-15).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (107-91).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(46-20 since 1996.) (69.7%, +24 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 215.3
The average score in these games was: Team 103.8, Opponent 104.4 (Total points scored = 208.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 35 (53.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (31-18).
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*** PORTLAND @ DALLAS (-6.5, O/U 184) ***
------------------------------------------
Unable to protect another seemingly safe lead, the Dallas Mavericks had their longest winning streak of the season come to an abrupt end their last time out. While the Mavericks know they have to play tighter defense down the stretch to prevent big rallies, the Portland Trail Blazers are hardly looking like a team that could mount such a comeback. Dallas tries to bounce back from its first loss in 3 1/2 weeks Wednesday night in its first meeting of the season with the Trail Blazers, who are coming off a second straight sluggish offensive performance.
After wasting a 25-point lead against Utah on Saturday before rallying for its 12th straight victory, Dallas squandered a 20-point second-quarter advantage and lost 103-99 to Milwaukee on Sunday. The Mavericks had a chance to tie the score late but Dirk Nowitzki missed from 7 feet with 10.6 seconds to go. Nowitzki finished with 30 points for Dallas, which lost for the first time since Nov. 19. "This kind of slippage we've seen all too often," Coach Rick Carlisle said. "I've got to coach harder, the players have got to be more conscientious, and we’ve got to do better than we did (Monday)."
Dallas, known for playing sound defense under Carlisle, surrendered 60 points in the second half - its highest total allowed in a half this season. "This was a game we should have won, a game we clearly had under control," forward Tyson Chandler said. "We let them back in it." Dallas, which allowed more than 100 points for just the sixth time this season, doesn't seem likely to have as much trouble defensively against a Trail Blazers team that has managed 69 second-half points in its last two games combined.
After scoring a then-season-low 78 points in a loss to San Antonio on Sunday, Portland hit a new low in Monday's 86-73 defeat at Memphis, its eighth in 12 games. The Blazers had a three-point lead after three periods, but missed 15 of 19 shots and scored nine fourth-quarter points in their lowest-scoring quarter of the season. They shot 36.7 percent from the floor overall, the seventh time in 12 games they were below the 40.0 mark. "We had a bad fourth quarter," said guard Andre Miller, who finished with 14 points and nine assists. "The most important quarter, and it killed us. That was the game right there."
The Blazers were also hurt by an ineffective Brandon Roy, who was playing on a bum left knee he tweaked Sunday. Roy, who entered as Portland's leading scorer at 17.7 points, finished with seven on 3-of-16 shooting. The three-time All-Star has shot 31.9 percent from the floor in his last six games. The Blazers, wrapping up a four-game trip, have lost nine of their last 11 away from Portland. However, they took both meetings in Dallas last season after dropping their previous 11 there.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Dallas by 8; O/U 196
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Dallas -7.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Dallas -9.04
___________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--DALLAS is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 101.2, OPPONENT 97.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--DALLAS is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 101.7, OPPONENT 99.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 38-19 ATS (+16.8 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 96.9, OPPONENT 96.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--DALLAS is 76-43 UNDER (+28.7 Units) against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 99.2, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--PORTLAND is 34-14 UNDER (+18.2 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 92.7, OPPONENT 94.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 30-11 against the 1rst half line (+17.9 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.7, OPPONENT 46.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 25-7 against the 1rst half line (+17.2 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.2, OPPONENT 43.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 70-45 UNDER (+20.5 Units) the 1rst half total against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 49.3, OPPONENT 47.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--PORTLAND is 96-60 UNDER (+30.0 Units) the 1rst half total when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 45.3, OPPONENT 46.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--PORTLAND is 57-36 UNDER (+17.4 Units) the 1rst half total when playing their 5th game in 7 days since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 46.3, OPPONENT 44.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (PORTLAND) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team.
(30-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.2%, +17.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 93.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 41.5, Opponent 48.1 (Total first half points scored = 89.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-7).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (76-44).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (DALLAS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 80 points or less 2 straight games.
(44-17 since 1996.) (72.1%, +25.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 44.3, Opponent 44.6 (Average first half point differential = -0.3)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
