No doubt that many of you have noticed that there have been a number of "live conference home underdogs" that have won outright in the last few weeks. These included upsets of Kansas by Texas Tech, Kentucky by South Carolina, North Carolina by Duke, Duke by Maryland, Cincinnati by Depaul, Washington by Oregon State and Boston College by Notre Dame, although the latter was a slight favorite, just to name a few. Also, many of these dogs have covered but not won. At this time of year, as teams attempt to bolster their resume for the big dance, it is not uncommon to see these types of upsets. Personally, in all sports, I have considered this the strongest betting position to be in as you have a team that has the capability of winning the game, home court advantage, emotion, and desire to take down the powerhouse. Not all conference home dogs have the ability to win outright or even cover the spread, but when reviewing the card for each day, look carefully at each conference and try to determine if a particular game and team presents this situation. If you can consistently spot these types of plays, you will be rewarded nicely. Best of luck to everyone.
OMT,
Great post. Could not agree with you more about this. Homecourt advantage seems to be bigger in college basketball than in any other sport. You can just go down the teams and you see these teams with a .500 or a little better record on the road, but undefeated or 1 loss home records. A perfect example was tonight in the South Carolina/Kentucky game. South Carolina was a terrible 1-6 on the road, however a great 11-2 at home. Just check out all the teams and you will see this is extremely common. Home teams in general have been money to me lately, either as dogs or slight favorites. The homecourt is truly special in college. Iowa State is another great example, 2-6 on the road but 11-2 at home. Once again, great post.
SB
Great post. Could not agree with you more about this. Homecourt advantage seems to be bigger in college basketball than in any other sport. You can just go down the teams and you see these teams with a .500 or a little better record on the road, but undefeated or 1 loss home records. A perfect example was tonight in the South Carolina/Kentucky game. South Carolina was a terrible 1-6 on the road, however a great 11-2 at home. Just check out all the teams and you will see this is extremely common. Home teams in general have been money to me lately, either as dogs or slight favorites. The homecourt is truly special in college. Iowa State is another great example, 2-6 on the road but 11-2 at home. Once again, great post.
SB
Shrink - can you shoot me an email fairwarning@gmail.com, Need to ask a question off topic. Thanks.
Illini:
It was not a bad line, but rather a line somewhat influenced by the recent play of Maryland. I watched the line movement most of the day and believe there was nearly equal action on both sides as the number hovered and stayed for the most part at 2.5 all day. There did seem to be an ever so slight lean towards North Carolina State.
It was not a bad line, but rather a line somewhat influenced by the recent play of Maryland. I watched the line movement most of the day and believe there was nearly equal action on both sides as the number hovered and stayed for the most part at 2.5 all day. There did seem to be an ever so slight lean towards North Carolina State.
