Virginia vs Maryland 11/5/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Virginia winning 50% of simulations, and Maryland 50% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Virginia commits fewer turnovers in 22% of simulations and they go on to win 70% when they take care of the ball. Maryland wins 59% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Perry Jones is averaging 71 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. Davin Meggett is averaging 72 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MD -2.5

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