UTEP vs New Mexico State 9/17/2011

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with UTEP winning 45% of simulations, and New Mexico State 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. UTEP commits fewer turnovers in 38% of simulations and they go on to win 59% when they take care of the ball. New Mexico State wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Joe Banyard is averaging 39 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. Robert Clay is averaging 71 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NMXST +1

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