Wednesday 1/28/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Jim Feist Comp Pick for Wednesday, January 28, 2015:

Take: (709) BOSTON CELTICS

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Wednesday, January 28, 2015 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Boston Celtics and Minnesota Timberwolves. Even after parting ways with guard Rajon Rondo, the Celtics have been a fair team. Boston is 16-27 S/U on the season, but what I really like about them is how they cover spreads on the road. Boston is 14-7 ATS away from home. The Celtics are 3-1 in their last four games after winning at Utah on Monday, 99-90. They have also covered five straight and eight of the last 11 games. Minnesota has struggled really bad with just seven wins on the season. In fact, they have just two wins since December 12. They have done better covering, mainly because they have been a double-digit dog in six of their last nine games. When they are less than a double-digit dog they are 1-5 ATS their last six. Boston took the first meeting between these teams back on December 19th, 114-98 at the Garden. With a very short line here I like Boston as they are the better team, playing much better overall and the Wolves are usually a team to look at when getting double digits. Take the Celtics.
 
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Mr Vegas

Bonus Play for Wednesday, Jan 28, 2015:

Take: (722) PHOENIX SUNS

Washington in the tough spot of the 2nd of a back-to-back situation here. The Wizards are just 2-5 ATS the last seven times in this situation. Washington also hasn't done well at Phoenix, going just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 trips to Arizona. What will make Wizards even more fatigued here is that they have played two OT's in their last four games. Suns took the only other meeting between these teams back in December in Washington, 104-92. Look for Suns to sweep the season series here tonight. Play the Suns.
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Wednesday 7:00PM

(725) SETON HALL at (726) MARQUETTE

Take: (726) MARQUETTE -3.5

Seton Hall has established its credentials as a solid team this season. But the Pirates are in a funk right now and the assignment tonight is against a team that has absolutely owned them as they travel to Marquette.

The Eagles have won seven straight at home in this series, and 13 of the last 14 overall. I don’t see them as much more than an ordinary team that works its collective butts off. But Marquette would appear to be catching Seton Hall at the right time.

The issue for the Pirates might well be on court chemistry. They’re doing an absolutely terrible job of working for good shots right now, and there a stat that bears this thought out in somewhat dramatic fashion.

Since defeating Creighton, Seton Hall has assembled an assist to field goal ratio that is astonishingly awful. Over the last there games, the Pirates have just 23 assists on 65 made FG’s. That’s 35%, and that’s about as miserable as it gets. It’s really tough to win when teammates are not acting in unison and that is clearly the case presently with this Seton Hall entry.

The Pirates are the more talented team tonight. And they’re certainly capable of getting their act together. But they’re fade material until they get their offense in gear. Add in the completely lopsided series history and Marquette starts to look like a pretty enticing option as small home chalk tonight. I’ll play the flow and will look to back the home team tonight.
 
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CRAIG DAVIS

Your Bonus Play of the day is the Dallas Mavericks plus the points against the Houston Rockets.

Unfortunately I gave you Dallas last night as your premium play and it wasn't even close after the first quarter.

Memphis destroyed Dallas in every sense of the word and that was without the services of Mike Conley at point guard.

That was the third straight loss for the Mavs for the first time this season and there's just very little chance for me to believe Dallas can lose four straight games.

A four-game losing streak is serious business and with the Western Conference being so competitive, they know that every game is important... no matter if it's against West teams or a bottom feeder from the east.

Yes, the schedule will lighten up a little for the Dallas after tonight, but they are looking for that signature win against a good team as we approach the All Star break.

Think about it... the Mavericks have done a good job of beating the teams they're supposed to beat (for the most part), but what signature win do they have vs. the Western Conference? Exactly.

They've lost to Portland and Golden State and Memphis and Houston and the Clippers and even San Antonio.

Okay, so Dallas did beat Memphis once this year already, but that's after losing to them twice... you get my point.

Dallas is desperate to prove they can compete with the big boys of the west or they're going to be on the outside looking in.

Take the Mavs as your Bonus Play of the day.

2* DALLAS
 
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See spot. See spot bet: This week’s best spot bet opportunities
By BEN BURNS

Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots. Ben Burns points out his favorites:

Letdown spot

How the hell do you suffer a letdown in the biggest game on the planet? Two weeks of nothing but Big Game hype and good ole butterflies in the stomach, that’s how. Even at the professional ranks, players can get a little worked up for the Super Bowl and that can lead to some dropped passes and mental errors in the early going. The first quarter of the Super Bowl has produced an average combined score of 8.12 points over the last seven years, well below the 9.5 points books have hung as the first quarter total for Super Bowl XLIX Sunday.

While the Seahawks are very familiar with the pressures of the Big Game, they are by no means immune to them. And the Patriots have some players and staff with Super Bowl experience but not enough to settle the nerves of the collective roster. The first quarter Over/Under may be leaning a little more on the 4.1 and 5.5 points per first quarter Seattle and New England averaged on the year and not the 3.9 and 4.4 points against they held opponents to in the opening frame. Sprinkle in some Super Sunday jitters and a first-quarter letdown could be primed for both teams.

Lookahead spot

As you prep your Super Bowl bets, there’s another “big game” this weekend. No, it’s not a NBA big-name showdown of superstars or a high-profile major conference clash, and it sure didn’t have a media day held in its honor. Bragging rights in the Missouri Valley Conference are on the line when the Wichita State Shockers visit the Northern Iowa Panthers Saturday.

Hey c’mon, this is a battle of teams ranked No. 12 and No. 18 in the country. That’s a big reason to beware the Panthers this week as they visit the Southern Illinois Salukis Wednesday. The Panthers could get caught looking past SIU on the road and to this weekend’s showdown with the Shockers. Northern Iowa is a dismal 0-3-1 ATS in its last four trips to Carbondale and the home team has dominated this series, going 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven between NIU and SIU.

Schedule spot

The Sacramento Kings get a rotten deal from the NBA schedule makers, leaving the sun shine of the Golden State for the frigid, snow-slammed streets of Toronto, Cleveland and Indiana this week. They were actually scheduled to play in New York Monday but snow storms forced the league to postpone the game and the Kings had to fly to the Big Apple for nothing, leaving NYC for Toronto – playing the Raptors Wednesday – before the weather got bad.

Sacramento is a horrid 1-6 ATS in its last seven road games overall and boasts a 1-10-1 ATS mark in its last 12 games versus Eastern Conference opponents. The Kings not only fight off those frightful trends, but play a stretch of three games in four nights. Sacramento doesn’t have a deep rotation, getting just 29.2 points per game from its reserves – 24th in the NBA. All that travel, coupled with a frantic schedule, could catch up to the Kings this week.
 

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