Washington vs Oregon 11/6/2010

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Oregon is a heavy favorite winning 94% of simulations over Washington. Darron Thomas is averaging 229 passing yards and 2.4 TDs per simulation and LaMichael James is projected for 166 rushing yards and a 90% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 6% of simulations where Washington wins, Jake Locker averages 1.68 TD passes vs 0.61 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.81 TDs to 1.06 interceptions. Chris Polk averages 108 rushing yards and 0.96 rushing TDs when Washington wins and 82 yards and 0.39 TDs in losses. Oregon has a 43% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 98% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OR -30

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