Warren Sharp 2021 Football Preview

[letitride3428]

Thinking about buying this 2021 Football Preview from Warren Sharp

Has anyone bought it before? If so, any good?

 

[bigwang]

There is always some good info in his work but much of it is data manipulated to suit his desired outcome.

Example: He’ll say team x should be throwing more out of 1-2 formation on 2nd and 3 or less because it results in a successful play 75% of time. Sounds good on surface. A deeper dive will show that specific playcall happened 8 times. The 6 successful plays all resulted in first downs with an avg gain of 4.2 yds. The 2 unsuccessful plays resulted in 2 pick 6s. Would we really want more playcalls that result in small gains and turnovers?

I would imagine he falsifies his record and posts plays at #s not available anymore as well.

 

[sshz]

Sharpfootballanalysis doesn't post his record anymore because his record went to crap. 4-5 years ago, he was hot and his big advantage was predicting turnovers, which have the biggest impact on scoring in the league. Each turnover is worth about 4 points in scoring, and he did a good job with that. Then about 3-4 years ago, his record tanked and it's never recovered. He does hit around 60% on his O/U's, which is his strength. Past that, it's a waste as much of the info is not adaptable to point spreads and picking winners. His college record is even worse than his NFL one, so stay far away from that. Over priced these days, there's better out there for less money.