Virginia vs TCU 9/22/2012

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TCU is a heavy favorite winning 83% of simulations over Virginia. Casey Pachall is averaging 242 passing yards and 2.1 TDs per simulation and Waymon James is projected for 76 rushing yards and a 45% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 17% of simulations where Virginia wins, Michael Rocco averages 2.22 TD passes vs 0.46 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.19 TDs to 0.61 interceptions. Kevin Parks averages 55 rushing yards and 0.44 rushing TDs when Virginia wins and 48 yards and 0.24 TDs in losses. TCU has a 28% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TCU -14

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