Virginia Tech vs Duke 10/29/2011

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Virginia Tech is a heavy favorite winning 84% of simulations over Duke. Logan Thomas is averaging 242 passing yards and 1.81 TDs per simulation and David Wilson is projected for 159 rushing yards and a 78% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 16% of simulations where Duke wins, Sean Renfree averages 1.73 TD passes vs 1.05 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.89 TDs to 1.33 interceptions. Desmond Scott averages 48 rushing yards and 0.5 rushing TDs when Duke wins and 44 yards and 0.32 TDs in losses. Virginia Tech has a 63% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 89% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is DUKE +14

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