Want to try SportsOptions free for the month of September? I can hook a few you up...

Search

New member
Joined
Apr 21, 2002
Messages
28,149
Tokens
Going to avoid EMU/Florida. 3 starters out for EMU, Florida has Maye out at safety, 1st game for Gators, not feeling it.

My Odds:


Minnesota -14, 54
Maryland -12, 44
Georgia Tech -7, 55
Ole Miss -21, 47


Leans:


Maryland/South Florida u53.5


My main concern here is that South Florida turns the ball over so many times that Maryland keeps converting them into easy TDs. The Bulls' offense is a mess. Their quarterbacks can't throw. They are leaning a new offensive scheme and obviously aren't good at it. Without the run this team is hopeless and they are facing a tough Terps D. South Florida has a solid enough defense but it is a bit inexperienced. I like Maryland's offense quite a bit but on the road against a quality team I just can't see them scoring enough to cover this total by themselves and am pretty confident South Florida won't even sniff 20.


Tulane +10


Missed the +10.5 opener so I think I'll pass at +10. Green Wave offense figures to be much improved in year 3. They are familiar with the schemes, have a nice O line and a QB coming back with experience. Georgia Tech has almost no one back defensively and I think Tulane's O Line can get the push here. Georgia Tech is just a hard team for me to bet on/against since I have no clue how ready a team like Tulane will be for their offense. Green Wave haven't seen anything like this... I like the fact that Georgia Tech's non-stop running helps the underdog but it wouldn't really shock me if Tulane gave up 20 or gave up 40 and that makes this game really tough for me to touch at the current odds.


Plays:




None outta these games.
 

New member
Joined
Apr 21, 2002
Messages
28,149
Tokens
Was really thinking I'd be able to hit Ole Miss and Ole Miss/Vandy under but the lines are actually pretty sharp. Bummer.
 

Member
Joined
Nov 9, 2008
Messages
16,135
Tokens
Was really thinking I'd be able to hit Ole Miss and Ole Miss/Vandy under but the lines are actually pretty sharp. Bummer.

Enjoy the write-ups bro / good luck this weekend !! I'll be tailin ya .. (
 

New member
Joined
Apr 21, 2002
Messages
28,149
Tokens
Not touching Idaho/UL Monroe until someone updates Ceasar's status.
Not touching UNM/Arizona St. Was likely going to play over but with mobile QB out and pocket passer in I don't want to mess with it.


My Odds:

NC State -16, 66
Oregon -9, 57
UL Lafayette -9, 58
Duke -16, 71
South Carolina -20, 64
Auburn -37, 59


Leans:


Michigan State +13


Tough matchup to know what to expect but Oregon wasn't nearly as potent against the few legit defenses they faced last season. Michigan State is similar to Stanford who always gives the Ducks problems. Spartans offense is much improved from last season as well with an experienced Cook and in the 2nd year of new schemes. My main concern is if they can handle the Oregon pace. At +13 it's tough to lay off.


Louisiana Tech +15.5

Line has been steamed too far in my opinion. I love this Lafayette squad and they are solid on both sides of the ball but feel L Tech can keep it around 10. I'm not a big fan of this lean and won't be playing it but numbers suggest it. Louisiana Tech has a new QB, new defensive schemes/coordinator, and are only in the 2nd year of their new offense which usually spells trouble. That being said their new QB is experienced and the offense looked really nice in year 1. Ultimately just a numbers play... without numbers I feel the Cajuns are a rung up the ladder from L Tech.


Duke/Troy o64


Blue Devils have a very nice offense and Troy has no defense at all. The Trojans are very weak in the trenches and Duke can gain 6-7 yards a carry here. When they do that they typically put up 40+ points. Trojans' offense looked terrible in week 1 but the scheme is strong and their young QB should be more comfortable at home than on the road for his week 1 opener. Troy's O line is strong and Duke has some big injuries, including 2 starting linebackers out. Blue Devils are very inexperienced along the D Line and I expect Troy to be able to run here which will open up their offense and take pressure off the young QB. UAB loaded up the box against Troy in week 1 to stop the rush and they were able to do that with 7 of 8 starting secondary and LBs. Duke doesn't have that luxury with the LB injuries.


San Jose State/Auburn u66.5


I think Auburn could put up 80 here if they felt like it but ultimately they won't need to and will stop around 40. The Tigers are in year 2 of a Malzahn offense so they can pick their number against most teams but Gus doesn't overexpose his starters with big leads and that hurts their scoring potential late. San Jose State is in year 2 of a new offense but really they are in year 1 since they let Fales run the old offense last year. Now with a new QB they are running more of the new version. A guy making his 2nd start on the road against Auburn (who does have defensive issues but it won't matter here) is too much to ask for. San Jose State won't be able to air the ball out like normal when their rushing attack dies out. Also the Spartans have 8 guys back on defense so they'll be able to at least slow down Auburn at times which is probably all this under needs. Leaving it as a lean for now. 49-10 or so should be the final.


Plays:

Nothing from this group.
 

Member
Joined
Jul 26, 2012
Messages
2,863
Tokens
Nice run man, I'll probably shoot ya an email later this morning. seems like good info to have. GL!
 

New member
Joined
Apr 21, 2002
Messages
28,149
Tokens
Nice run man, I'll probably shoot ya an email later this morning. seems like good info to have. GL!

Month of September is free. Might as well check it out.

Also I've gotten emails from a few people about getting picks. Just a heads up... we aren't a picks service. I'm just sharing my personal stuff to bump the thread. We have steam play alerts (alerts that pop up when numerous books start to move a line at once) that have been hitting at a high rate for years, and you can check out the consensus Sports Options office plays that the morning guys decide on, but giving out picks isn't close to the most valuable things that we do. Just wanted to make that clear in case anyone reading this thought that. We're a sports information and odds service first and foremost.
 

New member
Joined
Apr 21, 2002
Messages
28,149
Tokens
I'll put up some more stuff within the hour for the late games today. Stay tuned.
 

New member
Joined
Apr 21, 2002
Messages
28,149
Tokens
Finally done. Took me long enough.

Staying away from BYU/Texas. Texas has 2 OL suspended. Can't even keep track of the guys that Strong hasn't suspended.
Not messing with UCLA. O Line is banged up. Production hinges on if Brendel is good to go and he's a game time decision.

My Odds:


Michigan -4, 50
North Carolina -9, 59
Air Force -5, 53
Boise State -11, 59
Oregon State -8, 64
Texas Tech -17, 73


Note: Wish I would have gotten Hawaii +12.5 early. Although my lines only indicate it being a near play I have a feeling the Warriors win this one outright. No value at +9 right now though.


Leans:


Michigan +3.5
Michigan/Notre Dame u57


The Michigan bet really should be a play but for some reason I feel I just don't have a firm handle on the Wolverines yet. Notre Dame's offense is much stronger with Gholson back at QB but I don't particularly trust their defense to stop Michigan or for the Fighting Irish to score a bunch of points. Notre Dame is going up against an experienced secondary here and I like the look the Wolverines' defense. Some things that are scaring me are Michigan has a new OC (who is quite good, but still, there are things that are to them and it's early) and Notre Dame outplayed the Wolverines last year with a lesser QB despite finding a way to lose by double digits. Ultimately just don't feel that comfortable betting on this one right now.


Boise State -7.5


I am a huge BSU fan and think the Broncos are going to blow out quite a few teams this season now that Peterson is gone and his shitty offensive changes are wiped out. Boise is learning the old offense again under Harsin and should be deadly, although this early in the season is a bit early to predict 40+ points. Colorado State has a solid defense that I like but the Rams' offense is having issues. The offensive line is as banged up as any and on the road on the blue turf against an improved BSU defense is asking too much. Boise probably wins by double digits here but I'm not touching it. If this was a week 5 game I'd be all over it but the new schemes for Boise could slow them down early.


UTEP +21.5


See below.


Plays:


San Diego State +15.5



I just missed the freakin' move on this. Was +16.5 when I started capping and 15 minutes later I lost a point. Oh well, still has value. I like this UNC offense quite a bit but San Diego State's defensive scheme is excellent and they have a strong line. The Aztecs are inexperienced everywhere but the line but throwing a run-stopping 3-4 against the Tar Heels is the perfect way to hold them under 40 points. I'm thinking UNC gets to 34 or so. San Diego State's offense is strong as well. They have an experienced senior QB and are good everywhere. One thing I really like about SD State is that they find ways to score. If you take away the run they can pass. If you take away the pass they can run. Not many teams have that flexibility to succeed like this. UNC's defense wasn't good last year and I don't expect much improvement this time around. 21 points or so is all we should need for this cover.


Air Force -1


Just missed a line move on this one too. That's what I get for not getting this stuff finished days ago. Anyway, Air Force almost never has experience coming back but this year's team has loads of returning starters on both sides of the football. Very rare for a service academy. Their offense can't pass but they should run for 300+ yards against everyone. I actually like Wyoming's defense enough but they weren't good against these gimmicky run offenses last season and Air Force should put up around 30. Wyoming's offense lost a stud QB and their are learning new schemes. The new QB looked lost in the new offense in week 1 and the Cowboys will once again try to rely on their rushing attack against the Falcons. The problem is Air Force has an experienced defense this year and are going to be tougher to beat. Basically Air Force has experience on their side and Wyoming's offense, with their young, inexperienced QB, is going to start the season very slowly as they learn what to do. I'll side with experience and continuity.


Texas Tech/UTEP o66


Wish I had hit this earlier at 64 but oh well. Still like it. Texas Tech should put up 40-50 without any problems. UTEP defense is not good and they will be overmatched against a very high-powered offense. Texas Tech's defense looked lost in week 1 and they are very inexperienced on that side of the ball. UTEP is the 2nd year of their offense with an experienced QB and a nice O-line. I think UTEP goes for 24-31 and Texas Tech stops at 48 or so if they are feeling nice. If UTEP keeps scoring it relatively a bit close, which I think they will, it only helps this over since the Red Raiders won't go vanilla in the 4th.
 

New member
Joined
Apr 21, 2002
Messages
28,149
Tokens
Last bump before next week handicapping starts up. Free offer is good until the end of September so even if you see this late I should be able to hook you up.
 

Member
Joined
Nov 9, 2008
Messages
16,135
Tokens
Last bump before next week handicapping starts up. Free offer is good until the end of September so even if you see this late I should be able to hook you up.

I bet $5 and $10 a game .. tops .. I will pass on any tout action but thanks for posting bro and good luck to you
 

New member
Joined
Apr 21, 2002
Messages
28,149
Tokens
I bet $5 and $10 a game .. tops .. I will pass on any tout action but thanks for posting bro and good luck to you

I addressed this earlier but we aren't a tout service... we don't sell picks at all. It's a live odds/breaking info service so you can find the best line and get the best price before books move on the info we send. There are a million other things we provide but we aren't a tout service that sells picks. It's free to try if you change your mind.
 

New member
Joined
Apr 21, 2002
Messages
28,149
Tokens
4-5 last week. Air Force led the entire way but gave up a TD in the final seconds to cost me a winning week. Need to play more dogs and unders which is usually 75% of my bets in college football but less than 50% thus far.


No totals up thus far, and going to avoid Baylor game for the time being. Bryce Petty should be good to go, guessing Antwon Goodley suits up as well but want to wait until later in the week to put a bet in on that one.


Probably shouldn't cap the Toledo/Cincy game since the Rockets lost their starting QB but I really am not sure Ely was ahead of some other more experienced guys at this point in the season. He's obviously a talent but early on I think his loss is minimal.


Side note: How the hell did Cincinnati get 2 bye weeks to open the season?

Record of Plays: 10-7


Dogs: 3-1
Favorites: 2-3
Overs: 3-3
Unders: 2-0




My Odds:

North Texas -7, 58
BYU -19, 59
Cincinnati -11, 59


Leans:


None, will wait on totals.


Bets:


None, will wait on totals.

 

sdf

Member
Joined
Oct 1, 2005
Messages
14,301
Tokens
Jake, why does SO allow books to alter the opener (or is it SO that's doing it?) well after the line has been up.

Right now I see a lot of openers got reset....UCF/Mizzou, Kent/OSU, VT/ECU, LV/UVa....on and on...
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,800
Messages
13,573,266
Members
100,871
Latest member
Legend813
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com