Virginia vs Miami (FL) 10/27/2011

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Miami (FL) is a solid favorite with a 74% chance to beat Virginia. Lamar Miller is projected for 125 rushing yards and a 66% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 26% of simulations where Virginia wins, Michael Rocco averages 1.71 TD passes vs 1.16 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.92 TDs to 1.51 interceptions. Perry Jones averages 73 rushing yards and 0.61 rushing TDs when Virginia wins and 63 yards and 0.32 TDs in losses. Miami (FL) has a 49% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 84% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MIA -15

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